November 3rd, 2008
09:50 AM ET
6 years ago

Poll update: McCain on defense in Bush states

McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.
McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.

(CNN) – New CNN state polls of polls released on the final full day of the 2008 campaign show Barack Obama holding on to battleground states won by John Kerry four years ago – and tied with or slightly ahead of John McCain in more than half a dozen others that voted for George Bush in 2004.

There’s some slight movement, but the polls of polls show the margin between the two men stands at just 1-3 percentage points in five crucial states. In four more, Obama holds an advantage of between 5 and 11 points.

Watch: The candidates make a final swing through the key battlegrounds

CNN’s new Florida poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 2 points, 48 to 46 percent. The last Florida poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

In the traditionally-Republican state of Indiana, the new poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana poll of polls –- released November 1 –- showed McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each. The last poll of polls –- released November 1 –- also showed McCain and Obama tied, at 48 percent each.

CNN’s new Nevada poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 49 to 44 percent. The last Nevada poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 49 to 43 percent.

In New Hampshire – the state that boosted McCain’s 2000 presidential effort and helped him claim the nomination this cycle – the poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent. CNN’s last New Hampshire poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent.

CNN’s new North Carolina poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 1 point, 49 to 48 percent. The last North Carolina poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 2 points.

Battleground Ohio – which helped seal Bush’s 2004 re-election bid – remains a tight race, with Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent, in the new CNN poll of polls. CNN’s last Ohio poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

CNN’s new Pennsylvania poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 8 points, 51 to 43 percent, in a state the Republican’s campaign has said is key to victory. CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points, 51 to 44 percent.

And CNN’s new Virginia poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 to 45 percent. The last Virginia poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 51 to 45 percent.

The poll of polls is an average of recent surveys. It does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (267 Responses)
  1. Prezzy Ivo Junior

    For the good of the country, it is time for McCain to appologize to the American people for running a very negative campain. By doing so, he will preserve his dignity and legacy in the senate.

    November 3, 2008 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
  2. Brian

    McCain's campaign has been flawed from the start.

    He says he wants to fight this and that and the American people just don't want someone in the White House who is going to fight everyone, including the average person at the expense of the super rich.

    November 3, 2008 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  3. JL

    Stand up, stand in line, and vote! It will be a sad day for America if we allow another stolen presidential election.

    November 3, 2008 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  4. johnrj08

    Dear Vindicated... The only reason you haven't heard what Obama's qualifications are from those who support him is because you've had both hands clamped firmly over your ears. What's worse, you've been doing the same thing whenever McCain or Palin spew their raw sewage about Obama. At this point, no list of achievements, leadership qualities, or academic distinction is going to convince you or anybody like you. A waste of time. Your mind has been closed from day one, probably because you're terrified of the idea that a black man is going to be elected president tomorrow.

    November 3, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  5. Spring Cleaning 08/09

    Just one more day left to take out 8 years of festering trash. Everybody get your brooms out, this election is gonna be a sweep!!!

    Don't forget to vote!!! Obama/Biden 08

    November 3, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  6. Cheryl

    McCain's record of "War Hero" is/was his only saving grace through and throughout this campaign. It started out wrong with his choice of Palin and that is why he has had to be so defensive and while he is doing that run a dishonorable campaign. By the way, WHERE ARE SARAH PALIN'S MEDICAL RECORDS???????????????

    November 3, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  7. grahame

    Regarding the nasty horrific dirty campaign the McCain and Republicans have run. If that's the kind of government you want then please move to another country. We do not need the 1950s style of McCarthy scare tactics that don't work anymore anyway. Then it was a Communist under every bed. now it's a Terrorist. We refuse to except a woman like Palin who refuses to call someone who bombs an abortion clinic a criminal i.e Terrorist.either.

    I am really proud to call myself an Obamabot , and after this election is over I will bet we will never hear from you again. Thank God

    November 3, 2008 09:37 am at 9:37 am |
  8. Sons of America

    I'll keep my freedom, my guns and my money. You can keep THE CHANGE.

    November 3, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  9. Susan

    Give it a break.

    He is McCain.........not Bush.

    For Obama until recently, now for McCain/Palin

    November 3, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  10. Geez

    Hey Vindicated...would you please tell me ONE THING that your candidate has said he would do to help the economy? He has had weeks to spell out his plan for our nation, but all he and his babbling VP pick have done is attack Obama. He has no plan. If he did...he would tell us. At least Obama has consulted with economists and received endorsements from several of them regarding his economic plan. Eight years ago, we elected a governor from Texas w/o economic or international experience. Look where it got us. Trillions of dollars in debt, we in a war that was illegal and immoral, and the economy is in the toilet. I don't want 4 more years of the same. I guess you can afford it???

    November 3, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  11. Aaron from Ohio

    Virginia is the state to watch on election night. If McCain takes Virginia, it could be a long night for Senator Obama. If Obama takes it, it will be a short night for Senator McCain. Virginia could signal a changing of the electoral map for several elections to come. If Senator Obama takes Virginia and Pennsylvania (where McCain is pinning his hopes) break out the bubbly...it's time to party.

    November 3, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  12. MsAnnette, Little Rock, AR

    God bless Obama
    God bless America!!!!!!

    November 3, 2008 09:38 am at 9:38 am |
  13. Doug R.

    McCain is absolutely pathetic. He is out campaigning, talking to the Americam people, spewing out all sorts of lies and falsehods. McCain is incapable of speaking for more than 30 seconds about real issues. He has run a dirty dishonest smear campaign. Typical of the Republican party.
    He and pitbull with lipstick deserve to be defeated big time.

    November 3, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  14. Which One?

    I'm with Colin Powell, William Buckley, Ronald Reagan's chief of staff, Scott McClellan, the Granddaughter of President Eisenhower, Warren Buffet, Paul Vocker, Al Gore, and many other independent minded republicans and democrats.

    I'm voting for "That One!"

    November 3, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  15. Mike C. from St. Louis

    I've read a few comments where individuals are stating that the "obamabots" spewed a lot of hatred within these blogs. Well my question is wouldn't you be a little ticked off if for the past eight years and each election you were rightfully so against the bush administration and then put into the same bad prediciments that these idiots chose to place us in as a country? We were right in voting for the other guys and the Repub zealots stole each election and are determined to put another bad pick in the white house. We've done it the Repubs way the last 2 times and us as democrats are angered and refuse to let it happen again!!!

    Barock the Vote tomorrow!!!!

    November 3, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  16. TRANSITIONAL PRESIDENT

    Anyone will be a change from 8years of arrogance we have been forced to endure under the Bush regime. I am certain that whom ever is the Pres. on 11/5, it will be a change. What I am leary of is the candidate that promises so much and will deliver more arrogance. Obama, who knows who he is nothing he says is worth believing in because he depends on the unknown. McCain, is slightly better but either way they will be TRANSITIONAL, to a change in 4yrs mark my words.

    2012 the year of the true agent of change. A woman we all can believe in. HILLARY

    November 3, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  17. 08 Voter

    Undecided voters... Listen to your conscience and be sure of the decision you'll make. Do you want a leaner government? Do you want equal opportunity of earning a dignified living? Do you want job creation? Do you want energy independence? Do you a bipartisan government? Do you want Supreme Court judges with a conscience? Do you want a government on a budget? Vote for McCain tomorrow.

    November 3, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  18. alvino

    Vindicated??I don't think so:

    I do not believe that anyone who is voting for McCain /Palin have a clue about what they are doing. Other than being a POW, he has no more qualifications than Obama. Fox news cannot give a reason that McCain should be elected other than he is the republican candidate. Erratic, no economic expertise, and a desire to divide the country are McCain's strengths. His choice of a vp who is guilty of ethics violations and a socialist from her home state of Alaska show he is out of touch.

    November 3, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  19. mitch

    i will be so happy when republicans no longer have a party of hate.

    November 3, 2008 09:39 am at 9:39 am |
  20. Proactive voter (Germain SK)

    McCain is fighting for more four years like the past 8 years but Obama is fighting for change.

    We stand for real change

    Obama&Biden

    November 3, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  21. grahame

    And another thing. If the Elisabeth Dole Ad is an example of just how filthy the Republicans are then you will not a prayer in 2012

    November 3, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  22. chris

    McCain talks as if he has never even HEARD of the Republican administration of George W Bush.
    Shame on you!!!

    November 3, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  23. Mary

    McCain and Palin don't sound like a president/vice president. You can hear it when they speak...they are angry, shrill, often yelling in their speeches. McCain is speaking in Tampa right now, and he's yelling at the crowd. They don't sound presidential at all. And my God, how can they keep saying the same thing over and over...I can't believe they still need a teleprompter. For crying out loud, even I have it memorized by now!!! Sounds like his crowds are getting much smaller too...I don't blame them...they must be sick of hearing the same old thing!

    November 3, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  24. When shall you stop this deception!

    Today is the last day before the election and Sarah Palin has not yet had interview with Larry King Live, WHY? Not Qualified to be a VP? Fraud???

    – Why are Sen. McCain and his team using Joe the Plumber (a Fraud) to insinuate issues about Obama's Presidency, is it because he is erractic, lacks idea, and trying to defraud voters?
    – Why has Sen. McCain not allowed Sarah Palin as promised alone to do interview with LKL, if she is qualified to be a VP of USA?
    – Why is Sarah Palin’s windfall tax distribution to Alaskans not wealth distribution and “socialism”?
    – Why are those checks from Bush Administration last May not wealth distribution and “socialism”?
    Sarah Palin is a Fraud and must bet stopped before she messes up USA and the world!

    November 3, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  25. Chuck, Tennessee

    To Elinn

    You will vote for Obama just because you want to be part of history? Well, the greatness of our nation will be history if Obama is elected and has Congress in his pocket. We need a non-Democrat in the White House just to offset the Democratic Congress. Otherwise, they will spend us into oblivion.

    November 3, 2008 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
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