November 3rd, 2008
09:50 AM ET
6 years ago

Poll update: McCain on defense in Bush states

McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.
McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.

(CNN) – New CNN state polls of polls released on the final full day of the 2008 campaign show Barack Obama holding on to battleground states won by John Kerry four years ago – and tied with or slightly ahead of John McCain in more than half a dozen others that voted for George Bush in 2004.

There’s some slight movement, but the polls of polls show the margin between the two men stands at just 1-3 percentage points in five crucial states. In four more, Obama holds an advantage of between 5 and 11 points.

Watch: The candidates make a final swing through the key battlegrounds

CNN’s new Florida poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 2 points, 48 to 46 percent. The last Florida poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

In the traditionally-Republican state of Indiana, the new poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana poll of polls –- released November 1 –- showed McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied at 47 percent each. The last poll of polls –- released November 1 –- also showed McCain and Obama tied, at 48 percent each.

CNN’s new Nevada poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 49 to 44 percent. The last Nevada poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 49 to 43 percent.

In New Hampshire – the state that boosted McCain’s 2000 presidential effort and helped him claim the nomination this cycle – the poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent. CNN’s last New Hampshire poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 11 points, 53 to 42 percent.

CNN’s new North Carolina poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 1 point, 49 to 48 percent. The last North Carolina poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 2 points.

Battleground Ohio – which helped seal Bush’s 2004 re-election bid – remains a tight race, with Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent, in the new CNN poll of polls. CNN’s last Ohio poll of polls –- released November 2 –- also showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points, 49 to 45 percent.

CNN’s new Pennsylvania poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 8 points, 51 to 43 percent, in a state the Republican’s campaign has said is key to victory. CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 7 points, 51 to 44 percent.

And CNN’s new Virginia poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 to 45 percent. The last Virginia poll of polls –- released November 2 –- showed Obama leading McCain by 6 points, 51 to 45 percent.

The poll of polls is an average of recent surveys. It does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (267 Responses)
  1. Chuck

    If you had a d or a r next to your name I did not vote for you. I'm fed up with both parties. Obama, please just balance the budget and get out of Iraq. Too much to ask?.

    November 3, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  2. Fran, SC

    At the republican convention they mocked and made fun of Obama having been a community organizer. Well they are seeing first hand what advantage Obama had by having been a community organizer. How funny is it to McCain and Palin now to see what an organized ground game Obama has run and has run circles around them? I guess Obama gets the last laugh.

    November 3, 2008 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  3. Lisa

    Dear CNN,

    As a viewer, I am sadden to see your stead fast tactics of distributing your view on the American people regarding your support for Sen. John McCain. As a media giant, you fall into the same corrupt one-sided view as the race whine downs. It is so clear and disgustingly obvious that your network insist on the same scare tacts as the Republican party. McCain does not need to raise HONEST financial support as long as he has giant media support from you and FOX news. The coverage you choose to display is a main contributor to why the last two elections were stolen from the American people as your network hinted with the Uncounted American Elections and the fraud behind the electronic voting machines. I hope all voters particularly the Republicans and the Undecided voters admit and own up to their role in electing officials that insist on making the rich, richer and keeping the poor, poorer. This is not a time to focus on racial division as much as the issues affect all racial nationalities.

    You get over it, We're All Immigrants,
    Lisa, IL

    November 3, 2008 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  4. Joe

    Wow...just saw the rallies from McCain and Obama in FL. You can hear the size of Obama's crowd is MUCH bigger than McCain's. It's really gonna happen!

    November 3, 2008 10:06 am at 10:06 am |
  5. Anon

    Your right he is McCain not Bush, unfortunately the differences stop at the name.

    November 3, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  6. Borat

    KICK THE BUMS OUT AMERICA VOTE DEM !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 3, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  7. greenfun

    CNN poll of polls called it for Kerry in 2004

    November 3, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  8. GINA, OHIO

    OBAMA IS GOING TO WIN BY A LANDSLIDE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! WAIT TIL YOU SEE TOMORROW! 400 ELECTORAL VOTES!! EASY!!! AMERICA WANTS CHANGE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! AND YOU CANT TEACH AN OLD DOG A NEW TRICK WITH MCCAIN!!!

    November 3, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  9. Jen

    Change, hope, hope, change.... just empty rhetoric. However, if Obama gets elected, I think this country will be okay. Weaker, but okay. I personally didn't vote for him to please other countries. I voted for McCain because he is what is best for the country. But seriously, people from other countries are looking at these posts and laughing at us. Look at the hate we are showing each other. This isn't friendly disagreements. What baffles me is people calling Republicans "rednecks", Does that mean that all Democrats are America-hating, tree hugging hippies? No it doesn't. And to call McCain a loser and dishonorable is just disgusting. That man endured more pain on one hour than most of you have in your entire lifetime.

    November 3, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  10. Anita of georgia

    Go Obama, All the hard excellent work that you and your campaign and devoted volunteers has accomplish, might just finally pay off. And sowing the seeds of taking the high road, and staying focus on the issues at hand, I hope will yield the possibility of you being the President of the United States. Obama, I feel will he make and exceptional commander in chief, one that will bring all Americans together. Something our country need so very badly, Unity. He will be a President for all Americans, not just for some. Obama /Biden 08

    November 3, 2008 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  11. Paula

    McCains 1st presidential mistake: Sarah Palin. (From an offended white woman). I would love to see a woman in the White House. BUT she must be qualified!!!!!!!!!

    November 3, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  12. BK

    Obama has no experience, just a good speech, all talk, no substance. He threw the McCain reporters off his plane and replaced them with Ebony magazine people. Now thats called uniting? Its payback time. You think this is not about race. Its not for the white people, it is for Obama and his wife.

    November 3, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  13. Wow.

    Ok, occasionally, when I take a break from work, I glance at the comments on ticker stories such as this one. Nearly everything I see from Senator Obama's supporters is smug, childish, meaningless ranting. Don't these people have anything intelligent to say? How about actually responding to charges that Senator Obama is dangerously inexpierienced? Instead they just call Senator McCain names like "McBush." Wow. Brilliant rhetoric. Maybe they can't respond becasue these critics are correct... he has no meaningful expierience. Now that dosen't prohibit him from being a great leader. But what else has he done to demonstrate in any way that he will be? He's a good orator. That's about it. For all of the nasty comments the left makes about "undereducated" Americans blindly supporting President Bush, Obama's supporters are doing the exact same thing.
    Moreover, don't these so called "Obamabots" have jobs? I'm home sick today, what's thier excuse? Can't they find a more constructive way to support thier candidate than blogging?

    November 3, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  14. carol kesling

    go barack, he will surround himself with people who have been there before!!!!! i wanted clinton, but i firmly believe she would not back obama if she didnt think he couls do it!!!!! he will have warren buffet, bill clinton, colin powell, thats enough for me !!!!! GO OBAMA&BIDENNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! JOHN MCSAME HAS TRULLY SCRAPED THE BOTTOM OF THE BARREL with the rev. wright ad !!!!!!!! low,low,low,

    November 3, 2008 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  15. Jay (Voting for Obama)

    Some states have tightened up considerably; Pennsylvania and Virginia. I do not care if McCain wins both Florida and Ohio. I think if Obama wins PA and VA, then he has the election in the bag. I am from NY and will be voting tomorrow.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    November 3, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  16. whippingstick

    some of you speak about mccain as if you know him. that in your heart you know he's a "good man." anybody who has shoveled as much as much hatred and divisive drivel as him in the last 6 months doesn't really qualify as a good man in my book. but i am willing to bet that you're book doesn't include anyone who's not white, religious or heterosexual.

    he's clearly proven who he is which is an angry, out-of-touch old man who rather suppress than inspire. he's been on-board with bush for the last 8 years and i would like anyone to point out the major accomplishments that this administration has achieved other than nearly bankrupting our country and alienating us from friends and neighbors.

    November 3, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  17. Stevo

    Let's make it happen for Obama. Please vote!!!!!!

    November 3, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  18. rules in rules

    People bring folding chairs, water, and entertainment (game boy, ipod, magazine) when you go vote. Whatever you do, do not leave that line until you cast your vote!!!! I would rather stay in line for 4 hours than have the next 4 years be like they way the last one was.

    November 3, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  19. Pete J

    I'm not sure how the Republican Party understands how lacking in credibility it is. They harp on Obama's lack of experience. Yet in 2000 they had no trouble advancing George Bush(with his six years of service in public office) over a longtime U.S. Senator and sitting Vice President of eight years. Not to mention Palin!

    This is about different views on running the government, period!

    November 3, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  20. Ebika

    With obama america will be safe from terror attack and america will regain her repect considering how he is love world wide.If americans vote mccain the world will see the same Bush policies of war,war, war.americans think twice and vote OBAMA as ur president.

    November 3, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  21. Bitter in Texas

    Well, my sparkling wine is in the fridge and the cork screw is handy. After I get back from voting tomorrow, I'll be glued to the TV watching the results as they come in. I'll either be doing the "happy dance" with my wine in hand by 10:PM or crying in my wine. Let's get out and vote and all ya'all young people need to get out and vote...stand in line if you have to, but make sure you vote...from a 65 year old white guy.

    November 3, 2008 10:09 am at 10:09 am |
  22. gEnie

    Lets get out and VOTE for Obama/Biden and 'Yes We Can' and it will happen if we all go out and cast our Vote for Senator Obama as our next President of United States of America.

    November 3, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  23. Gail

    Hey Republicans, tell me what McCain has ever won? He's lost all presidential bidd he's made over the years, he didn't win in Vietnam. What has he won? Seems to me he only knows how to lose.

    Obama/Biden 'till 2024

    November 3, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  24. Bridgette-PA

    The MCfailin' ticket will NOT WIN PENNSYLVANIA! I don't care if they moved here for the next 4 weeks! Divisive politics don't work here! We are too intelligent. They should have stayed in Florida or Ohio over the past 2 weeks instead of being here. OBAMA/BIDEN rallies are being held all over PA, everyday for the past few months. On to another subject, I see that there are still a few OBAMA/BIDEN haters on this blog. Guess what? WE DON'T NEED YOU! YOU ARE AS DIVISIVE AS YOUR CANDIDATES. THIS COUNTRY IS HEADED FOR "REAL CHANGE". IF YOU DON'T LIKE IT, LEAVE EARTH! YOU WILL NOT BE MISSED.

    OBAMA/BIDEN -08!

    November 3, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  25. Chandu

    To Vindicated – I and a lot of other people are so sick of the GOP because of their incompetence and lies that we would vote for a pig if the pig were the only other candidate. Now do you understand?

    November 3, 2008 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
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