October 31st, 2008
07:39 PM ET
6 years ago

CNN Electoral Map update: McCain loses ground

CNN

Check out CNN's Electoral Map.

(CNN) - Some tough news for John McCain in his own backyard, as his home state of Arizona moves from “safe McCain” to “lean McCain” in the latest CNN poll of polls.

And the Republican nominee continues to lose ground in reliably-red areas, as North Dakota moves from “lean McCain” to “toss-up” – meaning three electoral votes that had been counted for McCain are now considered up for grabs.

But there’s some good news for McCain down south: Louisiana has moved from “lean McCain” to “safe McCain.” And the movement on the map is far from done.

Barack Obama now leads McCain by 131 electoral votes, up from his 128-vote lead yesterday. CNN now estimates that if the presidential election were held today, Obama would win 291 electoral votes and John McCain 160. There are 87 electoral votes up for grabs. Again, 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House.

The CNN Electoral Map is based on analysis from the CNN Political Unit and takes into account a number of factors, including polling, state voting trends, ad spending patterns, candidate visits, and guidance from the campaigns, parties, and political strategists. The list will be updated regularly as the campaign develops over time.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (220 Responses)
  1. Sean P. Seattle, WA

    This Election, the American People are going to cry out in one voice...

    WE WANT CHANGE

    NO MORE FEAR

    NO MORE War-MONGERING

    NO MORE NEO-CONS FASCISTS

    NO McCain/Palin

    VOTE NOV 4th, and VOTE LOUDLY FOR HOPE...

    Obama/Biden 08/12

    October 31, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  2. john

    All this john the plumber stuff is just pathetic

    October 31, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  3. John in Arizona

    Would someone from CNN explain to me why Louisiana is leaning McCain? With their large black polulation and the Katrina experience under Bush, it just doesn't make any sense. What am I missing? Help me here.

    October 31, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  4. Palin to Fire Darts at Obama

    Sarah Palin will return to Alaska next week where she will enjoy the next four years by firing darts at Obama everytime he slips up. Of course, as the economy sinks and people are selling apples on street corners, Obama will either be impeached or not re-elected.

    Sarah will return in 2012-wiser and tougher to claim the Presidency.

    October 31, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  5. cb from la

    It is not a good day when you have to defend your own state. I just dont know what to say at this point but hello President Obama.

    Obama/Biden 08

    October 31, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  6. L MIAMI, FLORIDA

    MCNASTY IS JUST WAYYYYYY TOO OLD AND SICK TO COMMAND !

    October 31, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  7. TheSideLiner

    Never mind all polliings, let's hope americans remember George Bush and his mediocre policies when they vote this coming tuesday. WOULD YOU LET YOURSLEF DIED OF HUNGER INSTEAD OF BEING FED BY A BLACK MAN?.......Comon people show some common sens!

    October 31, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  8. George

    I hope the losing candidate IMMEDIATELY wishes the winning one success and offers all of the help he would need.

    McCain–win or lose– needs to go back to his 2000 roots

    Obama–if he wins–needs to reach out and immediately announce Republicans to be in his cabinet or inner advisory circle; if he loses–to do so with grace and offer unity and not excuses

    then we will have good change

    October 31, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  9. Donald Huey

    As so often happens in America, the battle seems like it takes forever, the mud flies in all directions, every kind of personal weakness and innuendo is dug up in hopes of finding the "October Surprise" that will take second to first.
    And then, the real surprise...the best one wins. God bless America.

    October 31, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  10. BJ

    Why does McCain and his campaign keep talking about Joe The Plumber? He may do plumbing, but he's not licensed as a plumber. They sure know how to distort things. I taught my children how to read before they started school, does that make me a teacher? Many men may do their own electrical work in their homes (and I am talking about those who know exactly what they are doing), does that make them electricians? Come on now.

    October 31, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  11. Leslie from Garden Grove, CA

    Let freedom ring!

    October 31, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  12. OH Voter

    Just imagine...a sea of blue from the East Coast to Montana. Then, all we need is tunnel through the upper tip of Idaho to connect the the two coasts!

    October 31, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  13. Marilyn

    On election night the map will look just like it did in 2004. Republicans are not going to vote for Obama. But many moderate Democrats, like myself, are voting for McCain.

    October 31, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  14. kelsey

    This is the real story people! You can vote whatever way you want but the electoral college are the ones deciding here. This is not a democracy. Democracy is mob rule. This is a REPUBLIC. "...And to the REPUBLIC, for which it stands. One nation, under god, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all."

    We seem to be forgetting the pledge of alliegance as of late.

    October 31, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  15. Georgia Peach

    Is that a loud sucking sound I hear from Arizona?

    October 31, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  16. Nestor in NY

    It was a good run while it lasted, oh whom I kidding. No it wasnt.

    October 31, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  17. Meghann in OR

    Is any intelligent person surprised? All McCain has going for him is an unlicensed plumber who owes back taxes and the most unqualified VP candidate in history.

    October 31, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  18. DB

    Soon GA will be a TOSS-UP!

    October 31, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  19. Dollar Bill

    What ever honor Sen McCain had, he has lost it in this campaign. Along with his puppet Gov Palin, they have run one of the nastiest campaigns this country has seen in a while. As an retired military man, he has truly forgot what honor is.

    October 31, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  20. Max Pargament

    I am voting for Barrack, but after this election I hope there will be more than a 2 party system.

    October 31, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  21. ~Change We Need!

    haha – wonderful!

    we don't need division, we need unity!!!
    OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    October 31, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  22. Gloria - Minnesota

    Go Obama/Biden '08

    Blue has always been my favorite color!!

    October 31, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  23. Tired of Joe the plumber

    Even Arizona is beginning to catch up!!! wow!! Good job guys!! "joe the plumber " or rather "Joe the singer" even he is moving on....it did provide comic relief while it lasted....

    October 31, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  24. Gerry In Toronto

    If the rest of the world was voting, it would be 100% for Obama.

    October 31, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  25. sabuc for Obama

    McCain's campaign reminds me of the last minutes of any carrot-top comedy act – down to the pointless gimmicks to fill time. McCain should have retired his gimmicks a long time ago. Gimmicks not limited to Palin, Joe the unlicensed plumber, Tito the builder, "Socialist", "spread the wealth" claims, non-existent "experience" claims, "Rocky" theme music, "pals with" exaggerations, "Straight Talk Express", and "clean" campaign promises.

    October 31, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
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