November 4th, 2008
10:11 AM ET
6 years ago

Polls: Last-minute gains for McCain

 As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.
As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.

(CNN) - CNN’s latest state polls of polls show Sen. Barack Obama holding the advantage in the final hours of voting — but McCain making small last-minute gains in some key battlegrounds.

In Florida, where the polls close at 8 p.m. ET, CNN's new poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. The last poll of polls, released Saturday, also showed Obama head by 2 points.

Watch: Floridians vote

In Indiana, a historically Republican state up for grabs this cycle, the GOP nominee is leading his Democratic counterpart by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana Poll of Polls, released November 3, showed McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent.

Polls close in Indiana at 7 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied with 48 percent each; CNN’s last Missouri Poll of Polls - released November 3 - also showed McCain and Obama tied with 47 percent each.

Voters in Missouri have until 8 p.m. ET to choose their candidate for president.

Read more poll results after the jump

In battleground Nevada, where polls close at 10 p.m ET , Obama is leading McCain by 7 points, 50 percent to 43 perecent according to the lastest average of polls in the state. That's up 2 points from the last poll of polls in Nevada showing Obama up by 5 points.

A new North Carolina poll shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 49 percent to 48 percent. The last average of polls in in the state showed Obama leading McCain by 1 point.

Polls in the state close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Ohio poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 3 points, 49 percent to 46 percent; CNN’s last Ohio Poll of Polls released November 3, showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points.

No Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio. Polls there close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

In Pennsylvania, Obama is leading McCain by 8 points, 51 percent to 43 percent; CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 8 points.

Polls in the state close at 8 p.m. Eastern. Pennsylvania has voted for the Democratic nominee in the last four presidential contests.

In Virginia, a state which has voted Republican in 13 out of the last 14 presidential elections dating back to 1952, shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 pecent to 45 percent. CNN’s last Virginia poll of polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 5 points (50 to 45 percent).

Polls in Virginia close at 7 p.m. ET.

Finally, CNN’s new West Virginia poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 10 points, 52 percent to 42 percent; CNN’s last West Virginia poll of polls, released October 27, showed McCain leading Obama by 8 points. West Virginia polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said the race could be tightening.

"There are indications that McCain has started to close the gap in a few key battleground states in the final hours," said Silverleib. "The big question for the GOP is whether it's too little, too late. Obama definitely has the upper hand when you look at the overall electoral map, and his supporters appear to be far more energized and enthusiastic than their counterparts in the McCain camp. All signs still point to a solid Obama win tonight. If McCain somehow ends up on top, it will be a bigger upset than Truman's defeat of Dewey in 1948."

Complete list of polls used in latest averages after the jump

*The Florida general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 29-31), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2).

*The Indiana general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 28-31), and Indianapolis Star/WTHR (October 26-28).

*The Missouri general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and ARG (October 28-30).

*The Nevada general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 30-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 28-29), and Research 2000 (October 25-28).

*The North Carolina general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 28-29).

*The Ohio general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll (October 29-November 2).

*The Pennsylvania general election "Poll of Polls" consists of five surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Morning Call/Muhlenberg (October 29-November 2), Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), ARG (October 29-31), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 27-28).

*The Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and ARG (October 31-November 3).

*The West Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 19-21).

The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (252 Responses)
  1. ThAt OnE!!

    VotE for THAT ONE!!!!! he's winning THAT ONe!!

    November 4, 2008 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  2. HM

    I voted for Bush 2 times. I voted for Obama today!

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  3. Juan Grain

    Noah, You did not read the report from the Independent counsel. what is it with you people, you don't like to read, Palin still has not read the Constitution, Nor has she been vetted on Meet the Press!

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  4. W. Gowern

    I am another registered Republican that has voted for Obama/Biden. I am also a Vietnam veteran. Its time to clean up the mess that the present administration has made of this great nation. Vote Obama/Biden

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  5. Alan

    RE: OBAMA.. more welfare more food stamps ...

    There isn't anything wrong with helping out people who are not as well off as you are. Your hope is that ALL Republicans get out there and VOTE – I'm a Republican, I voted, and I voted for OBAMA!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  6. Uncle Fester

    Obama is not the Messiah November 4th, 2008 10:24 am ET

    Why is it racist NOT to vote for the Messiah Obama? I won't vote for him because I don't want his big government, his taxes or do not agree with his abortion or gun stance. That is not racist, and alot of my friends politically agree with me. Get real. Obama is not the Messiah.. He is a Jimmy Carter in another skin color.

    Do you even know what his tax stance is? Unless you are making over $250,000 you will benefit from his tax plans. Do you know what his gun stance is? He supports the second amendment. Do you know what his stance on abortion is? Or have you been listening to the hysterical ads about "partial birth abortion" which are not true? What did the Republicans do about abortion when they had complete control of the government for 6 of the last 8 years?If you are basing your decision on stances that are not true, it does not make you a racist necessarily, but it does make you stupid

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  7. Kyle from Wisconsin

    I voted for Obama not because of the color of his skin, but because of the content of his character!

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  8. Dave

    Jeff,
    The fact that you can't spell "Learn" just tells us how uneducated you really are on who Obama really is.

    A Bigger government is not the answer and its not the direction our country needs to be heading.

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  9. Sam from Ohio

    I'ts always so suprising to see average Americans throw their support behind McCain even thought they would actually see more tax cuts under Obama's plan. People have been so misled. I guess if you give them a rope long enough.......

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  10. jenny Bobadilla

    i hope that Barack Obama will be the next president of the USA
    no more republicans, or better say repuignorants!! the uneducated americans are so dump

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  11. Steve

    I, too, am puzzled by the headline – I didn't see any examples where McCain has made any ground in the polls, except for a 1-point gain in Indiana where McCain was already ahead, and Ohio where Obama's lead went from 4 to 3 points – what gives??

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  12. chucky1169469

    THE WORLD WANTS OBAMA

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  13. John a frustrated Conservative

    Mike
    You are dead on. Mr Clinton left a balanced budget. The dept now is???? The managed to grow the size of the federal governement how much? The truth is tough to take for red.

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  14. david z-orlando fl

    Mccain messed up with negative campaign. Mainly been hearing people give their negative reasons 4 votin mccain (obama a terrorist/ socialist/ muslim/ can't be trusted...etc) where as obama supporters not being negative towards opponent, but rather positive bout their canidate.
    Hence tomorrows headlines:
    Obama President-elect

    November 4, 2008 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  15. Ravensun

    Elizabeth. I am not a redneck racist, and I resent the implication that I am.

    I do not like, or want, big government.

    I do not like, or want, "universal health care" – which doesn't work in Canada or the UK very well at all.

    I do not want business taxes to go up. That will raise prices for everybody.

    Please keep in mind that people who vote FOR Obama solely because he is "black" – he isn't; he's biracial, as if that mattered to me one bit! – are every bit as racist by your standards as those who don't vote for him.

    I didn't not vote for Obama because I don't like black people; I'm a photographer, and the only reason I care in the first place about skin color is to know where to put my lights to get a good exposure. I didn't vote for Obama because I don't like his POLITICS.

    Get over the racist crap.

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  16. steve

    Obama is not the Messiah wrote
    "Why is it racist NOT to vote for the Messiah Obama? I won't vote for him because I don't want his big government, his taxes or do not agree with his abortion or gun stance. That is not racist, and alot of my friends politically agree with me. Get real. Obama is not the Messiah.. He is a Jimmy Carter in another skin color."

    The last sentence says it all you phoney.

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  17. Derrick in Minnesota

    Lord, please hear our prayers and heal our land. Forgive this land for killing the innocent children, supporting those who will not work, for not standing up for what is just and true. In your mercy, lead us.

    When a nation looks to it's government to save them, that is the beginning of its downfall. Only one Person can save you, and it's not the Dem. Senator from Illinois

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  18. Richard

    "OBAMA Winning is more welfare — more food stamps — in short ….
    more spending"

    It's probably too late, but you might want to look at which party was in power the last time the budget was balanced, and which party controlled both the White House and Congress during the creation of the largest deficits in U.S. history.

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  19. Ace

    Obama campaign has truly brain washed the American people. It appears that Obama will win this race and everyone that voted for him will make excuses win he screws up in office. Don't gripe when your taxes are raised, the National debt rises, and the economy is stagnant. Because he flip flops and never can make a decision on anything. Look at his Senate votes.

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  20. frank

    obama has to win for a change

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  21. Jake

    Repubs, dont say 'Country First' when all youve done the last 8 years is put your pockets first.

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  22. aristo

    If Obama loose this election because of the racist white democrats....
    all colour skinned people shoud boycot the democratic party and give momentum to a third party in this country.

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  23. letsbereal

    if the U S cant see how this country is struggling because of the previous administration and they vote for insane mcain then they deserve to struggle another 4 years. GET OUT AND VOTE!!!!!!!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  24. max Iacono

    Rove saying that Obama will win by a landslide is self-serving in two ways: 1) He hopes that by saying it fewer people will bother turning out to vote for Obama (since "Rove the expert" says he's going to win by a landslide anyway)...and 2) Since Obama WILL indeed win by landslide (if everyone turns out to vote) Rove hopes to gain some sort of brownie points later for having said so earlier. We should ensure he LOSES on both counts. Get out and vote and after (and forever) remember who Rove is....(one of the key guys who helped Bush steal the first Bush election)....So he is also partially responsible for the trillion dollars spent in Iraq and all of our brave American war-dead. Hold him accountable and put him behind bars if at all possible.

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  25. Andre

    Even if Palin is exonerated by her own bias and bull committee she PUT TOGETHER, she still violated her power it is impossible to think as someone who has a comment on this blog saying you should do as they say and put that blog on CNN. Listen this race is not about Palin got it.

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
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