October 14th, 2008
01:20 PM ET
10 years ago

Poll Update: Obama has big leads in key states

Obama has taken a wide lead in Colorado, and several other states.

Obama has taken a wide lead in Colorado, and several other states.

(CNN) - A string of new state polls out Tuesday show John McCain continues to face an unfavorable landscape in several key battlegrounds with three weeks remaining until voters weigh in at the polls.

A series of new surveys from Quinnipiac University, the Wall Street Journal, and WashingtonPost.com suggest McCain is significantly behind in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Colorado - a state that hasn't voted Democratic in 16 years, and one where a loss could prove to be a fatal blow to McCain's White House hopes.

Watch: Polls show McCain blowback

“Obama is surging nationwide, and we’re now seeing that reflected in almost all of the state polls,” noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. “Bush’s record low approval ratings have combined with a tanking economy, an unpopular war, an off-balance McCain campaign, and one of the largest fundraising disparities in campaign history to create the perfect political storm.

Election Center: Check out the latest state polls

In Minnesota, the new Quinnipiac poll has Obama up 11 points over McCain, 51-40 percent. Incorporating other recent surveys from the state, a CNN poll of polls in Minnesota shows Barack Obama's lead over the Arizona senator there is now about 9 points.

It's a similar picture in Wisconsin, where the Quinnipiac poll has Obama up 17 points, and where a new CNN poll of polls there shows the Illinois senator with an 11 point lead. That's nearly double the Democratic nominee’s lead just two-and-a-half weeks ago.

In Michigan, the state the McCain campaign officially pulled out of earlier this week, the latest Quinnipiac poll shows Obama with a 16 point lead. Since McCain has pulled nearly all his staff from the state and essentially conceded its 17 electoral votes to Obama, there have not been enough recent polling there for a CNN poll of polls.

In what could be particularly bad news for McCain, the new Quinnipiac survey also shows the Arizona senator down 9 points in Colorado - a steep decline from polls taken earlier this week that suggested the race was tied there. With McCain's path to the nomination continuing to narrow, Colorado may just be a must-win state for the Arizona senator's White House chances to stay alive.

"Obama’s lead in Colorado — a state the Democrats have won only twice since 1952 — should be particularly worrisome for McCain," Silverleib said. "Obama can win the White House without Colorado’s nine electoral votes; McCain almost certainly cannot.”

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (174 Responses)
  1. obama fan

    Everybody still please get out there and VOTEVOTEVOTEVOTEVOTEVOTE FOR Obama

    October 14, 2008 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  2. Ugo

    Never have i been a big fan of polls but for these polls to remain pretty steady over the last weeks and for Fox news to believe McCain is down, i'm starting to believe 'em.........i suppose McCain will learn to run a better campaign from Nov 5th

    October 14, 2008 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  3. demwit

    It's like Bob the Bulder has been saying to children since 1999..., YES WE CAN!!

    October 14, 2008 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  4. Cathy

    Americans are finally seeing the light. After 8 years of the Repubs, it is time for a positive change.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2008

    October 14, 2008 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  5. Tom

    "Polls showing McCain fading"

    How appropriate!!!!!!

    October 14, 2008 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  6. James in NJ

    Let's keep it going America! Barack Obama and his honest, smart, and cool demeanor along with Joe Biden's wit, endurance, and spirit will be great for America.
    I,however, am not taking any lead for granted and I WILL VOTE on Nov 4th!
    Obama/Biden in 08!
    Kerry had it in the bag too!

    October 14, 2008 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  7. EconKilla

    Lord please forgive those that encourage hate , division and elitism..Please watch over the man that actually understands what its like to bring urself up from the bottom and make ur way to the top while bringing others up with you instead of trampling . And ofcourse watch over our new leader to be safe from election day and all the way through his term.


    October 14, 2008 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  8. funnyitis

    Everytime the McCain-Palin camp makes a bogus attack with full of lies on Obama, I donate $100 to the Obama Campain, every single time. Hey McCain-Palin lie-hatred-mud-producing-machine, you have left a few more shots until I hit my $2300 donation limit, use it wisely...

    October 14, 2008 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  9. dede-ole

    its great to have polls behind Obama, but it got to be fighting to the finish.nothing for granted.fight to the end then we will celebrate with jubliance.go Obama.

    October 14, 2008 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  10. lacton

    McCain's comment from yesterday is more like "We've got them right where they want us."

    October 14, 2008 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  11. Josh

    Hey Darko,
    Obama has never said he will cut taxes for 95% of Americans. His plan is to cut taxes for 95% of WORKERS. That means people who pay taxes.

    Obama’s Comprehensive Tax Policy Plan for America will:
    Cut taxes for 95 percent of workers and their families with a tax cut of $500 for workers or $1,000 for working couples.

    nice try though.

    October 14, 2008 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  12. RealityKing

    Why is there such a high undecided vote?? 8-10 % is a really big swing...

    October 14, 2008 11:25 am at 11:25 am |

    i am sure finally the hard working people of these battleground states will come to their senses.these people are not stupid the run the economic wheels of this country.the are family people.they go to church,and are all decent solid americans.they will see thru the smear campaign of republicans,they have seen 8 years of bad economic policy.at the end they will join the obama camp.i trust them

    October 14, 2008 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  14. Bobby

    Since Hillary said she wasn't running for president again all the Hillary women will start supporting Palin and make the race alot tighter!!!

    October 14, 2008 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  15. Denise Colorado

    Yes We Can

    October 14, 2008 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  16. Orlando

    PEOPLE, PLEASE DON'T FORGET TO VOTE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    OBAMA 08

    October 14, 2008 11:26 am at 11:26 am |
  17. Candy West Virginia

    Here in West Virginia all I see are Obama/Biden house signs and bumper stickers. I think we all know that mccain/palin, by their own actions, have all but voided their campaign with their lies and negativity.

    October 14, 2008 11:26 am at 11:26 am |
  18. t

    as an outside observe, all i keep hearing is how bad things are gonna get under Obama and the Dems, but God knows if we continue on this path we are all gonna go broke in a couple of years

    October 14, 2008 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  19. Ben in Athens

    If you look at the electoral map, the only states that really matter, once again, are Ohio and Florida. If Obama wins one of those states, there's almost no way he could lose. Even if McCain somehow captured Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada he would still come out short. And, even if McCain wins both Ohio and Florida, Obama can still beat him by winning either Virginia or North Carolina along with Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, or New Hampshire. I know the polls will start to tighten soon and I would like to be cautious about making any predictions with 3 weeks left until Nov. 4th, but the more you look at the electoral map, the more you have to think that Obama is really going to win this thing after all.

    October 14, 2008 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  20. Denise Colorado

    Yes We Can and Will

    October 14, 2008 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  21. Denise

    GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Obama/Biden!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    McCain's negative attacks got him and Palin NOwhere!

    October 14, 2008 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  22. Bill

    Wow! I didn't think McCain would be losing this bad with so much time left. The question is whether McCain has hit rock bottom or will he continue to plumit with a bottom completely out of sight? I think a younger McCain would have faired better. Also, if McCain did not give up all of his principles for the conservative base, he would likely still be in play.

    October 14, 2008 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  23. Laverne

    Okay Obama Supporters – like Obama said yesterday, we don't need the boos for McCain, we need to make sure we vote! Let's not just talk about it, but be about it and turn out in record numbers on Tues. Nov 4th and take our country back!

    October 14, 2008 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  24. Anonymous

    The Straight Talk Express has gotten derailed and replaced with the Old Politics as Usual stuck in the past elephant.

    October 14, 2008 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
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