November 4th, 2008
10:11 AM ET
5 years ago

Polls: Last-minute gains for McCain

 As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.
As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.

(CNN) - CNN’s latest state polls of polls show Sen. Barack Obama holding the advantage in the final hours of voting — but McCain making small last-minute gains in some key battlegrounds.

In Florida, where the polls close at 8 p.m. ET, CNN's new poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. The last poll of polls, released Saturday, also showed Obama head by 2 points.

Watch: Floridians vote

In Indiana, a historically Republican state up for grabs this cycle, the GOP nominee is leading his Democratic counterpart by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana Poll of Polls, released November 3, showed McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent.

Polls close in Indiana at 7 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied with 48 percent each; CNN’s last Missouri Poll of Polls - released November 3 - also showed McCain and Obama tied with 47 percent each.

Voters in Missouri have until 8 p.m. ET to choose their candidate for president.

Read more poll results after the jump

In battleground Nevada, where polls close at 10 p.m ET , Obama is leading McCain by 7 points, 50 percent to 43 perecent according to the lastest average of polls in the state. That's up 2 points from the last poll of polls in Nevada showing Obama up by 5 points.

A new North Carolina poll shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 49 percent to 48 percent. The last average of polls in in the state showed Obama leading McCain by 1 point.

Polls in the state close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Ohio poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 3 points, 49 percent to 46 percent; CNN’s last Ohio Poll of Polls released November 3, showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points.

No Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio. Polls there close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

In Pennsylvania, Obama is leading McCain by 8 points, 51 percent to 43 percent; CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 8 points.

Polls in the state close at 8 p.m. Eastern. Pennsylvania has voted for the Democratic nominee in the last four presidential contests.

In Virginia, a state which has voted Republican in 13 out of the last 14 presidential elections dating back to 1952, shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 pecent to 45 percent. CNN’s last Virginia poll of polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 5 points (50 to 45 percent).

Polls in Virginia close at 7 p.m. ET.

Finally, CNN’s new West Virginia poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 10 points, 52 percent to 42 percent; CNN’s last West Virginia poll of polls, released October 27, showed McCain leading Obama by 8 points. West Virginia polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said the race could be tightening.

"There are indications that McCain has started to close the gap in a few key battleground states in the final hours," said Silverleib. "The big question for the GOP is whether it's too little, too late. Obama definitely has the upper hand when you look at the overall electoral map, and his supporters appear to be far more energized and enthusiastic than their counterparts in the McCain camp. All signs still point to a solid Obama win tonight. If McCain somehow ends up on top, it will be a bigger upset than Truman's defeat of Dewey in 1948."

Complete list of polls used in latest averages after the jump

*The Florida general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 29-31), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2).

*The Indiana general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 28-31), and Indianapolis Star/WTHR (October 26-28).

*The Missouri general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and ARG (October 28-30).

*The Nevada general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 30-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 28-29), and Research 2000 (October 25-28).

*The North Carolina general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 28-29).

*The Ohio general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll (October 29-November 2).

*The Pennsylvania general election "Poll of Polls" consists of five surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Morning Call/Muhlenberg (October 29-November 2), Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), ARG (October 29-31), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 27-28).

*The Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and ARG (October 31-November 3).

*The West Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 19-21).

The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (252 Responses)
  1. madhu

    Noah, correct me if I'm wrong but didn't the conservatives do the exact same thing to Bill Clinton with the whole "Whitewater" scandal.

    In the end, there was nothing there, and all that came from it was Monica Lewinski.

    November 4, 2008 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  2. Jay in Ga.

    I'm voting for obama because he is as socialist.

    November 4, 2008 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  3. todd

    So your telling me that someone with no military background is suitable to run our country. The only fix is someone who can handle crysis, not say we need change. Change will happen but Obama is not the one who can provide it. Be sure that if Obama wins then tommorrow morning will be the longest day of our lives for the next 4 years.

    November 4, 2008 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  4. mack

    if you didn't vote white, you didn't vote right!!

    MCCAIN-PALIN 08'

    down with the communist muslim

    November 4, 2008 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  5. Jen

    Oh, and make no mistake... John McCain was planning to do his own share of spending. Right or wrong, in order to make advances in energy independence or give tax cuts to all peoples, esp those making billions of dollars... that money needs to come from somewhere.

    November 4, 2008 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  6. Benny

    Helen: More spending? Oh wait, the Republicans already did that.

    Noah: CNN posting about Palin? Oh wait, they already did that, too.

    November 4, 2008 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  7. OBiden

    If you exclude West Virginia, which was never really a "battleground state" then there is no net increase or decrease here, and only Indiana's change even noteworthy.

    However, CNN, I like your style. People in the comment sections tend to claim you are very "Pro McCain," when it is clearly the opposite. I applaud your Rovian counter-tactic to help bush Obama supporters to the polls to give him that extra nudge. Well done.

    November 4, 2008 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  8. mike

    This is what I think the funniest part is: that the Republican party still sells itself as a party of low spending. Spending has been out of control the last 8 years and we had a Republican in the White house and Republican controlled Congress for 6 of the 8. The spending argument might make sens if they practiced some responsibility, but it is all talk.

    November 4, 2008 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  9. KLEE

    I voted OBAMA/BIDEN and because of the terrible antics of the GOP during the campaign I voted straight Democrat Ticket.....People Please clean up – stick to the facts – and no more Plumbers! Thank you very much! I sit with fingers crossed – GO OBAMA!!! WIN THIS ONE FOR TOOT!!

    November 4, 2008 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  10. achofor clovis

    History is about to be made. God let your will be done, let the American people have the ability and foresight to choose a president who can revive and stabilise the economy, unite fellow Americans and shape the face of America in the world. Long live America, Long live the World at large!!

    November 4, 2008 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  11. CF

    There hasn't been a Democrat out there who hasn't been called a Socialist at some point. And I am VERY educated. It's all talk, nonetheless. Not really pulling for either candidat, though.. I don't necessairily need to vote because my state is going to swing one way and one way only! That's because the Electoral College will only go that way! It is a shame that swing/undewcided states like Ohio, PA, and FL decide who our President should be. The Constitution should be ratified/amended to make it popular vote that elects a President.

    November 4, 2008 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  12. VT

    Yes, another Democratic candidate similar to Bill Clinton; who brought more welfare, more food stamps and BUDGET SURPLUSES.

    Those "Tax and Spend" liberals will be the end of us...

    Score one for Republican fear mongering.

    November 4, 2008 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  13. Juan Grain

    Fire -It -Up Florida Ready-To-Go!!!
    Fire -It -Up Florida Ready-To-Go!!!
    Fire -It -Up Florida Ready-To-Go!!!
    Fire -It -Up Florida Ready-To-Go!!!

    Don't Booo, Just Vote!!!
    Obama today!

    November 4, 2008 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  14. Michael watching from Canada

    To: Obama is not the Messiah

    Your comments are so typical of an elitist, right-wing, holier-than-thou idiot who is blinded by stereotypical Republican attacks on any Democrat.

    If you were truly objective, you would see that it has been Bush and the Republicans who initiated socialist bailouts, increased spending and generated record deficits. The world knows deregulation has been one of the main drivers of the economic crisis.

    November 4, 2008 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  15. I dont like Republicans

    What's up with W.Virgina?? I guess they are doing great economically unlike the rest of the country.

    November 4, 2008 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  16. hard_facts

    GOP has not standing on fiscal responsibility – Just look at the deficits they created.

    GOP is irresponsible – War & Tax Cuts don’t go together (at least we know republicans can be bribed for little money).

    GOP mismanaged the economy – see data on recession and Wall Street

    GOP nationalized insurance companies, Wall Street and next auto industry. They call others socialists but fact is they are the socialists and almost communist.

    GOP launched an unnecessary war and as a result aborted the lives of hundreds of thousands of innocent civilians, women and children. And they have the audacity to talk of abortion. Republicans will abort anyone that comes in their way.

    GOP and Republicans are bigots, case in point, calling Obama a Muslim.

    GOP expanded govt in the last 8 years more than any administration. Sorry no leg to stand on here to.

    McCain + Plain IQ does not equal Barak’s IQ. I could go on but I rest my case.

    How can anyone in their right non biased bigoted minds vote for the GOP?

    November 4, 2008 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  17. 50 states blue, 2008

    Republicans had 8 years. What do we have...failure.

    No Way, No How, No McCain, No Palin. This is the END of the Republican ERA.

    Leave it to the intelligent Democrats and we will show how a country should be lead with unity and not divison.

    This is Tuesday Nov 4th, election day. John McCain, Barack Obama and Joseph Biden have all provided details about their medical history but NO full medical records of Sarah Palin!

    November 4, 2008 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  18. Joel

    mjhart.... do you even know what a socialist is?

    November 4, 2008 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  19. buckshot

    I dont understand how a country can vote for someone that cannot even be honest as to who he is. If you dont like having rights and you prefer the government telling you what to do at any given time than vote obama. If you enjoy getting up in the morning and having the right to do as you please than vote McCain. Either way it is just a name, the president does not make all the decisions that run this country, there are alot of others that can can override what the president does. This economy is the way it is because we have to many people living above their means, so it is about time they fall on their faces. Live within your means and pay for what you want instead of charging everything we wouldnt be in the shape were in. So just get out and vote.

    November 4, 2008 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  20. PA Republican for Obama

    It is very important that people get out and vote, don't get lulled into a false sense that Obama is winning and therefore they can stay home.

    We need a smart, intelligent president in the oval office. We have had eight years in office now without such a president, and look where that has taken us. If you want prosperity, like we had in the 90s, and a president who is smart enough not just to make the right decisions, but who is smart enough to surround himself with other intelligent people on all sides of the political fence, then there is only one qualified person, and that person is Obama.

    But we all need to VOTE to make that change possible. And this REPUBLICAN proudly cast my vote for the right man to lead us into the future, into a better tomorrow....

    Go Obama!

    November 4, 2008 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  21. drew

    lol, i'm not even off work yet, and i'm voting mccain, bc his supporters work for a living.

    November 4, 2008 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  22. Dee

    YAWN to the fools on here...you can vote for WHOMEVER you want for whatever reason you want to....whoever loses the election will STILL HAVE MORE MONEY and MORE BENEFITS than you...

    Grow up....

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  23. Joe

    Any Christian who votes for Obama will have to answer for it someday...to God. Would not want to be in your shoes but oh yeh you are a Democrat and Democrats don't believe God should tell them what to do.
    They are smarter than God.
    I forgot.

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  24. Jay in Ga.

    not really gotcha Ga is in the bank for McCain and Palin. Oh yea she was cleared of troopergate. Guess Demosocialist could not find anything on her. Look out 2012

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  25. Andrew

    Sarah Palin was cleared of any wrong-doing by members of Alaska's Personnel Board that SHE APPOINTED. As we all know, she tends to choose to surround herself with many less-than-qualified individuals (such as her high school basketball coach), so it shouldn't come as any shock that she was cleared by this investigation. This still doesn't excuse the fact that she lied to the American public about the outcome of the initial legislative investigation, stating that she had been cleared of "all ethical and legal misconduct" when the report found that the exact opposite of her statement had occured. By the way, the story is listed in CNN's top stories in the political section, so maybe you should have checked before you pointed fingers. I can't believe how many people stick up for this incompetent, unintelligent, unqualified VP pick that has failed to even define the vice presidency correctly. Ignorance must be contagious.

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
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