October 12th, 2008
05:00 PM ET
10 years ago

Ohio Poll of polls: McCain, Obama in tight race

McCain is keeping the race close in Ohio.

McCain is keeping the race close in Ohio.

(CNN) - Pennsylvania may be slipping from John McCain’s grasp, but the Republican nominee is keeping the race close in the neighboring battleground state of Ohio – a state that no successful GOP presidential contender has failed to win.

CNN's new Ohio poll of polls shows Barack Obama leading McCain by three points, 49 to 46 percent. Five percent of the state’s voters were unsure about their presidential pick.

The network’s last Ohio poll of polls, released October 9, showed Obama leading McCain by four points, 50 to 46 percent. In the September 21 poll of polls, Obama led McCain by a single point, 47 to 46 percent.

Republican VP nominee Sarah Palin is slated to stop in Ohio Sunday - the third time on the past week week the GOP ticket has visited the state.

Map the candidates' path through the swing states with CNN's Election Tracker

The Ohio general election "poll of polls" consists of four surveys: Ohio Newspaper Poll/University of Cincinnati (October 4-8), ARG (October 4-7), CNN/Time/ORC (October 3-6) and ABC/Washington Post (October 3-5). The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Ohio • Poll of polls
soundoff (1,327 Responses)
  1. Mitzie

    This type of back and forth in the polls is common in the last weeks of a campaign as undecided voters try desperately to figure out which candidate makes the most sense. Some have probably been turned off by the incredible negativity of the McCain/Palin campaign. Once Sen McCain tried to calm crowds that went overboard in his presence even some in his crowd cheered. All that the press has commented on are the boos.

    Most people want to hear what the candidate will do for Americans. Only the base cares about smearing the candidate and that is a shame for both candidates.

    October 12, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  2. Kim

    Polls also usually call "likely voters" which means many twenty and thirty somethings who only vote in Presidential elections aren't polled.

    October 12, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  3. Marcia, Marcia, Marcia in CA

    It amazes me that the state with the highest unemployment and which has allowed the Republicans to disenfranchise its voters will vote republican. It should not be even close.

    Ohio is the toilet bowl of the US continental states because it seems that no matter how bad it gets there, they will vote for a republican ticket that uses them to get into office and then forgets about them.

    Pathetic and stupid.

    October 12, 2008 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  4. Patricia in Las Vegas

    Hey Nick ... I am white, female, over 55, and I am voting for Obama. People are voting for him because he is intelligent, honest, has integrity, has vision, and is of strong moral character. He, more than any other candidate will put the "we the people" back into government. I have donated to his campaign and volunteered for his campaign and I am impressed with the quality of people I have met during this campaign season...a lot of his supporters are white, some young but a lot older like me. We are just as inspired and dedicated to him as the African American voters and volunteers. It is about the person, NOT the skin color! Barack Obama will be the next president of the United States and we will be a better country because of that.

    October 12, 2008 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  5. Joel Miller

    Is this evidence that vicious lies and attacks can succeed by playing on people's fears? Maybe temporarily. But Ohioans like most Americans, and especially those from once heavily industrial states know, its about the economy. Keep going Barack!

    October 12, 2008 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  6. Jen, Gainesville

    These are called "gain"? It is sampling error.

    October 12, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  7. Independent voter in North Carolina

    This independent voter has decided to vote for Obama/Biden ticket. McCain has went to far in my mind

    October 12, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  8. Yeah!

    Contrary to Obama's opinion, the American voters are NOT stupid - and they can still distinguish between substance and hype. And when it comes to casting that final vote - SUBSTANCE ALWAYS WINS!
    And - sorry Demwit bloggers - most Americans do not even know that you or these tickers exist. They're too busy earning a living.

    October 12, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  9. laura

    I don't trust any polls, even the ones that have Obama in the lead. One poll in Ohio has Obama up by 6 and another poll has McCain up by 2.The only one that counts is after election day.

    October 12, 2008 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  10. Kim in AZ

    He didn't even actually gain a point. He is still at 46% Statistically, this is meaningless.

    October 12, 2008 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  11. Get Real

    To Nick Shaw – Blacks have always overwhelmingly voted for Democrats – but the candidates have all be White until this year. Why would you think it's based on race? Get Real!

    The folks in Ohio and any other state that votes for McCain are voting based on race – i.e., he's White. I say this because McCain does not have a grasp on issues, is totally erratic, and obviously has pathetic judgment by picking Palin – an proven POWER ABUSER that makes rape victims pay for forensic rape kits. She allowed her husband to run the government along side of her. Now that is scary enough.

    Plus – McShame/Pathetic are inciting racists violence – not just against Blacks, but also against Muslims and Arabs. As people, Muslims and Arabs are not enemies of America. In fact, there are Muslim and Arab AMERICANS who also love this country. WE are a MELTING pot, people!!! We don't need to go around hating each other just because we are not all the same. Anyway, how boring would it be to be all a mirror image of each other? Why can't we appreciate diversity?

    BTW, if you want this country to go back to the way it used to be THEN LEAVE if you have ancestry from any other country!!! This country was originally all Native American. They have had to put up with A LOT!!

    October 12, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  12. Chris F.

    I am from Ohio and it would be a disgrace if we go for McCain. Ohio has lost 180,000 jobs the last 8 years it is time for change. If McCain is elected more jobs will be lost by being shipped over seas. I never here a Republican talk about saving jobs their only economic strategy is giving Rich people tax breaks. The Republican probably think that Walmart and McDoalds will created enough jobs to replace the lost. But you cannot live and pay bills if you once havd a job making 50,000.00 and had to seting for one making 15,000.00. There is still 3 weeks left but Obama cannot let up, he needs to hit McCain hard and keep the economy on the front on the trail. This will be a tight elections and every vote will count.

    October 12, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  13. Joe Regis

    Ohio will turn blue this year mark my word.Oh, so is Florida and Pennsylvania is not negotiable not even an inch of it you know.

    Obama/Biden 08/12.

    October 12, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  14. Annemarie

    McCain gaining ground? If I read your article right, he's been at 46% on September 21 and October 9 as well as today, October 12. So McCain is steady, it's just the number of not-yet-knowers that is changing. Weird definition of "gaining ground"...

    October 12, 2008 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  15. ILoveAmerica

    The McCain-Palin smear tactics are a desperate, dishonest, and despicable attempt to change the subject away from the economy, health care, education, and every other issue that matters to us.

    "Who is the REAL Barack Obama?"

    – He's that guy who's already proving that the same old Bush-style smear tactics are not going to succeed – not this time!

    We need a competent leader in the White House who can put this country back on track – not an erratic old man, who will only bring more of the same.

    October 12, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  16. Farrell, Houston, Tx

    Ohioians how would you like it if Palin got your husband fired from his job? Well many of you know Palin look alikes that have done the exact same thing and now you're out of work.

    October 12, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  17. John

    Lets face it, people who support Obama have no clue why they are doing it. Other than the 30% of Americans who don't pay taxes, they know voting for Obama that he will milk the other 70% of us who do pay taxes. So, heew we have the undercheivers, malcontents and gerneral losers suffering from white guilt supporting this guy. In the end we will all pay if he gets elected and that is the sad part.

    The real Obama, wwll, lets just say he fits in some of the categories described in the above paragraph.


    October 12, 2008 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  18. death of the republican party?

    this is good. now more dems will show up on election day in ohio to make sure mccain and palin don't take ohio.


    October 12, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |

    Ohio is "blue" now with Ted Strickland as our Governor – ask anyone who lives here – especially the Republicans – who think he's one of theirs – even they're confused. Ted/s doing a great job!

    The days of fear and leaving this state high and dry after getting their votes in the last 2 Presidential campaigns are over. Enough!

    Ohioans are taking back their state and this will be our time – our defining moment.

    McSame has no solutions – just selfish greed to win. Ms. Palin's (aka: The BRIDE OF CHUCKY) 15 minutes are up. She can head back to that rock she crawled out from under – I hear that you can see Russia from it!

    October 12, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  20. Me

    Americans are hopefully clever enough to avoid a disastrous McCain/Palin administration!!!

    October 12, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  21. James

    Nick Shaw hows is 97% of black people voting for Obama considered raciest when black people have been voting for white presidents for some time now?!? They dont have the right to be proud?!?

    October 12, 2008 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  22. carolflowery

    Barak Obama brought all these characters with him when he wanted to run for President. We didnt bring them to him. That is a fact.

    October 12, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  23. ak

    What type of leader do you want?..one fumbles on the economy..one that wants to bomb bomb bomb..thinks that Spain is not an ally...
    one that incites hate amongst his supporters..one that has always been opportunistic (see Rolling Stone article) ..me first..running a campaign of lies..one that is so called Christian values when they pick and choose which values are convinient..(its okay to lie..incite anger, hate, division , violence ..Jesus would do this?) ..whose campaign has no honour left..one whose supporters talk of Kill him..terrorist..bomb him..Wait ..would you be proud of such leader and his party..this is worse than the last 8 years...one that has no conscience? SAD for America

    October 12, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  24. liz

    I just hope the swing states will take another look at the dividing message coming from McCain/Palin. Historically our economy is ALWAYS better after a Democratic leadership. Always. If you want real solutions and real problem solving, elect the right person, Barack Obama!

    October 12, 2008 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  25. Mike Kaplan

    A one point gain is far below the margin of error of these polls- not worth reporting, CNN.

    And to Nick Shaw, who mentions that 97% of blacks are voting Obama, asking whether race is an issue for blacks too: when black people, who have never had a black president, and who have spent their whole lives voting for white candidates, finally get a chance to vote FOR a candidate who is not only black but also shares their values and positions (the black community overwhelmingly goes democratic every year), this is entirely understandable and appropriate.

    Do you really think that this is the same thing as when white people refuse to vote for a black candidate, even when he shares their values and the other candidate has as many problems as McCain/Palin? Do you really think that black people, getting excited to vote for a candidate like Obama, the first time blacks can finally feel that they are unambiguously accepted by our society, is the same as white people who will never, ever vote for a black candidate?

    Remember, blacks have been voting for white candidates in every single election since they got the vote. Do you really think that their vote for Obama is comparable in any way to the white folks who will never vote for a black candidate, under any circumstances?

    I don't.

    Go Obama!!!!

    October 12, 2008 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
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