November 3rd, 2008
09:50 AM ET
5 years ago

Poll update: McCain on defense in Bush states

McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.
McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.

(CNN) – New CNN state polls of polls released on the final full day of the 2008 campaign show Barack Obama holding on to battleground states won by John Kerry four years ago – and tied with or slightly ahead of John McCain in more than half a dozen others that voted for George Bush in 2004.

There’s some slight movement, but the polls of polls show the margin between the two men stands at just 1-3 percentage points in five crucial states. In four more, Obama holds an advantage of between 5 and 11 points.

Watch: The candidates make a final swing through the key battlegrounds

CNN’s new Florida poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 2 points, 48 to 46 percent. The last Florida poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

In the traditionally-Republican state of Indiana, the new poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana poll of polls –- released November 1 –- showed McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each. The last poll of polls –- released November 1 –- also showed McCain and Obama tied, at 48 percent each.

CNN’s new Nevada poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 49 to 44 percent. The last Nevada poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 49 to 43 percent.

In New Hampshire – the state that boosted McCain’s 2000 presidential effort and helped him claim the nomination this cycle – the poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent. CNN’s last New Hampshire poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent.

CNN’s new North Carolina poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 1 point, 49 to 48 percent. The last North Carolina poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 2 points.

Battleground Ohio – which helped seal Bush’s 2004 re-election bid – remains a tight race, with Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent, in the new CNN poll of polls. CNN’s last Ohio poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

CNN’s new Pennsylvania poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 8 points, 51 to 43 percent, in a state the Republican’s campaign has said is key to victory. CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points, 51 to 44 percent.

And CNN’s new Virginia poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 to 45 percent. The last Virginia poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 51 to 45 percent.

The poll of polls is an average of recent surveys. It does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (267 Responses)
  1. Elinn

    I was going to vote McCain, but why waste my vote, when now we all know he will lose this election.. i want to be a part of history in a positive, i will close my eyes and vote for Obama, and hope for the best.

    November 3, 2008 09:20 am at 9:20 am |
  2. MikeH

    The Republican party has devolved into a joke, as evidenced by the rise of Samuel ('Joe') the tax cheat ('Plumber') being lofted to the position of Republican Foreign Policy adviser.

    Ha ha ha ha ha. The real Republican party honchos must be cringing and angry at what the rabid right wing idiot fringe has done to their life's work.

    November 3, 2008 09:20 am at 9:20 am |
  3. Michael watching from Canada

    Polls show that 80% of us outside the US prefer Obama.

    Please vote for Obama.

    November 3, 2008 09:21 am at 9:21 am |
  4. Michael from St. Louis

    Tommorow will be an interesting day for the entire world. Good luck to Barack and John...

    November 3, 2008 09:21 am at 9:21 am |
  5. Fat lady is warming up her voice ...

    He is where he wants to be. **Yeah right** Obama/Biden 08

    November 3, 2008 09:21 am at 9:21 am |
  6. tg

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2008/2012

    November 3, 2008 09:21 am at 9:21 am |
  7. greg

    No matter who wins the election Election day is going to be one of the most intense days in our country's history.

    November 3, 2008 09:22 am at 9:22 am |
  8. Claire

    Obama/Biden '08!! I am getting up at 5am tomorrow to be the first in line to vote, you should too!!

    November 3, 2008 09:22 am at 9:22 am |
  9. katiec

    Voters, we must make sure we vote for the survival of our country by voting for Barack Obama and Joe Biden,
    The lines may be long so be prepared. It is worth our sacrifices
    to state loud and clear that we want our nation to once again
    become the great nation it was.
    We have had ENOUGH!!

    November 3, 2008 09:22 am at 9:22 am |
  10. Watch Closely

    If we refuse to power ourselves.....coal, new drilling, exploiting other technologies that are ours (shale,wind,natural gas...the list goes on).

    We will become subservient to the rest of the world. Global warming will be nothing compared to the heat coming from under your collar.

    Listen to the candidates own words, Biden: No coal, clean or dirty, Obama: somebody building a coal plant will go bankrupt because of the fees and taxes due to environmental concerns. We might consider drilling, no nuclear until it is safe....please define safe, the French model? We're there, lets do it!

    You'll get change alright, but you may not like it.

    Vote with your head, not your heart.

    November 3, 2008 09:22 am at 9:22 am |
  11. ez

    Go vote for change America!

    Registered Republican "voted" Obma/Biden 08

    November 3, 2008 09:23 am at 9:23 am |
  12. Xavier, Saint Louis, Missouri

    GREAT! Keep it com'in! Obama all the way!

    YES WE CAN!

    November 3, 2008 09:23 am at 9:23 am |
  13. Puffin

    Why is McCain so sure he will win Pennsylvania? What does he know?

    November 3, 2008 09:23 am at 9:23 am |
  14. Maggie Muggins From Selwyn

    Hopefully Obama will win by over 10% to show the world that Americans are people looking for their country to become a world leader once again and rejecting the bullying status they achieved under the Bush/Cheney regime.

    In addition the entire world is laughing at Sara Palin and a major political party putting her on their ticket to be their second in command with a possibility of being their leader. She is consider a mental midget.

    November 3, 2008 09:23 am at 9:23 am |
  15. McCain?

    we have 1 day to take our country back from the republicans that have held us hostage over the last 8 years....but we need YOU to make it happen

    November 3, 2008 09:24 am at 9:24 am |
  16. Tim

    Update: Obama said he would bankrupt the US coal industry with the design of his energy plan and that the cost of energy would necessarily rise dramatically under his plan. Go to Drudge to listen to Obama in his own words. The complete questions, and his complete answer, no out of context words.

    Fact: The MSM has been silent on the issue.

    November 3, 2008 09:24 am at 9:24 am |
  17. Cathy

    The Penn GOP just cost Susan Collins my vote, and I call on all Maine people to do the same -Vote for Tom Allen and send the GOP a message!

    Where are Palin's medical records? Did she LIE like McCain, who promised he would not run a smear campaign?

    What about Palin's Kenyan WITCH DOCTOR, Todd's membership with the anti- AMERICAN ALASKAN INDEPENDENCE PARTY, the secessionist wanna be, who doesn't want to be buried in the USA?
    What about her ETHIC violations?

    How can reasonably intelligent Americans be so complacent with such a vindictive, under-educated Person!

    Ordinary People are Great, but that doesn't make them great Leaders- do we really want a "joe six pack" representing us in the mist of a world crisis? Even Alaskans say it doesn't take much to be Governor of Alsaka- Honestly, I feel more wary of this country every four years-What does this say about EDUCATION in this country when people flock towards idiocy in droves? SCARY!!!!

    November 3, 2008 09:25 am at 9:25 am |
  18. Sue in Alabama

    LISTEN UP, FOLKS!

    Get out there and VOTE... We don't have Anything sewn up, we need every single vote, so keep up and keep it going, and we will have a brand new President on Wednesday( President Elect, rather).

    I can't WAIT to cast my vote tomorrow. Would have done it weeks ago but Alabama doesn't have "early voting" except by mail-in ballot, and I didn't find That out until last week, too late to do it.

    Go vote, Everyone. Stand in line if you have to, whatever it takes. This one is too important Not to cast your vote.

    Thanks!

    Obama/ Biden '08

    November 3, 2008 09:25 am at 9:25 am |
  19. carol

    Everybody get out and vote..this election is far TOO important not to have your vote counted.
    McCain likes to think he is closing everywhere, but that would only be
    a pipe dream as it stands now....still, we must not be complacent and want everyone to make their vote count and all their friends to vote as well.
    We need Sen Obama to be our next President.....we need this country to be brought together and not divided as we have seen it due to the vile, rabble rousing campaign of McCain.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    November 3, 2008 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  20. Esther M. cuyahoga falls ohio

    i think there are hugh errors in the polling this year because of cell phones

    November 3, 2008 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  21. AL

    This is great and other polls that I have seen this morning have him up even higher, for example in PA up by 10.. With all the trips he made to PA it looks like he didn't even put a dent in the contest, he will be lucky if he energised his base there. One more day and it's not coming fast enough. I cannot wait, BYE BYE Georgie and all you cronies..

    November 3, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  22. CanIcallyouJoe

    What was the line? "You can fool some people none of the time, and some people some of the time, but not all people all of the time"?

    This quote would probably explain the Obama supporters the GOP has created.

    November 3, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  23. Deb

    America just one more day before most of us can head to the polls and vote for change. I will be so proud and excited to cast my vote for the next President of the United States - Senator Barack Obama and Senator Joe Biden. They will bring the unity and change this country so desperately needs.

    November 3, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  24. Puffin

    Let's hope Virginia and Pennsylvania will go Obama. I worry about Pennsylvania.

    November 3, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  25. Dawn

    This man is getting very desperate.. Gov Rendell said that he is going to charge them PA State tax...LOL because they have been in Pennsylvania so much trying to get our state from blue to red... That won't happen. We are an industrial state... we need work here...we need our state back to where it was...

    Go Obama/Biden08/12

    November 3, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
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