November 3rd, 2008
09:50 AM ET
6 years ago

Poll update: McCain on defense in Bush states

McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.
McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.

(CNN) – New CNN state polls of polls released on the final full day of the 2008 campaign show Barack Obama holding on to battleground states won by John Kerry four years ago – and tied with or slightly ahead of John McCain in more than half a dozen others that voted for George Bush in 2004.

There’s some slight movement, but the polls of polls show the margin between the two men stands at just 1-3 percentage points in five crucial states. In four more, Obama holds an advantage of between 5 and 11 points.

Watch: The candidates make a final swing through the key battlegrounds

CNN’s new Florida poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 2 points, 48 to 46 percent. The last Florida poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

In the traditionally-Republican state of Indiana, the new poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana poll of polls –- released November 1 –- showed McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each. The last poll of polls –- released November 1 –- also showed McCain and Obama tied, at 48 percent each.

CNN’s new Nevada poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 49 to 44 percent. The last Nevada poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 49 to 43 percent.

In New Hampshire – the state that boosted McCain’s 2000 presidential effort and helped him claim the nomination this cycle – the poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent. CNN’s last New Hampshire poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent.

CNN’s new North Carolina poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 1 point, 49 to 48 percent. The last North Carolina poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 2 points.

Battleground Ohio – which helped seal Bush’s 2004 re-election bid – remains a tight race, with Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent, in the new CNN poll of polls. CNN’s last Ohio poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

CNN’s new Pennsylvania poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 8 points, 51 to 43 percent, in a state the Republican’s campaign has said is key to victory. CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points, 51 to 44 percent.

And CNN’s new Virginia poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 to 45 percent. The last Virginia poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 51 to 45 percent.

The poll of polls is an average of recent surveys. It does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (267 Responses)
  1. Ted:Canada

    STOCK MARKET posed to GO UP – if Obama wins!
    “based on world confidence”

    If McCain wins – take your money out FAST!
    Whatever you have left!

    Hurry!!!!

    November 3, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  2. A_Tested_Leader

    Only a few points more in the polls. That means a lot of people are not convinced who the "ideal" leader or Commander-in-Chief is, a nation deivided no matter what. Let 's wait and see a few years down the road, maybe it will be too late then, facing the international crisses, from North Korea, Russia, China, Iran, Syria and Israel. It is America's destiny, Joe Biden or Michelle Obama will be our future president. The White House is built just for her, Michelle Obama. God bless Amrica, in the tradition and family-values of our founding-fathers such as George Washington and Abraham Lincoln, as well as Ronald Reagan. Do not for get when a baby's life begins in its mother's womb.

    November 3, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  3. Rick

    No answers on the tough questions about Obamas ability to show good judgement. I would still like to get answers on his relationship with so many seedy people and his drug use which was paid for without money. What favors did he perform for these drug dealers in dark back alleys?

    November 3, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  4. dennis

    I voted for Obama. Proud of it. However, the undecided factor and margin of error could shut up all the pundits. GO VOTE. MAKE SURE YOUR NEIGHBORS, FRIENDS AND RELATIVES ALL VOTE.

    November 3, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  5. 08 Voter

    McCain will end up on top, but at a lesser cost.

    November 3, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  6. My senior parents are voting McCain

    Here's a question – 'Where were you five and a half years ago? Around Christmas, 2002. You've had five or six birthdays in that time. My son has grown from a sixth grade child to a high school graduate. Five and a half years is a good chunk of time. About 2,000 days. 2,000 nights of sleep. 6,000 meals, give or take.'

    John McCain spent that amount of time, from 1967 to 1973, in a North Vietnamese prisoner-of-war camp.

    When offered early release, he refused it. He considered this offer to be a public relations stunt by his captors, and insisted that those held longer than he should be released first. Did you get that part? He was offered his freedom, and he turned it down. A regimen of beatings and torture began.

    Do you possess such strength of character? Locked in a filthy cell in a foreign country, would you turn down your own freedom in favor of your fellow man? I submit that's a quality of character that is rarely found, and for me, this singular act defines John McCain.

    November 3, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  7. Avg Joe

    Interesting article in the NYT yesterday: the only other extended period of republican control of presidency and both houses was in the 20's. Dems have had control many more times without detrimental effect...

    November 3, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  8. Tanja Gillam

    Ok under 30 voters, it’s time for you to make a sacrifice for your country.

    The sacrifice I’m speaking of is your TIME.

    If the waiting time is 4 hours or 14 hours, it is a small price to pay for democracy.

    Get out and VOTE!

    November 3, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  9. Ari

    Arizona is up for grabs and this is one Arizonan voting for Obama. Come on fellow Arizonan's. Lets beat McCain in his own state.

    November 3, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  10. carol kesling

    bye way they wont have JEB BUSH to throw that election down there in florida this time.... if mcsame wins he will be because someone fixed the polls, or there are alot of people who will not vote for a black man !!!!

    November 3, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  11. Barnhardt in NC

    GET OUT AND VOTE. Take a day off, bring a jacket, rainsuit and chair. Do what you have to do to bring about change and reject the fear and smear politics of the GOP once and for all.

    November 3, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  12. rich

    Well..duh! It's the economcy stupid. He has no choice other than to defend for the last 8 disasterous years of Bush presidency from beginning to end. And that's not a great positon to be in "my friends".

    November 3, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  13. Chris

    I believe that McCain knows better, but why is he in denial?

    November 3, 2008 10:12 am at 10:12 am |
  14. Voter

    We want a country of equal opportunities not socialist. McCain will prove to be a better politician. He is proven and not risky. He is real not artificial.

    November 3, 2008 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  15. bernice

    Vindicated ??
    What world have you been living in for the last 2 years??

    November 3, 2008 10:13 am at 10:13 am |
  16. john doe

    one more day of the madness... while I do not agree with everything Obama says...Mccain has run one of the most dishonorable campaigns i can remember... Obama is the "best" candidate for the job... I can not side myself with a duo that spreads hate and animosity at their campaign stops...

    and I DO NOT TRUST PALIN

    what a farce......

    obama ./ biden 2008

    November 3, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  17. Amber

    Maybe the red states should succeed from the united states. We know Todd Palin would support this. Todd and Sarah Palin can be your rulers.

    November 3, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  18. Ken

    I guess at this point it wouldn't matter to people to find out that on Sept. 11 Obama was also supposed to hijack a plane and crash it into the White House even if he said it in his own words. Obama supporters and the press would just say what terrible attacks the McCain campaign have against Obama. In a way if he gets elected he is crashing into the White House.

    November 3, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  19. G. Robinson

    Well he says he's not Bush so he has to defend the states that Bush won since he's not Bush – maybe that's why he can't win them. LOL !!!!!

    BARACK YOUR VOTE!!!!!!

    OBAMA/BIDEN 08/12

    November 3, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  20. Jeffrey

    Everyone get out there tomorrow and participate!!! Get to the polls early to cast your vote.

    November 3, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  21. PA

    GO OBAMA!!!!
    It is truly a shame that McCain will leave this Campaign in disgrace due to his dispicable attacks, lies, half truths and a self serving, unqualified VP with a self serving agenda!

    November 3, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  22. Peter

    As a soon to be former Republican, I'm soo... tried of McCain/ Palin's and the Republican Party's constant vile and fearmongering. Is Obama perfect.. No, however he has vision and wants to unite this country. I hope he can make a difference in this country for all of us. If we allow the Republican Party to continue as it has, this country will tear itself apart. We cannot allow this...

    November 3, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  23. Rob

    When I come to this site it is it has been an exercise of listening(reading actually) to the power of dogma and the reiteration of the same arguments that have been proven to be completely incorrect by those who support the McCain ticket. I for one am glad that the election ends soon as I can hardly tolerate the low brow rationalizations. Since this forum is on a web site I am curious why so many can not be bothered to concuct any validation of the points they present. What I regularly find is alot of inuendo and psudo causal relationships. Why no debate on the merits of what McCain brings to the table? Why a concerted effort to sway opinion by presentation of information that has been proven to either be completely false and at the least spurious? This is what the People are railing against this election. I want to see an Obama Presidancy for sure, but what I really will vote for this year is a repudation of the religious right in American politics. Having recently attended the proverbial Sunday dinner with the Inlaws last evening I am still amazed at the power of dogma. I endured a considerable amount of regurgitation of FOX news but as promised did not talk politics. There is no other way to marginalize the extreem right other than an overwhelming mandate manifested by a decisive Democratic victory across the board. But I ask those who we elect to brake the back of the religious right to PLEASE stay the course of moderate governance or risk reignition of the right. May they rest in peace.

    November 3, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  24. Harry

    Did you guys see the phone prank on Palin on youtube?

    Now imagine it wasn't a canadian comedian on the line, but Vladimir Putin. And Palin had to persuade him not to sell nuclear weapons to Syria.

    My God, this election is so over.

    November 3, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  25. carol kesling

    i was delighted to see DICK CHENNY endorse mcsame, just the boost he didnt NEED !!!!!!!!!HOPEFULLY DICKY AND BUSHY WILL BE IN THE SAME CELL BLOCK WHEN THEY ARE INDITED FOR WAR CRIMES WITH KAEL ROVE !!!!! let freedom ring !!!!!!

    November 3, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
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