October 12th, 2008
05:00 PM ET
10 years ago

Ohio Poll of polls: McCain, Obama in tight race

McCain is keeping the race close in Ohio.

McCain is keeping the race close in Ohio.

(CNN) - Pennsylvania may be slipping from John McCain’s grasp, but the Republican nominee is keeping the race close in the neighboring battleground state of Ohio – a state that no successful GOP presidential contender has failed to win.

CNN's new Ohio poll of polls shows Barack Obama leading McCain by three points, 49 to 46 percent. Five percent of the state’s voters were unsure about their presidential pick.

The network’s last Ohio poll of polls, released October 9, showed Obama leading McCain by four points, 50 to 46 percent. In the September 21 poll of polls, Obama led McCain by a single point, 47 to 46 percent.

Republican VP nominee Sarah Palin is slated to stop in Ohio Sunday - the third time on the past week week the GOP ticket has visited the state.

Map the candidates' path through the swing states with CNN's Election Tracker

The Ohio general election "poll of polls" consists of four surveys: Ohio Newspaper Poll/University of Cincinnati (October 4-8), ARG (October 4-7), CNN/Time/ORC (October 3-6) and ABC/Washington Post (October 3-5). The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Ohio • Poll of polls
soundoff (1,327 Responses)
  1. Nola

    To John:

    I find your statement to be very condescending – that African American have no idea about Senator Obama's platform / ideas for this country. Surprise we can read and we comprehend very well. The same statement could be used about a percentage of white voters – those that are voting for McCain because he is white. They have no idea of his platform and ideals. So would you please stop making statements like you did.

    October 12, 2008 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  2. Ommi

    No way can I vote for McCain/Bush/Palin , Does anyone remember the last 8 years?.If McCain wins this election because of the people who don't even know where America is on the globe I am seriously moving my wife and 2 kids to the UK.

    Does the republicans think I was born with my brains in my .......

    Obama/Biden 2008-2016

    October 12, 2008 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  3. Katran Miller

    All my friends in Cleveland - let's see, that's Trish, Eric, Anna, Paul, Becky and Chris - are voting for Obama. That's a couple computer programmers, fertility clinic employees who help couples with difficulties having children, and I donno what Becky and Chris do. That's working Americans, fairly well educated, homeowners, parents themselves. And white.
    Give up your stereotyping. The only candidate whose supporters at rallies are all the same color is McCain.

    October 12, 2008 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  4. Greg

    I think all of your out there who think this race is not about race need to get your brains examined and wake up. I did a poll in Philiadelphia, new york and three other battle ground states, the majority of people there of course highly uneducated are stating they are voting because they believe a BLACK MAN!!!! will make a change it is about time to have a BLACK MAN!!!!! in office. So what we should do is just because he is one of so few black people that are educated he needs to be voted for. This guy has been running for president since like forever and has no and i mean NOOOOOO, experiance in anything we need done in america today. At least with McCain you have someone who has been around the block a time or time and not just as a comminity orginaizer and i dont hear about Sen. McCain having dinner with terrioist, but you go ahead and vote for Sen. Obama (muslim) you will have a ruined nation.

    October 12, 2008 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  5. Sheila43302

    I think one of the most telling things about this race is the lack of diversity at the McCain rallies. We want a president who represents ALL the people.

    October 12, 2008 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  6. chippyarm

    We already know that McCain will win Ohio. As the weeks move, McCain will move ahead. It's in the cards.

    October 12, 2008 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  7. mcbsla

    To all the people who keep calling Obama a socialist, for God sake, do any of you actually know what a socialist is? Some of you need to do some serious reading and become educated on what you are saying! I am just appalled on what I am seeing and hearing in this election. People screaming things like Kill him, what is the USA coming to! To those of you who need a refresher course on what socialism is: any of various economic and political theories advocating collective or governmental ownership and administration of the means of production and distribution of goods2 a: a system of society or group living in which there is no private property b: a system or condition of society in which the means of production are owned and controlled by the state
    Hello! People please stop all this hate mongering and devisve rehtoric, get educated, get the facts and vote accordingly. Ignorance is really not bliss!

    October 12, 2008 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  8. KMH-Nebraska

    Please don't think we African Americans will vote for Obama just because he is black. Remeber, there have been other African American canidates for President in the past who could could not get near the support from the African American community that Obama has. Now I won't argue that there isn't a pride issue here and I don't think there is anything wrong with that. But I have always voted as a Democrat, and I don't want more of the same in Washington. So I'm leaning Obama.
    My problem is this: I have followed Senator McCains career with interest and I repect him. I want to see more from them both before I make my final decision.

    October 12, 2008 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  9. Informed Voter

    This is gaining ground .... CNN I know you want the race to seem close for Ratings .. but come on ..... Ohio is only needed for a Landslide Victory .... it's not really a must win state for Obama .... CO, VA are must wins

    October 12, 2008 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  10. Dave

    McCain's road to the White House is becoming increasing bleak. Having to defend states like Indiana and North Carolina illustrates his dilemma.

    Obama can still get to 270 EV without Ohio. McCain can't. My sense is that with early voting, in many states, Obama is quickly locking in his lead. Obama also has an unbelievable organization for registration and GOTV. Mocking Obama for being a Community Organizer was a huge mistake for the Republicans as this is a HUGE advantage, for Democrats, on election day.

    In my opinion, many who call Obama a 'Socialist' and 'Terrorist' are exhibiting Racism (either consciously or subconsciously). Obama is a pragmatic liberal who will do is best for ALL Americans. Also, I find it ironic that the Bush Administration is about to Nationalize banks and Obama is the one being called Socialist?

    October 12, 2008 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  11. Tom, KS

    Come on Ohio, don't fall for McFailins bogus claims and accusations. We are so close to the end and we need you to stick with the real change candidate. Please don't let us down.

    October 12, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  12. FleetFootNC

    Okay everyone, let's not get too upset over a poll that has little statistical significance. First, the poll of polls is just an average of four surveys. They are probably good surveys when taken alone because sampling error can be cited as well as average. The poll of polls has no sampling error. Thus, one could say it is invalid as a statistical predictor of voting behavior. However, if one is comparing the trend of the poll of polls only, the change is actually positive for John McCain.

    Even if McCain's average has not changed, Obama's average has indeed decreased. So, all things being equal, the headline about McCain gaining ground is correct.

    On another note, not everyone has a cell phone and not all of those who do respond to surveys of any kind. These facts probably affect those who plan to vote for McCain and those for Obama similarly.

    On another note, thank you to John Lewis for clearing up his statements made yesterday. I hope no one wants to compare McCain/Palin to George Wallace (unless we're talking about the comedian). I also hope no one wants to make Obama out to be a terrorist,Arab, thug.

    The winner/loser of the Presidential election is always the American People.

    Peace and Thank-you.

    October 12, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  13. kiwipundit

    Obama doesn't need to win Ohio to move into the White House. All he has to do is hold the 2004 Kerry states (252 EVs) and gain another 18 EVs – Iowa, New Mexico and Colorado will do the trick. He seems to have a very good chance of achieving this at the moment. In recent polls Obama's ahead in Nevada, Virginia, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado and McCain's lead in North Carolina, Indiana, West Virginia and Missouri is looking very precarious. Also the "Selzer effect" (polls underestimating Obama's support because only those with landlines polled) may well trump the "Bradley effect".

    October 12, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  14. David

    Next straw to grasp. Doesn't someone who is advising McCain/Palin have any reasonable ideas about how to save the economy. If they presented a solid plan right after the convention, they might have gotten real support. NO PLAN, NO SUPPORT. By the Way Mr. McCain, please don't try another surprise economic plan at the last debate.

    October 12, 2008 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  15. Josh

    Hey John, you really need to check your grammar/spelling...idiot!

    October 12, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  16. Michele, Pittsburgh, PA

    Way too much is made of the polls everywhere. The perception of a big Obama lead could adversely affect turnout for the Democratic ticket. Obama is depending on a lot of young and first time voters who could be lulled by a big lead in the polls.

    October 12, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  17. Kathy

    He gained one point? That's nothing

    October 12, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  18. Republican 100%

    People need to stop the race card. McCain has served his country. Barack has/and will be serving his country (Kenya). It has been proved that they are racist (attending Trinity church with Rev. Wright and his speeched along with Michelle's racist essays). Do your own research and gain your own knowledge and then decide who would be best for the Commander in Chief. For all you Obama fools, educate yourself in reading Obama Nation...excellent material.

    October 12, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  19. republican for obama

    it's only a key state when the race is close...

    October 12, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  20. Old White Guy

    To the good people of Ohio, your state didn't excape the last Great Depression and it won't escape the new depression brought about by the Bush/McCain economic policies.

    John McCain will tell you what you think you want to hear but, look at his record – he voted to support George Bush's policies over 95% of the time.

    Again, look at John McCain's RECORD – he championed deregulation of the banking industry with his friend Phil Gramm.

    John McCain is committed to the very same economic policy that we have today – how is that working out for you?

    October 12, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  21. DAVID

    We have to not relax Obama/Biden need to keep on pushing to win Ohio. WE must elect Obama/Biden not Mccain/Palin they are not to be trusted Palin was found Guilty of Abused of Power while in Office and wonder what she would do if she get to the White House Let us not give Mccain/Palin that opportunity to Abuse Power again. No Mccain/Palin

    October 12, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  22. PC

    Race may or not be a factor in Ohio and oither states. What is more inportant that how race influence the election is the economy. The McCain/Palin campaign offers the same tired old conservative pallatives and really has now idea how to get us out of this mess. I don't think McCain is a racist, but his operatives have run one of the most deceitful, divisive and dishonorable campaigns I have ever seen. If McCain really wants to win, he should drop all of his negative campaigning and start talking about what issues he really stands for and how they will specifically benefit working Americans. If he returns to the real Straight Talk express, he still might lose, but it will be with honor and dignity.

    October 12, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  23. Looking Toward Election Day!

    Did you create this news flash to have something positive to report about McCain lol?

    October 12, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  24. John

    How on earth can anyone trust Obama. He has dirty money all around him, and you don't have to dig deep at all to see he is a liar, thief, and completely despicable person. What is the worst that the liberal media can come up with on McCain...that he is old. Let's reward a man who has served this country with honor...not hand the keys to the country to a criminal named Obama!

    October 12, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  25. a.n.

    to title an article mccain gains ground, when he's just gained 1 percentage point is a pathetic attempt by cnn to create a new story where there isn't one. in a race this tight, its impossible to judge. in terms of the election, the only reason its even close is because obama's black. period. if america is dumb enough to elect mccain/palin after 8 years of repub. scandal and ineptitude, and after such a horrendously erratic, cynical, and dishonorable campaign of maccain (particularly after the ignorant blunders, and ethics problems of palin) just because of the color of a man's skin, america deserves all it gets.

    October 12, 2008 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
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