November 4th, 2008
10:11 AM ET
6 years ago

Polls: Last-minute gains for McCain

 As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.
As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.

(CNN) - CNN’s latest state polls of polls show Sen. Barack Obama holding the advantage in the final hours of voting — but McCain making small last-minute gains in some key battlegrounds.

In Florida, where the polls close at 8 p.m. ET, CNN's new poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. The last poll of polls, released Saturday, also showed Obama head by 2 points.

Watch: Floridians vote

In Indiana, a historically Republican state up for grabs this cycle, the GOP nominee is leading his Democratic counterpart by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana Poll of Polls, released November 3, showed McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent.

Polls close in Indiana at 7 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied with 48 percent each; CNN’s last Missouri Poll of Polls - released November 3 - also showed McCain and Obama tied with 47 percent each.

Voters in Missouri have until 8 p.m. ET to choose their candidate for president.

Read more poll results after the jump

In battleground Nevada, where polls close at 10 p.m ET , Obama is leading McCain by 7 points, 50 percent to 43 perecent according to the lastest average of polls in the state. That's up 2 points from the last poll of polls in Nevada showing Obama up by 5 points.

A new North Carolina poll shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 49 percent to 48 percent. The last average of polls in in the state showed Obama leading McCain by 1 point.

Polls in the state close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Ohio poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 3 points, 49 percent to 46 percent; CNN’s last Ohio Poll of Polls released November 3, showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points.

No Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio. Polls there close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

In Pennsylvania, Obama is leading McCain by 8 points, 51 percent to 43 percent; CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 8 points.

Polls in the state close at 8 p.m. Eastern. Pennsylvania has voted for the Democratic nominee in the last four presidential contests.

In Virginia, a state which has voted Republican in 13 out of the last 14 presidential elections dating back to 1952, shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 pecent to 45 percent. CNN’s last Virginia poll of polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 5 points (50 to 45 percent).

Polls in Virginia close at 7 p.m. ET.

Finally, CNN’s new West Virginia poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 10 points, 52 percent to 42 percent; CNN’s last West Virginia poll of polls, released October 27, showed McCain leading Obama by 8 points. West Virginia polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said the race could be tightening.

"There are indications that McCain has started to close the gap in a few key battleground states in the final hours," said Silverleib. "The big question for the GOP is whether it's too little, too late. Obama definitely has the upper hand when you look at the overall electoral map, and his supporters appear to be far more energized and enthusiastic than their counterparts in the McCain camp. All signs still point to a solid Obama win tonight. If McCain somehow ends up on top, it will be a bigger upset than Truman's defeat of Dewey in 1948."

Complete list of polls used in latest averages after the jump

*The Florida general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 29-31), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2).

*The Indiana general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 28-31), and Indianapolis Star/WTHR (October 26-28).

*The Missouri general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and ARG (October 28-30).

*The Nevada general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 30-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 28-29), and Research 2000 (October 25-28).

*The North Carolina general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 28-29).

*The Ohio general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll (October 29-November 2).

*The Pennsylvania general election "Poll of Polls" consists of five surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Morning Call/Muhlenberg (October 29-November 2), Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), ARG (October 29-31), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 27-28).

*The Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and ARG (October 31-November 3).

*The West Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 19-21).

The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (252 Responses)
  1. JACKED-UP-POLITICS, FLORIDA

    I'm not surprised by West Virginia. They still have a long way to go but you betcha we will get them there :)

    November 4, 2008 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  2. CB

    CNN,

    If I read correctly...

    nothing's really changed...

    misleading headline

    November 4, 2008 10:15 am at 10:15 am |
  3. Elizabeth

    I AM PRAYING THAT OBAMA WILL BE OUR NEXT PRESIDENT!!! IF McCAIN AND PALIN WIN, THAT WILL BE A GREAT DISASTER FOR OUT COUNTRY!!! THAT WILL MEAN THAT WE HAVE TOO MANY RACIST REDNECK VOTERS IN OUR COUNTRY!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  4. nerakami

    Did you remember to call the millions of young voters who only use cell phones, or the other millions of Americans like myself who have now switched to digital phone service as opposed to land lines?

    I think not, so many of us have zero faith in all your polling data... in this case, we read the vibes....

    YEA !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  5. Alison B

    Not surprised by west virginia they truly have a long way to go but that is not the only state that matters now is it.

    November 4, 2008 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  6. Susan

    This campaign will be the most interesting in history!! Although the most negative campaign in history, this is be the most interesting.

    God Bless America!

    November 4, 2008 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  7. MIKE FROM CALGARY

    Just get out and vote! WHOEVER YOU FAVOUR, JUST GET OUT AND VOTE ..... preferably just once!

    November 4, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  8. karen-phoenix

    I'm 64, a registered republican in AZ and for the first time in my adult life I am soooo proud of my country!!! First time I voted democratic in my life!!! God Bless Obama/Biden!!!! Oh how we need a change!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  9. Joel, Florida

    If we democrats cannot win THIS election. With eight years of Bush, the market crashing five weeks before the election, gas prices at 4.29 a gallon at one point, and two unpopular wars going on we will NEVER be in the White House again.

    November 4, 2008 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  10. KC

    Dear Lord: Hear our prayers...please show us grace and mercy and forgive us for turning a blind eye to the sins and the downfall of this nation.

    November 4, 2008 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  11. That one

    You kiddin me....I just voted for "that one". Hope "that one" is POTUS. I'm thinking landslide.......what say you?

    November 4, 2008 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  12. linda from South Dakota

    REMEMBER,, MCCAIN WILL DO ANYTHING TO GET VOTES AS HE HAS DONE SO FAR,, LIE LIE LIE LIE LIE LIE LIE,,, SAME WITH PALIN,,,LIE LIE LIE LIE LIE LIE LIE LIE,,,,

    November 4, 2008 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  13. chuck

    Let's show all the pollsters that their polls are trash. Get out and Vote. A landslide is on the horizon. In just 12 hours the USA will make history. No, not with a woman vice president.

    November 4, 2008 10:22 am at 10:22 am |
  14. mjhart

    One might think Obama was the second coming of Jesus Christ from the way his followers fawn all over him. What a tragic day it will be for America if we elect a socialist to the highest office in this great land of freedom.

    November 4, 2008 10:22 am at 10:22 am |
  15. dEMOBRAT

    McCain push!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:22 am at 10:22 am |
  16. Obama is not the Messiah

    Why is it racist NOT to vote for the Messiah Obama? I won't vote for him because I don't want his big government, his taxes or do not agree with his abortion or gun stance. That is not racist, and alot of my friends politically agree with me. Get real. Obama is not the Messiah.. He is a Jimmy Carter in another skin color.

    November 4, 2008 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  17. xcusme

    Let the cheating start.

    November 4, 2008 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  18. al in memphis

    Today is the day we will see how our fellow voters can digest information and cut through all the rhetoric. Children will see our example of learning and making decisions- and I hope they ask the question WHY.
    One answer better be - FOR YOUR FUTURE.

    November 4, 2008 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  19. jeff

    Lean what socialism is. Those of us who lived through the vietnam era and the cold war REMEMBER what it was to be a socialist. Mr. Obama sirs, is not a socialist. Get your facts straight so you dont sound simplistic while blogging.... oh and also: NA NA NA NA, NA NA NA NA, HEY HEY HEY... GOOOD BYEEE. Start the bus boys. Its, back to Canyon Country for Mr. McCain. Ha ha, we're gonna beat you like you stole something!

    November 4, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  20. Rachel

    McCain making only small gains. That's good enough for me. I don't see how he has a chance. The upset is going to be when Obama slides in. He's the one that has caused all the enthusiasm nationwide. McCain certainly didn't and Palin only lasted a month before her rating dropped. Again, McCain ran the dirtiest campagn I have ever seen. He deserves to lose, the cad.

    November 4, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  21. turn az blue

    he's not a socialist... some people are so uneducated!

    November 4, 2008 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  22. republican voting for obama

    mcbush, you are over.

    your biggest mistake was palin around with sarah.

    what were you thinking.

    go obama

    November 4, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  23. Andrea

    Come on AMERICA – Vote !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Be part of Histort – let's make History!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Yes we can – Yes we will!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    OBAMA / BIDEN !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  24. Tracy McKeon

    It comforts me to know so many out there are just as worried as I am today. I just hope tomorrow we can put aside our differences and help each other through this difficult time. Even if we don't elect Obama president today, we can still fulfill his dream of a united America. Of course, we'll still be fighting against a divisive administration, but. . . yes, we can.

    November 4, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  25. Qe'AnnaT

    Jus get out and vote
    we dont need no women
    vice president at all
    and we sho dont need
    another Bush in the White
    House!!!!
    --Obama Yall

    November 4, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11