September 26th, 2008
11:30 AM ET
11 years ago

Electoral Map Update: Obama gains ground

Michigan changes columns in CNN’s latest update of the Electoral College Map.

Michigan changes columns in CNN’s latest update of the Electoral College Map.

(CNN) — Barack Obama – who gained a small edge in the CNN poll of polls this week – is gaining ground on the CNN Electoral Map as well.

CNN is altering its Electoral Map, shifting Michigan and its 17 electoral votes from tossup to “lean Obama.”

With the shift of Michigan, CNN now estimates that if the presidential election were held today, Obama would win 240 electoral votes and John McCain 200. There are 98 electoral votes up for grabs; 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House.

Check out CNN's latest electoral map

A CNN/Time Magazine/Opinion Research Corporation poll released earlier this week suggested Obama had a 5 point lead among likely voters, 51 percent to 46 percent, and a 7 point lead among the larger sample of registered voters. Obama had a 4 point margin in the last CNN poll in Michigan, conducted at the beginning of September.

Michigan has voted for the Democratic candidate in the last four presidential contests, but Kerry's victory over President Bush in 2004 was by only 3 points.

Still, the economy – an issue where Obama holds a significant edge over McCain in recent surveys - is the driving concern in this industrial state. The Democrat’s campaign has sought to pad that advantage, running state-specific ads in Michigan that charge McCain has not done enough to protect the nation’s auto industry jobs.

The CNN Electoral Map takes into account a number of factors, including the most recent state polls, voting trends, and campaign ad spending and events in the particular states.

"Historically, state polls have often been leading indicators of national trends," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "National polls are predominantly made up of respondents from big states like New York, California and Texas where the campaigns are running no advertising at all."

CNN's most recent poll of polls showed the Democratic nominee with a 4 point advantage over his Republican rival. Obama had the support of 47 percent of voters to McCain's 43 percent, with and 10 percent unsure about their choice for president.

soundoff (292 Responses)
  1. muller

    it is true the financial crisis dd not happen overnight, so its for the american voters to see a way forward. dont wait for the worl to tell u who who to vote for, come on it is obama man

    September 26, 2008 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  2. HF from PA

    I support Obama and this used to be fun but to be honest the situation has turned sad...God help whomever wins in November because they will take over the biggest mess since FDR was elected in the 30s

    September 26, 2008 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  3. Truth Teller

    Man McCain is starting to make George Bush look like a good President, he should fire who ever is running his campaign. It's like in a big game when you come out with all the trick plays early then you get exposed later in the game once the trickery stops working. I'm getting the feeling not even Republicans are wanting McCain to win.

    September 26, 2008 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  4. Keith Williams

    McCain is too impulsive and acts too irresponsibly on a gamble that things would work out in America's favor. Gov. Palin is clearly not qualified based on her (ONLY) two interviews that she has failed at so far, as well as her evading and avoiding answering allegation that are surfacing all around her. I heard one pundit saying the McCain Camp is at fault for her failed interviews because they have kept her from the media and press which has robbed her of practice. Please step back and get a grip and realize why they have been keeping her from answering questions. She has demonstrated inability behind closed doors, and they know not to give her audience and cameras, let alone inquirers. I'm sorry, the propping and prepping days are over!!! No more special treatments Republicans! You are all out of your poker chips now! No more invoking the name of God and Christianity for your political agendas! No more manipulation and limited definitions of family values! It's over!

    September 26, 2008 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  5. balaji

    What is the next course of action for McCain the Mental Patient (Aka Maverick). May be fast upto death in front of capitol hill until bail out plan is made?

    What a joke and its sad we still have 40% insane americans supporting this guy in this country

    September 26, 2008 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  6. TSR

    The jew Lieberman is supporting isreal instead of USA. This Man should be fired from USA Gov. It is a shame that USA is in crisis because of isreal. Isreal is the cause of all wars in the world.

    September 26, 2008 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  7. Art

    We need Barack Obama more than ever to clean up this mess in Washington.

    September 26, 2008 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  8. Marilyn

    Some of the poorest states are voting Republican. They must be satified with what the Republicans have done for them........some of the most easily fooled and more easily led.

    September 26, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  9. tornado1972

    I hope the Media will step up to the plate and call all that is happening for what it is for all to see!! The American People deserve better than this McCain!!!

    September 26, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  10. Jeff DuShane

    Wow. Just saw what the house repubs are putting forward as their 'plan'. Seems they want to provide retroactive tax cuts to the wealthiest among us for years 2003-2007 so that these people can 'buy' insurance policies which will funnel the $700 billion to Wall Street. Since the market has lost ground, when this money is infused it will provide great gains for the rich once again. Now their claim is that they don't want to risk taxpayer money, but if they are giving back this tax money to the wealthy, aren't they in fact spending taxpayer money? Aren't they putting our money at risk so that the very few at the top can just selfishly pad their bilionaire portfolios? This is socialism for the rich.....DO NOT BUY INTO IT!

    September 26, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  11. ANGIE

    Mccain is holding the bailout hostage he went to washington yesterday and did NOTHING but turn it into a political circus now he is blackmailing congress saying he will not debate until congress makes this deal FIRST OF ALL MCCAIN STAY OUT OF IT IT ECONOMICS YOU DONT HAVE A CLUE!! GET TO MS AND DEBATE OBAMA! IF NOT DROP OUT OF THE RACE!

    September 26, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  12. WI Cheesehead

    McCain has no platform to run on and his GOP handlers are making a fool out of him so he has no one to blame but himself. McCain has set his bar so low such that if he just shows up for the debate or answers one question without spit coming out of his mouth people will say he carried the day. That’s how Bush did it and it worked time and again. He would say something ordinary and we’d all go wild thinking he’s said/done something out of this world.

    September 26, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  13. Chris from the garden state

    I am very shocked that the dems do not have a much larger margin of victory. It just seems like such a no brainer if you do your homework and truly examine the work ethic , decisions, and histories of these two individuals the only conclusion is Obama. The scary aspect is that people did not do there due diligence in electing Geoge Bush and will not do so again in electing McCain. These same people know are surprised at the state of the nation. Anyone with half a brain saw this coming when Bush was elected. I as an independant voter like to be able to decide freely and not have a political party dictate how I should vote (ie I liked Reagan and I liked Clinton) . If you voted for Bush twice and are supporting McCain I seriously think you have a flaw in judgment and deserve all the economic woes you face when McCain is your president. I do not think Obama is a miricle worker either but given the choice of these two candidates Obama is the right choice. It is a shame that racisim is partially responsible for the way the electoral map looks. The other reason being the Bush supporters whom ironically want nothing to do with him and are distancing themselves from him.

    September 26, 2008 09:28 am at 9:28 am |

    People should stop seeing Palin as vice presidential nominee but as presidential nominee, for if anything happens to the president, the vice automatically becomes president especially with Mccain very old and almost senile. Watching katie Couric interviewing Palin this morning made me shodder with bewilderment for I was not seeing a VP to be but a president of the United States of Ameica to be if Republicans win and Mccain becomes incapacitated. Its absolute shame on the American people for the thought that some of them could stop for one moment and consider voting the Republicans. Mccain compounded his state of confusion by suspending his campaign or (did he?) in an attempt to further fool the confused Americans. This is a dirty political stunt that can only be pulled by a desparete drowning man all to no avail. Obama/Biden 08

    September 26, 2008 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
  15. Dee

    Obama must be insane–because only an insane person would really WANT to inherit the disastrous problems that our nation now has thanks to its previous eight years of "leadership" bu the Republicans! The way McCain has recently been running his campaign, I'm convinced his heart is not really in winning this election. (and I, for one, don't blame him for that!)

    September 26, 2008 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
  16. Gail

    I truly believe Obama is ahead by a far larger margin than has ever been reported.

    There are Obama signs everywhere – I've seen just one McCain sign.

    September 26, 2008 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
  17. David Bakody

    There is more to this than meets the media's (CNN included) eys., all our young voters are not even touched by the good ode polsters and are fed up and want change, Obama represents that. Y'all may think that 200,000 people who showed up in Germany is not big news but it is. Wake up MSM there is world out there and we all share it. Your children as well mind want to taste it all and will safe having a President who is admired not like held in discuss as is "Dubya".

    September 26, 2008 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
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