October 7th, 2008
04:10 PM ET
10 years ago

Double-digit Obama edge in Minnesota

Sen. McCain is trailing in Minnesota despite the fact that the Republican convention was held in St. Paul.

Sen. McCain is trailing in Minnesota despite the fact that the Republican convention was held in St. Paul.

(CNN) – With less than a month to go until Election Day, CNN’s latest Minnesota poll of polls shows a major advantage for Sen. Barack Obama.

Obama now leads Sen. John McCain by 14 percentage points – with support from 54 percent of likely voters in the state, compared to 40 percent for McCain. Six percent of likely Minnesota voters are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN’s previous Minnesota poll of polls, Obama was ahead of McCain by a single point – 47 percent to 46 percent.

“The meltdown on Wall Street has significantly strengthened Obama’s hand in Minnesota,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “The crisis has reinforced the state’s traditional embrace of economic populism, which almost always benefits the Democrats. At the same time, any local bounce McCain might have received from holding his party’s convention in St. Paul has now worn off. It’s worth remembering that no Republican candidate has carried Minnesota since Richard Nixon in 1972; it’s tough to imagine any GOP candidate seriously contesting the state when he’s trailing nationally by five or six points.”

Tuesday’s CNN Minnesota poll of polls is made up of the following three surveys: Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute (October 3-5), Star Tribune (September 30-October 2) and CNN/Time/ORC (September 28-30).

The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

Minnesota is the latest in a number of states that have seen growing advantages for Obama since the financial crisis began.

soundoff (249 Responses)
  1. Joan

    Funny, all the mud-slinging didn't work this election. It sure has in the past. After loosing their own financial futures, people have finally found out what is important!!

    October 7, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  2. Frank

    Time to pull out of Minnesota.

    Hey, John, when you fall far enough behind nationally, will you please just pull out of the country and leave us all alone?

    October 7, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  3. Christine El Paso

    Don't get too comfy guys and gals... as much as I'd like to rejoice at the poll numbers we still have 4 weeks to go, not time yet to call it a victory! Complacency is a dangerous fellow!

    October 7, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  4. NoTrustInPolitics

    Well, I have a very low opinion on polls.

    But there have been too many polls with this same positive trend to ignore. I was slightly pro-Obama untill the debates. McCain was attack, attack, attack, while Obama was giving actual solutions. Biden was actually answering the questions, while Palin was reading from a script. Obama is oficially better.

    Oh, and I really have to say this about the VP debates: Palin had tha audacity to read all her answers from a script. She repeated herself about 50 billion times. She doesn't even have the dinity to use a blutooth earphone or somthing similar to get the answers to the questions; she just read the same thing, verbatum, every single time.

    October 7, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  5. Dennis

    Dear God, I hope this country is finally waking up. Four more years of republican rule just might be enough to kill this great nation . . .

    October 7, 2008 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  6. Time for the rest of the country

    Time for the rest of the country to fall in line with Minnesota, Thanks for keeping the dream of a better America alive. More of the same is what my wallet CANNOT afford!

    October 7, 2008 06:12 pm at 6:12 pm |
  7. John in Oregon

    The polls will be double-digit across the country if Obama just lets McCain rant on tonight with his lies, exaggerations, personal attacks, etc., and then just calmly says "John, let's talk about the economy and how you and your Republican cronies got us in this mess." Or "John, I hope the surge does work in Iraq, but let's talk about how you and your Republican cronies got us into this misbegotten war in the first place–do you think America is safer now because of the war in Iraq?"

    We may be looking at the end of capitalism as we have known it, and I hope that at the same time we're looking at the end of the Republican Party, at least as we have known it for the past three decades. That's what I think these polls are showing.

    October 7, 2008 06:15 pm at 6:15 pm |
  8. Vic

    Early voting is the way to go.

    Registered Republican voted Obama/Biden 08.

    October 7, 2008 06:16 pm at 6:16 pm |
  9. I Invented the McMuffin... and fire

    McCain is done and Palin is nothing more than a parrot at this stage. Good riddance...

    October 7, 2008 06:16 pm at 6:16 pm |
  10. ran

    Polls don't mean much especially when they only reflect land lines.

    The choices are simple: change or the same.

    People get out and vote and if you really want a change for the better then Obama/Biden and other Democrats is the only vote you need to cast.

    People do not be afraid and do not let McCain/? or Republicants fear you into voting against true change in Obama/Biden.

    October 7, 2008 06:17 pm at 6:17 pm |
  11. Deb, Allentown,PA

    We cannot let up. Volunteer, drive an elderly neighbor to the polls, donate, whatever you can do.

    We cannot allow McCain and Palin to be elected.

    October 7, 2008 06:18 pm at 6:18 pm |
  12. Obama 08


    October 7, 2008 06:18 pm at 6:18 pm |
  13. Nate- Minneapolis

    There are several things that got McCain in trouble. He undermined his biggest strengths- Experience- he undermined that by selecting Palin for political reasons. Policy and details- Obama had the image of being short on details- so what did McCain do- he made the election about the candidates rather than the issues- he has yet to really define his plans. Thirdly, McCain was a "maverick," but the only thing he changed were his positions to align to the GOP base- ie. tax cuts for the wealthy, torture, and off shore drilling. Instead of creating a contrast with Bush's policies he adopted them. He adopted his reform and change platform only after it was successful for his opponent and to this day hasn't provided any details on what that means.

    The final nail in the coffin is probably the most daming- McCain stated that the fundamentals of the economy were strong 3 days before the collapse of AIG, Lehman Brothers and Washington Mutual. How as a leader are you going to prevent and respond to crisis if you don't know how to recognize them. If you can't see the road ahead why would you be the one driving the car? We are in the middle of an economic crisis and yet John McCain failed to acknowledge the reality.

    October 7, 2008 06:18 pm at 6:18 pm |
  14. Kate Fergus

    Minnesota is like so many states where people are realizing that McCain has caused his own demise. McCain himself said in 2000 that anyone who resorted to swiftboating wasn't fooling the people and did so because he/she had no vision or plans to help the country.

    It won't stop in Minnesota. Obama has been about generating ideas, using thoughtfulness, intelligence, and calmness in the face of crisis, and remaining presidential rising above the fray. He will continue to gain ground.

    McCain and Palin have no integrity and lack good character. In the face of an economic crisis which is the most serious the country has faced since the great depression, all McCain and Palin can offer are slurs and lies.

    Obama/Biden '08

    October 7, 2008 06:18 pm at 6:18 pm |
  15. Susan from MN

    The earlier polls say that we're leaning toward McCain/Palin, but we Minnesotan knew better and we're overwhelming leaning toward Obama/Biden.

    October 7, 2008 06:19 pm at 6:19 pm |
  16. Big O in NJ

    This is hopefully going to be one of the biggest surprise landslide victories in US history.

    Obama/Biden 08

    October 7, 2008 06:19 pm at 6:19 pm |
  17. Mohamed, Minneosta

    Just like any other state we are taking our country back from the specail interest and repuplicans but DONT FORGET TO VOTE ON NOV 4TH POLLS DONT MEAN ANYTHING UNLESS WE VOTE

    October 7, 2008 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  18. go away mongers- Ventura,CA

    Way to go Minnesota! We knew we could count on you!

    October 7, 2008 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  19. Amy

    I'm very happy to see the growing Obama lead greater than the margin of error here in MN!

    October 7, 2008 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  20. SB in NoVA

    The attacks will continue. This is all the McBush campaign has to offer.

    Stay strong, be confident, volunteer, get involved, donate if you can ....
    We will fight back the SMART way.

    NO BUSH 3rd TER!!

    I spent a little while doing data entry in our Obama HQs today. It felt great! Make a difference, make a change!!!!

    I'm voting for the SMART one!
    OBAMA/BIDEN 08 and Beyond!!
    Turn VA Blue!!!

    October 7, 2008 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
  21. Nathan,

    This race isn't over yet. Running against McBush and Failin Palin Obama should be up by 20 points. There is still plenty of work to be done and Obama needs to let America see the looney that MCbush has become. He dosen't need to get in the muck with McBush. he needs to let people see that he is a serious man about the issues that face us everyday and let McBush continue to talk about issues that don't put a penny in anyones's pocket. The numbers are starting to look good. But we know how fickle Americans can be.

    October 7, 2008 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
  22. Jeff Brown

    It's about time the American people FINALLY woke up and started rejecting the lies and abuses of the GOP!!!!!

    October 7, 2008 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
  23. SB in NoVA

    P.S. Thanks MN Dems!!!!

    October 7, 2008 06:22 pm at 6:22 pm |
  24. Sherri

    Thank you, Minnesota. America is choosing courage over the politics of fear.

    October 7, 2008 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  25. Ron was a REP now a DEM

    I would like to see someone Poll some of the RED state that have not been polled since the first week in September.

    October 7, 2008 06:26 pm at 6:26 pm |
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