November 4th, 2008
10:11 AM ET
6 years ago

Polls: Last-minute gains for McCain

 As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.
As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.

(CNN) - CNN’s latest state polls of polls show Sen. Barack Obama holding the advantage in the final hours of voting — but McCain making small last-minute gains in some key battlegrounds.

In Florida, where the polls close at 8 p.m. ET, CNN's new poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. The last poll of polls, released Saturday, also showed Obama head by 2 points.

Watch: Floridians vote

In Indiana, a historically Republican state up for grabs this cycle, the GOP nominee is leading his Democratic counterpart by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana Poll of Polls, released November 3, showed McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent.

Polls close in Indiana at 7 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied with 48 percent each; CNN’s last Missouri Poll of Polls - released November 3 - also showed McCain and Obama tied with 47 percent each.

Voters in Missouri have until 8 p.m. ET to choose their candidate for president.

Read more poll results after the jump

In battleground Nevada, where polls close at 10 p.m ET , Obama is leading McCain by 7 points, 50 percent to 43 perecent according to the lastest average of polls in the state. That's up 2 points from the last poll of polls in Nevada showing Obama up by 5 points.

A new North Carolina poll shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 49 percent to 48 percent. The last average of polls in in the state showed Obama leading McCain by 1 point.

Polls in the state close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Ohio poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 3 points, 49 percent to 46 percent; CNN’s last Ohio Poll of Polls released November 3, showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points.

No Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio. Polls there close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

In Pennsylvania, Obama is leading McCain by 8 points, 51 percent to 43 percent; CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 8 points.

Polls in the state close at 8 p.m. Eastern. Pennsylvania has voted for the Democratic nominee in the last four presidential contests.

In Virginia, a state which has voted Republican in 13 out of the last 14 presidential elections dating back to 1952, shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 pecent to 45 percent. CNN’s last Virginia poll of polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 5 points (50 to 45 percent).

Polls in Virginia close at 7 p.m. ET.

Finally, CNN’s new West Virginia poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 10 points, 52 percent to 42 percent; CNN’s last West Virginia poll of polls, released October 27, showed McCain leading Obama by 8 points. West Virginia polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said the race could be tightening.

"There are indications that McCain has started to close the gap in a few key battleground states in the final hours," said Silverleib. "The big question for the GOP is whether it's too little, too late. Obama definitely has the upper hand when you look at the overall electoral map, and his supporters appear to be far more energized and enthusiastic than their counterparts in the McCain camp. All signs still point to a solid Obama win tonight. If McCain somehow ends up on top, it will be a bigger upset than Truman's defeat of Dewey in 1948."

Complete list of polls used in latest averages after the jump

*The Florida general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 29-31), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2).

*The Indiana general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 28-31), and Indianapolis Star/WTHR (October 26-28).

*The Missouri general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and ARG (October 28-30).

*The Nevada general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 30-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 28-29), and Research 2000 (October 25-28).

*The North Carolina general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 28-29).

*The Ohio general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll (October 29-November 2).

*The Pennsylvania general election "Poll of Polls" consists of five surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Morning Call/Muhlenberg (October 29-November 2), Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), ARG (October 29-31), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 27-28).

*The Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and ARG (October 31-November 3).

*The West Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 19-21).

The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (252 Responses)
  1. Al Ram

    Helen what's wrong with more welfare. I thought you Republicans are good hearted specially for poor people. So it is only a sham!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  2. Andre

    Jack last nigth a statement from your blog was display on CNN an indivual view, and that person said you are a sick man and you should go and take a rest. I really believe you should take a break because if not, then you are going to be very sick if Mccain wins, and God forbid you catch an heart attack.

    Jamaicans for Obama !! GO AND VOTE

    thanks Jack

    November 4, 2008 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  3. pam Eugene OR

    Noah, you are a fool. Palin was cleared by a group of her own hand picked people. Big deal! She is still a crook.
    CNN is not posting this because it means nothing. If the people she gave jobs to found her guilty that would be news!
    Obama 08/12
    Yes, we did

    November 4, 2008 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  4. Dara

    I heard the story of the Troopergate investigation ON CNN. It's just a contradiction to an earlier report. Who's to say which one is correct? There happens to be a bigger story going on today, if you hadn't noticed.

    November 4, 2008 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  5. Arm Pitts

    Wake Up America! Vote to change the system, let the worm turn, and don't believe the lies from either campaign! Obama is definately the lesser of two evils, but let's not forget about the other candidates.

    November 4, 2008 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  6. Saint Genesius

    Agreed, that headline was misleading, and not worthy of the best political team in the history of the universe or the mind of god or whatever they call themselves.

    Today is not a day for hype, it is a historic day that deserves –you know –some respect.

    If I wanted BS, I'd read foxnews.com.

    November 4, 2008 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  7. piru

    Common sense people stop talking about race we will go no were with rep right know and every one who has been alive the past 8 year's should be able to see that and stop saying that there are to many redneck racist because then you are just as racist come on were is your education be real go obama.

    November 4, 2008 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  8. Anthony

    More Spending? Are you serious? We just had 8 years of Mr. Bush and are in the largest debt and biggest spending administration in US History.

    IN US HISTORY! 10 Billion a week an in Iraq...yet you're worried about a candidate spending and urgins republicans to vote????

    I love the uneducated people in this country....they help us keep our reputation as a bunch of idiots.

    November 4, 2008 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  9. Ave from Miami

    McCain-Palin, go for it. We don't want a socialist who is already taking about having a civiian army like in Cuba and Venezuela.
    McCain-Palin 2008

    November 4, 2008 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  10. dan shaw

    wow im so sick of hearing how the libral dems will spend spend spend.....what the heck have we done the last 8 years under the republicans??

    November 4, 2008 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  11. Christine CT

    Let's discuss taxes and the economy, and reality. If we don't think that we are not going to be given more of a tax burden- no matter who we are- due to the economy in the state that we are in now, then we are all folling ourselves. We have G.W. to thank for that.
    As far as the need for "welfare", food stamps and "handouts" for those lazy Americans who don't work- well, thank you again, Mr. Bush. The stigma attached to this must stop-many hard working people have lost their jobs and their homes because of these failed economic policies, and need not be referred to as lazy or undeserving of help.
    THINK ! VOTE! UNITE!

    November 4, 2008 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  12. NeoCons Are Nuts

    Big Surprise Number One: McCain is closing in the polls!!!

    Big Surprise Number Two: Voting machine issues in batleground states and democratic areas.

    I'll go out on a limb here –

    Big Surprise Number Three: GOP tries to steal another election by manufacturing voter irregularities and manipulating vote counts.

    November 4, 2008 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  13. Anonymous

    Amen mjhart, amen. Not to mention the fact that he couldn't have less American pride. Say goodbye to the greatest country in modern history, and hello to the United Socialist Republic of America. Stagflation and unemployment, here we come!

    November 4, 2008 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  14. USA Voter

    McCain Supporters... If Obama supporters can stand in line, so can you. Take a stool and wait as long as you need.

    November 4, 2008 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  15. Sandi

    Palin is guilty..they only cleared her because they know she will lose this election,and will need her old job back. You right winged elitists will be counting your blessings when you see how wonderful Obama will be as president! You may actually have $$ in your pockets, and better health care, and job security..wow..to think we have to pray for the basics in life.

    GO OBAMA/BIDEN

    November 4, 2008 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  16. Helen

    Karen from Phoenix –
    You've got a serious problem – if now in 64 years you are proud of America - I think you are just waitng on Hand-outs and Food Stamps from OBAMA's Government – but wait, when he gets in – we will all see if he lives up to ALL HIS RHETORIC

    God Bless America now and Always

    November 4, 2008 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  17. Nic Ledoux, Burlington VT

    Noah,
    Liberals ruining this country? It's kinda funny, I felt like the Bush and the conservatives did a pretty good job doing that in the last 8 years. 2 wars with no end in site, housing crisis, economy in shambles.

    Pipe down. You guys had your chance and you blew it big. It's time to try something new.

    November 4, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  18. pelleyk

    When people to say if Barack wins it will be more welfare is totally ridiculous and insane. They are the people who are not following politics but listening to sound bites from other people. People regardless of who you vote know all the facts. Please use your head for something besides a hat rack.

    November 4, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  19. HATERS

    It is a lot of haters on these blogs today, but enough is enough.

    November 4, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  20. EdM

    Hey, bag the "socialist" garbage already. Alaska is the nearest to being socialist of any state in the union. Everyone in Alaska gets a government check. That's welfare, that's socialism, and in one of the most Republican states in the country, the state Sarah Palin governs! Why aren't you complaining about that?

    You people screaming "socialist" are just looking for some inflammatory word to use, since they won't print the words you'd prefer. You don't know Karl Marx from Karl Rove!

    November 4, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  21. Brad in IN

    That's fine but this headline doesn't fit the narrative. Please fix that to favor Obama in some way, and be ready to call this thing by noon for Obama.

    November 4, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  22. Independent

    Make the change, your kids depend on it.

    Make this country whole again.

    Vote Obama & Biden. It is a new start.

    Amazing how good you will feel when you vote today!

    November 4, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  23. Phil Newton Murphy, Oregon

    VOTE.

    We will overcome GOP voter suppression by Democratic voter enthusiasm.

    VOTE.

    Obama – today!

    November 4, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  24. 37-year-old First Time Voter

    Just voted for Obama today....It felt really good for a first time voter like me.....Go OBAMA!.

    Also, if you're still undecided, just think about Sarah Palin and the thought of her running this country if anything happens to McCain--vote smart.

    November 4, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  25. Paul

    I'm not too crazy about either of them.

    November 4, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
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