November 1st, 2008
12:00 PM ET
2 years ago

State polls: Obama ahead in NH, WI, CO, MT; MO tied up

Sen. Obama has an advantage over Sen. McCain in 4 of the 5 CNN's latest state polls of polls.
Sen. Obama has an advantage over Sen. McCain in 4 of the 5 CNN's latest state polls of polls.

(CNN) – It's down to the wire for Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain as
the two men enter their final weekend of campaigning. With just three days until Election Day, CNN's latest polls of polls shows Obama holding on to leads in a few key battlegrounds — and neck-and-neck with McCain in others.

Obama leads McCain by 12 points in CNN's latest New Hampshire poll of polls. Fifty-three percent of likely voters in New Hampshire support Obama and 41 percent back McCain. Six percent are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN's October 31 New Hampshire poll of polls, Obama led McCain by 15 points - 54 percent compared to 39 percent.

Obama is also ahead in Wisconsin, where CNN's latest poll of polls in the state gives him an 11 point lead: Fifty-three percent of voters in Wisconsin support the Illinois senator and 42 percent support the Arizona senator. Five percent of voters in the state are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN's October 30 Wisconsin poll of polls, Obama was ahead by 12 points - 53 percent to 41 percent.

In Colorado, Obama is ahead by 7 points in CNN's latest poll of polls. Fifty-two percent of likely voters in the state support Obama and 45 percent support McCain. Three percent of voters in the state are undecided. In CNN's October 31 Colorado poll of polls, Obama and McCain were also separated by 7 percentage points - 51 percent for Obama and 44 percent for McCain.

Obama holds the slimmest of advantages in Montana in CNN's first poll of polls for the state: Forty-six percent of likely voters in the state back Obama, and 45 percent support McCain. Nine percent of Montana's likely voters are unsure about their choice for president.

The two presidential rivals are tied in CNN's latest Missouri poll of polls. Each man garners support from 48 percent of the state's likely voters. Four percent are unsure about their choice for president. The two men were also tied at 47 percent each in CNN's October 31 Missouri poll of polls.

CNN's latest New Hampshire poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: Research 2000 (October 28-30), ARG (October 28-30), and WMUR/UNH (October 28-30).

CNN's latest Wisconsin poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: University of Wisconsin (October 21-28), Research 2000 (October 27-28), and Big Ten Battleground (October 19-22).

CNN's latest Colorado poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: ARG (October 28-30), Marist (October 27-28), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 23-28).

CNN's first Montana poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: American Research Group (October 28-30), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 23-25), and Montana State University (October 16-20).

CNN's latest Missouri poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: ARG (October 28-30), CNN/Time/ORC (October 23-28), and Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26).

CNN's state polls of polls do not have sampling errors.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • CNN Poll of polls • Colorado • John McCain • Missouri • Montana • New Hampshire • Wisconsin
soundoff (256 Responses)
  1. kentuckygirl

    It's amazing that the Repubs keep trying to slander Obama's character when over and over when it is apparently NOT WORKING. Obama also mentions that McCain's campaign actually said that "if we (repubs) keep talking about the economy, we'll lose." So, it doesn't matter what the repubs talk about, they'll lose.

    I voted for Bush in 2000 and 2004 only because I am a pro-lifer but now I realize that the repubs are nothing but a bunch of "hypocritis" that try to defend unborn babies but don't support programs to prevent unwanted pregnancies.

    If that's the case how will they support millions and millions of unwanted children if RoeVs.Wade was overturned? The answer is: They wouldn't. They only say they are pro-life to get the Christian vote. They don't want to spend money to prevent babies but are really willing to let children be born in a society with no help and support which will increase government–more than any democrat can propose? Give me a break!

    I agree with Obama that we take care of this problem from the root before we make decisions based on then end result. OBAMA/BIDEN '08

    November 1, 2008 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  2. CitizenS

    Obama has run a tight knit, brilliant campaign with NO DRAMA unlike the frazzled Mccain campaign. The polls confirm his EXECUTIVE management of his enormous campaign. Unlike Mccain executive management that can't even keep the mouths shut of his close aides to the campaign. Mccain has to say the race is getting closer but in truth is the FACT that the DEMS are voting 2-1 in most states. So the Get Out the Vote machine of Obama is truly doing just that. Mccain will lose his Senate seat in 2 yrs to a DEM as well. Maybe he will buy some property in Florida. Obama/Biden 08 12

    November 1, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  3. Obama/Biden 08!

    Keep it up Obama only 3 long grueling days to go!! YES WE CAN!!!

    November 1, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  4. NE for BO

    At this point, let's stop taking polls. Let's just go positive.

    November 1, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  5. theogracias

    I just watched a biography on John McCain. He has some qualities to admire but his downfall is using women. He clearly is a cad.

    November 1, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  6. dan

    oh my something aint right with mccains health, i am not trying to demonize him but i watched this morning as he gave a speech in virginia he looked worn out any did anybody notice he had a dry couch once in a while and kept clearing his throat boy am getting afraid that he might be heading downstream on health due to old age and a marathon that a 72 year old should not be running. let me see how many realised this CNN did you notice

    November 1, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  7. henry

    Thats sounds so interesting, Am sure Obama will continue his lead to the end. CNN please do justice to this election to the very end. So as to continue having your rep.
    McCain, I wonder what will be left of you after Nov. 4th. Sorry your down fall was Palin. You made a grave mistake. It shows your judgement

    November 1, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  8. blkkbbeauty

    People must get out to vote ! MCCAIN IS A LIAR AS WELL AS PALIN ! Look at how they have run their campaign its disgusting, All the supporters of Mccain are racist, or they make 200 thou a year, the campaign is A joke, they lie, lie, lie, I dont want a dishonorable president or a bunch of redneck liers representing my country..... since CNN decides to dish dirt on Obamas family, how bout Sarah Palins fast Daughter pregnant at 15.... or Mccain bimbo looking drug addicted wife Cindy !!! Report on real news, we have thousands of illegal immagrants in this country, Obamas aunt is not the first to want stay in our beautiful country, and she wont be the last ! Obamas relationship with his family is his business !!! Report on John MCCAIN AND his comments on 99.44 percent doing the right thing.... that sounds to me like a racial code, because it is the formula for Ivory Soap.... pure white.... messages to whitey huh ! why not 100 percent... Look into that !

    November 1, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  9. gEnie

    Two more days before Election and I'm sure Mccain campaign will find anything they can...... To accuse Sen. Obama while Mccain praising Joe the Plumber, a Man who don't even pay his Tax and work as a plumber with out a License............That shows Mccain's Bad Judgement just like Bush..........Hire the crook people and we pay the price for their Bad judgement. sens. Obama/Biden our Hope for a better change please Vote.

    November 1, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  10. J

    Yeah! Why not Montana as well as a Blue state, getting better and better.

    November 1, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  11. oscar

    Americans lets put sentiments behind and vote him whose ideologies, leadership qualities,administrative and organizational system as seen in the general conduct of this election is best enough to turn the country around and put in its rightful place in the world rating.

    November 1, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  12. annie - never again a dem.

    You all must know if (GOD FORBID) bho wins this election , it is because of illegal campaign funds, voter fraud and LIES, LIES, LIES, LIES and way too many lazy bums wanting something for nothing and the corrupt, evil, biased news media!!!

    November 1, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  13. FreeNLovIt

    8 years of peanuts and 8 trillion worth of debt, good job Elephants!!

    November 1, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  14. Phil Newton in Murphy, Oregon

    VOTE.

    If you've already voted, make sure your friends and family vote.

    Obama 08!

    November 1, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  15. Brain in DC

    Can't wait till I see the light of hope on Nov 5th, and the rise of the sun on Jan 20th.

    I regret supporting the Republicans 8 years ago. I'm sure also people who supported them in 2004 regret it.

    November 1, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  16. Rave

    Bottom Line : Obama will win with 360+ Electoral Votes in this election. There is a good chance, he may get more than that.
    McCain / Palin – you are Fired by the American people
    OBAMA (2008 -16)

    November 1, 2008 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  17. Sophie

    GO OBAMA !!!!!!

    November 1, 2008 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  18. San

    We will turn this country blue!

    November 1, 2008 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  19. Charlie Bradley

    GET TO THOSE POLLS Early on Tuesday.

    Pack a lunch
    pack a snack
    Pack a supper
    bring a book, iPod, Portable CD player, DVD player, ANYTHING you have to bring to occupy your time, and take care of yourself while you stand in line and let your voice be HEARD

    DO NOT GIVE us 4 more years of George Bush
    DO NOT GIVE any room for the Repugs to cry foul or any reason to demand recount

    BUSH and McCain have spent our DOLLARS
    Now lets beat them with CHANGE!!!!

    November 1, 2008 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  20. Janice Pound

    Hopefully you will vote for the man of stature. Answers his adversaries with polite respectful words is intelligent and thoughtful before actionscalm, cool % collected. as opposed to a man who continues to berate his opposition wth names, similar to a 10 yr.old. And pulls sentences out of context to make derogatory neg. ads. of untruths. The last few interviews
    Obama has laid out very concisely his first plans of change, McCain has not it's constantly "I" but nothing substantial.

    November 1, 2008 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  21. THE END OF AMERICA by OBAMA

    Don't believe this poll. It's slanted to favor obama....CNN's favorite boy.

    November 1, 2008 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  22. Franky

    "Obama holds the slimmest of advantages in Montana in CNN's first poll of polls for the state: Forty-six percent of likely voters in the state back Obama, and 45 percent support McCain. Nine percent of Montana's likely voters are unsure about their choice for president."

    Yes, yes....YES!!! LOL!!!! Montana, here we come baby!! I'm telling you guys, he can win Montana! Ohhh man, maybe by Monday Tennesse will change...PLEASE! LOL!!!

    I wanna say something quick guys. I was talking top one of the "experts" over here who does the odds and so forth. And he gave a really intriguing response to why my boy can compete in some traditionally red states. He literally told me that the most important decision probably in this election(believe it or not) was when my boy didn't accept public financing. He literally believes not only that may have help him but also benefit him. He did say that if the GOP has to protect their home turf and they tried everything(Ayers, radical friends, "real" America, etc) they should probably be up in their home turf, considering is their home. It was interesting because he did say thatif my boy wins, it won't be because he's a Dem or he's an agent of change or whatever but the fact that he labeled himself very, very well...

    Don't worry guys, this is just "sports betting analysis." It'll be interesting to see what happens on Tuesday...

    November 1, 2008 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  23. edd

    Change we need!

    Vote.

    November 1, 2008 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  24. Mecury

    John McCain has not stratagy to win this election!!!

    He calles names and insinuates some detastable things. He is not coordinated!!
    ASome weeks ago, Obama was a "socialist"
    Last week he was a "communist"
    This week a "Terrorist"
    This Joke with Joe The Plumber doesn't seem to be aimed at well meaning Americans. (Only John's people will seem to understand that blindly)
    Mark My Word, as early as tuesday next week John McCain will call "President Elect Obama" on Phone and
    congratulate him. You don't put your stakes so low if you are runing for president in this nation like John McCain has done. Risking the carieers of many well meaning Dem and Rep politicians that this nation needs.

    November 1, 2008 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
  25. SLB

    If the Repubicans were going to drop a bombshell, they may be too late; a lot of the votes have already been cast. Anything they had they should have revealed last week.

    November 1, 2008 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
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