November 4th, 2008
10:11 AM ET
5 years ago

Polls: Last-minute gains for McCain

 As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.
As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.

(CNN) - CNN’s latest state polls of polls show Sen. Barack Obama holding the advantage in the final hours of voting — but McCain making small last-minute gains in some key battlegrounds.

In Florida, where the polls close at 8 p.m. ET, CNN's new poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. The last poll of polls, released Saturday, also showed Obama head by 2 points.

Watch: Floridians vote

In Indiana, a historically Republican state up for grabs this cycle, the GOP nominee is leading his Democratic counterpart by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana Poll of Polls, released November 3, showed McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent.

Polls close in Indiana at 7 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied with 48 percent each; CNN’s last Missouri Poll of Polls - released November 3 - also showed McCain and Obama tied with 47 percent each.

Voters in Missouri have until 8 p.m. ET to choose their candidate for president.

Read more poll results after the jump

In battleground Nevada, where polls close at 10 p.m ET , Obama is leading McCain by 7 points, 50 percent to 43 perecent according to the lastest average of polls in the state. That's up 2 points from the last poll of polls in Nevada showing Obama up by 5 points.

A new North Carolina poll shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 49 percent to 48 percent. The last average of polls in in the state showed Obama leading McCain by 1 point.

Polls in the state close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Ohio poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 3 points, 49 percent to 46 percent; CNN’s last Ohio Poll of Polls released November 3, showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points.

No Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio. Polls there close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

In Pennsylvania, Obama is leading McCain by 8 points, 51 percent to 43 percent; CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 8 points.

Polls in the state close at 8 p.m. Eastern. Pennsylvania has voted for the Democratic nominee in the last four presidential contests.

In Virginia, a state which has voted Republican in 13 out of the last 14 presidential elections dating back to 1952, shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 pecent to 45 percent. CNN’s last Virginia poll of polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 5 points (50 to 45 percent).

Polls in Virginia close at 7 p.m. ET.

Finally, CNN’s new West Virginia poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 10 points, 52 percent to 42 percent; CNN’s last West Virginia poll of polls, released October 27, showed McCain leading Obama by 8 points. West Virginia polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said the race could be tightening.

"There are indications that McCain has started to close the gap in a few key battleground states in the final hours," said Silverleib. "The big question for the GOP is whether it's too little, too late. Obama definitely has the upper hand when you look at the overall electoral map, and his supporters appear to be far more energized and enthusiastic than their counterparts in the McCain camp. All signs still point to a solid Obama win tonight. If McCain somehow ends up on top, it will be a bigger upset than Truman's defeat of Dewey in 1948."

Complete list of polls used in latest averages after the jump

*The Florida general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 29-31), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2).

*The Indiana general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 28-31), and Indianapolis Star/WTHR (October 26-28).

*The Missouri general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and ARG (October 28-30).

*The Nevada general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 30-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 28-29), and Research 2000 (October 25-28).

*The North Carolina general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 28-29).

*The Ohio general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll (October 29-November 2).

*The Pennsylvania general election "Poll of Polls" consists of five surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Morning Call/Muhlenberg (October 29-November 2), Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), ARG (October 29-31), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 27-28).

*The Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and ARG (October 31-November 3).

*The West Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 19-21).

The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (252 Responses)
  1. Unshrub

    It sounds like a few of the republicans commenting today are poor loosers. That's okay, they will have 8 years to get over it.

    November 4, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  2. redhead from Toronto

    Deemocrats – please remember this, it will take a LANDSLIDE to counteract the Republican tricksters, they really will try to steal the election again, make no mistake about it, VOTE for Barack Obama for President, VOTE Democrat across the board and teach them a lesson they will never forget, do not be fooled into not voting, it is your RIGHT, do it for those who went before you and those to come after you. God bless America and the American people.

    November 4, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  3. Michael in Houston

    mjhart wrote: One might think Obama was the second coming of Jesus Christ from the way his followers fawn all over him.

    Don't get mad at us just because we are excited about our candidate. No we don't think he is Jesus Christ, but we do and you will as off 12 hours from now refer to him as President of the United States. Now I know it will be tough for you and those like minded mjhart but too bad!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Get over yourself. I'd be willing to bet that even you will reap the benefits from Obama being President, mjhart. So join us, jump on the winning team.

    November 4, 2008 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  4. Kathie, Houston TX

    Texas still has a way to go in turning blue but I am seeing more and more Obama/Biden signs. McCain/Palin signs are just about nil. Republicans are ashamed to even put out a sign. My neighborhood was filled wall to wall with Bush signs in 2000 and 2004 but now, you can't even get these people to come out of the house to talk about issues let alone put out their signs. Times, they might be a changin...

    November 4, 2008 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  5. Pepperoni

    "Obama's most important achievement to date has not been getting enough press: In less than a year, Senator Obama has managed to divide our country to the degree it has not seen for over a hundred years."–Jeff Tyler

    November 4, 2008 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  6. AK

    CNN, stop fishing for headline stories.
    This election will be a landslide.
    "When you have the mandate of the people, no ONE can stop you"
    Barack Obama has the American people's mandate.
    He will be a great president!

    November 4, 2008 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  7. Marcia, Marcia, Marcia in CA

    We already have a Socialist in office today, also the most corrupt and dumbest, in Bush.

    Get ready for change. Get out and VOTE!!

    OBAMA/BIDEN

    November 4, 2008 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  8. redhead from Toronto

    So sorry – Typo, of course I meant DEMOCRATS, I'm so excited for America on this historic day.

    November 4, 2008 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  9. Elaina

    For the first time in my lifetime, I believe we will have a government for the people and by the people. We will grow jobs and have more people paying taxes. We will tax the wealthy who own 7 houses and make over 4 million a year to spread the wealth they possess from the blood, sweat and hard labor of 95% of the population. Everyone will have access to medical. We will protect our environment and become more dependent upon ourselves for our energy, we will unite all Americans and we will restore the name of our country and what it stands for abroad, and we will have an intelligent, sensible president...I am an American and for the first time in my lifetime, I am proud to say it with gusto and spirit. Barack needs our help and support to make our country the greatest on this planet, now let’s get to it! Oh, and we won't have the wealthy, fat cats, running our country or telling us they understand how bad it is while they own 7 houses and are multimillionaires.

    OBAMAS & BIDENS RULE!

    November 4, 2008 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  10. Michael watching from Canada

    I will be very interested to compare CNN's polls to the actual polls.

    I won't be surprised if the actual polls show Obama with a greater margin of victory.

    November 4, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  11. Noah

    I am waiting for CNN to post on its front page the news that Sarah Palin was cleared of any wrong doing in the Troopergate investigation. You liberals trashed her and made sure that Troopergate was on the front page of every liberal website when it looked like she may have done something wrong, and now that it has been proven she did NOTHING wrong, you cannot find the story anywhere. It has become such a sad state of affairs. Liberals are working overtime to ruin this country.

    November 4, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  12. Dee

    To Obama is not the Messiah,

    Then don't vote for him!!!!! That's your choice but get off the freakin soap box!!!!! What an idiot!!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  13. Frederik

    I agree with CB, this just confirms a status quo of the polls... there seems to be no big movement in any direction. Wether it's bad interpretation, a liking by the media to have a narrative that it's still close or statistic noise or some true movement will be seen this evening.

    November 4, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  14. Richard

    All of the world is ready for Obama (source: The Economist), to stop the economy from drowning, to put a halt to the Republican greed and agressiveness that endageres the United States and the rest of the world.

    November 4, 2008 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  15. Truthgirl

    Are Americans that ignorant of political philosophy. All this criticism of Obama being a socialist is absolutely childish and shows such a lack of education on most people's part. By and by, if American's elect John McCain, the world will look at the US as a vast wasteland of simple minded people ruled by religious rhetoric than by common sense and progress. You think your economy sucks now, if McCain wins, people will get desperate on all levels and really, what world leader is going to help a republican administration in a country in so much trouble who created this global mess? THINK PEOPLE THINK

    November 4, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  16. ELIZABETH II

    I AM PRAYING THAT McCAIN WILL BE OUR NEXT PRESIDENT!!! IF OBAMA AND BIDEN WIN, THAT WILL BE A GREAT DISASTER FOR OUT COUNTRY!!! THAT WILL MEAN THAT WE HAVE TOO MANY SEXIST VOTERS IN OUR COUNTRY!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  17. MILDRED

    EVERYONE WHO'S TIRED OF THE RICH GETTING RICHER AND ARE STILL {8 YEARS LATER} WAITING FOR THE WEALTH TO TRICKLE DOWN ON YOU, GET UP AND GRAB A COUPLE OF FRIENDS AND FAMILY AND MEMBERS AND GO VOTE. LIKE SEN. OBAMA STATED "AMERICA LETS GO CHANGE THE WORLD", LETS MAKE AMERICA EQUAL FOR ALL AMERICANS. "NOTHING IN LIFE IS TO BE FEAREDL. IT IS ONLY TO BE UNDERSTOOD". -MARIE CURIE-.

    November 4, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  18. CanIcallyouJoe

    Since when is 9:30(cst) in the morning on Election Day "last minute"?

    Obama/Biden '08

    November 4, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  19. Bill De

    Say what you may let your stress level soar! The new name in the White House will be "President Obama and Vice President Biden"! I think they will be a Job for Palin somewhere in Montana doing wildlife calls!

    November 4, 2008 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  20. NE DEM

    @MJ Hart

    I've seen the groupies at the Palin rallies too. It's partisan politics everywhere. Not just Obama. Go vote for the losers!

    November 4, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  21. Tina

    I am so sick of people calling Obama a "socialist." His tax plan is considerably less burdensome to the taxpayers than those of noted pinko commies Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford in the 1970s. If you are so ill-informed as to not understand what socialism is, don't expect me to listen to you.

    November 4, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  22. JD

    Uh, those are trivial "gains" - if you could even call it that.

    November 4, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  23. Stacy from Loudoun County VA

    Last Minute gains for McCain? I think he gained two points in Nebraska, three points in Texas, four points in Idaho, and two points in Utah. Mac is back!

    November 4, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  24. Peter Farell

    I'm not watching the polls im watching the handicappers and bookies. At the moment they are giving the win to Obama in a huge way.. Handicappers really have something to loose while Pollsters make money no matter how skewed their questions or questioners are. Look at the lines outside the voting offices. I predict Georgia and Florida both for Obama.

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  25. Garbage headline CNN.....

    According to the article, nothing has really changed.

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
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