October 26th, 2008
12:21 PM ET
5 years ago

Poll of Polls: Stark news for McCain in battleground states

Sen. Obama is running a competitive race in the battleground states.
Sen. Obama is running a competitive race in the battleground states.

(CNN)— With nine days left, a series of new battleground polls have some stark news for Sen. John McCain.

Georgia is shaping up to be a battleground state this election cycle, according to CNN's first poll of polls in the southern state.

The average of three surveys shows Sen. John McCain leading Sen. Obama by 6 points, 50 percent to 44 percent.

"McCain's six-point lead in Georgia is an extremely thin silver lining on an increasingly dark cloud for the GOP," said CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "Bush carried Georgia by 17 points four years ago. The Democratic upswing in Georgia mirrors the trend in most other states across the country. It is extremely hard to see McCain coming close to 270 electoral votes on Election Night if the current poll numbers - both on the national and state level - hold for the next nine days."

The Georgia poll of polls consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon poll conducted October 22 and 23, a Research 2000 poll conducted October 14 and 15, and a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted October 11 through 14.

Other new battleground state poll of polls show the same trend.

CNN Electoral Map Calculator: You call the race

CNN's latest Iowa poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 13 points, 52 percent to 39 percent, which is a six-point increase for the Illinois senator since the last Iowa poll of polls released in late September.

In Missouri, the latest CNN poll of polls shows the two presidential nominees locked in a dead heat, 46 percent to 46 percent, for the state's 11 electoral votes.

CNN's Missouri poll of polls consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon poll conducted October 22 to 23, Research 2000 poll conducted October 20 through 23, and a Suffolk University poll conducted October 17 through 19.

Finally, the latest New Hampshire poll of polls has Obama ahead by 10 points 52 percent to 42 percent. That is a two-point increase for the Democratic nominee since the last New Hampshire poll of polls released just last week.

There is no sampling error for any of the CNN poll of polls.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (109 Responses)
  1. Kris K in RM,CA

    McCain appears to be in denial about his campaign, the state of the nation and his running mate Palin.
    His appearance on Meet the Press today was pitiful and sad. Palin is scaring me with her views and plans and it is clear she is throing McCain under the bus.
    Queestion: Has she started wearing her own clothes yet? How is blaming everyone else for her performance,views and comments going?

    October 26, 2008 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  2. cherry strawberry

    I truly think that Obama may win Georgia by a slim margin. There is aa Huge African American and college population that the polls arent taken in account.

    October 26, 2008 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  3. Bruce

    This is optimistic, but the Obama campaign should not be complacent. The race is not over until Nov. 5. We need to get out ASAP and Vote!!!!

    Obama/Biden '08

    October 26, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  4. turning IN blue from Chicago

    Don't forget that they are tied 45-45 in Montana and Obama is leading him 45-43 in... North Dakota.

    Obama and Dean said they were gonna change the Electoral Map and it looks as if they will.

    OBAMA-BIDEN 08
    FOR THE CHANGE WE NEED

    October 26, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  5. Ed, Santa Fe, NM

    HOORAY..... The end of the Bush Era....

    Now Palin can go back to the tundra and stop lying at every rally... what a nasty airhead she is.

    October 26, 2008 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  6. TRBoston

    What on earth is John McCain doing in Iowa today?

    October 26, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  7. republicans hate america

    People just make sure you vote on the 4th and ensure you send McPhony and his crazy Christian sidekick packing

    October 26, 2008 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  8. Billy Jo, Auburn

    Can't be havin' no boy Pres.

    October 26, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  9. Donna--FL.

    Yipee! GO OBAMA!

    October 26, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  10. Mia

    I guess it takes a bit of coaxing to get someone's vote when they are undecided. I was one of those, until I got tons of robocalls from McCain's volunteers and hoards of emails attacking Obama. You stooped to a new low McCain, with my email saying voting for Obama was like voting for Castro. I have no love or respect for Castro, but you decided me for good. I am voting for a decent Christian man. Barack Obama, you have my vote! We NEED your kind of change!

    October 26, 2008 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  11. Too Late To Be Positive with Credibility?

    With 9 days left, John McCain and Sarah Palin still have not demonstrated that they are ready to be the winning team.

    McCain continues to try to tell us why not to vote for Obama and Palin continues her shrill, deliberately misleading lies and half-truths about Barack. THAT's not going to make us vote for fhe McCain-Palin ticket.

    Look for McCain to shift to a more positive message in the last days. Unfortunately, I don't know how any of us could take him seriously at this point. He will shift for all the wrongs reasons ... namely he is behind, has tried everything else, and is willing to have one more "roll of the dice" to try to win this election for himself.

    October 26, 2008 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  12. KLEE

    It seems to me, and i might be wrong, why is everything against the Republicans in this campaign a media conspiracy or if that fails push a panic buttom "Socialism", "Taxes", "Plumbers (oops I'm not talking Nixon here), "Terrorist Pals", "Media is Picking on me"!, – Please lets get this down to who is the better messenger – and has "A PLAN" and the "ABILITY" to work with a wide variety of the "World Players" that must be dealt with intelligently in an increasingly unstable world economy – My gut feeling is OBAMA/BIDEN this time around – no more card tricks please.

    October 26, 2008 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  13. Soba, Clifton, NJ

    New RNC ad focuses on the choppy seas ahead for the nation....
    The RNC is so foolish...They dont even realize that those Obama Waves are about to sink the McCain ship because of the erratic maneuvers he made.

    October 26, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  14. debbie

    Oh Oh. Time for the GOP to start its voter intimidation / suppression program.

    October 26, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  15. ohio voter

    Did McCain have a mental meltdown on Meet the Press This morning... This is getting so sad

    October 26, 2008 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  16. JK

    Hooray...!!!

    America is waking up and going for a real change...

    Go Obama...!!!

    No way, no how, no McCain-Palin

    October 26, 2008 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  17. jimmy

    Governor Palin lives her Christian Values and so should we.
    We shall not return evil for evil.,Never seek retaliation or revenge.
    Pray for those who persecute you or do you harm.
    The Election of our nest Prseident is in GOD's Hands. HE raises up nations , rulers and kings and pute them down.
    The Most High and Eternal One Sits on His Throne and is in total control. Nothing is too small or too big that HE will overlook it.
    TRUST therefore in THE LORD.
    Today is The LORD's Day . This is my witness to us bloggers.

    October 26, 2008 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  18. Frank Thomas

    The woman who falsely claimed attack by an Obama supporter – $50,000 bail for a misdemeanor charge?

    There's something the cops know/suspect that we haven't been told.

    October 26, 2008 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  19. GoBama!

    Goodbye, John.

    October 26, 2008 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  20. bk

    What do you expect when you have Acorn cheating for you?

    October 26, 2008 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  21. Uncle Sam

    Why concern yourself with manufactured political distractions like Obama's honesty and judgment when there are real issues to be addressed like Palin's wardrobe?
    :-)

    October 26, 2008 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  22. Winnie Hussein.... in Montana

    Every time I see one of these reports about Obama being ahead in the polls, I feel compelled to remind Obama supporters that they must vote! It is nice that they will blog and talk and express support for the Obama/Biden campaign, but they must vote. I am afraid that, if the race is too close, the republicans will find some legal challenge to the will of the American people.

    I have just recently watched several videos from Palin rallies in Ohio and Pennsylvania. The behavior of the Palin supporters sickened me. I truly question whether these people, as uneducated and racist as they are, should even be allowed to vote. Maybe there should be a "citizenship test", like a drivers' test. Just kidding, I know that is not democratic, but their behavior and comments were reprehensible and disturbing. They should watch and listen to themselves on video and maybe they would feel ashamed. Doubtful, but I can wish.

    October 26, 2008 02:19 pm at 2:19 pm |
  23. TT

    Polls tell us how people with land-lines intend to vote.

    They don't tell us how many of those votes will be correctly counted.

    Don't pop any corks, 'til all the votes are counted.

    October 26, 2008 02:19 pm at 2:19 pm |
  24. Paul DObro

    WHat is funny is most of the editorials backing Obama (whic he is winning over 3-1 and subscription rats of 4-1) all say basically the same thing:

    This is not th eJohn McCain of 9 months ago and Sarah Palin pick is the worst ever and places our nation in dander.

    That is why the polls continue to shift.

    But the final poll is taken Nov. 4th. I will be so proud if our nation wakes up and gets 80%. This prevents previous cases were elections have been stolen by special interest groups when you have 50% turn out.

    VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE

    Did I mention you should vote?

    October 26, 2008 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  25. dan

    HILLARY 2012 !!!!!!!

    October 26, 2008 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
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