November 3rd, 2008
09:50 AM ET
5 years ago

Poll update: McCain on defense in Bush states

McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.
McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.

(CNN) – New CNN state polls of polls released on the final full day of the 2008 campaign show Barack Obama holding on to battleground states won by John Kerry four years ago – and tied with or slightly ahead of John McCain in more than half a dozen others that voted for George Bush in 2004.

There’s some slight movement, but the polls of polls show the margin between the two men stands at just 1-3 percentage points in five crucial states. In four more, Obama holds an advantage of between 5 and 11 points.

Watch: The candidates make a final swing through the key battlegrounds

CNN’s new Florida poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 2 points, 48 to 46 percent. The last Florida poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

In the traditionally-Republican state of Indiana, the new poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana poll of polls –- released November 1 –- showed McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each. The last poll of polls –- released November 1 –- also showed McCain and Obama tied, at 48 percent each.

CNN’s new Nevada poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 49 to 44 percent. The last Nevada poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 49 to 43 percent.

In New Hampshire – the state that boosted McCain’s 2000 presidential effort and helped him claim the nomination this cycle – the poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent. CNN’s last New Hampshire poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent.

CNN’s new North Carolina poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 1 point, 49 to 48 percent. The last North Carolina poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 2 points.

Battleground Ohio – which helped seal Bush’s 2004 re-election bid – remains a tight race, with Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent, in the new CNN poll of polls. CNN’s last Ohio poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

CNN’s new Pennsylvania poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 8 points, 51 to 43 percent, in a state the Republican’s campaign has said is key to victory. CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points, 51 to 44 percent.

And CNN’s new Virginia poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 to 45 percent. The last Virginia poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 51 to 45 percent.

The poll of polls is an average of recent surveys. It does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (267 Responses)
  1. Team America

    McCain on defense?? No problem, he's the best and only suitable candidate that is strong on our national defense. Easy liberal hippies, I know people hate Bush so they want to hate McCain too b/c he's a Republican, blah blah blah...but experience on ALL policies, domestic and foreign, is why I'm voting McCain.

    Go McCain!!

    November 3, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  2. BeauMan

    Vindicated??

    Finally, someone who actually has a rational and educated comment. You can't get through to a group of liberals who lack the ability to vote with clear intellectual substance and facts. The truly funny part is reading all the hate and ignorance spewed by the same Obama supporters that keep crying "McCain's campaign is filled with hate and smear tactics!" Denial of the facts is what most of the uneducated base their vote on in the Obama camp. If they actually did the research, some eyes would be opened. Sometimes the truth hurts...and it's easier to hide it than to confront it.

    November 3, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  3. Annie, Atlanta

    I don't understand why McCain isn't further behind in the polls. What he and Sarah have unleashed is a horror. I live in suburban Atlanta and am afraid to put an Obama sign in my yard for fear of my family's safety.

    The republican "base" that shows up at Sarah's rallies should just drop the pretense, and wear their white robes and hoods.

    I am afraid for my country for the first time in my adult life. John McCain, win or lose, owes this country an apology for what he has knowingly unleashed. And I hope to God it can be contained again.

    November 3, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  4. Pat

    IT'S TIME TO END THE GREAT OBAMA ILLUSION !!!!!!!

    COUNTRY FIRST – McCain/Palin - YES WE WILL !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 3, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  5. dan

    mcsame will fall back tomorrow

    November 3, 2008 09:47 am at 9:47 am |
  6. Seattle Sue

    Looks like the only thing left for McCain/Palin and GOP is to steel the election as they did in 2000 and 2004.

    November 3, 2008 09:47 am at 9:47 am |
  7. grahame

    Oh by the way it's easier to remain a prisoner of war and stay alive than it is to be returned to your unit only to go back into combat and stand the chance of being killed. That's the trouble. A real hero is someone who has given his or her life to save their fellow soldier, not someone who was shot down second time out.

    November 3, 2008 09:47 am at 9:47 am |
  8. PeopleVOTE

    Tommorow is the day the old man Mccain and the witche lying Alaska bit*ch get terminated and kicked to the curve.

    November 3, 2008 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  9. Chris

    Just get out and vote tomorrow...stand in the rain if you have to...stand for hours if you have to. This isn't over till it's over and we don't need a repeat of the "great Florida screw-up of 2000". If you need a ride to the polls, call somebody...if you're intimidated, turned away, or misled in any way, call somebody. And remember, a straight ticket vote DOES NOT include the presidential election (at least in North Carolina). Read your ballot carefully!!! This is our one chance, as a nation, to stand up and be counted...let's get it right, one way or another!

    November 3, 2008 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  10. w.l. jones

    We need a president speak with dept in his thought pattern when addresing we the people of America and world.

    November 3, 2008 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  11. grahame

    Oh by the way it's easier to remain a prisoner of war and stay alive than it is to be returned to your unit only to go back into combat and stand the chance of being killed. That's the trouble. A real hero is someone who has given his or her life to save their fellow soldier, not someone who was shot down second time out. In other words the title of hero does not apply in this case.

    November 3, 2008 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  12. Hal

    It is sad how John McCain has so dishonored his legacy Sometimes I feel like he thinks he the only person to have fought for his country been a prisioner of war had battle scars and on and on. What about every other american? there are millions that did just as much as he did. He is a selfish man , and thats how he'll go down in History!!

    November 3, 2008 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  13. Bikll,Ca

    NO MORE 4 years of the same.

    Palin and McCain are still are liars and are misleading the american people about Obamas tax plan.

    The never talk about their own planned spendings.

    Nobody knows what they are planning to do – why should anyone buy a cat in the sack.

    And don't reward any republican for their 8 years of failed politics. Gey them out of washington.

    Obama / Baden 08

    November 3, 2008 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  14. Alex S.

    Mr. Vinidcated???

    John McCain was great in 2000, but this year, he's been nothing but an angry old man who feels entitlement to the Presidency.

    Palin was his first big mistake.

    His second was to use the smear'n'fear tactic against Obama.

    I don't think the DNC would allow Obama to run if they felt he would threaten OUR United States (yes, yours and mine).

    November 3, 2008 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  15. John from western PA

    Susan are you crazy?
    McCain has zero plan. He has some words but no plan.
    He has already made a dreadful deciion in picking an uneducated Palin. The media has been far too easy on her.

    McCain is the one throwing up the fabricated propoganda. That is gutless. McCain is running the campaign of a coward.

    November 3, 2008 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  16. Hard Working American for McCain

    grahame – it's always the Republicans who run a dirty campaign. Never a democrat. Don't you think it's about time you grow up and "call a spade a spade?" I have never, ever seen a democrat stoop so low and provoke such tactics as Barack Obama. But then again he is the problem in America today. Barack and his Acorn friends(verified and confirmed via America Thinkers) began the mortgage crisis. Obam voted in 1994 to give loans on mortgages for minorities that had no business getting them!

    November 3, 2008 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  17. Larry/TX

    We're going to win this thing fellow Democrats....so long as none of us grow too weary to stand in long lines. We know that the Republicans are responsible for not having sufficient voting machines in heavy Dempcratic precints. So, if for no other reason, lets persevere in these long lines, so that Barrack can fix this decades old problem of voter suppression. Go Barrack, Michele, Joe, Hilary, and Bill

    November 3, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  18. Go Steelers

    Pennsylvania, Obama is cheering for your team tonight while McBush is cheering for the Redskins. McCain would sell out his own Mother to win this election and his actions and decisions have proven that. He has become a grumpier old man who is in love with a staged set up Joe the Plumber.

    Vote Obama/Biden tomorrow and let’s move on with the real change America needs and is waiting for…

    November 3, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  19. EX REPUBLICAN IN TEXAS

    I stood in line for almost 2 hours Friday to vote for Obama.

    McCain has been a terrible disappointment since he made the mistake of choosing Palin as for VP. Terrible campaign. All hate. "Fight, Fight, Fight" Nothing positive. Nothing informative. Outright lies. No response to chants of "terrorist" and "kill him".

    I voted for change and will be proud to call Senator Obama President!

    VOTE, VOTE, VOTE.
    Anytime spent in line will be less painful than the last 4 years.

    November 3, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  20. Mikey

    McCain just said that if he is President, he will not spend $700 billion bailing our Wall Street. Does he have short term memory loss? Didn't he just vote for that bill last month?

    Trivia question: Who are the five biggest deficit spenders in the post WW II era? Answer (in order of their spending): George W. Bush, Ronald Regan, George HW Bush, Jimmy Carter, and Gerald Ford). The first three are responsible for over 80% of our entier national debt, most of that run up when they also had a Republican controlled Congress. Go figure!

    And he just said "the Mac is back". Let's give him the opporutnity to say it when he returns to the Senate after this election.

    November 3, 2008 09:51 am at 9:51 am |
  21. Tom in Atlanta

    I want to bankrupt the coal industry too. When was that a bad thing? We be focused on creating higher quality jobs in green infrastructure build up instead of pursuing a technology that hasn't changed since the industrial revolution.

    November 3, 2008 09:52 am at 9:52 am |
  22. Ebika

    Obama has won already please all democrat cast ur vote and ensure they are counted.Don't let d republicans rig d election like they did against John kerry

    November 3, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  23. Loving Obama

    Florida Bring it home for us this year. **Vote all Democrat in 08**

    November 3, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  24. Jim Schimmer

    Please Vote tomorrow people!

    NO MATTER HOW LONG THE LINES ARE!

    YOU have to VOTE!!!

    YOUNG PEOPLE! PLEASE VOTE!!

    November 3, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  25. HouseDiva

    i have a bad feeling that the RNC is going to cheat in missouri

    because early voting is NOT permitted in Missouri; i have a bad feeling that people in St. Louis city and St. Louis country will be suppressed from voting due to long lines, bad machines, not enough machines, and not enough paper ballots.

    the election officials have cheated thousands out of voting in 2000, and 2004, and this year is no different.

    PLEASE

    PLEASE

    PLEASE CNN!!!!...monitor the situation in St. Louis Missouri...make sure that EVERY vote is cast and that EVERY vote is counted!!!!!

    November 3, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
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