October 12th, 2008
05:00 PM ET
6 years ago

Ohio Poll of polls: McCain, Obama in tight race

McCain is keeping the race close in Ohio.
McCain is keeping the race close in Ohio.

(CNN) – Pennsylvania may be slipping from John McCain’s grasp, but the Republican nominee is keeping the race close in the neighboring battleground state of Ohio – a state that no successful GOP presidential contender has failed to win.

CNN's new Ohio poll of polls shows Barack Obama leading McCain by three points, 49 to 46 percent. Five percent of the state’s voters were unsure about their presidential pick.

The network’s last Ohio poll of polls, released October 9, showed Obama leading McCain by four points, 50 to 46 percent. In the September 21 poll of polls, Obama led McCain by a single point, 47 to 46 percent.

Republican VP nominee Sarah Palin is slated to stop in Ohio Sunday - the third time on the past week week the GOP ticket has visited the state.

Map the candidates' path through the swing states with CNN's Election Tracker

The Ohio general election "poll of polls" consists of four surveys: Ohio Newspaper Poll/University of Cincinnati (October 4-8), ARG (October 4-7), CNN/Time/ORC (October 3-6) and ABC/Washington Post (October 3-5). The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Ohio • Poll of polls
soundoff (1,327 Responses)
  1. Joyce

    CNN you must be kidding me!!! The title of this article should be :

    Barack Obama keep his lead over McCain in the State of Ohio!!!

    I don't see how McCain is getting ground here! What's going on here CNN???

    October 12, 2008 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
  2. worriedmom

    isnt it amazing that every time i write a comment, it is always moderated. Guess CNN is deleting anything that may have people think they are not reporting fairly to the American public. oh well, there are other avenues to use to get out to the American public other than CNN.

    October 12, 2008 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
  3. Turnabout is fair play

    A small hiccup. Tomorrow, Obama's poll will increase again in Ohio because McLame's lies are catching up with him.

    October 12, 2008 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
  4. elilanmor

    Of course Republicans will say, "That's right! And no president has won in the last 11 elections without winning Ohio!" Sorry, but that's just a superstition, not a forgone conclusion. After all, in 1960, Ohio went to Richard Nixon and not John Kennedy. I think this campaign shows that this is an election like no other in history. Even if Obama loses Ohio, his chances are still extremely good in winning in November. I'm not worried!

    October 12, 2008 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  5. Frank Thomas

    The "poll of polls" is said here to have NO sampling error, but each poll that make up that poll of polls does (typically like 3%-4%!).

    Something's not right here.

    Perhaps a better "disclosure" would be along the line of:

    >>> The poll of polls has an unknown sampling error less than
    >>> [highest error of an individual sampled poll].

    October 12, 2008 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  6. funjoekers

    1 point gain??? Nevertheless, Obama needs to spend more time in Ohio.

    October 12, 2008 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  7. Linda, Michigan

    McCain will definitely loose the support of the "ANGRY" but ignorant crowd - this is the crown he relies to win.

    No McCain. No Palin. They are dangerous for this country.

    October 12, 2008 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  8. nick shaw

    so much has been said regarding race and voting . It was mentioned that 97% of black Americans were voting for Senator Obama. This makes me wonder if race and voting is an issue not only with white Americans but black Americans as well.

    October 12, 2008 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  9. Drew

    Doesn't matter. These polls only consist of "likely voters". It excludes the youth, first time voters, and low income voters. The youth will carry Obama and Biden to victory, and the sad thing is, nobody sees it. Nobody discusses the fact that young voters aren't polled but overwhelmingly support Obama. I'm calling it: Obama gets 400 electoral votes on Nov. 4. Game over.

    October 12, 2008 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  10. Fab

    It's Barack Obama still maintaining his lead and not McCain getting ground! Come'on guys!!!

    October 12, 2008 12:10 pm at 12:10 pm |
  11. One white republican who is fed up with the negativity of the McSame/Failin campaign and who has thrown his support to OBAMA/BIDEN

    America is fed up with the negativity of the McSame/Failin campaign. We are frightened by the erratic behavior of the man at the top of the ticket, and the utter lack of preparation of the one who would replace him in the event of his demise.

    We need a sure hand in the Oval Office. The only candidate who offers sound judgment in this election is Obama. Together with Biden, this team will lead America to undo the disastrous consequences of Bush/Cheney's years in office.

    This time, America needs real change. Join me in rejecting the politics of the past. Join me in voting for OBAMA/BIDEN.

    October 12, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  12. Rodger

    McCain's miss guided campaign has focused on charater...this has not worked and in the end, McCain will lose Ohio and every other battleground state. He will end up with loses in at least 8 states that voted for Bush, and maybe more! He has failed to put out any new ideas that make sense. His eratic behavior and lack of judgement will cause a Democratic landslide....not only for Obama but for the Senate and House.

    October 12, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  13. Michael

    Regarding the recent poll in Ohio the race is = to both. What I am waiting to see is what the polls will show if and when Berg vs Obama and the DNC goes forward. How long will CNN sit on this story of the election?

    October 12, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  14. DebDemo

    You may be right about GOP not winning the White House without OHIO, but this is a new day and new time and we need new leadership, and I believe as well as millions believe that this leadership is best in Obama's hand. Ohio sees that too. Time out for all the slander, bigotry, hate mongering. Just stick to the issues that plague are country.

    October 12, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  15. J. Sanchez. Orange, California

    It's over!

    October 12, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  16. Republican Woman For Obama

    huh? he's gaining ground and he is still 3 points behind? what a joke! CNN, I know you want to keep your tax cuts but seriously! Obama had 5 campaign stops in OH on Thursday and Friday combined...your poll of polls is from October 3-8....totally insignificant!

    October 12, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  17. John in Gig Harbor

    Remember, it's only a poll. People will eventually see the flaws in the McCampaign and give him the McFinger.

    OBAMA/BIDEN '08

    October 12, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  18. Emile C.

    Are you guys being objective here?

    I don't see how McCain is getting ground here... his lead has not grouwn!

    Please correct the title of this post.

    October 12, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  19. David

    Which is greater: the number of Ohioans who are gullible, manipulatable, suspicious, superstitious, and prone to irrational anger; or the number who turned off by manipulative politicians who attempt to profit by treating them as gullible, manipulatable, suspicious, superstitious, and prone to irrational anger?

    Stand up Ohio, stand up and say you cannot be swayed by the tawdry fear-mongering of Sarah Palin and her running mate John McCain.

    October 12, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  20. Joel

    Wow, a single point, how freaking significant. Polls are already inaccurate, by a much wider margin than the sampling error suggests. A single percentage point makes absolutely no difference. This isn't news. And don't get me started on about the poll of polls. If there were seven deadly sins of statistics, averaging averages would be one of them.

    October 12, 2008 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  21. Gene

    Palin in Ohio? That should help Obama.

    October 12, 2008 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  22. Brian

    If Rendell is right, and Obama needs 75% turnout in PA, I'm not sure how you can say that Pennsylvania is "slipping away" from McCain. Given the odds of actually getting a 75% turnout (not impossible, by any means, but not a sure thing, either), it sounds like Rendell thinks that PA is still very much in play.

    Ohio is within the margin of error, so that should be an interesting race.

    I don't think either side should be measuring the Oval Office for drapes just yet.

    October 12, 2008 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  23. Tammy

    If Obama is still ahead in Ohio, how is McCain gaining ground?

    October 12, 2008 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  24. supporter

    VOTERS STOP and think!!

    Do yo9u want to let this repeat of Bush gain 4 more years?

    Palin is DANGEROUS! She has spent a lot ofg time talking bad about Obama and telling OUT RIGHT LIES trying to SCARE you to vote for McdCain. Now she is trying to say that the Alaska offici9al report is in her favor????? It clearly stated that she broke the ethics law and abused ehr official powers for personal reasons to get someone she did not like. SPIN this all you want but we do not need that mind set in tghe White House.

    We haqve had 8 years of political power abuses and have seen how CIA Agents get outed because they do not DANCE to the White House tune. How Aternies get firede because they do not dance along and let their office dbe used to push a politica point. Gonzales had to step down but then he did not wear lipstick. Must be a double stqandard.

    October 12, 2008 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  25. independent in Texas

    If Ohio would CORRECT the number of people being taken OUT of being registered to vote by fraudelent means, McCain wouldnt be ahead..this is happening at alarming rates..Sure going to be lot of people in court over this..I do so hope Obama is on top of all this, as its happening in all 5 of the battleground states..might be happening in other states too, but iis predominant in the battleground states..this has already been reported as illegal..New York Times and MSNBC have written very clear articles on all the voter fraud..this is out rageous...and should not be happening...so much for getting new voters registered when twice as many are being taken out of registeration..CHECK YOUR REGISTRATION WHILE YOU STILL CAN SO YOU CAN VOTE !!!!

    October 12, 2008 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
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