October 12th, 2008
05:00 PM ET
10 years ago

Ohio Poll of polls: McCain, Obama in tight race

McCain is keeping the race close in Ohio.

McCain is keeping the race close in Ohio.

(CNN) - Pennsylvania may be slipping from John McCain’s grasp, but the Republican nominee is keeping the race close in the neighboring battleground state of Ohio – a state that no successful GOP presidential contender has failed to win.

CNN's new Ohio poll of polls shows Barack Obama leading McCain by three points, 49 to 46 percent. Five percent of the state’s voters were unsure about their presidential pick.

The network’s last Ohio poll of polls, released October 9, showed Obama leading McCain by four points, 50 to 46 percent. In the September 21 poll of polls, Obama led McCain by a single point, 47 to 46 percent.

Republican VP nominee Sarah Palin is slated to stop in Ohio Sunday - the third time on the past week week the GOP ticket has visited the state.

Map the candidates' path through the swing states with CNN's Election Tracker

The Ohio general election "poll of polls" consists of four surveys: Ohio Newspaper Poll/University of Cincinnati (October 4-8), ARG (October 4-7), CNN/Time/ORC (October 3-6) and ABC/Washington Post (October 3-5). The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Ohio • Poll of polls
soundoff (1,327 Responses)
  1. Jo

    I have voted Republican for as long as I can remember, but in this election, I am firmly voting for Obama. First of all, if you are voting only for McCain and Palin because of pro-life issues, think about this, WAR is NOT pro-life. Also, Barack Obama has shown a unique quality to talk to everyone, not just the rich or those worried about their taxes being raised. Obama's tax ideas make sense and will help those who really need help. I agree, this cannot trickle down from the top but must start at the bottom and work up.

    Second, the mudslinging from Palin and McCain is not Christian. A true Christian does not lie and work to ruin another's reputation. Growing up as a Catholic, we were taught that if you said something that was a lie and put a bad mark on someone's reputation, you had to right that wrong to be forgiven. If they are truly "born again Christians", they would not be saying these awful lies in the first place.


    October 12, 2008 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  2. Gin C

    I wonder how much the McCain paid that old woman to say OBAMA was an "Arab?" How much of his audiences are shills? How much more of a riot does he intend to encourage with his violent BS.?

    October 12, 2008 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  3. Sid

    Blacks vote overwhelmingly democratic and for white candidates in all those elections in the past 50yrs or so. Therefore to say or suggest that blacks should also be accused of racism in this election is preposterous and disingenuous.
    As far as we folks in the economically depressed areas like OH and PA, we would only keep adding more salt and pepper to our economic injuries by voting Republicans who clearly demonstrated to us all that they do not understand the FUNDAMENTALS of the economy.

    Hey, Obama/Biden are the solution !!

    October 12, 2008 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  4. Mark

    Sadly, this reflects on how terribly wrong this nation still is in 2008. To think, with all of the problems facing this country and the world, and with a team as repetitious with old ideas as McCain and Palin, that people just cannot bring themselves to vote for somebody articulate and gifted intellectually just because he is black, is ludicrous. Hey folks in Ohio, maybe you could just hang out with him in a bar to have a beer, or will your racist tendencies not allow that?

    October 12, 2008 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  5. Mike Cap

    Race Is not the issue. The fact that Obama is a sleazeball who deals with the worst possible people is. And the fact that we STILL dont know if he was born in America will haunt him on November 4th.

    October 12, 2008 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  6. Gene Penszynski from Vermont

    Common CNN a one percent pickup for McCain while still having Obama in the lead by 3 percent is hardly a banner headline for McCain 'gaining ground'. If you look at all the Ohio polls out there from differing organizations Obama has actually widened his lead over McCain over the last few days and the general trens has been overwhelmingly for Obama.
    I believe the good people of Ohio will not make the same mistake THREE times in a row. No, Not this time.
    I'll be hoping and praying for you folks in Ohio to be proud members of the Blue State 'Surge' this time around. Thats the only REAL Surge that will save the United States of America. Just don't let up get out there ans keep working for Obama. Keep the pressure on and get out there and vote BLUE !!!! Most of the rest fo the country will be behind you 100% !

    October 12, 2008 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  7. Dan

    McCain gains a whole 1 Point of ground in an ohio polls where there's a margin for error.

    October 12, 2008 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  8. Captaintight

    Is this news – one point? Seriously, CNN is worse than the McCain campaign. People please stop getting your facts from "news" organizations. They are not reliable, all of them.

    October 12, 2008 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  9. Numbers

    Is CNN so desperate for ratings that they'd sacrifice journalistic integrity to keep the perception that this is, by any means, a close race?

    I quote: "CNN's new Ohio poll of polls shows Barack Obama leading McCain by three points (49 to 46) ... The network’s last Ohio poll of polls ... showed Obama leading McCain by four points (50 to 46)."

    So the difference is a ONE POINT CHANGE in favor of McCain and suddenly McCain is gaining ground?

    First, a one point change in polling is mere statistical noise within the margin of error. (CNN's "poll of polls" might not have a MOE, but the polls themselves do.)

    Second, even accepting this shift is not mere noise, it looks like Obama has lost ground (a 1 point drop) and McCain has gained NO ground (he's at 46 in your two latest polls).

    Get the story straight.

    October 12, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  10. djak

    One of the reasons people want to come to this great country is because it allows everyone to freely practice whatever religion they want without persecution. People are entitled to privacy, to free speech, and by federal law, to get and hold a job without regard to race, religion or age. So tell me again why people are looking at the color of skin or saying that being a christian is the only way when they are voting for a president? Why aren't people deciding based on the candidates capabilities and strengths? I'm almost ashamed to call myself American.

    October 12, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  11. chas alabama

    If McCain really wants to win he should dump Palan

    October 12, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  12. can't afford mccain

    Ohio is for Obama. There have been over 19,000 factory jobs cut by the Bush administration and we have realized now that it is time for real change. We will be the driving force that will send Obama straight to the whitehouse. He may not be the most seasoned but he can't be any worse then Bush or his supporter 90% of the time McCain can he?

    October 12, 2008 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  13. King

    The title of this story is almost as misleading as the notion that Sarah Palin is fit to lead an elementary school, much less this country.

    October 12, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  14. JPBless

    Why not...thanks to CNN. Republicans have figured all McCain needs to do to be back in contention is have McCain supporters accuse the media of bias hoping the tabloid-in-chief (CNN) would blow McCain trumpets very loud and have McCain back in contention in no time. That was what happened. Why wasn't Palin's "abuse of Power" ruling followed up by the CNN? Of course, CNN was afraid of GOP rant machine. CNN = BIAS

    October 12, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  15. Tim

    In his Zakaria interview Sunday morning, George Soros just espoused the same "renegotiate mortgages" that John McCain touted on the stump this past week. Soros also called for LESS regulation of Wall Street.

    October 12, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  16. Letha

    After all these years BLOOD SWEAT AND TEARS and LIVES lost. I am so glad THE NEW GENERATIONS ARE ABOVE RACE. Tell me how can we be racist against one another when our forefather and father were ADAM AND EVE. WWJD

    Something told me RACISM was in play, how can we the PEOPLE OF THE U.S. condemn any one when we have not SWEEP in front of our own FRONT DOOR. It's dirty and ashame

    October 12, 2008 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  17. peter Stratton

    I think a lot of Ohio voters may have been conned into beleiving that the Democrats are for the big business and banks and the Republicans are for the little guy. That Ohio group needs some brain training.

    October 12, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  18. Pollster

    The poll changed ONE point and they call this a gain?? Sounds like the mainstream media just trying to push the horse race.

    If you break down the polls CNN used the outlier that affected this change was one done by a local Ohio newspaper outfit. Local paper polls are notoriously inaccurate and not well planned, funded or executed.

    If you subtract that one poll out nothing has changed.

    October 12, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  19. dave

    Only in Repuplican America is a black man who is a Harvard Educated Constitutional Scholar, with 8yrs as State Senator and 4 yrs as US Senator and member of the Foreign Relations Committe deemed not ready to lead yet a white evangelical ultra conservative woman, with 19 mos as Governor of Alaska and a Bachelor of Journalism considered ready on day one.

    Hey 'H', Do some homework and look over sites like Factcheck.org. Please, the McCain campaign is a train wreck.

    Bail out folks who overextended themselves on their mortgage? Do you know who is paying for that? It's YOU and ME! One of the biggest liberal bail outs in history proposed by a pathetic republican. And this proposal apparently on a whim without conservative consent.

    Erratic alright.

    Vote OBAMA

    October 12, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  20. daryl

    Dear Nick, 97% of black americans voting for Obama has nothing to do with his race. If Hillary Clinton were the nominee, she would also be receiving the same percent of the black vote at this point. If you've never noticed before, Blacks ALWAYS vote almost unanimously DEMOCRAT, regardless of the candidate's color.

    October 12, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  21. JT

    As a black and voting for Obama, I'm not supporting him because of his race. I wouldn't vote for Snoop Dogg. It just so happens that many blacks are not looking for an excuse to NOT vote for Obama. Blacks have participated in all of America's history and we are not ashame of very high support for Obama. When 97% of white folks vote for white folks there's no story. Keep in mind, blacks have voted nearly 100% for a white man in most elections.

    Obama is the better candidate on the issues. What I see at McCain rallies is ridiculus. Imagine a black person standing up at an Obama rally saying, " I can't trust McCain, he's a, he's a white man." Or "My wife and I are expecting our first child and I'm scared of an Obama administration."

    One last point, if Sarah Palin was on the Democratic ticket Republicans would have had a feeding frenzy from day one. And the so-called Main Stream Media would have taken bites out of themselves in anticipation of the scraps.

    October 12, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  22. Peter (CA)


    Maybe you should do some research before injecting such ridiculous claims into this. Blacks are voting for Obama at a 90-95% clip. Well, they did the same for Kerry, they did the same for Gore, and they did the same for Clinton. So, is this about race? No, it's about voting for Democrats as the Republicans seem to show that they care very little about the black vote (there were significantly fewer black delegates to the Republican convention this year than 4 years ago.

    Race is not the issue here. It's a red herring the right wingers like to use.

    October 12, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  23. GF

    Black Americans have, historically, supported the Democratic presidential nominee. To insinuate that the support Sen Obama has of Black Americans is strictly a color line issue is both false and racist. Ask Blackwell, a Black Republican who lost his bid for governor of Ohio. Ask Alan Keyes, a Black Republican who ran for President in 2000. Ask Michael Steele, a Black Republican who lost his bid for Senate from Maryland in 2006.
    Do we need yet another racially tinged diversion from the facts?

    OBAMA / BIDEN 08

    October 12, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  24. Ditto

    The old saying is that they govern like they campaign. McCain has run an exceptionally erratic campaign. He promises to unite government, then runs a smear offensive that is fanning hatred and dividing the country. He says he will clean up Washington, but his running partner has been found guilty ethics violations and abusing power before even getting there.

    Following in Bush’s footprints, he has promised to cut taxes to the rich and get government out of the way of corporations. He ensures us that wealth will trickle down to every one and the budget will be balanced during this first year in office. While the end result of that failed financial plan can be seen on the front page of every newspaper in the world, McCain wants to give it another try.

    He says he is the only one that knows how to win in Iraq and Afghanistan and how to get Bin Laden, but refuse to let us in on his secrets unless we elected him president. He promised to always put country first but to secure the hard right vote is willing to place Sarah Palin a heart beat away. Erratic, insane, or just plain stupid, you choose. Either way, McCain/Palin are too dangerous for America.

    October 12, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  25. sareliz

    Let's get it right this time OHIO!!! Bush won in '04 and look what is happening. Let's make a real change and turn Ohio to the color blue for OBAMA!!! He is the person who is really ready to lead this country not Mccain and definately not the hockey mom!

    OBAMA for Ohio!!!

    October 12, 2008 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
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