November 1st, 2008
05:30 PM ET
10 years ago

More state polls: race tightens in PA; IN tied up

(CNN) – A CNN poll of polls released Saturday suggest the presidential race may be tightening in Pennsylvania — a state John McCain’s campaign has made a top target in the campaign’s closing days.

Sen. Barack Obama’s lead over Sen. John McCain in Pennsylvania stands at eight points, according to CNN’s latest poll of polls in the state. Fifty-one percent of likely voters in the state back Obama while 43 percent back McCain. Six percent are undecided. CNN’s previous Pennsylvania poll of polls, released October 30, showed Obama leading McCain by 11 percentage points – Obama had 53 percent support and McCain had 42 percent.

The race in Indiana is tied in CNN’s latest poll of polls in the historically Republican state. Both nominees have the support of 47 percent of likely voters in Indiana, with 6 percent are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN’s previous Indiana poll of polls, released October 30, McCain had a one-point advantage over Obama – 47 percent to 46 percent.

In Florida, Obama is ahead of McCain by four points. The Illinois senator garners support from 49 percent of likely voters in the state and 45 percent support the Arizona senator. Six percent of likely Florida voters are unsure about who should be the next president. In CNN’s October 31 Florida poll of polls, Obama was ahead of McCain by 3 points – 48 percent for Obama and 45 percent for McCain.

CNN’s latest Pennsylvania poll of polls consists of the following four surveys: ARG (October 29-31), Morning Call/Muhlenberg (October 27-31), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 27-28), and Marist (October 26-27).

CNN’s latest Indiana poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: ARG (October 28-31), Indianapolis Star/WTHR (October 26-28), and Research 2000 (October 24-28).

CNN’s latest Florida poll of polls consists of the following: five surveys: ARG (October 29-31), CNN/Time/ORC (October 23-28), LATimes/Bloomberg (October 25-27), Suffolk (October 23-26), and Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26).

CNN’s state polls of polls do not have a sampling error.

soundoff (125 Responses)
  1. BJ


    Clearly there is a media bias towards Obama... BUT the voters tell a different story!

    November 1, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  2. Texas boy

    I am sure it will be an early night when it becomes clear that Obama just won PA, VA, OH and FL

    November 1, 2008 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  3. Pat

    It's gonna get tighter and tighter. It's still the undecideds - has been all along - and will be until election day.

    Jeremiah Wright may think his chickens will be allowed to roost on the White House lawn - but no such luck!

    McCain/Palin – YES, WE WILL!

    November 1, 2008 07:02 pm at 7:02 pm |
  4. A kenyan plumber.

    Its expected but Mccain campain should stop using french diplomacy which instead of saying we are number three,the french simply say we are number one behind Britain and united states.since when did anyone enjoy losing the way they say we got them where we want them? I feel for mccain since old age seem to be catching up and for palin,she is a basket case all together.If cattie couric was the reason she couldnt answer simple questions,people like putin and chavez will give her a heart attack or simply make her see holy land right from her door step.

    November 1, 2008 07:03 pm at 7:03 pm |
  5. Tom in Delaware

    PA is going for McCain. I work in PA, and the people are pissed about the "clinging to their guns and religion" comment.

    Going to FLA to root for the Rays didn't sit well with the millions of Phillie fans're either for Philly or you're can't have it both ways.

    November 1, 2008 07:09 pm at 7:09 pm |
  6. fmoolten

    This election season has witnessed some unexpected trends, including close races in traditionally "red" states, but whether they signal an enduring change in the electorate or a phenomenon unique to the Obama/McCain contest remains to be seen. Support for Obama among Democrats is not surprising, but a striking development recently has been Barack Obama's endorsement by prominent Republicans. The most notable was Colin Powell, but others include former Republican Governors, as well as Charles Fried, who was Ronald Reagan's Solicitor General. Despite some policy differences with Obama, they have seen him as more stable, better informed, better qualified, and less impulsive on critical issues, including the nation's economic crisis.

    Possibly more important, as the election nears, some conservatives have grown terrified at the thought that Sarah Palin might become president in a complicated and dangerous world where her incompetence would put the nation at unprecedented risk. Even with the hope that a Palin presidency would never occur, that same alarm has impelled them to lose faith in the judgment of Senator McCain, based on his selection of an unqualified candidate for the second place on the ticket. It would be a mistake to confuse their preference for Obama with a permanent shift in political allegiance. At this point, their overriding concern appears to be the nation's safety, but their support for Obama in this election may not be a good predictor of how they will vote in the future.

    Fred Moolten

    November 1, 2008 07:09 pm at 7:09 pm |
  7. Glenn; Bakersville, NC.

    I said this in a previous post but it defintiely merits repeating:

    I don't put much credence in the polls, as I beleive there are a lot of closet Obama supporters. Much like the folks in Rock Ridge in "Blazing Saddles" after Sherriff Bart locks up Mongo. The little old lady who sneaks up to the back window with the pie for the sherriff and asks him to have the good decency to not speak to her in public but she appreciates what he did for the town. It's a step in the right direction, and it only took 2 centuries to get there!

    Less than 72 hours until the tyrannical reign of the facist regeim is over.

    November 1, 2008 07:13 pm at 7:13 pm |
  8. FreeNLovIt

    8 years of peanuts, 8 trillion dollars in debt and counting... andpeople want to keep the ELEPHANT in office?

    Look with McCain, there will be only one change: NAME TAG REPLACEMENT FROM BUSH TO MCCAIN.

    Good luck, get ready to be hungry..

    November 1, 2008 07:14 pm at 7:14 pm |
  9. Byron, in Cincinnati, OH

    Try as you might CNN to make this election a horse-race.'s not! This election is not close, so stop trying to make it one. McCain will lose!

    November 1, 2008 07:17 pm at 7:17 pm |
  10. Pennsylvania Hopeful

    Tomorrow myself and some friends will be going to our local Obama headquarters to put this man over in Pennsylvania. I will not let the Repiblicans take the state of my birth without a fight.

    Obama/Biden 2008/2012
    Let's Hope and Pray for positive change in this great land called America.

    November 1, 2008 07:17 pm at 7:17 pm |
  11. dave

    yes the race is tightening in PA. However, Obama is above 50% and the undecided (currently 4% or so) are moving to one side or the other. As long as Obama is above 50% he's safe. Add to that the fact that many young people have cell phones only and are not reachable by poll takers.

    November 1, 2008 07:22 pm at 7:22 pm |

    While I am not a reptilian strategist, I do not see the logic in using limited time and resources in PA especially when RCP shows him losing in Ohio, Florida and Missouri and this poll inidicates he is tied in Indiana.. Seems he should be shoring up the ones he stands a chance in, such as one where Obama lead does not drop from 11 to 8.

    Seems like someone is drinking the prune juice.

    Just keep on keeping on McCrypt and missy, remember you have Obama "right where we want 'em"!

    You betcha'!

    November 1, 2008 07:22 pm at 7:22 pm |
  13. Bulldog

    McCain has spent 75% of his resources in PA over the last week which has opened up the leads in other states for Obama. McCain needs just about every toss up state left as well as PA to win. Unfortunately most of the toss up states are tied or leaning in Obama's favor.

    November 1, 2008 07:28 pm at 7:28 pm |
  14. Charlie

    I spend a good part of the day canvasing for Senator Obama in one of the more Republican parts of Pennsylvania., I was quite pleased to see the level of support for Senator Obama from republicans and former republicans. I expect a strong Obama effect when traditional republican voters go in and vote for him in the privacy of the voting booth.

    November 1, 2008 07:30 pm at 7:30 pm |
  15. Hope in Georgia

    The only way McCain can win is if Obama supporters don't vote. Please, for the good of the country, for the healing of our land, and for the sake of all that is right and fair, go vote for Barack Obama. John McCain is dividing us all. It has to stop!

    November 1, 2008 07:30 pm at 7:30 pm |
  16. Willy Brown

    Obama’s has peaked at 47% nation wide, why because he can not close the deal because of his past being kept secret. McCain will win.

    November 1, 2008 07:30 pm at 7:30 pm |
  17. Bea

    If you have not votes yet – please do so
    Go Obama/Biden – the world will look up to us once again

    November 1, 2008 07:31 pm at 7:31 pm |
  18. Jeff Spangler, Arlington, VA

    With an eight point spread, six points of undecided and the likely Bradley effect of two to six points, PA is a dead heat, like all the other battleground states. It'll be a late night Tuesday.

    November 1, 2008 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  19. SeattleJoe

    I know it will happen, but I am going to be nervous until John and Sarah and the Republican Party have been really and truly defeated Tuesday night.

    God, what a farce it would be if they won. The country would explode.

    November 1, 2008 07:42 pm at 7:42 pm |
  20. Denver CO

    These polls are a LIE! CNN and the rest of the media benefit from the perception of a close race. Guess what though... 150,000 show up for Obama one day after 4,000 show up for McCain in Colorado and they still think it's close here in Colorado. I got some news for ya... this race is far more in favor of Obama than these news organizations are letting on.

    BUT... everyone still needs to vote!!!! For whatever party you want, it's still important to VOTE! VOTE! VOTE! Don't leave anything for granted!


    November 1, 2008 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  21. rich

    Obama will take Pennsylavania. No need to worry folks. Count on it. Just vote!

    November 1, 2008 07:52 pm at 7:52 pm |
  22. Darrell

    All I can say is that McCain has been around for 100 years and anyone that is going to vote for him already knows this.There is nothing to be undecided about with McCain, and that tells me all undecideds are based on Obama.Further to that if the undecided like the MCCain Hate Talk Express and want to reward Republicans for a wonderful past eight years then McCain gets the undecideds.If they want to stay with Bush then McCain gets the undecideds and if they want change for the future then Obama gets them.I can't imagine that someone is undecided because they have not heard enough from McCain

    November 1, 2008 07:52 pm at 7:52 pm |
  23. vote! OBAMA-BIDEN NOV.4th

    don't forget PA. mccain voted over 90% of the time for all bushs ideas and that includes THE ECONOMY, he and palin have lied so much, what kind of message would it send to our children if we put liers, and law breakers in the white house??? lets vote obama biden, lets give them a landslide. 0BAMA-BIDEN

    November 1, 2008 07:54 pm at 7:54 pm |
  24. Bridg

    Wow– You need to hire less lazy reporters so you can't stop depending on manufactured dead-heats to gain ratings, CNN.

    November 1, 2008 07:55 pm at 7:55 pm |
  25. FL for OBAMA

    The bigger news is that Obama gained in Florida.

    Obama/Biden TEAM '08

    Biden supports Obama and would not pull the Palin "only" signs done earlier today in FL.

    November 1, 2008 07:56 pm at 7:56 pm |
1 2 3 4 5