November 3rd, 2008
09:50 AM ET
6 years ago

Poll update: McCain on defense in Bush states

McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.
McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.

(CNN) – New CNN state polls of polls released on the final full day of the 2008 campaign show Barack Obama holding on to battleground states won by John Kerry four years ago – and tied with or slightly ahead of John McCain in more than half a dozen others that voted for George Bush in 2004.

There’s some slight movement, but the polls of polls show the margin between the two men stands at just 1-3 percentage points in five crucial states. In four more, Obama holds an advantage of between 5 and 11 points.

Watch: The candidates make a final swing through the key battlegrounds

CNN’s new Florida poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 2 points, 48 to 46 percent. The last Florida poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

In the traditionally-Republican state of Indiana, the new poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana poll of polls –- released November 1 –- showed McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each. The last poll of polls –- released November 1 –- also showed McCain and Obama tied, at 48 percent each.

CNN’s new Nevada poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 49 to 44 percent. The last Nevada poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 49 to 43 percent.

In New Hampshire – the state that boosted McCain’s 2000 presidential effort and helped him claim the nomination this cycle – the poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent. CNN’s last New Hampshire poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent.

CNN’s new North Carolina poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 1 point, 49 to 48 percent. The last North Carolina poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 2 points.

Battleground Ohio – which helped seal Bush’s 2004 re-election bid – remains a tight race, with Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent, in the new CNN poll of polls. CNN’s last Ohio poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

CNN’s new Pennsylvania poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 8 points, 51 to 43 percent, in a state the Republican’s campaign has said is key to victory. CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points, 51 to 44 percent.

And CNN’s new Virginia poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 to 45 percent. The last Virginia poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 51 to 45 percent.

The poll of polls is an average of recent surveys. It does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (267 Responses)
  1. j

    Can the United States hold a national election where all voters participate? It doesn't look that way. The long lines are unacceptable and it looks like voter suppression is alive and well in the 21st century. Voting in this country is 3rd world and it's a shame that a country that's supposed to have such high ideals can't do better. Every indication suggest that Obama should win this election. I hope Obama supporters are willing to put up with this 3rd rate voting system to get their votes cast. America needs new leadership. Vote for OBAMA/BIDEN!

    November 3, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  2. american

    Ha... this is news?

    November 3, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  3. Steve in Louisville

    Time is running out for the party of Hate, War, Greed and Lies!

    Go Obama!

    November 3, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  4. BK

    A lot of us in Florida are registered Democrats and are voting for McCain. Obama will not win here. The people from Ohio, Pa. and Va. coal country, Obama will bankrupt the coal industry. They will not have to worry about a tax cut they will be taking the welfare check like the other 40% that don't pay taxes if they vote for Obama.

    November 3, 2008 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  5. Tim E

    Does a poll of polls mean you are counting the same people voting over and over again? I hope not. That would be misleading. And Joe Biden better remember that when he says McCain can have the endorsement of Dick Cheney, because Joe and Barack want Buffet and Powell, that that's only 3 votes and I have more than that in my family! He'd better be looking for our endorsements.

    November 3, 2008 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
  6. FLORIDA for Obama

    STILL haven't heard A PLAN from these people.

    ALL they have to say is "Obama this and Obama that"

    STILL NO LAID OUT PLAN FROM THE REPUBLICAN NEO NATZI US of KKK McShame and FAILIN' PALIN.

    November 3, 2008 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
  7. Ken in NC

    While I still feel that McCain is an honorable man that has been led astray by his campaign handlers, I will be glad when this election is over because I am tired of hearing his VP mate spewing so much vile and hate from her mouth. I'll be so glad to see her go back to Alaska where she can RULE as she pleases.

    November 3, 2008 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
  8. Dave

    Scoreboard. Check it.

    Come on Goppers... check the score.

    I feel your palin... er pain. I have in fact, for 8 years.

    Tomorrow is a great day for America.

    Time for some progressive politics. Let the pendulum swing.

    November 3, 2008 09:29 am at 9:29 am |
  9. Foreign observer

    Unbelievable how many Americans liked the last 8 years. Of course most did survive...

    November 3, 2008 09:29 am at 9:29 am |
  10. cesar

    The problem with a lot of people in this country is they fear change. Most cannot make up their own minds. I hear the mccain ticket talk about opportunity but there has not been a lot of opportinity in the last 6yrs. I hope a majority of americans can see the it is time for change.

    Obama 08

    November 3, 2008 09:30 am at 9:30 am |
  11. roy -IL

    Tomorrow will judge whether the American people respond to the politics of hate and division or the politics of hope and unity. VOTE OBAMA.

    November 3, 2008 09:31 am at 9:31 am |
  12. BM

    McCain/Palin rallies are not diversed, so this tells the world what kind of leaders these two bimbos will be.

    November 3, 2008 09:31 am at 9:31 am |
  13. Chuck

    I bet he is just kicking himself with his decision for VP pick. This could have been a real race. Instead Palin has sunk the GOP, and it will be along time until it surfaces again. From a man who I admired for years, to this sad desparate figure of a used up politician. The GOP did this to McCain and he let them do it. Lost all respect I ever had for him.

    November 3, 2008 09:31 am at 9:31 am |
  14. obama 08-12

    bye bye mccain, bye bye palin,we won't miss your faces.

    November 3, 2008 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  15. Prezzy Ivo Junior

    Obama wins tomorrow by a land slide. The McCain campain was doomed the day he chose Sara Palin as his running mate. His judgement proved to the American people that, he does not only embrase Bush's policies, but he will be a worse president than Bush should he get elected. The question now is, who put country first in the most important decision a president makes, sellecting a VP, prior to entering the White House? and who will, therefore, better serve this country, Obama or McCain?

    November 3, 2008 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  16. Gidget goes back to Alaska

    An Obama landslide victory is inevitable! Fox news website is now crumbling (cant post any comments anywhere LOL).The Republican party is going down in flames. The desparation and anger in these post are hilarious. Please re-join the majority of America, my GOP brothers and Sisters, after the Election tomorrow. We will unite and heal this nation as One People. One Nation! President Barack Hussein Obama!

    November 3, 2008 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  17. johnrj08

    I would like someone to explain why these polls tighten the closer we get to the election. The campaigns have been going on for nearly 2 years. Are we supposed to actually believe that people are just now making a decision, the day before the election? Are voters really that dumb and uninformed. I don' t believe any of these polls. They are too easily manipulated by the media. And the idea that John McCain and Sarah Palin's despicable campaign tactics are actually working is the most difficult thing of all to believe.

    November 3, 2008 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  18. Obama For pres

    Who cares about a Poll all i care about is Obama winning tommorrow so he can show all those racist Republicans the Door Obama 08 Republicans get out of the Real America

    November 3, 2008 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  19. So over Joe the Plumber

    This is going to be a blue country, from Maine to California..from Minnesota to Texas! GO HOME PALIN!

    November 3, 2008 09:33 am at 9:33 am |
  20. Run Throrough The Tape

    Let's go Obama Republicans !

    November 3, 2008 09:33 am at 9:33 am |
  21. Suzanne

    Great news...
    The whole world is going to welcome this change and looks more favourably to the US...
    United we can...Change is coming

    November 3, 2008 09:33 am at 9:33 am |
  22. Maggie from Virginia

    Get over it McCain supporters... It's time to unite! Stop saying nasty things about our next president Barack Obama.

    November 3, 2008 09:33 am at 9:33 am |
  23. Neal

    I'll show you a poll of polls: 538.

    November 3, 2008 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
  24. Debra in CA

    Please get out and VOTE! I will truly be afraid for myself and my family if McCain wins the White House!

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2008

    HOPE WE WANT, CHANGE WE NEED!

    November 3, 2008 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
  25. DemforMcCain

    McCain is a tested candidate who has proven over and over that Americans are his priorities. He hasn't had a need to be vandicated. Obama has been spreading a bunch of propaganda and made promises that he won't be able to keep. Obama has been making speeches that have been prepared in advance. Will he be able to make the correct decisions for the American people. I doubt that.

    November 3, 2008 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
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