October 31st, 2008
07:39 PM ET
5 years ago

CNN Electoral Map update: McCain loses ground

CNN

Check out CNN's Electoral Map.

(CNN) - Some tough news for John McCain in his own backyard, as his home state of Arizona moves from “safe McCain” to “lean McCain” in the latest CNN poll of polls.

And the Republican nominee continues to lose ground in reliably-red areas, as North Dakota moves from “lean McCain” to “toss-up” – meaning three electoral votes that had been counted for McCain are now considered up for grabs.

But there’s some good news for McCain down south: Louisiana has moved from “lean McCain” to “safe McCain.” And the movement on the map is far from done.

Barack Obama now leads McCain by 131 electoral votes, up from his 128-vote lead yesterday. CNN now estimates that if the presidential election were held today, Obama would win 291 electoral votes and John McCain 160. There are 87 electoral votes up for grabs. Again, 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House.

The CNN Electoral Map is based on analysis from the CNN Political Unit and takes into account a number of factors, including polling, state voting trends, ad spending patterns, candidate visits, and guidance from the campaigns, parties, and political strategists. The list will be updated regularly as the campaign develops over time.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (220 Responses)
  1. Tim

    Joe the Plumber. Let's give it up for Joe. Eh, Eh, Eh!!!! Joe? Is Joe here today? (McCain to himself…Oh crap, he was supposed to be here!!!! Grumble, grumble, grumble!!!) Well you are all Joe the Plumbers!!! I’ve got to give him credit for his comeback, but LOL, that was the funniest thing I've seen in a while!!!! It is so ironic that the McCain campaign is taking on water and the Plumber stood him up!!! I'm on the floor!!!!

    October 31, 2008 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  2. THE US OF WHAT?

    I really don't care anymore about CNN's polls because they change every hour, I guess just to make news.

    Just vote for OBAMA now or NOV 4th

    October 31, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  3. Michael in MO

    Oh look, another pro-Obama poll brought to you by none other than CNN. What a joke this election process has become – my, if it weren't for the likes of Matthews, Olberman, and the rest of the Left media, I'd have no idea what was fact or fiction. Interesting that all the McCain "hate" commentators on these pro-Obama blogs like CNN "Ticker" use almost the exact same lingo and lines they used for Senator Clinton. Wow, it must be that simply anyone who is opposed to Obama in any way is (all together now): Stupid, Racist, Ignorant, Loser, (fill in the blank). If this is the way of Obama and his child-minded supporters, well then, "Heil Obama." Been there/done that/not cool. btw – this comment brought to you by one of the millions of former life-long Dems thrown under the bus.

    October 31, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  4. hurriCAIN PALIN

    polling and electoral maps updates, cnn, u guys do those too early before the election, u guys are goin to make yourselves look stupid when your candidate, nobama, doesnt win.

    October 31, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  5. A humbled Republican

    It would be history making if Obama won 40 states. The Republicans better get it right next time, someone with intelligence and talent, not all smoke.

    October 31, 2008 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  6. Joe in MN

    Plumbers never come on time...

    October 31, 2008 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  7. Chi4Obama

    GOP = Sinking ship.

    Don't worry Republicans, we still have plenty of room on the Obama Train. All aboard....Next stop 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.

    October 31, 2008 04:38 pm at 4:38 pm |
  8. Blue in Red AZ

    And so it begins........even traditionally RED home state of McCain is tired of the RNC antics which began w/ their "genius we-got-this-in-the-bag" move of choosing Palin as his VP.....THIS IS GREAT!

    October 31, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  9. cindy

    Obama the one with the good judgement!

    Obama the one with the intelligence!

    Obama the one wants to unite us!

    Nor more needs to be said!

    Obama will give us real change!

    Obama for President!

    October 31, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  10. johnrj08

    I were either of these candidates I would think that there is a conspiracy in the media to make me seasick from all the up and down motion in these polls. Ultimately, they mean nothing. It's the electoral college that counts. Remember, Al Gore won the popular vote in 2000 but lost the election. Forget the polls. Vote. Kick the bums out.

    October 31, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  11. KJL

    Many of the people who live in Arizona know all about McCain's sumptuous life-style, so his "Joe" routine won't work on them. They are worried about the economy and have water concerns, so the environment is an important issue. McCain is rich and oblivious.

    October 31, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  12. Salsaluver

    What an idiot! Hilarious.

    Obama 08

    October 31, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  13. Originally for Biden

    How you like us now! Got a foothold in your backyard you better run back home and sure up the base or you'll look like a fool for not carrying your own state! Muwahahahah

    October 31, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  14. Sam SixPack

    Don't forget to say "Thank you, Sir!" when you're issued your new training-wage job.

    October 31, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  15. Kim, Charlotte, NC

    Yeah!.......Of course, I'm an Obama supporter.

    October 31, 2008 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  16. The Stallion & The Champ vs. The Old Mule and Winky Half-baked Alaska

    My favorite color has always been BLUE! Now my life will no longer be so because the standard-bearer of fear and division will no longer occupy the White House, and it won't be handed over to a wimpy, small and petty brat with his ditzy sidekick still trying to figure out what the vice-president does.

    October 31, 2008 04:40 pm at 4:40 pm |
  17. Doug

    Figures that Louisiana is going republican. Such an open-minded state.

    October 31, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  18. Kina, A Veteran in NYC

    sounds like odd news right about now...we've all seen this coming, anyway...

    Obama/Biden 08

    Kina.

    October 31, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  19. Anne

    What would it take to make McCain stop saying My friends. WHY doesn't he know by now it is just ANNOYING!!!!!

    October 31, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  20. Molly

    HAPPY HALLOWEEN – We have a big SURPRISE for the obama gang – we're called the 18 MILLION Hillary supporters – we did NOT unite, support and will NOT vote for obama. We have been quietly watching & waiting for our turn – and the day is near.
    (Did they count us as DEMS in the polls – maybe tha't why they are messed up)

    VOTE Smart: McCain/Palin

    October 31, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  21. Greg in MN

    McCain has to defend Arizona...I LOVE IT!

    Keep focused voters! Let's get out and make Obama/Biden the winning ticket!

    Go vote! Get your friends to vote! Get your family to vote! Get complete strangers to vote!

    October 31, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  22. Laura Peters

    Cautiously optimistic should be the word. Do not break open the champagne until Tuesday night...

    October 31, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  23. Tim in Seattle

    None of this matters until the polls close and the votes are counted....until then, all supposition...

    Get out and VOTE!

    October 31, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  24. Darrel from Denver

    Any movement in favor of Obama is going in the right direction.

    A former Republican who has just cast his vote for Obama/Biden 08

    October 31, 2008 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  25. Commonwealth of Virginia

    Uh Oh John. Nevada is now leaning blue. Let's see is we can turn Arizona blue as well.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    October 31, 2008 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
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