


(CNN) – For the first time in the election cycle, CNN’s Electoral Map estimates that Democrat Barack Obama has moved over the 270 electoral vote threshold needed to win the White House. The hotly contested state of Virginia moves from “tossup” to “lean Obama.” North Dakota moves from “safe McCain” to “lean McCain,” and New Jersey moves from “lean Obama” to “safe Obama.”
As a result, 13 electoral votes swing from the tossup column to the Obama column. Obama now leads McCain by 103 electoral votes, up from 90 when the CNN Electoral Map was last updated on October 7. CNN now estimates that if the presidential election were held today, Obama would win 277 electoral votes and John McCain 174. There are 87 electoral votes up for grabs. Again, 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House.
Obama continues to make gains on the Electoral Map - and chip away at McCain's territory - thanks to results from states that typically support Republican presidential candidates.
Election Center: Check out CNN's latest electoral map
"Virginia hasn't gone Democratic in 44 years," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "But a number of polls - including our own - now show Obama up double digits there. And, as the map shows, if Obama holds that lead, it may be enough to put him into the White House. Conversely, McCain really can't afford to lose Virginia's 13 electoral votes. That state is a key part of the Republican electoral coalition."
The GOP ticket has spent much of the week stumping in traditionally red states where Obama seems poised for an unexpectedly strong showing, including Virginia and North Carolina. A new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll released earlier Wednesday showed Obama with a 10 point lead In Virginia.
Election Center: View the latest state polls
"Of course, it's important to remember that the CNN Electoral Map is a snapshot in time," said Silverleib. "We are not predicting an Obama win on Election Day. We still have twenty days to go, and that's an eternity in politics."
The CNN Electoral Map is based on analysis from the CNN Political Unit and takes into account a number of factors, including polling, state voting trends, ad spending patterns, candidate visits, and guidance from the campaigns, parties, and political strategists. The list will be updated regularly as the campaign develops over time.
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Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain |






It ain't over yet, we gotta make sure people are legally registered and that they vote.
Fight the Republican vote suppression effort with all you've got.
The future of the Constitution, Bill of Rights, and Freedom of expression are at stake.
This is my dream come true, Goodbye good old boys, at last, we see a change coming. McCain should take a bus back to AZ and retire on a porch gracefully Sarah Palin well, just go home and raise your family, we have had enough of your rude and vile campaigns..
I'll bet any one of you brainless Nobama supporters that he loses in NC!
That's what I am talking about. Change that Electoral Map – YES YOU CAN OBAMA/BIDEN 08
The fact that Virginia is moving into the 'blue' column is final 'proof positive' that the McCain/Palin ticket is rendered null & void!!
That One/Biden 2008
Turn VA Blue!!!!!
YES WE CAN!!!
Obama/Biden 08 and BEYOND!!!!
This Ohioan is voting OBAMA, baby.
Go, Barack, Go!
But EVERYONE keep your video cameras and cell phones on and poised at all polling stations for illegal actions. There are still corrupt polling officials and Diebold machines are still used without any paper trail.
I can confirm that Obama is surging here in North Carolina.
Just twenty days to go ...
I don't think that McCain can afford to pull out of any of the Red States. He has already disappointed the base of Republicans in Michigan. In fact, with many high profile conservatives not supporting McCain, it has become very difficult for McCain's campaign people to gain more support from their own base as well as the undecideds.
I've been Obamatized!
One DOWN.....GEORGIA to go..... Dont let us down peach staters. We know you can do it.
Obama/Biden 08
GO – BAMA!
GO – BAMA!!
GO – BAMA!!!
(Repeat as necessary until you finally get it right, America!)
Ask Palin if she understands how many states Obama is palling around with.
I cannot wait until the day after the election.
Cafferty can finally shut up!
I am sick and tired of hearing his big mouth!
Talk about an angry person!
This is the best news I have heard all day! I am "That One"
Yes We Can!
I predict:
Obama-380
McBush-158
I hope the remainder of the toss ups will go Obama NC, FL, CO, NV, MO. Heck he could even take WV and IN.
NC FOR OBAMA-BIDEN 08/12
Can anyone explain to me how Louisiana, after they went through with Katrina under this administration, can POSSIBLY be a red, or a red-leaning state?? That, to me, is just unbelievable! But hey, that's how we got W in the first place,I guess.
Keep up the good work, Obama/Biden supporters!
After America voted Bush in for the second term, I thought that all hope was lost – the country was overrun by idiots.
This time, after a disastrous 8 years of a war-mongering, radical republican administration, this election seems to me to be a simple test of sanity – if you're willing to let the same party back into office YET AGAIN, then America truly deserves the financial ruin, and plummeting reputation in the world, that it's now suffering. Too bad that the effects of bad choices in America ripple out into the rest of the world, that has to suffer through the consequences of choices they had no influence over.
The world is holding it's breath, wishing that the name of the next president of the United States is Obama.
Mcpain lied by putting politics before country....if he's chosen one of the qualified candidates he'd have a better chance today......Thank God for Obama Biden america can now regain it's true Glory in the world and in economics....pleeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeese do vote on novvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv 4thhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
This still means nothing...polls rarely transfer to actual votes.
Don't get comfortable and blow off voting, Obama supporters. This is the time to dig and become determined to vote, not the time to declare victory.
When read above comments i just wonder -Why so many stupid people ? O Obama , god Obama , save us Obama – so stupit. Nothing he going to do, just tax you ,make American communist economy and smile.
Go Obama...Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina and Florida will be blue!!!
God does not want to dam America, he wants to bless America!
I 'm almost tearing to know that the majority of Americans this time really jump out of those old politic tricks, recognizing and listening to the voice of a real leader – God Guides You!!!
Vote now and till the last minute for Obama/Biden!