November 1st, 2008
12:00 PM ET
2 years ago

State polls: Obama ahead in NH, WI, CO, MT; MO tied up

Sen. Obama has an advantage over Sen. McCain in 4 of the 5 CNN's latest state polls of polls.
Sen. Obama has an advantage over Sen. McCain in 4 of the 5 CNN's latest state polls of polls.

(CNN) – It's down to the wire for Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain as
the two men enter their final weekend of campaigning. With just three days until Election Day, CNN's latest polls of polls shows Obama holding on to leads in a few key battlegrounds — and neck-and-neck with McCain in others.

Obama leads McCain by 12 points in CNN's latest New Hampshire poll of polls. Fifty-three percent of likely voters in New Hampshire support Obama and 41 percent back McCain. Six percent are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN's October 31 New Hampshire poll of polls, Obama led McCain by 15 points - 54 percent compared to 39 percent.

Obama is also ahead in Wisconsin, where CNN's latest poll of polls in the state gives him an 11 point lead: Fifty-three percent of voters in Wisconsin support the Illinois senator and 42 percent support the Arizona senator. Five percent of voters in the state are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN's October 30 Wisconsin poll of polls, Obama was ahead by 12 points - 53 percent to 41 percent.

In Colorado, Obama is ahead by 7 points in CNN's latest poll of polls. Fifty-two percent of likely voters in the state support Obama and 45 percent support McCain. Three percent of voters in the state are undecided. In CNN's October 31 Colorado poll of polls, Obama and McCain were also separated by 7 percentage points - 51 percent for Obama and 44 percent for McCain.

Obama holds the slimmest of advantages in Montana in CNN's first poll of polls for the state: Forty-six percent of likely voters in the state back Obama, and 45 percent support McCain. Nine percent of Montana's likely voters are unsure about their choice for president.

The two presidential rivals are tied in CNN's latest Missouri poll of polls. Each man garners support from 48 percent of the state's likely voters. Four percent are unsure about their choice for president. The two men were also tied at 47 percent each in CNN's October 31 Missouri poll of polls.

CNN's latest New Hampshire poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: Research 2000 (October 28-30), ARG (October 28-30), and WMUR/UNH (October 28-30).

CNN's latest Wisconsin poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: University of Wisconsin (October 21-28), Research 2000 (October 27-28), and Big Ten Battleground (October 19-22).

CNN's latest Colorado poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: ARG (October 28-30), Marist (October 27-28), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 23-28).

CNN's first Montana poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: American Research Group (October 28-30), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 23-25), and Montana State University (October 16-20).

CNN's latest Missouri poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: ARG (October 28-30), CNN/Time/ORC (October 23-28), and Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26).

CNN's state polls of polls do not have sampling errors.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • CNN Poll of polls • Colorado • John McCain • Missouri • Montana • New Hampshire • Wisconsin
soundoff (256 Responses)
  1. Donn

    Just listened to John McCai speaking in Virginia and it amazes me that he never has a positive thing to say. He generalizes so much it is hard to tell what he means. He doesn,t promise a brighter future or making things better. He can only speak about what Obama would do. Is this because he really does'tt have a plan?

    November 1, 2008 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  2. dakini

    A response to Goldworthy's comments:

    NO ONE LIKES abortion. What about war and capital punishment? Killing in the name of the STATE?? NO?

    First of all a woman should be able to make her own choice about what she does with her body based on her own beliefs and the conditions of her life. NO ONE WANTS TO HAVE AN ABORTION, but I NEVER hear opponents of abortion strongly support helping our society by spending our taxes on improving neo natal care, early childhood education, education in general, higher education, universal health care for all, minimum wage increases, etc.

    These are the things that Barack Obama has clearly stated that he supports, and by so doing he believes the abortion rate in this country will NATURALLY decrease.

    Until you put YOUR MONEY where your MOUTH is, then you should pray for your own soul and pray that you can develop some CHARITY to go along with your faith and fervent hope that Roe vs Wade will be overturned.

    No one should be forced to provide abortions if their faith does not support it, but neither should a woman be forced to go through with a pregnancy if she feels in her heart of hearts that she cannot adequately support the child in a society as harsh as the one we are now living in. Abortion should remain a private and personal choice and is never an EASY one. Unlike the Palin children, not everyone in this society is in a position to bring a pregnancy to term.

    I can only see hypocrisy in religious views that so thoroughly revile the right of a woman to choose while not totally condemning the death and killing that goes on in our names in the form of war and capital punishment.

    November 1, 2008 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
  3. observer

    Sick of negative campaign....

    Come on... Obama was brought up by WHITE mother and grandparents and abandoned by his father. Do you think he is close to his step aunt?

    If really want to dig on relatives, there is no end (including Mc Cain and Palin).

    Got to STOP reporting such news.... otherwise this will turn people off.

    November 1, 2008 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
  4. Geez

    I believe Gallup...they do this for a living...not ratings. THAT ONE is up by 10-11%. The Electoral Map looks favorable. Get used to it..."PRESIDENT OBAMA."

    November 1, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  5. Paul Wall in Dallas

    this is truly America at its finest hour. that an African-American senator can win in red states never dreamed of before by any Democratic nominee. i pray Texas follows the rest of "purple states"-red states turning blue. i will be so proud to be an American Wednesday morning, maybe even Tuesday night.
    Go Barack.

    November 1, 2008 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
  6. Send the Obama myth back where it came from!

    Try a Los Angeles Times poll anywhere and you'll find a figure which is consistantly twice as much as other polls!

    Who's foolin' who???

    November 1, 2008 02:30 pm at 2:30 pm |
  7. Irony

    When will the real Republicans stand up and take their party back from the false christians and liars? A true patriot would acknowledge that Obama is good for our country, to denigrate either candidate with slurs is anti American.

    November 1, 2008 02:32 pm at 2:32 pm |
  8. jeff

    why would you want the rest when you can have the best vote obama biden in 08

    November 1, 2008 02:33 pm at 2:33 pm |
  9. Picoti From Canada

    This is good news for Obama! But if you really want him as a president, you have to VOTE on November 4th. Because if you don’t vote, McCain will win and you’ll have Palins as VP... :(

    (I can’t vote because I live in Canada...)

    GObama!

    November 1, 2008 02:35 pm at 2:35 pm |
  10. Barbara - 65 yr old white female in NC

    Your comment is awaiting moderation.
    Sounds good to me. I have, however, noticed that Obama hasn't made much headway in the less educated states like WV, KY, MS, OK, AL. What's with that?

    I voted early for the two that will protect my Constitutional Rights to own guns and read my Bible. And they probably won't reinstitute the draft or go into IRAN without a very good reason.

    Obama/Biden '08

    November 1, 2008 02:37 pm at 2:37 pm |
  11. John

    Montana for Swing State!

    November 1, 2008 02:37 pm at 2:37 pm |
  12. Nicole Castle

    To all of the Obama Haters ,

    It's people like you that make this country the way it is today- "SCREWED UP"! In 2008, it is sad that people are still hating on color. Grow up!!!! Black, White, Mulatto, Mexican- everyone is here in the U.S. Get over yourself and stop polluting everyone's mind with your non-sense. Obama is well educated and he is going to be the next president!!!! So get ready!

    November 1, 2008 02:37 pm at 2:37 pm |
  13. PAUL

    AMEN.

    November 1, 2008 02:37 pm at 2:37 pm |
  14. Brenda C

    Remember folks it's not over till its over. Don't buy the lie the polls are putting out. Remember a few weeks ago Obama was already declared winner by most newspapers and others. They were talking about how they didn't know what to do with all the time they were going to have left after such a blowout. Don't buy it.

    McCain/Palin 08 REAL AMERICANS

    November 1, 2008 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  15. Memarme

    God bless us if Obama wins. Go McCain & Pailin!

    November 1, 2008 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  16. JJW

    To LR Goldsbury:

    As a Catholic, I have to remind you that the Catholic Church and its Bishops not too many years ago said that we would be dammed to HELL if we ate meat on a Friday!!! They were wrong then too.
    So the next time you are enjoying your FRIDAY steak, spare a thought for all those poor souls writhing in hell for a sin that is no longer a sin.

    I believe Barack Obama is a good man. A good husband, a good father, a good American, and will make a good President.

    The Cathoilic church has made mistakes, I could be making a mistake, but I have faith that I am not.

    "There is no wisdom in a closed mind."

    November 1, 2008 02:39 pm at 2:39 pm |
  17. Lando

    Common sense tells me that Obama if elected President will make the best effort to make America back to the number one spot in
    the world as far as economy and world respect. American has been
    in the helm of white Presidents eversince. This is a once in a lifetime
    chance for a man of color to prove that he can be as good or maybe
    better than many of those past leaders. He has the vision. When
    he spoke of UNITY among all speaks of the character of what he truly
    is. UNITED WE STAND DIVIDED WE FALL....

    November 1, 2008 02:39 pm at 2:39 pm |
  18. JL

    Obama/Biden campaign really do want to make a change for the better and all you need is an Idea and vision. Now, as far as Mccain/Palin campaign is concern, I only see them fighting to take control, and Palin sounds so manipulative!

    November 1, 2008 02:41 pm at 2:41 pm |
  19. DB25

    If Obama keeps PA and picks up CO and VA, this election is over.

    November 1, 2008 02:41 pm at 2:41 pm |
  20. Tony

    GO OBAMA / BIDEN!

    November 1, 2008 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
  21. Lilbean

    Hey End of America... Your comment speaks volumes as to the BIGOTRY of some of the mccain lemming Barack Obama is a MAN not a boy and if you can't get with that then practice quitely to yourself President Boy if it will make you feel better GO BAMA 08

    November 1, 2008 02:45 pm at 2:45 pm |
  22. what?

    IN WATCHING POLLING THIS ELECTION CYCLE ITS APPARENT EACH OUTLET CHOOSES THE POLLS THAT BEST SUIT THEIR POLITICAL LEANINGS. ALL THE OUTLETS SHOULD RUN AN AVERAGE OF THE POLLS RELEVENT TO THE RACE AT HAND. TOO MUCH ROOM FOR FOX OR CNN TO INFLUENCE VOTER SENTIMENT BY GIVING ERRONEOUS POLLING DATA TO AFFECT A DESIRED OUTCOME. ITS LAUGHABLE HOW PEOPLE SELL THEIR SOULS FOR A FEW DOLLARS AND SOMEONE ELSES IDEA OF WHO'S ON FIRST. KINDA LIKE ONE PERSON ON HERE CALLING CNN RIGHT LEANING WITH CONSERVATIVE BIAS. SOUNDS LIKE FURLOUGH TIME AT THE ASYLUM. CRAZY WITH PARANIOD TENDENCIES.

    November 1, 2008 02:45 pm at 2:45 pm |
  23. The Manchurian candidate

    Blue, baby, blue! "I am John Mccain and I pprove thsi message, my fellow prisoners!"

    November 1, 2008 02:45 pm at 2:45 pm |
  24. JJW

    Hey Bob from SS...what RANK did you hold when you were in the SS?
    Your blog sounds like its straight from the "Neo Natzi" handbook.
    Poor grammer, bad spelling but with the usual skinhead message of hate and intolerance.

    November 1, 2008 02:47 pm at 2:47 pm |
  25. To tennisguy

    I have wondered about the same exact thing. It kind of makes you wonder about the network.

    November 1, 2008 02:50 pm at 2:50 pm |
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