October 12th, 2008
05:00 PM ET
6 years ago

Ohio Poll of polls: McCain, Obama in tight race

McCain is keeping the race close in Ohio.
McCain is keeping the race close in Ohio.

(CNN) – Pennsylvania may be slipping from John McCain’s grasp, but the Republican nominee is keeping the race close in the neighboring battleground state of Ohio – a state that no successful GOP presidential contender has failed to win.

CNN's new Ohio poll of polls shows Barack Obama leading McCain by three points, 49 to 46 percent. Five percent of the state’s voters were unsure about their presidential pick.

The network’s last Ohio poll of polls, released October 9, showed Obama leading McCain by four points, 50 to 46 percent. In the September 21 poll of polls, Obama led McCain by a single point, 47 to 46 percent.

Republican VP nominee Sarah Palin is slated to stop in Ohio Sunday - the third time on the past week week the GOP ticket has visited the state.

Map the candidates' path through the swing states with CNN's Election Tracker

The Ohio general election "poll of polls" consists of four surveys: Ohio Newspaper Poll/University of Cincinnati (October 4-8), ARG (October 4-7), CNN/Time/ORC (October 3-6) and ABC/Washington Post (October 3-5). The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain • Ohio • Poll of polls
soundoff (1,327 Responses)
  1. michelle

    I totally agree with Doug from New Mexico, McCain's campaign is most hate-filled campaign I have seen in 25 yrs, and he gains one point from that? it just go to show you that there are still a lot of closed-minded people in America who yearns for the bad of days of segregation.

    October 12, 2008 03:01 pm at 3:01 pm |
  2. John S

    That is the biggest line of B.S. I have heard yet from the media. If John McCain is gaining in anything, it certainly isn't the polls. He's numbers should be way down and the Republican Party should be looking for a new leader. If I learned one thing about the polls is never believe anything coming from the media. Its all hype so they can crank up viewership. There is no way on God's green Earth that McCain would be gaining anything since Americans are much to intelligent to even consider electing that buffoon and his Poodle with Lipstick. I will wait November 4 when the Obama/Biden ticket wins your Presidential Race by a landslide majority never before seen in U.S. history. Republicans can cry, whine, smear and accuse all they want, it will not make one ounce of difference when election day comes. McCain and Palin have hurt the party for years to come. We, who are watching how America conducts themselves in this race have had a few great laughs at your expense but now is the time for all Americans to stand up and protect their country and their childrens future. I just can't see any ""True American Patriot "" who are concerned about their welfare and prosperity cast a ballot for the McCain/Palin ticket. No way, No how, could they do that.

    October 12, 2008 03:01 pm at 3:01 pm |
  3. Mikey

    Rick October 12th, 2008 2:03 pm ET
    Lets see an official birth certificate so that the law suit by Mr. Berg goes away.
    ________________________________________
    A scanned copy Senator Obama's birth certificate has been up on his website for months. As for your other charges, if you have more specific charges, I am certain they can be refuted too.

    October 12, 2008 03:01 pm at 3:01 pm |
  4. ron

    the state with the dumbest people in america is......

    October 12, 2008 03:02 pm at 3:02 pm |
  5. Sarah

    Republicans really have no reason to be celebrating. Obama falls one point in a state he doesn't even need to win, and they say McCain's "gaining ground?" Obama is currently leading in every single battle ground state, including Ohio, and only needs Virginia, or Colorado and New Hampshire, to win. There's also some speculation that there could be a big reverse Bradley effect in the south, which could lead to Obama victories in Virginia and North Carolina. Barring any unforeseen national security crisis, Obama is going to win. We just need some serious voter turnout, and we can't let the republicans stop us from voting like they always do!

    October 12, 2008 03:02 pm at 3:02 pm |
  6. Rashawn

    I am an African American voting for Barack Obama. I can tell you that if Obama was a Republican, I would not vote for him. I've voted Democrat all of my life. Do not tell me that just because we have an African American candidate on the Democratic ticket is why I am voting. African Americans generally vote for democrats in the first place. If people have a problem with that, Ask John McCain why he is not even going into African American cities and speaking to them? There are black Republicans, why isnt he going after them. There are black Independents, why isn't he targeting them? Don't tell me why I am voting please? I'm sick of it!

    October 12, 2008 03:02 pm at 3:02 pm |
  7. foreigner in the US

    Gained? How? He is still at 46%.

    October 12, 2008 03:02 pm at 3:02 pm |
  8. Johnfrom NY

    CNN and any other news organisation should stop create news out of Sarah Palin lies. It is not responsible, the same way was not reponsible to be in bed with Bush during the start of the Iraq war.

    I suggest that you should always start your news shows with the words: 'Another lie from Sarah Palin is......" and after that to check how big the lie is, because these lady is lying 100% of the time.

    Sarah Palin lied from DAY ONE about:
    - being against earmatks and the "bridge to nowhere"
    - selling anything on e-bay
    - troopergate
    - Obama being friend with the terorists
    - and now the Iraqi agreement.

    It is not ACCEPTABLE for the news media to propagate these Sarah Palin lies as news and AFTER that to check if they are true or not.

    October 12, 2008 03:02 pm at 3:02 pm |
  9. Republican Supporters in the Dark

    Gov. Sarah Palin & Sen. John McCain: The seeds you have sown will reap you a harvest, 100 fold. You run your campaign on lies, smears and fear-mongering. If the American electorate are stupid enough to elect you to office, your record will pale in comparison to Pres. Bush in terms of unfavourability. You will have an administration that has failed beyond any that America has ever seen. In the end you will get what you deserve. And John McCain's so-called 'good name' (honourable he's NOT) will be synonymous with mud. As for Gov. Palin, your young children should not be put in the position that you have put them in. You have no integrity and unfortunately when everything backfires it will affect them. The 'pitbull' that you are simply means that you have no conscience, or sensitivity to anything, except maybe a dog whistle.

    October 12, 2008 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  10. Jorge

    Note to Rick:

    Enough about the birth certificate. It was settled. Barack was born in Hawaii, just like my two children, and he is as American as they are.
    McCain, however, was born in Panama. Does that mean he is not an American?

    October 12, 2008 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  11. Greg

    If the state of my birth goes to McCain, I will pretend I wasn't born in Dayton.

    October 12, 2008 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  12. rys

    Americans, please do not allow the McCain/Palin campaign to inject race into this election. It was McCain & his pitbull in lipstick who went around the country spreading hate and fear into the hearts & minds of their faithful followers instead of focusing on the mess that he & his party got us into. McCain's rallies resembled a cult or KKK gathering with their angry narrow-minded mobs. How ridiculous is it to be afraid to raise a baby because a black man is president?!!! Please stay focused and look at the diverse citizens that come together at Sen. Obama's rallies...a true representation of the UNITED States of America!!!

    October 12, 2008 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  13. gl

    darryl – Thank you for you comment that I couldn't have say it better. Whites democratic Presidental candicates have been benefiting from the blacks voters so why would not a black demoractic President candicates get the same support. Also, I am from Pittsburgh and not many blacks voted for Lyan Swann when he was running for Governor for our state. We supported Governor Ed Randell 90 percent so there you have it most black are DIE HARD DEMOCRATIC PERIOD! If you don't believe me ask Governor Ed Randell!

    October 12, 2008 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  14. Evelyn

    When one of the pollster is University of Cincinnati I wonder if it was only for that area that was polled. That is a traditionally Republican area. They need to let us know the geographic area that was polled if we can believe anyting in their numbers.

    October 12, 2008 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  15. tj in fla

    A one point change is significant? Why don't you chase another news story that is more relevant. Like Palin's ethics violation.

    October 12, 2008 03:06 pm at 3:06 pm |
  16. Allison

    I have also thought of the cell phone theory. Generally speaking, people of the younger generation do not have land lines. I fall into this category. I also fall into the category of mid 20's voters, along with other demographics, who have not been INSPIRED to vote until this point in time. 8 years of Bush have definitely inspired me to vote. I believe I am speaking for many when I say, we're tired of corporate greed in the white house... not to mention the lack of leadership that supports the FREEDOM OF INDEPENDENT THINKING.

    Here's to good sense in '08
    OBAMA/BIDEN

    October 12, 2008 03:06 pm at 3:06 pm |
  17. Dadedi

    I am Independent and voting for Obama but I can honestly say there is a likelihood McCain will win this election. This is because, there is a large number of undecideds and those guys will swing McCain in a ratio of about 9 to 1. So Obama guys, please when you go to the polls take at least some friends or relatives with you. We have to turnout at least 80% as Gov Rendell said. In Indiana, we probably need 90% turnout. Please vote early if you will be working on that day or at least vote before you go to work. Peace!

    October 12, 2008 03:06 pm at 3:06 pm |
  18. unlikely voter [D]

    i think that there will be a big surprise for everybody when they see the amount of new voters going to the polls this year. the new generation of young people 18-25 (some people calling them "generation Kill" because they are the ones fighting these endless wars for us) are motivated this election more than ever before. and i think they will play a huge factor. and i also think the majority of them are democrats.

    October 12, 2008 03:07 pm at 3:07 pm |
  19. Jeff

    I hope you're both right because young people in 2004 said they were going to vote for Kerry yet never showed up at the polls on election day. My guess is that the majority of the youth has voted early and the percentage that turns out on election day will either make or break Obama's bid.

    Sheila43302 October 12th, 2008 2:07 pm ET

    October 12th, 2008 12:16 pm ET

    The pollsters are not calling people with cell phones. This election is going to be a wake up call ( no pun intended ) to all polling organizations, as well as the news outlets that rely on polls for their dramatic stories.

    Hey, Matthew,

    I've been wondering if anyone would raise the cell phone theory. I believe you've hit the nail on the head. I've felt all along that younger Americans will vote for Obama. They don't seem to have the ingrained predjudice that exists in a lot of older Americans. Good for them!

    October 12, 2008 03:07 pm at 3:07 pm |
  20. JP

    The news people need a lesson in statistics. If you take a truly random sample of 1000 events the "statistical accuracy" is considered to be one over the square root of 1000, or about 3%. There is a finite probability that the actual result could be 6% off from the estimate.There is even a slight probability that it could be 60% or more off. If you combine four independent random samples which all have the same statistical error you theoretically improve the error by a factor of two.

    One big problem with these surveys is that there is no way to insure that they are a truly random sample. That's why they don't sample 10,000 people and get the error down to 1%.

    It's bad math to pay any attention to 1% changes based on samples of 1000. Any difference under 5% should be considered to be "in the noise."

    October 12, 2008 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  21. Blacks are pre-dominantly democrats

    Nick Shaw's post: nick shaw October 12th, 2008 12:09 pm ET

    so much has been said regarding race and voting . It was mentioned that 97% of black Americans were voting for Senator Obama. This makes me wonder if race and voting is an issue not only with white Americans but black Americans as well.
    ------------------------------–

    FACT: Blacks have been voting for the Democratic party for eons. Their support of Obama is no different from the way they supported say, President Clinton. Get your facts straight. And just in case you havent noticed, blacks have voted for a WHITE PRESIDENT throughout history. They did not stay home – they voted!!!

    October 12, 2008 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  22. Alex

    Here is one Ohioan who already cast his early vote for Ohio!

    October 12, 2008 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  23. B.J. Couch

    America, the Election of the Century is about to happen on November 4, 2008. Do you want to make a difference? If so, get out and vote for the one person that you think that will take this generation into a future of hope. You can vote for the first African American Barack Hussian Obama or the oldest person to run, John M. mcCain.
    Either way, the choice is not easy because Barack Hussian Obama has very good points, but Taxes will be raised, that is for sure per Senator Obama. For the Mortgage crisis, John M. McCain plan is going to cost us either way. It's a 50/50 choice. History that you can be part of. I am going for McCain, because he will lead the way out and keep the Country safe and work on the Economy.

    Bj Couch
    Elkhart Indiana

    October 12, 2008 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  24. You Can Run But You Can Not Hide!

    Saara Palin is pro-life but support sending our young people to unwarranted/unneccessary wars to kill and be killed, also Palin is pro- death penalty! Talk about Pro-life? We call it hypocrite! A LIAR that would do or say anything to be VP she is not qualified for! SHAME ON YOU SARAH PALIN for not owning up your abuse of power and unethical beheaviour both on campaign trail and in Alaska!
    You are so small to say that your "opponent is paling around with terrorist"! The question is WHO IS REAL SARAH PALIN??

    October 12, 2008 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  25. Anna, IL

    1 point gain for McCain, and "McCain gains some ground"? Did Bill Schneider write this ticker item? One point gain, and this gets a headline?

    October 12, 2008 03:10 pm at 3:10 pm |
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