November 4th, 2008
10:11 AM ET
6 years ago

Polls: Last-minute gains for McCain

 As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.
As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.

(CNN) - CNN’s latest state polls of polls show Sen. Barack Obama holding the advantage in the final hours of voting — but McCain making small last-minute gains in some key battlegrounds.

In Florida, where the polls close at 8 p.m. ET, CNN's new poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. The last poll of polls, released Saturday, also showed Obama head by 2 points.

Watch: Floridians vote

In Indiana, a historically Republican state up for grabs this cycle, the GOP nominee is leading his Democratic counterpart by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana Poll of Polls, released November 3, showed McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent.

Polls close in Indiana at 7 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied with 48 percent each; CNN’s last Missouri Poll of Polls - released November 3 - also showed McCain and Obama tied with 47 percent each.

Voters in Missouri have until 8 p.m. ET to choose their candidate for president.

Read more poll results after the jump

In battleground Nevada, where polls close at 10 p.m ET , Obama is leading McCain by 7 points, 50 percent to 43 perecent according to the lastest average of polls in the state. That's up 2 points from the last poll of polls in Nevada showing Obama up by 5 points.

A new North Carolina poll shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 49 percent to 48 percent. The last average of polls in in the state showed Obama leading McCain by 1 point.

Polls in the state close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Ohio poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 3 points, 49 percent to 46 percent; CNN’s last Ohio Poll of Polls released November 3, showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points.

No Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio. Polls there close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

In Pennsylvania, Obama is leading McCain by 8 points, 51 percent to 43 percent; CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 8 points.

Polls in the state close at 8 p.m. Eastern. Pennsylvania has voted for the Democratic nominee in the last four presidential contests.

In Virginia, a state which has voted Republican in 13 out of the last 14 presidential elections dating back to 1952, shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 pecent to 45 percent. CNN’s last Virginia poll of polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 5 points (50 to 45 percent).

Polls in Virginia close at 7 p.m. ET.

Finally, CNN’s new West Virginia poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 10 points, 52 percent to 42 percent; CNN’s last West Virginia poll of polls, released October 27, showed McCain leading Obama by 8 points. West Virginia polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said the race could be tightening.

"There are indications that McCain has started to close the gap in a few key battleground states in the final hours," said Silverleib. "The big question for the GOP is whether it's too little, too late. Obama definitely has the upper hand when you look at the overall electoral map, and his supporters appear to be far more energized and enthusiastic than their counterparts in the McCain camp. All signs still point to a solid Obama win tonight. If McCain somehow ends up on top, it will be a bigger upset than Truman's defeat of Dewey in 1948."

Complete list of polls used in latest averages after the jump

*The Florida general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 29-31), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2).

*The Indiana general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 28-31), and Indianapolis Star/WTHR (October 26-28).

*The Missouri general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and ARG (October 28-30).

*The Nevada general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 30-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 28-29), and Research 2000 (October 25-28).

*The North Carolina general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 28-29).

*The Ohio general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll (October 29-November 2).

*The Pennsylvania general election "Poll of Polls" consists of five surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Morning Call/Muhlenberg (October 29-November 2), Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), ARG (October 29-31), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 27-28).

*The Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and ARG (October 31-November 3).

*The West Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 19-21).

The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (252 Responses)
  1. thatone...

    I am praying Obama wins. No he is not Jesus but he is the one God will use to deliver us from this terrible economy! Just like God used Moses to lead out the children of Isreal. We need a leader! I am voting Obama! Not because he is black but because he is thatone who will lead us out of 8 years of call it what you will...

    be blessed america

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  2. Helen

    GOP – plse get out and vote ....

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  3. Mavwreck

    Noah, get over yourself. It was breaking news on CNN yesterday.
    I am not sure why, as a panel appointed by her, finding her not guilty
    is not actually breaking news. LIberals do not have to work to ruin this country, the right wind whack jobs have already done that

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  4. kevin

    Then why did u even have to mention him being a different color? Typical.....

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  5. GBB

    Actually most polls in Indiana close at 6 pm Eastern Time, only the far northwest county polls stay open until 7pm ET. I think to call people who vote for McCain/Palin racist rednecks is ridiculous, it demonstrates the same kind of narrow-minded judgmental attitude that causes people to be racist. Also to call Obama a socialist is possible the most un-founded accusation I have ever heard, it is simply not true.

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  6. nsa

    Just a comment – I live in Dearborn County, Indiana, and our polls here close at 6 pm ET, not 7 pm ET.

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  7. luc

    No matter who will win, most important – who will lead!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  8. lismo_jamm

    Just because you are an arrogant, racist pig who is cowering in fear that Obama and his government will enslave you due to your level of ignornace, does not mean that he will not win.. Make no mistake, HE WILL BE THE NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  9. Helen

    OBAMA Winning is more welfare - more food stamps - in short ....
    more spending
    Hope ALL Republicans get out there and VOTE

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  10. Christine CT

    VOTE FOR CHANGE!
    I disagree with the statement referring to Obama as the "next coming" and a socialist".
    The U.S. tax system, Social Security and other federal programs- by definition=socialist. Voted for on a bipartisan level. Bank bailouts, McCain's promise to "buy up bad mortgages and sell them back to the people at a rate they can afford-socialist.
    That argument doesn't work anymore. That's why Rush, Hannity, and co. have changed it to "communist". Give me a break.
    Furthermore, I've never heard of any Obama supporter likening him to the "second coming" of JC, but I have heard plenty of his opponents refer to him as the "Messiah", a Muslim, The "annointed One", or even, "That one". It seems that the opposition has more of a preoccupation with referring to Mr. Obama to a religious savior or spiritual deity than anyone else.

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  11. Todd

    A Black Man Asks Nation for Change

    Gotta love the Onion

    November 4, 2008 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  12. cjones

    Forgot about race and focus on the issue. I would not care if Obama were poka dotted or striped. I care about what he can do for our country. I don't care what your political affiliation is. The thought of eight more years of political leadership is too much bear. Forgot about race and focus on the issues!

    November 4, 2008 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  13. Put me on the dole!

    Hey – I'm up for Obama to win. I'm going part time in my job – letting my business go dormant for a few years and get on the dole.
    I've never lived the easy – lazy life – but what the heck. A few years of watching TV and eating cheetos sounds good to me.
    Send me the check......huh – what do you mean there may be no check.
    Oh – no – many of the business owners who are targeted by Obama are doing the same thing? Those lazy bums!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  14. Cathy

    McCain gained what? A point in North Carolina- wow!

    OBAMA/BIDEN '08

    November 4, 2008 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  15. MICHIGAN = FOREVER BLUE !!!!

    I love all these republicans who chant away about this great land of "freedom".....because freedom to those redneck republicans means freedom for white people to make money....oh, and own guns..but NOT the freedom to choose of course, and NOT the freedom to be a gay american with legal rights, and NOT the freedom to have liberal views. Do these jacked up repubs know what freedom REALLY means? Clearly not...and if by socialist you mean someone who treats ALL americans fairly, who thinks progressively, who has hope for the future, and believes in the potential of each individual through the help and support of all, the HELL YEAH...call me a socialist all you want...just as long as this right wing, neoconservative, OPPRESSIVE regime never sees the light of day in this country of FREEDOM, ever , ever again.

    November 4, 2008 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  16. Leah

    Sarah Palin WAS NOT CLEARED of the STATE ethics violation – read about this again. She WAS convicted of the STATE ethics violation

    November 4, 2008 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  17. Don

    Wow, the liberal news media has actually put something in here that is positive about McCain, say it ain't so Joe.

    Don't blame me, im voting Republican

    November 4, 2008 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  18. Andrew

    For all the WV haters please. Just because there are people they do not share your view and choice for POTUS there is no reason to call them rednecks or anything else. A lot of smart and good people live and work in WV and gee they work in coal mines that Obama wants to put of business, so I can see why they do not support Obama. All I can say is WV knows how to vote, unlike Florida... talk about issues.

    November 4, 2008 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  19. AL the weary plumber

    dem. pres, dem congress I guess i'd better get a third job to pay for all the give aways Obama will be doing for everyone BUT ME!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  20. PG

    The McCain trolls out in force today. The rats are beginning to drown!

    November 4, 2008 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  21. dan shaw

    Noah
    i have seen the headlines of the _2cnd_ probe regarding trooper gate all over the place and here on CNN. The 1st Probe did indeed find that she abused her power....

    November 4, 2008 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  22. Mister Sister

    To Noah: Not only is the Palin troopergate story on the front page, but it's been there since yesterday. Don't complain about things when there's nothing to complain about.

    November 4, 2008 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  23. Christina

    I am a Canadian who has been with this election from the very begining. I have watched endless reports on CNN and read endless stories in all our major newsprints.
    All I want to say is, that you are all part of one of the greatest history making elections. You all should be so proud no matter what you decide to vote for.
    If I can say, I am a huge Obama fan from far, he will do you proud if you just give him a chance.

    GO OUT AND VOTE AMERICA !

    November 4, 2008 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  24. Joy, Vancouver, WA

    Noah – don't know what CNN you are looking at but it (Sara Palin) was all over my CNN yesterday. Amazing that after the legislative investigation found her "guilty" her hand-picked Personnel Board found her "not guilty." I don't know about you but I think that her friends will vote for her guilty or not.

    November 4, 2008 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  25. cjones

    I would like to correct my entry. The thought of eight more years or Republican leadership is to much to bear. Think about it. Forget about race and focus on the issues.!

    November 4, 2008 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
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