November 3rd, 2008
09:50 AM ET
6 years ago

Poll update: McCain on defense in Bush states

McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.
McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.

(CNN) – New CNN state polls of polls released on the final full day of the 2008 campaign show Barack Obama holding on to battleground states won by John Kerry four years ago – and tied with or slightly ahead of John McCain in more than half a dozen others that voted for George Bush in 2004.

There’s some slight movement, but the polls of polls show the margin between the two men stands at just 1-3 percentage points in five crucial states. In four more, Obama holds an advantage of between 5 and 11 points.

Watch: The candidates make a final swing through the key battlegrounds

CNN’s new Florida poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 2 points, 48 to 46 percent. The last Florida poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

In the traditionally-Republican state of Indiana, the new poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana poll of polls –- released November 1 –- showed McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each. The last poll of polls –- released November 1 –- also showed McCain and Obama tied, at 48 percent each.

CNN’s new Nevada poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 49 to 44 percent. The last Nevada poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 49 to 43 percent.

In New Hampshire – the state that boosted McCain’s 2000 presidential effort and helped him claim the nomination this cycle – the poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent. CNN’s last New Hampshire poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent.

CNN’s new North Carolina poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 1 point, 49 to 48 percent. The last North Carolina poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 2 points.

Battleground Ohio – which helped seal Bush’s 2004 re-election bid – remains a tight race, with Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent, in the new CNN poll of polls. CNN’s last Ohio poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

CNN’s new Pennsylvania poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 8 points, 51 to 43 percent, in a state the Republican’s campaign has said is key to victory. CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points, 51 to 44 percent.

And CNN’s new Virginia poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 to 45 percent. The last Virginia poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 51 to 45 percent.

The poll of polls is an average of recent surveys. It does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (267 Responses)
  1. Chuck

    forget being on defense, just tell Palin to stop talking to radio jocks who are impersonating president's. Yes Sarah, they are going to just call you without any official notification. How stupid can you get. IDIOT! Not funny anymore, just glad she will be gone after tomorrow.

    November 3, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  2. Irene

    I can't wait till tomorrow.........gonna CHANGE my Country's path – FOR THE BETTER!

    I've never been more inspired and "moved" when voting day arrived than in THIS ELECTION.

    OBAMA / BIDEN 08

    November 3, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  3. Albert Fleickenhower

    McCain is gettin totally owned by Obama, face it. Even if the government did gain access to the mortgages, it would have to pay far more than they would ever be worth, housing specialists said Wednesday. That would effectively bail out banks and lenders with taxpayer money to a greater degree than Congress and the Bush administration are already doing through the $700 billion financial industry rescue enacted last week.

    Worst election ever. Peace out.

    November 3, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  4. eds

    PRESIDENT OBAMA!!
    YES WE CAN!!

    and we WILL!

    November 3, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  5. S. Boatman

    Only One More Day Until I Make My Voice Heard!

    November 3, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  6. Joe

    Wow...the Republican party has really lost its way. McCain and Palin presenting themselves as the "average guy", plain-spoken, down-home people (although they still talk about "redistribution of wealth", which is really just the 16th amendment...yeah that's right, go look it up!). But even more curious are the few people still supporting them...you sheep have really lost sight of what the conservative party means. I don't understand...America is a very complex and powerful nation, with tremendous challenges...wouldn't you want the smartest guy in the White House? Or would you go with the 72 year old idiot with no ideas (other than to attack Obama).

    November 3, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  7. McCain Supporter

    McCain has the right experience to lead. He's a fighter for all Americans. He's sincere and put the US, where it used to be. Obama is a mere community organizer with a lot of skeletons in the closet. Obama cannot be trusted and is only looking out for certain Americans.

    November 3, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  8. Annie, Atlanta

    BK – could the "don't pay taxes" comment mean people who make so little they get it all back? My son made about $2,000 last year, part time, still in HS. His employer took payroll taxes from him all year, and when he filed his tax return, he got it all back, because he made so little. Same with retirees living on SS and pensions. Are these people included in the 40%. We're not just talking about "welfare queens" who don't work. You want to spread the bad stuff, forgetting about the rest. Typical.

    November 3, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  9. Beth

    Looks very good for Obama. Turn out is very important so all Obama supporters have to get to the polls.

    November 3, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  10. JL

    This is not news......................AMERICA and the World, simply put are SICK of bold-faced LIERS. McSAME before the 2008 election was consider a moderate, but to appease the far-right GOP he wants to appear like them.............far-right. WRONG move McSAME, wrong move.

    November 3, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  11. TM in Colorado

    Polls mean nothing – Get out and vote.

    November 3, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  12. Chipster

    To Vindicated: You must hang out with the wrong crowd. I can tell you that Sen. Obama has a Juris Doctorate and was President of the Harvard Review. He was Director of a multiple church community organizer effort to improve neighborhoods in Chicago. He served as an Illinois Senator for 2 terms and has been a member of the U.S. Senate since Jan 2005.

    Most impressive to me is the fact that he taught constitutional law part time for 12 years at University of Chicago Law School. We desperately need someone who has actually read and understands the U.S. Constitution. It has been dismantled for the past 7 years!

    You need to travel in better circles.

    November 3, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  13. sunmmy

    lets throw out the republicans before another terorist ATTACK on the the innocent citiziens of this great UNITED STATE OF AMERICA.

    OBAMA FOR REAL 08.............

    November 3, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  14. Awaiting Moderation by CNN

    The myth of John McCain has been debunked.

    November 3, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  15. bob

    I can not imagine how much free airtime Mccain is getting.

    November 3, 2008 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  16. NANCY FROM MONTANA

    Recent polls in Montana show Obama in the lead-
    Get out to vote!!!!!!!!!!1

    MONTANAN FOR OBAMA/BIDEN

    BIG SKY COUNTRY TURNING BLUE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 3, 2008 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  17. Jarrod

    Party aside, watching these two has been night and day. McCain adds in Pennsylvania have been all fear, all attack, with no ideas. It looks just like the swift boat adds. Obama talks about fixing the system (it worked better when CEO's got paid 40 times what workers made, not 400) , McCain just blathers on about 'socialism, unaware that 90% of wage growth has been for the top 1% only. Im sure from where he is things look good. But the rest of us are tired of working harder so our CEO can buy another house. And so Obama has my vote.

    November 3, 2008 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
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