November 3rd, 2008
09:50 AM ET
6 years ago

Poll update: McCain on defense in Bush states

McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.
McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.

(CNN) – New CNN state polls of polls released on the final full day of the 2008 campaign show Barack Obama holding on to battleground states won by John Kerry four years ago – and tied with or slightly ahead of John McCain in more than half a dozen others that voted for George Bush in 2004.

There’s some slight movement, but the polls of polls show the margin between the two men stands at just 1-3 percentage points in five crucial states. In four more, Obama holds an advantage of between 5 and 11 points.

Watch: The candidates make a final swing through the key battlegrounds

CNN’s new Florida poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 2 points, 48 to 46 percent. The last Florida poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

In the traditionally-Republican state of Indiana, the new poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana poll of polls –- released November 1 –- showed McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each. The last poll of polls –- released November 1 –- also showed McCain and Obama tied, at 48 percent each.

CNN’s new Nevada poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 49 to 44 percent. The last Nevada poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 49 to 43 percent.

In New Hampshire – the state that boosted McCain’s 2000 presidential effort and helped him claim the nomination this cycle – the poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent. CNN’s last New Hampshire poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent.

CNN’s new North Carolina poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 1 point, 49 to 48 percent. The last North Carolina poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 2 points.

Battleground Ohio – which helped seal Bush’s 2004 re-election bid – remains a tight race, with Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent, in the new CNN poll of polls. CNN’s last Ohio poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

CNN’s new Pennsylvania poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 8 points, 51 to 43 percent, in a state the Republican’s campaign has said is key to victory. CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points, 51 to 44 percent.

And CNN’s new Virginia poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 to 45 percent. The last Virginia poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 51 to 45 percent.

The poll of polls is an average of recent surveys. It does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (267 Responses)
  1. Bulldog

    Sad day for John McCain, once an honorable man that will go down in history as running a dishonorable campaign.

    November 3, 2008 09:08 am at 9:08 am |
  2. Vindicated?? I don't think so...

    I'll be forthright with you I believe the American voters who are supporting Barack Obama don't have a clue what they're doing, as evidenced by the fact that not one of them – NOT ONE of them I've spoken to can spell out his qualifications. Not even the most liberal media can explain why he should be elected. Political experience? Negligible. Foreign relations? Non-existent. Achievements? Name one. Someone who wants to unite the country? If you haven't read his wife's thesis from Princeton , look it up on the web. This is who's lining up to be our next First Lady? The only thing I can glean from Obama's constant harping about change is that we're in for a lot of new taxes.

    November 3, 2008 09:09 am at 9:09 am |
  3. rich

    It's almost over. One more day.

    November 3, 2008 09:09 am at 9:09 am |
  4. Ken in Dallas

    "The poll of polls is an average of recent surveys. It does not have a sampling error."

    EVERY poll has a sampling error. The correct description would be that the CNN poll of polls combines the underlying poll results in such obscure ways that it is impossible to estimate its sampling error.

    As for the poll results, I'm waiting to see McCain lose Arizona.

    November 3, 2008 09:09 am at 9:09 am |
  5. LyonsPhilly

    Everybody get out and vote.....Can't take any chances that the Republicans won't try anything underhanded.....It's happened before. We need Obama for change......Keep the faith.

    November 3, 2008 09:10 am at 9:10 am |
  6. Voter

    VOTE> NO MATTER HOW LONG THE LINES ARE.

    (Four hours beats Four more years).

    November 3, 2008 09:10 am at 9:10 am |
  7. Karen - Tired of McCain and Bush Administration

    I am so happy the election will be over tomorrow and finally we can get rid of the Bush administration and McCain/Palin as well. McCain campaigning has been negative and the Bush administration threw one last knife at Obama. They attacked his family by releasing Obama 1/2 Aunt is here illegal. This is a woman who requested asylum and yet this information was release illegally. I am so angry this morning that I'm taking off tomorrow and drive people back/forth to the polls all day.

    The dirty tactics of the Republicans just proved they will stop at nothing to win this election.

    Obama/Biden '08

    November 3, 2008 09:10 am at 9:10 am |
  8. indepdentvoter10

    We need a president who unifies NOT divides. McCain you havent give one speech on unifying this country, just hate and deceit. No more war and I am NOT sending McCain any more relatives to kill for this oil. Obama/Biden.

    November 3, 2008 09:11 am at 9:11 am |
  9. Will18E

    It's over McCain/Palin. Your toast.

    November 3, 2008 09:11 am at 9:11 am |
  10. Vote for Change

    If you like Bush you'll love McCain / Palin.

    FOUR MORE YEARS!
    FOUR MORE YEARS!
    FOUR MORE YEARS!

    Democrats 08.

    November 3, 2008 09:12 am at 9:12 am |
  11. Obama is a questionable candidate

    I don't agree with John McCain on everything – but I am utterly convinced that he is qualified to be our next President, and I trust him to do what's right. I know in my heart that he has the best interests of our country in mind. He doesn't simply want to be President – he wants to lead America, and there's a huge difference. Factually, there is simply no comparison between the two candidates. A man of questionable background and motives who prattles on about change, can't hold a candle to a man who has devoted his life in public service to this nation, retiring from the Navy in 1981 and elected to the Senate in 1982.

    November 3, 2008 09:13 am at 9:13 am |
  12. Michael in Houston

    I know that after the count tomorrow, Obama will win unexpected states. What the difference between 2004 and 2008 is, the democrats did not have confidence in thier pick for the presidency. If you look at America in whole, we are a nation in the middle. What we don't want is another administration in thier, not listening to the people and making bone headed decision. We the people want fundalmental change. Obama has given a at least a plan, the question is will it be good enough. McCain has not said one thing that he will do different than what Bush has done. Heck, he didn't even mention the word change until the RNC convention, and that was after the American Public said that experience in D.C. didn't matter to them. There are more Republicans leaving thier party due to the leadership and thier ill fated decisions. And that is the reason that the "safe" Republican territories are in jeapordy.

    November 3, 2008 09:13 am at 9:13 am |
  13. Tom

    . . . No one should have to tell the Democrats this time.

    VOTE!

    November 3, 2008 09:13 am at 9:13 am |
  14. Barbara - 65 yr old white female in NC

    I really hope McCain loses. He is not the one I want representing Americans. He lies at every stop. Even continues the blatant lies after they have been debunked.

    He has no honor.

    Obama/Biden '08

    November 3, 2008 09:14 am at 9:14 am |
  15. THE US OF WHAT?

    How do we know these polls are accurate when they only poll people from land lines. I'm voting for Obama and I have never been called or polled and most of my friends and family haven't been polled either.

    Just vote straight democratic ticket and if you have to wait 10 hours make sure your vote for OBAMA/BIDEN

    November 3, 2008 09:15 am at 9:15 am |
  16. Kwaku Adusei

    My Vote is Locked DOWN!! OBAMA/BIDEN 08/12 and STRAIGHT DEMOCRAT!

    November 3, 2008 09:15 am at 9:15 am |
  17. vote! OBAMA-BIDEN NOV.4th

    mccain told us in his own words, he knows nothing about the economy, thats ovious, look at the shape we are in, he voted over 90% of the time with bush cheney. we can't take four more years of this careless leader ship. more companies are going out of business, circuit city in Virginia is closing 155 of their stores, we need a leader that can stop this terrible economy. WE NEED BARAK OBAMA!

    November 3, 2008 09:15 am at 9:15 am |
  18. KJL

    McCain of defense? That's a change. He has run the most offensive, vile, dishonest campaign I have ever seen.

    November 3, 2008 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  19. Simmy

    The Sidekick and The Sideshow-The End. 11/04/08

    November 3, 2008 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  20. lol

    everyone who turns on a light switch, should really be outraged by obama wanting to "bankrupt" the coal companies audio that surfaced. his comments once again to his san francisco friends are disturbing.not only will jobs be lost, but every americans electric bill will soar. obama once again is caught saying one thing to a group of voters,and pandering to yet another group!

    November 3, 2008 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  21. PHYLON DUBE

    VOTE HOPE AND LOVE not HATE and CORRUPTION

    November 3, 2008 09:18 am at 9:18 am |
  22. no mcain

    mcain: Fight, Fight, Fight

    obama: Unite, Unite, Unite

    November 3, 2008 09:18 am at 9:18 am |
  23. Karen from Charlottesville

    We cannot afford four more years of Bush policies! McCain is trying to hoodwink Americans with Joe the Plumber. Read his plan – everyday Americans will be hurt by it.

    November 3, 2008 09:19 am at 9:19 am |
  24. Pat

    Democrats, VOTE, VOTE, VOTE.
    Don't let them steal this one from us!

    Let's do it right this time!

    OBAMA FOR PRESIDENT!!!!

    November 3, 2008 09:19 am at 9:19 am |
  25. Solider

    Did anyone expect this to be a landslide??? I didn't think so.... Obama is doing right by not being cocky and telling people to vote.
    McCain is trying his hardest to rally the people.....and I have to give it to him...he is running uphill.....but I think the people are Palin Shy. It's hard to take her seriously.....

    November 3, 2008 09:19 am at 9:19 am |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11