November 4th, 2008
10:11 AM ET
5 years ago

Polls: Last-minute gains for McCain

 As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.
As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.

(CNN) - CNN’s latest state polls of polls show Sen. Barack Obama holding the advantage in the final hours of voting — but McCain making small last-minute gains in some key battlegrounds.

In Florida, where the polls close at 8 p.m. ET, CNN's new poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. The last poll of polls, released Saturday, also showed Obama head by 2 points.

Watch: Floridians vote

In Indiana, a historically Republican state up for grabs this cycle, the GOP nominee is leading his Democratic counterpart by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana Poll of Polls, released November 3, showed McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent.

Polls close in Indiana at 7 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied with 48 percent each; CNN’s last Missouri Poll of Polls - released November 3 - also showed McCain and Obama tied with 47 percent each.

Voters in Missouri have until 8 p.m. ET to choose their candidate for president.

Read more poll results after the jump

In battleground Nevada, where polls close at 10 p.m ET , Obama is leading McCain by 7 points, 50 percent to 43 perecent according to the lastest average of polls in the state. That's up 2 points from the last poll of polls in Nevada showing Obama up by 5 points.

A new North Carolina poll shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 49 percent to 48 percent. The last average of polls in in the state showed Obama leading McCain by 1 point.

Polls in the state close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Ohio poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 3 points, 49 percent to 46 percent; CNN’s last Ohio Poll of Polls released November 3, showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points.

No Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio. Polls there close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

In Pennsylvania, Obama is leading McCain by 8 points, 51 percent to 43 percent; CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 8 points.

Polls in the state close at 8 p.m. Eastern. Pennsylvania has voted for the Democratic nominee in the last four presidential contests.

In Virginia, a state which has voted Republican in 13 out of the last 14 presidential elections dating back to 1952, shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 pecent to 45 percent. CNN’s last Virginia poll of polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 5 points (50 to 45 percent).

Polls in Virginia close at 7 p.m. ET.

Finally, CNN’s new West Virginia poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 10 points, 52 percent to 42 percent; CNN’s last West Virginia poll of polls, released October 27, showed McCain leading Obama by 8 points. West Virginia polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said the race could be tightening.

"There are indications that McCain has started to close the gap in a few key battleground states in the final hours," said Silverleib. "The big question for the GOP is whether it's too little, too late. Obama definitely has the upper hand when you look at the overall electoral map, and his supporters appear to be far more energized and enthusiastic than their counterparts in the McCain camp. All signs still point to a solid Obama win tonight. If McCain somehow ends up on top, it will be a bigger upset than Truman's defeat of Dewey in 1948."

Complete list of polls used in latest averages after the jump

*The Florida general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 29-31), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2).

*The Indiana general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 28-31), and Indianapolis Star/WTHR (October 26-28).

*The Missouri general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and ARG (October 28-30).

*The Nevada general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 30-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 28-29), and Research 2000 (October 25-28).

*The North Carolina general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 28-29).

*The Ohio general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll (October 29-November 2).

*The Pennsylvania general election "Poll of Polls" consists of five surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Morning Call/Muhlenberg (October 29-November 2), Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), ARG (October 29-31), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 27-28).

*The Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and ARG (October 31-November 3).

*The West Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 19-21).

The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (252 Responses)
  1. djak

    To Noah, Palin was cleared of wrong-doing by a panel of people on her payroll. Of course they will clear her. I don't put any stock in that second investigation and neither will a lot of other people. I read this little tidbit in the Anchorage Daily News about a month ago.

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  2. James

    It will be a big surprise for Obama cause he be lossing this election. Thank you Americans, thank you for the enlightening you've got in the last minustes

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  3. kkenig

    first time voter and im going McCain I work and wana keep my money that make not let the government take it and redistribute it to the people that dont get off their butts and work for thier wn money McCain/Palin all the way!!

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  4. UNION WORKERS FOR MCCAIN

    Big shocker – liberal press covers up the truth. Polls are actually tighter than what's reported. Why is that surprising to any of you Democraps that the REPUBLICANS actually may win this thing????????????????

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  5. Mandy

    MCCAIN/PALIN 2008!!!!!!!!!!! :)

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  6. Anonymous

    Why is it that if someone isn't voting for Obama, they are automatically branded an "arrogant, racist pig"?

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  7. todd

    So your telling me that someone with no military background Obama is suitable to run our country. The only fix is someone who can handle crysis, not say we need change. Change will happen but Obama is not the one who can provide it. Be sure of this is that if Obama wins then tommorrow morning will be the longest day of our lives for the next 4 years.

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  8. Vas

    Just voted for Obama, there is no place for bankrupt ideas, fundamentalism, lies, negativity and incompetence in the american politics, we had enough for the last eight years.

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  9. Benoit

    In France, after many years of "socialism", we pay as taxes 45 percent of our incomes in average.

    A lot of people live very correctly here due to the help of the govt without working. Of course, they live with the taxes paid by the workers!
    In some cases, it's even better to refuse a job, and to continue to live with the help of the govt. Laziness is congratulated.

    American workers, u will be soon in the same situation as us!

    Good luck!

    November 4, 2008 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  10. ET from OMAHA

    May be you can take another poll tommorow after obama wins and you will see McCain ahead.

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  11. Michael

    On behalf of all Canadians, I wish our American cousins all the best on this historic day.

    On behalf of something like 75% of Canadians, I say also:

    GOBAMA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  12. Mary

    McCain all the way!!! Thank you Sarah!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  13. Sanity in MD

    Just like I tell my kids. You can make your own choices but you also have to pay the consequenses of them. Unfortunately all of your bad choices will destroy this country. Lets talk again in 4 years when we have no jobs because all of the small businesses are gone, no energy because the coal industry in bankrupt, and we have a deficit that will bankrupt our kids for generations. Blind faith in someone without any positive record of doing anything is crazy.

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  14. jason

    To all of you people who rant about "Obama's big govt. and taxes. Do you even realize how huge and centralized the govt got under Bush? Have you read Obama's tax plan? I guess if you are still a hardline conservative ater 8 years of the Bush regime there is just no hope for you.

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  15. Johnny5bears

    Hey Joel, just paid $2.09 gallon for gas, so Im suppose to be mad and go vote for Senator Obama and blindly for the democratic party. I think not. I'm a Florida Democrat, and I proudly vote for Senator McCain today. Checks and balances sounds better to me. I suppose if I wanted to be more like Senator Obama, I should of just voted present.

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  16. I dont like Republicans

    November 4th, 2008 10:32 am ET

    I am waiting for CNN to post on its front page the news that Sarah Palin was cleared of any wrong doing in the Troopergate investigation. You liberals trashed her and made sure that Troopergate was on the front page of every liberal website when it looked like she may have done something wrong, and now that it has been proven she did NOTHING wrong, you cannot find the story anywhere. It has become such a sad state of affairs. Liberals are working overtime to ruin this country.

    Noah, did you forget that it was YOU republicans that bankrupted our country, got us into a war we didnt need. Man, you are so blind and ignorant. Fortunately, most Americans are not as stupid as you.

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  17. ILuvObama

    V V OOOOO TTTTTTTT EEEEE
    V V O O T E
    V V O O T EEEEE
    V V O O T E
    V V OOOOO T EEEEE

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  18. reggie

    Just finished voting for McCain/Palin. I feel good!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  19. Jay in Ga.

    proud to be a Red neck go McCain

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  20. IndependentfromTexas.

    Obama will be among the greatest Presidents of U.S.A. He is on par with Abraham Lincoln. Bush the worst ever and his inner circle of Christian fundamentalists no different from religious fundamentalists of other nations. This is a great nation – get this country back to his glory through honesty and economic strength for all people. McCain/Palin and all those 527s oozing hate – you disgust me.

    – Independent conservative for Obama.

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  21. Lori

    Helen's ideas are totally wrong. Barack will be there for all Americans. Maybe you noticed that the crowds for McCain are all blonds, wear tons of jewelry and makeup, and designer clothes? Barack represents all that is good in middle America. My daughter has a Master degree in education and can't find a job. She is now on welfare and we are glad that it is there for her and her children. When Barack gets elected, he promises more teacher positions and we are hoping for that. She was laid off in budget cuts. Go Barack!!

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  22. Valerie

    Remember, a snake is a snake I don't care what color it is? The key is will both candidates practice what they have preached for the last 2 years. Who ever wins the other will still be in the Senate.

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  23. Lin

    Liberals don't need to bash Palin. Every time she opens her mouth, she bashes herself. Duh! What an idiot.

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  24. shaun o'banion

    Obama for the win!

    If not, we're headed for a lot more trouble in this world.

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  25. Mad

    Im so happy- I really want McCain in as president + a veto proof congress with Democrats

    Maybe we could finally get something done!

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
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