November 1st, 2008
12:00 PM ET
3 years ago

State polls: Obama ahead in NH, WI, CO, MT; MO tied up

Sen. Obama has an advantage over Sen. McCain in 4 of the 5 CNN's latest state polls of polls.
Sen. Obama has an advantage over Sen. McCain in 4 of the 5 CNN's latest state polls of polls.

(CNN) – It's down to the wire for Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain as
the two men enter their final weekend of campaigning. With just three days until Election Day, CNN's latest polls of polls shows Obama holding on to leads in a few key battlegrounds — and neck-and-neck with McCain in others.

Obama leads McCain by 12 points in CNN's latest New Hampshire poll of polls. Fifty-three percent of likely voters in New Hampshire support Obama and 41 percent back McCain. Six percent are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN's October 31 New Hampshire poll of polls, Obama led McCain by 15 points - 54 percent compared to 39 percent.

Obama is also ahead in Wisconsin, where CNN's latest poll of polls in the state gives him an 11 point lead: Fifty-three percent of voters in Wisconsin support the Illinois senator and 42 percent support the Arizona senator. Five percent of voters in the state are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN's October 30 Wisconsin poll of polls, Obama was ahead by 12 points - 53 percent to 41 percent.

In Colorado, Obama is ahead by 7 points in CNN's latest poll of polls. Fifty-two percent of likely voters in the state support Obama and 45 percent support McCain. Three percent of voters in the state are undecided. In CNN's October 31 Colorado poll of polls, Obama and McCain were also separated by 7 percentage points - 51 percent for Obama and 44 percent for McCain.

Obama holds the slimmest of advantages in Montana in CNN's first poll of polls for the state: Forty-six percent of likely voters in the state back Obama, and 45 percent support McCain. Nine percent of Montana's likely voters are unsure about their choice for president.

The two presidential rivals are tied in CNN's latest Missouri poll of polls. Each man garners support from 48 percent of the state's likely voters. Four percent are unsure about their choice for president. The two men were also tied at 47 percent each in CNN's October 31 Missouri poll of polls.

CNN's latest New Hampshire poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: Research 2000 (October 28-30), ARG (October 28-30), and WMUR/UNH (October 28-30).

CNN's latest Wisconsin poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: University of Wisconsin (October 21-28), Research 2000 (October 27-28), and Big Ten Battleground (October 19-22).

CNN's latest Colorado poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: ARG (October 28-30), Marist (October 27-28), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 23-28).

CNN's first Montana poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: American Research Group (October 28-30), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 23-25), and Montana State University (October 16-20).

CNN's latest Missouri poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: ARG (October 28-30), CNN/Time/ORC (October 23-28), and Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26).

CNN's state polls of polls do not have sampling errors.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • CNN Poll of polls • Colorado • John McCain • Missouri • Montana • New Hampshire • Wisconsin
soundoff (256 Responses)
  1. Eric

    Not only does Obama hold an edge in Montana, but Ron Paul's name is on the ballot and will certainly clinch the state for Obama (see the MSUB poll that includes Ron Paul).

    November 1, 2008 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  2. sick n tired

    IM glad to see the people in my state(NH) are finally waking up!

    November 1, 2008 04:08 pm at 4:08 pm |
  3. McDonalds

    The Republican was right. Even at McDonald's, they do three
    interviews before hiring. Obviously McCain didn't in picking Sarah
    Palin.

    November 1, 2008 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  4. JJ

    I hope everyone will go to the polls and vote because Obama is facing all kinds of unfavors challenges and with our help he can and will be the Next Great President outside JF Kennedy. People we want changeeeeeeeee please go vote for better jobs, health care, schools and money. Obama Obama

    November 1, 2008 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |
  5. what?

    PUBLIC NOTICE EFFECTIVE 11-05-08

    EVERY REGISTERED VOTER CASTING VOTES FOR BARAK OBAMA BE ADVISED.....................YOUR BRIBE CHECK IS IN THE MAIL.

    November 1, 2008 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  6. BBB

    PLEASE make sure you get to the polls on Tuesday… the idea of a Republican win petrifies me! And I have been a registered republican for more than 50 years!

    November 1, 2008 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  7. LoneWarrior

    Polls or no Polls, there is no stopping the "Train of Destiny"... In the end, "ONE" will stand and the "other" will return to obscurity and the black hole never to be remembered....

    Remember to vote for "THAT ONE"

    November 1, 2008 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  8. ADRIAN P

    I voted Dem all the way. Because it seems to me that the Rep. represents hate, inclusiveness, and greed. Everyone knows the rich only works to get richer and only cares for themselves. Its sad that they all those poor people who they have stolen from. Out worshiping Joe the so called plummer. How easily are people fooled belabors me.

    November 1, 2008 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  9. don from maine

    Hear that McPalin? the fat lady is singing YES WE CAN!!!!
    Obama/Biden 08

    November 1, 2008 04:16 pm at 4:16 pm |
  10. Glenn

    For a man that talks about Strategy so much it would seem like McCain would come up with a better Strategy. Obama has clearly put some thought and preparation is to his speech. First thing the armed forces teach you is Strategic positioning which McCain does not seem to know how to use. It goes something like this. Strategic positioning research is conducted to determine whom the customers of your product/service are and what should be told about the product or service to get them to buy from you. Finding the right target and message to build your marketing plan can be crucial in the success of your product. McCain's campaign organizers were late at every turn.
    bandwagon jumpers that's it that all. If you can't run a campaign
    how can you run the white house

    November 1, 2008 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  11. Steve Martin

    Independent Vet,

    If you're eligible for Veteran's benefits, you should take advantage of the opportunity to learn to spell. Gee, you're illiterate.

    You might also want to seek treatment for the head injury you obviously sustained that so affected your thought process.

    November 1, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  12. d Taliga

    Last call for America.Im very republican,but what I have seen the last 8 years that Bush MacCain and there friendes as well lobbyist and special intress all they have done to stell the mony of the American public as well the world.they sent the Children for big lie war just to serve the weapon Industry so American paying trillions as results of this war.this Buch of jirks the brought America and American to bankruptcy.MacCain is first guilty he play clean but just working for special intress and lobbyist his wife make the mony.if I dont pay 5000 to the IRS I can be years in jail why non of this group go to court.
    American vote for Obma ,and remmember the Clinton time even if your republican you have to teach them a lesson.

    November 1, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  13. HouseDiva

    i'm from St. Louis Mo and all the rallies that McCain and Palin have thrown are ALWAYS in the racist parts of town.

    Obama has his rallies in areas where people from all walks of life live.

    i hope Missouri grows a brain and elect the man who will represent EVERYONE, and not just racist white people.

    November 1, 2008 04:29 pm at 4:29 pm |
  14. Ken in NC

    WOW The Republicans have pulled out all the stops and are throwing everything incliding the kitchen sink and the plumbing at Obama and nothing is sticking. Could it be that the American public is tired of all the mud and slandering?
    No one is perfectand Obama is not perfect. Even McCain has made at least one ,istake in his life. People get over it. McCain is accepted by a portion of this nation with his short comings while people are wanting to hang Obama out to dry. Get over it.
    Is he a US Citizen? YES. He was born to a US Citizen in a state in this country but even if he had been born in Russia to an American mother he would still be a citizen of the USA BY NATURE OF HER CITIZENSHIP.

    November 1, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  15. JJW

    Just a little ditty I wrote today LOL.

    VOTE VOTE VOTE BARACK OBAMA
    HE'S THE ONE WE SHOULD APPLAUD
    HE DEBUNKED ALL JOHNNY'S LIES
    HE CUT PALIN DOWN TO SIZE
    AND EXPOSED POOR "JOE THE PLUMBER' AS A FRAUD
    SO VOTE VOTE VOTE BARACK OBAMA
    HE'S THE MAN WHO'S ON OUR SIDE
    HE WILL GIVE US WHAT WE NEED
    HE'LL ERADICATE THE GREED
    AND RESTORE COUNTRY'S IMAGE FAR AND WIDE

    November 1, 2008 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  16. Lucy

    It just may be a landside election for Obama. If he can run the country like he ran his campaign and stayed above the fray, then I think our economy may as swing upwards if buyer's confidence will pull us away from a depression.

    November 1, 2008 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  17. opogo

    I have watched every event on both sides. I have watched all the news on all the different channels and I have listened to all comments..pro and con. I believe that Senator McCain was trying to be a maverick when he picked Palin and he showed poor judgement. I hope and pray if he is elected he will not be so eager to push the button or take us deeper into war because of his maverick nature and quick temper. Palin is not qualified to be President of the United States and it has been clearly shown by her own words. She clearly lacks the education, the experience would come in time but she would need to return to school to have a better understanding of the world and history. Having voiced my opinion on Palin, my question is about McCain. I was always a fan of his and I am proud of him for his service for our country but has he always been such a liar? Even when the fact in question is proven to him to be false he still cites the fact in his stump speech over and over again. When asked face to face he refuses to say to a reporter what he has just said to his rally. Why????? Would he continue to lie to us when he is President?

    November 1, 2008 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  18. Jack Jodell, Minneapolis, MN

    After this election, we ought to derail that despicable Palin's 2012 plans by selling Alaska back to Russia!

    November 1, 2008 04:40 pm at 4:40 pm |
  19. v.ananthan

    IF OBAMA LOOSES DEMOCRATS SHOULD BLAME THEM SELVES FOR NOT CHOOSING THE MOST QUALIFIED CANDIDATE
    " HILLARY CLINTON " AS THEIR PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE...

    November 1, 2008 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  20. NANCY FROM MONTANA

    YAHOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    BIG SKY COUNTRY TURNING BLUE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    PROUD MONTANAN FOR OBAMA/BIDEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 1, 2008 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  21. Voted McCain

    Wait until 18 M upset Hillary's supporters cast their vote for McCain then count.

    November 1, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  22. Dave Peters

    Voting is a right, but it is also a matter of conscience. So what, in this situation, should people of good faith do with their vote?

    Until quite recently, there was the rough possibility that Senator McCain might be able to muster enough votes in enough Bush-states to prevent Obama becoming the president. For fiscal conservatives, for libertarians and all those who were scandalised by the policies of big spending, war and now government bailout and who saw both parties as equally culpable, a vote for McCain could be justified only on the basis that he was, in some way, less likely to continue these policies than Obama. There was some sense to holding one's nose as his campaign dragged US politics into the gutter, as he chose a manifestly ill-equipped populist as his VP and voting for 'the lesser evil' on the basis that he might block the Democrat Congress's worst proposals.

    It is clear now that McCain cannot win. Even the most Republican-friendly polls show that in the states he has to hold to win, he is between 3 and 10 points behind in most of them with less than 3 days to go. If Obama holds all the Kerry states, pretty much any two will give him victory, and if he only wins Ohio, it's game over. That makes a vote for McCain purely symbolic, rather than pragmatic. This will be the last chance for two years for any Republican-leaning voter to declare what kind of policy direction they'd like the country to take. Unless one wholeheartedly grasps and endorses McCain's policies, including his 100 years of occupation, his purchase of toxic mortgages and bank equity and so forth, the question arises - why should you cast a vote for him. Is this the message you want to send to the leadership of the Republicans as they contemplate how to respond to what is likely to be the most crushing defeat in perhaps 40 years? Do you want Sarah Palin to be a contender in 2012? Most leading Republicans are privately appalled and some are publicly appalled as well.

    Shouldn't Republicans who don't entirely endorse McCain's policies take this opportunity to vote for Bob Barr, or Ron Paul, or Mike Gravel or someone that really speaks truth to power. And if there isn't anyone whom they can in good conscience endorse, shouldn't simply they find something better to do between now and the time the polls close than vote?

    November 1, 2008 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  23. democrats /PA

    IT ONLY SHOWS WHERE THE STUPID PEOPLE LIVE AND HOW THEY VOTE WILL HURT US ALL
    OBAMA STEALS TAX MONEY FOR HIS AUNT AND PEOPLE SAY SO WHAT WILL ITS ARE TAX MONEY AND ITS ABOUT TIME YOU WAKE UP

    November 1, 2008 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  24. Yea right!!

    I have followed CNN this whole time and even before the campaign. But as I watch, it seems that CNN is becoming more right-winged. The time they spend on McCain supposed comeback is astonishing. Then there is this story about Obamas aunt. The timing is perfect. They are hoping that the Hispanic vote will turn more toward McCain. The divisive ways of the Republicans is being seriously frowned on by the American people & the world. Mr. Bergen is the best analysts on earth. He weighs everything on point, positive or negative, about both candidates. It's quite evident that Campbell Brown is leaning right. The partisan analysts are ok. They are doing their jobs. But those that are suppose to be non-partisan are not doing a good job.

    November 1, 2008 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  25. mike

    To all Muslim must vote for Obama. We don't have to work anymore. Obama Obama Obama.

    November 1, 2008 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
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