November 4th, 2008
10:11 AM ET
6 years ago

Polls: Last-minute gains for McCain

 As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.
As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.

(CNN) - CNN’s latest state polls of polls show Sen. Barack Obama holding the advantage in the final hours of voting — but McCain making small last-minute gains in some key battlegrounds.

In Florida, where the polls close at 8 p.m. ET, CNN's new poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. The last poll of polls, released Saturday, also showed Obama head by 2 points.

Watch: Floridians vote

In Indiana, a historically Republican state up for grabs this cycle, the GOP nominee is leading his Democratic counterpart by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana Poll of Polls, released November 3, showed McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent.

Polls close in Indiana at 7 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied with 48 percent each; CNN’s last Missouri Poll of Polls - released November 3 - also showed McCain and Obama tied with 47 percent each.

Voters in Missouri have until 8 p.m. ET to choose their candidate for president.

Read more poll results after the jump

In battleground Nevada, where polls close at 10 p.m ET , Obama is leading McCain by 7 points, 50 percent to 43 perecent according to the lastest average of polls in the state. That's up 2 points from the last poll of polls in Nevada showing Obama up by 5 points.

A new North Carolina poll shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 49 percent to 48 percent. The last average of polls in in the state showed Obama leading McCain by 1 point.

Polls in the state close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Ohio poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 3 points, 49 percent to 46 percent; CNN’s last Ohio Poll of Polls released November 3, showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points.

No Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio. Polls there close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

In Pennsylvania, Obama is leading McCain by 8 points, 51 percent to 43 percent; CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 8 points.

Polls in the state close at 8 p.m. Eastern. Pennsylvania has voted for the Democratic nominee in the last four presidential contests.

In Virginia, a state which has voted Republican in 13 out of the last 14 presidential elections dating back to 1952, shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 pecent to 45 percent. CNN’s last Virginia poll of polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 5 points (50 to 45 percent).

Polls in Virginia close at 7 p.m. ET.

Finally, CNN’s new West Virginia poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 10 points, 52 percent to 42 percent; CNN’s last West Virginia poll of polls, released October 27, showed McCain leading Obama by 8 points. West Virginia polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said the race could be tightening.

"There are indications that McCain has started to close the gap in a few key battleground states in the final hours," said Silverleib. "The big question for the GOP is whether it's too little, too late. Obama definitely has the upper hand when you look at the overall electoral map, and his supporters appear to be far more energized and enthusiastic than their counterparts in the McCain camp. All signs still point to a solid Obama win tonight. If McCain somehow ends up on top, it will be a bigger upset than Truman's defeat of Dewey in 1948."

Complete list of polls used in latest averages after the jump

*The Florida general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 29-31), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2).

*The Indiana general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 28-31), and Indianapolis Star/WTHR (October 26-28).

*The Missouri general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and ARG (October 28-30).

*The Nevada general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 30-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 28-29), and Research 2000 (October 25-28).

*The North Carolina general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 28-29).

*The Ohio general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll (October 29-November 2).

*The Pennsylvania general election "Poll of Polls" consists of five surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Morning Call/Muhlenberg (October 29-November 2), Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), ARG (October 29-31), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 27-28).

*The Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and ARG (October 31-November 3).

*The West Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 19-21).

The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (252 Responses)
  1. MJ

    I'm moving to Canada!

    November 4, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  2. 3D

    In God We Trust . . . God will get the Victory and all will testify to his Glory!

    So long sad times
    So long bad times
    We are rid of you at last

    Howdy gay times
    Cloudy gray times
    You are now a thing of the past

    Happy days are here again
    The skies above are clear again
    So let's sing a song of cheer again
    Happy days are here again

    Altogether shout it now
    There's no one
    Who can doubt it now
    So let's tell the world about it now
    Happy days are here again

    Your cares and troubles are gone
    There'll be no more from now on
    From now on ...

    Happy days are here again
    The skies above are clear again
    So, Let's sing a song of cheer again

    Happy times
    Happy nights
    Happy days
    Are here again!

    November 4, 2008 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  3. JJ

    So I've realized that most of the people who are voting for McCain in this poll are significantly more uneducated than those who vote for Obama.

    Not very surprising..

    November 4, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  4. Cynthia a conservative voter

    Does anyone know what McCain stands for anymore? He has changed positions to fit the polls so many times. How did Republicans and Conseratives get stuck with McCain at the head of the ticket anyway? McCain was never a true Republican. He was always at war with the Republicans and always mis-trusted by Conservatives. Palin is just a cue card side kick attacker without any real skills or leadership. How did we end up in this position? I wish Mitt Romney was in this race. We might just have won! Romney/Pawlenty 2012.

    November 4, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  5. Dana

    Democrats for MCCAIN....

    November 4, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  6. Mark

    Sarah Palin has been cleared by her own personnel staff!! She is not cleared at all....the real investigation by the elected bi-partisan officials found her guilty!! She is and always will be on the right-wing fringe and most moderate American's will never accept her.

    November 4, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  7. White Middle Aged PA Woman for Obama

    I am voting later today alongside my 86 year old mother and 22 year old daughter and I'd like to add that my mother is a registered Republican who hasn't voted Democrat since JFK. However, today, she will make history in our family by breaking out of her rut of voting for the GOP just because she was a Republican and voting to get rid of the stranglehold the Republican party has had on us the past 8 years.

    I feel an all-nighter coming on....

    Obama/Biden Forever

    November 4, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  8. Garry

    All you need to know is ;
    IT"S OVER & BARRACK OBAMA"S THE NEXT US PRESIDENT!
    So get used to it & try again in 4 years...Send the Maverick to the ranch for grazing!
    It's time to change America. & the policies of George Bush's.

    November 4, 2008 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  9. DOS

    Misleading headline. A 1-pt. gain in IN and a 2-pt. gain in WV hardly makes up meaningful last-minute gains. Besides, those gains are offset by Obama's tremendous performance in nat'l polls taken since his infomercial Wednesday. The real stories are weather, lineups, and GOP attempts to disenfranchise voters.

    November 4, 2008 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  10. Papasan in Arizona

    More sand-bagging for Mccain! Nice Try!

    November 4, 2008 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  11. T FROM AZ

    I COULDNT EVEN SLEEP LAST NITE. I WAS TOO EXCITED. ITS WAS LIKE BEING A CHILD AGAIN AND WAITING FOR CHRISTMAS MORNING. I GOT IN LINE AT 530AM ARIZONA TIME. WAITED FOR THE POLL TO OPEN AT 6AM. BY 6:52AM.

    BY VOTE WAS CAST FOR: BARACK HUSSEIN OBAMA.

    The Next president of the United States of American!

    HELL YEA.

    November 4, 2008 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  12. Rike

    My God, Helen, what welfare to speak of have you got in the US?
    You should worry much more about all those banks squandering your money.
    Why is it, I wonder, that Republicans, who are always so much holier than thou, are so terribly worried that some coins could be used for people who have less than they have.
    This is ugly and it is hypocrisy, it´s the pharisees all over again.
    Some Christians, indeed...!

    November 4, 2008 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  13. JLH

    I saw someone here say GOD Bless Obama/Biden. Lets see..baby slaughter and gay marriage? I think abetter prayer would be to open their eyes.

    November 4, 2008 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  14. Joy

    Just get out and vote...no matter who it is, just do it.

    November 4, 2008 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  15. Bob (CEO of a Small Company)

    As a former Republican, Navy Officer, and now owner of a small firm doing consulting work for the Federal Government, I don't know how any ignoramous could vote for such a bombastic person as McCain.
    He was heaviliy involved in fraud and the Keating Five Savings and Loan Scandal, has absolutely no ethics at all (cheating and fornification), and his ONLY Bible is John McCain. Thank God in American we really have a choice this time! Otherwise we could end up elelcting a Putin to office.

    November 4, 2008 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  16. Bazzle

    I personally look at black guys with suspicion. If police is looking for the criminal, most of the time description starts with "Black guy in his twenties...". They grow in neighborhoods with bad criminal situation, less of them plan to go to university, build a career, and become respectable citizen. Many of them think the gun is the power.
    And if the guy came out of such environment, became senator, then a presidential nominee, and is currently leading in polls – I think he is worthing something. Being a president is not an honor for your heroical past but a hard job for the nation's future, that's why people must think ahead and weigh all pros and cons in a global scale and think how one or another candidate can make future for them and their children brighter and restore status of United States in the world.

    November 4, 2008 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  17. Kim

    Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain!
    Vote, vote, vote!

    Go Obama '08

    November 4, 2008 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  18. MarkW

    The day of reckoning is finally here!
    VOTE OBAMA!!!
    Make it a landslide.
    Throw the bums out of office.
    Time to retire McPalin.

    November 4, 2008 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  19. Rue

    VOTE FOR PEE WEE!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  20. NB

    Republicans are playing all the dirty tricks to steal the election. Let us show them how we can make this election historical. We the Young American’s are going to be the deciding factor.
    . Let us bring back prosperity back to our country. Make sure everybody is getting out and voting for Obama.. God bless America..

    Obama/Biden

    November 4, 2008 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  21. Jen

    Although Palin was "cleared" in this investigation, she was found of ethical wrongdoing in another. Neither one carry more weight than the other.

    November 4, 2008 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  22. Dave

    I took my 6 year old son to the polls with me this morning so he could see the voting experience first hand. I let him help me push the button to make my (our) vote final! I had to fight back tears when I put his "I Voted" sticker on his shirt. I don't think he fully understands the process at 6, but I'm hoping I left a life long impression on him…. Voting is important and a Priveledge!

    We Baracked the Vote!

    November 4, 2008 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  23. chuck

    ROVE IS JUST TRYING TO KEEP YOU FROM GOING TO VOTE. BY TELLING YOU IT WILL BE AN OBAMA LANDSLIDE HE THINKS YOU WON'T GO TO THE POLLS. DON'T TRUST THIS CREEP. GET OUT THERE. SHOW AMERICA IT IS READY FOR CHANGE.

    VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE

    November 4, 2008 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  24. OBAMARAMA!!!

    Obama is the greatest! I dont see why you foolsl that are voting for McCains purpose and reasonings are. Do you hear that man talk? Do you hear this ridiculous com backs that aren't even worthy of listening to? And that idiot he picked as a VP talking about forgien policy and how she could see Russia from Alaska! COME ON! OBAMA AND BIDEN have my vote 2008! And i hope he wins, because he's what can help our country instead of that old, saggy thing McCain!

    November 4, 2008 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  25. Michelle

    Helen, you are an idiot!!

    Obama 08/12

    November 4, 2008 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
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