November 1st, 2008
12:00 PM ET
2 years ago

State polls: Obama ahead in NH, WI, CO, MT; MO tied up

Sen. Obama has an advantage over Sen. McCain in 4 of the 5 CNN's latest state polls of polls.
Sen. Obama has an advantage over Sen. McCain in 4 of the 5 CNN's latest state polls of polls.

(CNN) – It's down to the wire for Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain as
the two men enter their final weekend of campaigning. With just three days until Election Day, CNN's latest polls of polls shows Obama holding on to leads in a few key battlegrounds — and neck-and-neck with McCain in others.

Obama leads McCain by 12 points in CNN's latest New Hampshire poll of polls. Fifty-three percent of likely voters in New Hampshire support Obama and 41 percent back McCain. Six percent are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN's October 31 New Hampshire poll of polls, Obama led McCain by 15 points - 54 percent compared to 39 percent.

Obama is also ahead in Wisconsin, where CNN's latest poll of polls in the state gives him an 11 point lead: Fifty-three percent of voters in Wisconsin support the Illinois senator and 42 percent support the Arizona senator. Five percent of voters in the state are unsure about their choice for president. In CNN's October 30 Wisconsin poll of polls, Obama was ahead by 12 points - 53 percent to 41 percent.

In Colorado, Obama is ahead by 7 points in CNN's latest poll of polls. Fifty-two percent of likely voters in the state support Obama and 45 percent support McCain. Three percent of voters in the state are undecided. In CNN's October 31 Colorado poll of polls, Obama and McCain were also separated by 7 percentage points - 51 percent for Obama and 44 percent for McCain.

Obama holds the slimmest of advantages in Montana in CNN's first poll of polls for the state: Forty-six percent of likely voters in the state back Obama, and 45 percent support McCain. Nine percent of Montana's likely voters are unsure about their choice for president.

The two presidential rivals are tied in CNN's latest Missouri poll of polls. Each man garners support from 48 percent of the state's likely voters. Four percent are unsure about their choice for president. The two men were also tied at 47 percent each in CNN's October 31 Missouri poll of polls.

CNN's latest New Hampshire poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: Research 2000 (October 28-30), ARG (October 28-30), and WMUR/UNH (October 28-30).

CNN's latest Wisconsin poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: University of Wisconsin (October 21-28), Research 2000 (October 27-28), and Big Ten Battleground (October 19-22).

CNN's latest Colorado poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: ARG (October 28-30), Marist (October 27-28), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 23-28).

CNN's first Montana poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: American Research Group (October 28-30), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 23-25), and Montana State University (October 16-20).

CNN's latest Missouri poll of polls consists of the following three surveys: ARG (October 28-30), CNN/Time/ORC (October 23-28), and Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26).

CNN's state polls of polls do not have sampling errors.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • CNN Poll of polls • Colorado • John McCain • Missouri • Montana • New Hampshire • Wisconsin
soundoff (256 Responses)
  1. weneedstrongleadership

    The reason why they are undecided is because they were waiting to hear both sides on the economy and where each candidate stood then they would decide. I believe with all the things McCain has done and not talking about the economy the way Obama has, I believe they will more then likely side for Obama. If you were to watch the debates and watch what the focus groups answers were, a lot of people said that they were undecided because they wanted to know more about the economy and where each candidate stood. So that's my theory take it for what it's worth.

    November 1, 2008 02:50 pm at 2:50 pm |
  2. Independent white female patriotic voter

    Obama will surprise many people on Tuesday the 4th when he becomes the 44th president of the USA. Mccain and Palin have been nasty, dirty, disgussting, liars, misleading, fear mongurs during this campaign season. Mccain lost a lot of independent voters as far as I am concerned because of Palin's negativity and his lies against Obama just to get votes. That doesn't work with most independent voters! lying about your opponent actually makes an independent voter turn to the other guy even more. Mccain is much too old, Palin is much too inexperienced and dumb and I don't trust putting my life, financial independence and my wellness in their hands. Thanks but no thanks!

    November 1, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  3. Charles

    GO OBAMA!!!! WIN THIS ONE FOR AMERICA

    November 1, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  4. DW

    After the continuous litany of untruthful attacks on Obama from McPalin on the stomp and unlike Obama, they have said and done nothing to make their case for a better tomorrow. ARE WE SURPRISED? NO. The Sidekick and the Renegade have no answers. Take Joe the Plumber with you to fix Washington? McCain must be f.......... m……… The fact is they have gone back to the old smear and fear politics with lies and fear-provoking buzzwords like terrorist and Marxism. People are not going to be fooled again

    November 1, 2008 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  5. gregg

    cnn and obama are racists,, keeping the chimps from not voting

    November 1, 2008 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  6. osaravanan

    I think J.Mccain will definetly become the next President of USA.
    We want the Gop Prisedent in the White House.

    I am from India.

    The Government of India i.e. Congress is to soft on Terrosim because they want muslim vote banks, Congress & its allies wil
    definetly thrown out from power in the General Elections 2009.

    There is no doubt that BJP wil come to power in 2009.

    November 1, 2008 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  7. NV for Obama/Biden

    We stood in line for 45 minutes last night (not bad since last night was the last night for early voting here in Nevada) and we PROUDLY cast our vote for the next President and Vice President of the United States of America: Barack Obama and Joe Biden woo hooo!!! I have to say that it was overwhelming to stand there and cast my vote – definately is in the top 10 of the most proudest moments in my life!!!

    November 1, 2008 02:53 pm at 2:53 pm |
  8. sandee in Portland

    As a moderate republican I call on the people in my party to go back to the days of Reagan. It's a crying shame that my party has been taken over by the likes of people like Palin...far, right wing conservatives evangelicals who think if you're not like them, you're not american. It's also a shame that McCain sold himself to these radical christians. He should have had the backbone to stand up to them. I am so disappointed in him. I'm sorry to say I voted for Bush the first time, but I learned my lesson and when he ran for his second term I voted democratic. After this year, I will probably change to independent because my party has deserted the middle of the road republicans for extremists. I understand that there are extremists in both parties, but a candidate should run on the middle of the road.

    I voted for Obama because I want separation of church and state to continue. Even though I am a Catholic, I do not entirely agree with my religion and abortion is one of the things I disagree with. Neither the Catholic Church nor my government should have the right to tell me what to do with my body, my children, or my family. They do not know what is best for me, only I do.

    November 1, 2008 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  9. Steve

    Obama for President!! There's nothing else to say.

    November 1, 2008 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  10. gregg

    awaiting moderation,, get real cnn ,, who made you a godette,,, oh your master the real god obama,,, how sad, my degree , was stolen for the golden calf,,,, live and maybe you all can attain

    November 1, 2008 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  11. Lawrence

    Hey LR Goldsworthy – here's a thought, why don't we keep religion out of politics and aim for separation of church and state like we once did? I think life would be a whole lot better. Here in California, the religious zealots are taking overly activist roles in political matters and it's getting out of hand. I find it deplorable that religious organizations and institutions are using hate and fear to mobilize people. A bit contrary to their message of love isn't it?

    November 1, 2008 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  12. Michael ATL GA

    Quote from ken J
    "November 1st, 2008 1:29 pm ET

    Montana, North Dakota and Georgia are going BLUE this time!
    Everybody in these states (esp. the young voters) get out and vote
    and let all of us make History!!

    GO OBAMA/BIDEN!!!!!!"

    Mate, are you high? Who told u that GA is going blue?? You people are sooo redneck there even if God were to piss Blue paint, that state won't turn Blue.
    Oabama's chanes there is zero.

    November 1, 2008 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  13. TK, Dallas, TX

    A scorpion and a frog meet on the bank of a stream and the scorpion asks the frog to carry him across on its back. The frog asks, "How do I know you won't sting me?" The scorpion says, "Because if I do, I will die too."

    The frog is satisfied, and they set out, but in midstream, the scorpion stings the frog. The frog feels the onset of paralysis and starts to sink, knowing they both will drown, but has just enough time to gasp, "Why?"

    Replies the scorpion: "Its my nature..."..............DO NOT VOTE FOR mccain

    November 1, 2008 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  14. BBB

    PUBLISH MY COMMENTS! Or is it because I don't buy into the Palin is love ideology?!

    November 1, 2008 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  15. da centrist

    America, America, God shed his grace on thee.
    And crown thy good with brotherhood
    from sea to shining sea.

    It is time to stop the negative, embrace the positive

    and VOTE!

    we can only be the best if we truly embrace our goodness

    Barack Obama is a good, kind, family man

    you might not like his policies, if so don't vote for him
    but remember your children are watching this – so act accordingly

    The phrase for Wednesday will be

    PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA

    November 1, 2008 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  16. Karen - Missouri

    Hey, we're tryiing like crazy to get Missouri in the win column for Barack Obama and Joe Biden....the really true leaders for this century!

    November 1, 2008 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  17. d

    As a good Southern Cal fan would say Fight On!

    November 1, 2008 03:06 pm at 3:06 pm |
  18. vaughn

    CNN, stop focusing on BS stories about Obama's aunt being an illegal immigrant. I'm an Iraq vet, and to me all of McCain's (Palin's too) medical records seriously needs to be release to the public. There is no doubt in my mind now that, this man is suffering from Dementia and PTSD and should not be running for President! As far as Palin? This women is nuts! We cannot allow these two to get elected, they are both unstable and dangerous!

    November 1, 2008 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  19. jon,philadelphia

    The end of our country would be if McCain wins. It also seems kind of funny that all the hate people can't even spell, especially bob from ss. He can't spell, can't form sentences or even get his facts straight. That's what Republicans do. That's why Obama is ahead in so many places.

    November 1, 2008 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  20. Fred

    I understand the worry about the Bradley effect. However, ALL of these people in ALL of these states are lying to throw off the polls?

    Sounds pretty far fetched to me.

    November 1, 2008 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  21. TL

    CHEERS to all the obama supporters!. somebody hit me back. BO 08/12

    November 1, 2008 03:10 pm at 3:10 pm |
  22. Bobby

    I cannot believe the hatred from the McSane campaign. They have torn this country into pieces by there divisive politics. The Happy warrior aint to happy. And the polar bear hunter sarah is a complete joke she loves the hatred that is said in these Rallies she feeds on them for energy!!! I would like to say the process to become a President in this country has sucked. A person that has No Education on the basic principals of the constitution does not deserve to become president or Vice president of this great country of ours. The last president that did not understand the constitution became a complete joke.!!! We cant afford 4 more years.
    By the way these folks at these rallies that are acting tough and talking down on Barack will never have the guts to get that brave in california. There hats will be handed to them.!!!!!!!!
    Please to all the young voters get out there and vote dont get this lazy for the first time of in your lives. Please.

    November 1, 2008 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
  23. Obama is for UNITING of the PEOPLE

    SAD,SAD,SAD ABORTION The way the Republicans and holy then thou are ONLY acting as if Abortion is the only SIN and has caused the financial crisis, gas prices, helped oil and gas CEO get RICHER, banks make million off the American people who had the American dream, millions of home foreclosures, no healthcare for those who are pregnant, are not pregnant, never been pregnant and hope to pregnant, thousands of children in foster care and living on the streets, The bible SPEAKS of more the Abortion as a SIN, adultery (google McCain), lies, gossip and HATE are worst just as some of you think Abortion is. But NOT one of the economy serious ISSUES listed above HAD anything to do with ABORTION!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! We need REAL issue's resolved!!!!!!!!!!!

    Palin HOW many grandkids DO you have and WHERE is you MEDICAL RECORDS, YOU PROMISED LAST WEEK????

    November 1, 2008 03:13 pm at 3:13 pm |
  24. PeteKent

    THIS IS GOOD NEWS... FOR JOHN MCCAIN!!!

    November 1, 2008 03:15 pm at 3:15 pm |
  25. PK

    No wonder the rest of the world consider Americans hypocrites. They preach equality and racial tolerance to others while secretly havinfg racial bias. It iseems that for Americans it is only equality if the top dog is White

    November 1, 2008 03:15 pm at 3:15 pm |
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