November 3rd, 2008
09:50 AM ET
6 years ago

Poll update: McCain on defense in Bush states

McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.
McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.

(CNN) – New CNN state polls of polls released on the final full day of the 2008 campaign show Barack Obama holding on to battleground states won by John Kerry four years ago – and tied with or slightly ahead of John McCain in more than half a dozen others that voted for George Bush in 2004.

There’s some slight movement, but the polls of polls show the margin between the two men stands at just 1-3 percentage points in five crucial states. In four more, Obama holds an advantage of between 5 and 11 points.

Watch: The candidates make a final swing through the key battlegrounds

CNN’s new Florida poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 2 points, 48 to 46 percent. The last Florida poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

In the traditionally-Republican state of Indiana, the new poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana poll of polls –- released November 1 –- showed McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each. The last poll of polls –- released November 1 –- also showed McCain and Obama tied, at 48 percent each.

CNN’s new Nevada poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 49 to 44 percent. The last Nevada poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 49 to 43 percent.

In New Hampshire – the state that boosted McCain’s 2000 presidential effort and helped him claim the nomination this cycle – the poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent. CNN’s last New Hampshire poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent.

CNN’s new North Carolina poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 1 point, 49 to 48 percent. The last North Carolina poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 2 points.

Battleground Ohio – which helped seal Bush’s 2004 re-election bid – remains a tight race, with Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent, in the new CNN poll of polls. CNN’s last Ohio poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

CNN’s new Pennsylvania poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 8 points, 51 to 43 percent, in a state the Republican’s campaign has said is key to victory. CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points, 51 to 44 percent.

And CNN’s new Virginia poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 to 45 percent. The last Virginia poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 51 to 45 percent.

The poll of polls is an average of recent surveys. It does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (267 Responses)
  1. Librarian for Obama/Biden

    The U.S.A. is a great country that has been diminished and ill-served by the last eight years of Pres. Bush's divisive presidency. For those voters who are still planning to vote for Sen. McCain, who is sure to continue Bush's policies, I urge you to reconsider. Please compare the candidates' tax plans and health plans on their respective websites. And, think about the behavior of the candidates during their campaigns. Also, if you are voting for McCain because of his pro-life stance, consider that abortions have actually gone up during Pres. Bush's terms, (look it up on the Catholics for Obama site). Time to come together America – we need to be more practical and less ideological in our government. Voting for Sen. Obama and Sen. Biden is a good start to tackling our country's numerous problems.

    November 3, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  2. James from Kansas City

    Susan=phony.
    No one believes you were for Obama until recently and now are for McCain. Hogwash.

    November 3, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  3. Catholic-mom-4-OBAMA

    My last comment disappeared! SO ...........fine, CNN.

    PLEASE VOTE.......ESPECIALLY YOU COLLEGE STUDENTS!

    PLEASE AMERICA LET'S REJECT THE POLITICS OF LIES, FEAR, HATE AND DIVISION THAT THE REPUBLICANS SPEW!

    *********STOP THE HATE************STOP THE LIES********************

    November 3, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  4. mel

    Roses are red
    Violets are blue
    Obama will succeed
    with the help of YOU!!

    OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    November 3, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  5. Jim

    My wife and I stood in line for four and a half hours yesterday to cast our votes. If we can do it, anybody can!

    Get out and vote. It's your responsibility as an American.

    Get out and vote. Or abdicate your right to complain about the result.

    Get out and vote. Don't just read about history, make history.

    November 3, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  6. KC

    Dear Lord: Hear our prayers.

    November 3, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  7. Greg Mitchell

    Win Obama Win, Baton Rouge, La. Win Obama Win, Louisiana, Win Obama Win,The united State of America, Win Obama Win, The world. We are all eagerly awaiting the victory of positive change. Please make a visit to Baton Rouge, Louisiana.

    OBAMA 08"........................................................................................

    November 3, 2008 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  8. Leah

    Mc Cain standing at the podium and constantly pounding his fists and pitching his hissy fit is S C A R Y!! McCain says: "Fight, fight, fight". Obama says "Unite,unite,unite!".

    November 3, 2008 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  9. Sheila

    Like I told a lady at my job: How can I vote for someone who cant seem to run his own campaign? Why would I stand behind a man whose slogan is "Country First" yet spent most of his campaign trying to discredit Obama? I used to believe in McCain, but he has disappointed me. He wants to win this so bad, he will do whatever it takes. Sad.

    November 3, 2008 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  10. Mohamed from Virgina

    I glad Sara Palin saga is going to finish, she can go home lie to Alaskans.
    hope she will leering how read and write.

    November 3, 2008 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  11. Red, white and blue

    Not surprised. Unity and hope will always defeat the dishnourable, divisive politics of desperation, hatred and fear. One day and counting.

    November 3, 2008 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  12. bruce

    vindicated?
    Answer me this what qualifications does mccain have to lead the country? has he ever sta in the "big chair" in the white house and had to make decisions?
    What are his qualifications to lead this country?

    November 3, 2008 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  13. tiffany in ohio

    I was at the Cleveland rally for Obama last night. And all i have to say is that its a beautiful thing when all races an religions come together an HOLD HANDS together as we pray for a better future. It was glorious an heart warming with no one screaming fight fight fight. IM AFRICAN AMERICAN, IM A STRONG OBAMABOT, AN I APROVE THIS MESSAGE!!!!!!

    November 3, 2008 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  14. ran

    McCain's war stand the first nail; Palin VP pick the second nail; the economy the last nail in McCain's political coffin.

    November 3, 2008 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  15. Eric

    Tim,

    once again, and till the final days, your ignorance shines through. Go read McCain's proposals about Clean Coal. His positions are exactly the same than Obama. Republicans attacked McCain by saying he would bankrupt the coal industry. And now, McCain is attacking Obama on that, from an interview that has been on the website for months. Is it all you can do? Guess the aunt story did not pick up as you had hoped for.

    For all the conservatives out there who are still struglling with the idea of global warming, you have to understand this. Climate change is real and if it's not adressed correctly and fast, the cost will be horrific. It is a priority in terms of economy. But hey, what do republicans know about economy, they put the country in a financial disaster.

    November 3, 2008 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  16. Obama 08

    four hours in lines beats 4 more years...

    November 3, 2008 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  17. john

    It better be a landslide for Obama. That is the only way my faith in the American public will be restored.

    November 3, 2008 09:58 am at 9:58 am |
  18. Brian

    The GOP is done for. Thats all I can say. Bush and his actions have screwed this country up so much he took the whole party down with him.

    November 3, 2008 09:58 am at 9:58 am |
  19. Jon

    vote! OBAMA-BIDEN NOV.4th November 3rd, 2008 9:15 am ET

    mccain told us in his own words, he knows nothing about the economy, thats ovious, look at the shape we are in, he voted over 90% of the time with bush cheney. we can't take four more years of this careless leader ship. more companies are going out of business, circuit city in Virginia is closing 155 of their stores, we need a leader that can stop this terrible economy. WE NEED BARAK OBAMA!
    ____________________________

    Please tell me how raising corporate taxes, stopping free trade with protectionist ideals, and vastly increasing labor unions' sphere of influence by eliminating secret ballots will help keep U.S. companies from going out of business. Do you really think that Obama's plan to offer a $3,000 tax credit for creating a job here rather than overseas will do anything when our corporate tax rate is currently the second highest in the world, with Obama slated to make it the highest???

    November 3, 2008 09:58 am at 9:58 am |
  20. Betty

    Tim E – I think the poll of polls is they take several other polls (i.e. Zogby, Gallup, Quinnipec U., etc.) and the poll of polls is the average of those other individual polls.

    November 3, 2008 09:58 am at 9:58 am |
  21. LET THE MARKET FALL

    SUSAN YOU HAVE ALWAYS BEEN FOR MCCAIN, DO YOU THINK PEOPLE DON'T REMEMBER WHO WRITES WHAT. LOL

    November 3, 2008 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  22. John

    We got em where we want em....

    John McCain

    November 3, 2008 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  23. labman57

    McCain and Palin can't sell their platform because even they realize that they have no substantive policies to present which differ significantly from those of the Bush years.

    So instead they rely on instilling fear and hatred of somebody who is "different", a philosophy that is consistent with the history of the extreme right of the GOP. They are all about morality, but care nothing about ethics.

    The GOP is losing because the American public rapidly became turned off by the McCain campaign's continual character attacks on Obama. First he was labeled a "celebrity", then an "elitist", and now a "socialist", a "terrorist sympathizer" and "unpatriotic". McCain is also losing because, once the luster wore off, the public realized that Palin is woefully unqualified for the office of Vice President, and her selection spoke volumes about the executive judgement of McCain.

    The McCain camp claims that their motivation behind attacking Obama has been to question his character, integrity, judgement, and leadership potential.

    Well, if you examine the conduct of both candidates during the past month, there is no question about who has shown the character, integrity, judgement, and leadership potential necessary to restore our nation's standing in the world, resurrect our economic vitality, fix the broken health care system, and motivate industry to shift from fossil fuel to non-polluting, renewable energy technologies.

    Obama/Biden '08.

    November 3, 2008 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  24. ETHIO-MUS

    Let's just take a moment and analyze where obama is coming from and what he accomplished. He is a type of person represent all of us in every terms from RACIAL BACKGROUND, EXPERIANCEING THE REAL STRUGGLE WE ALL GOING THROUGH IN REAL LIFE TO ACHIEVING WHAT WE MOST DREAM THOROUGH HARD WORK AND DEDICATION. I am so sure not only we very few individuals even the media knows what really this guy is about. I think it's time to see some changes and let all proud to have someone like Obama leads us through his solid judgement and great leadership at least for four years. Let's give him a chance. GOD bless Obama and America.

    November 3, 2008 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  25. Artie

    Why do all the other Republicans try to defend every lousy thing McSame does? We don't need to put up with everything the party is doing now.
    Come on people. We need to reform the Republican party. It is so lost and out of touch now.
    I've voted Republican in every election, but not this one. Somehow my party is now just religious nuts and rednecks. It's a really sad day and I hope they pull it together in the future. But, as for now, I am voting Obama.

    November 3, 2008 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
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