November 4th, 2008
10:11 AM ET
5 years ago

Polls: Last-minute gains for McCain

 As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.
As voters cast their ballots across the country, CNN's poll of polls shows some last minute gains for McCain.

(CNN) - CNN’s latest state polls of polls show Sen. Barack Obama holding the advantage in the final hours of voting — but McCain making small last-minute gains in some key battlegrounds.

In Florida, where the polls close at 8 p.m. ET, CNN's new poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. The last poll of polls, released Saturday, also showed Obama head by 2 points.

Watch: Floridians vote

In Indiana, a historically Republican state up for grabs this cycle, the GOP nominee is leading his Democratic counterpart by 2 points, 48 percent to 46 percent. CNN’s last Indiana Poll of Polls, released November 3, showed McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent.

Polls close in Indiana at 7 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Missouri poll of polls shows McCain and Obama tied with 48 percent each; CNN’s last Missouri Poll of Polls - released November 3 - also showed McCain and Obama tied with 47 percent each.

Voters in Missouri have until 8 p.m. ET to choose their candidate for president.

Read more poll results after the jump

In battleground Nevada, where polls close at 10 p.m ET , Obama is leading McCain by 7 points, 50 percent to 43 perecent according to the lastest average of polls in the state. That's up 2 points from the last poll of polls in Nevada showing Obama up by 5 points.

A new North Carolina poll shows McCain leading Obama by 1 point, 49 percent to 48 percent. The last average of polls in in the state showed Obama leading McCain by 1 point.

Polls in the state close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN’s new Ohio poll of polls shows Obama leading McCain by 3 points, 49 percent to 46 percent; CNN’s last Ohio Poll of Polls released November 3, showed Obama leading McCain by 4 points.

No Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio. Polls there close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

In Pennsylvania, Obama is leading McCain by 8 points, 51 percent to 43 percent; CNN’s last Pennsylvania Poll of Polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 8 points.

Polls in the state close at 8 p.m. Eastern. Pennsylvania has voted for the Democratic nominee in the last four presidential contests.

In Virginia, a state which has voted Republican in 13 out of the last 14 presidential elections dating back to 1952, shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points, 50 pecent to 45 percent. CNN’s last Virginia poll of polls, released November 3, also showed Obama leading McCain by 5 points (50 to 45 percent).

Polls in Virginia close at 7 p.m. ET.

Finally, CNN’s new West Virginia poll of polls shows McCain leading Obama by 10 points, 52 percent to 42 percent; CNN’s last West Virginia poll of polls, released October 27, showed McCain leading Obama by 8 points. West Virginia polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said the race could be tightening.

"There are indications that McCain has started to close the gap in a few key battleground states in the final hours," said Silverleib. "The big question for the GOP is whether it's too little, too late. Obama definitely has the upper hand when you look at the overall electoral map, and his supporters appear to be far more energized and enthusiastic than their counterparts in the McCain camp. All signs still point to a solid Obama win tonight. If McCain somehow ends up on top, it will be a bigger upset than Truman's defeat of Dewey in 1948."

Complete list of polls used in latest averages after the jump

*The Florida general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 29-31), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2).

*The Indiana general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), ARG (October 28-31), and Indianapolis Star/WTHR (October 26-28).

*The Missouri general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and ARG (October 28-30).

*The Nevada general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 30-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 28-29), and Research 2000 (October 25-28).

*The North Carolina general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 28-29).

*The Ohio general election "Poll of Polls" consists of four surveys: Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), University of Cincinnati Ohio Poll (October 29-November 2).

*The Pennsylvania general election "Poll of Polls" consists of five surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Morning Call/Muhlenberg (October 29-November 2), Quinnipiac (October 27-November 2), ARG (October 29-31), and NBC/Mason-Dixon (October 27-28).

*The Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: Reuters/Zogby (October 31-November 3), Mason-Dixon (October 29-30), and ARG (October 31-November 3).

*The West Virginia general election "Poll of Polls" consists of three surveys: ARG (October 31-November 3), Reuters/Zogby (October 23-26), and CNN/Time/ORC (October 19-21).

The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.


Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama • John McCain
soundoff (252 Responses)
  1. Matt in Michigan

    It doesn't really matter who wins as long as the Democrats don't pull a super majority to rubber stamp their socialist agenda. I would still like to see McCain pull it out so I would still have some faith that the general population has not completely lost their minds.

    Obama's principles didn't work in the former Soviet Union, they didn't work in Cuba and they definitely won't work for America. If Obama wins, be prepared to fight to keep the Constitution and the principles of America intact.

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  2. Woe

    Helen November 4th, 2008 10:37 am ET

    OBAMA Winning is more welfare — more food stamps — in short ….
    more spending
    Hope ALL Republicans get out there and VOTE.

    It is obvious dear Helen that you are an ignorant racist. Get a life woman.

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  3. Erin

    Polls in Florida close @ 7–not 8

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  4. Dana

    I for one have not been taken by Obama's charm....but, of course he has the young vote...what college kid isn't going to get "excited" about a $4000.00 check....last I checked that was a bribe, but if that is how Obama needs to win this race....by, bribing American college kids, bu lying to blue collar workers....by making promises he can not cash in on....we'll see "IF" he wins....how much things will "change"....Change isn't always a good thing...I am in need of IMPROVEMNET! I hope that John McCain can retain the bible belt and maybe take a small lead in some surprise states....MCCAIN/PALIN 08!!!!!!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  5. Independent but Leaning

    Polls over sample Dems. And this year they are playing with "new models" to "account" for first time voters, which pollsters in Florida say have been voting at a lower % than in '04.

    New polling methods to account for Obama's worshippers who aren't even voting? Whatev. Sounds like 2004 all over again to me.

    As Joe Biden would say, two words: President John McCain

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  6. Angie

    GO VOTE PEOPLE. VOTE, VOTE, VOTE!!!!! LIKE YOUR LIFE DEPENDS ON IT. VOTE, VOTE,VOTE, OBAMA,OBAMA,OBAMA!!!!!!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  7. Joe

    To Obama is not the Messiah.....I agree 1000% .....anyone who disagrees with Dems is a racist..I'm gonna deck the next person I hear say that. Just another example of skewed, biased media in this country which has replaced free speech.
    Democracy is dead.....get out the hammer & sickle and se it nexct to the Stars on tha flag.

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  8. Scott

    Please look up the definition of Socialism people.

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  9. DC

    "OBAMA Winning is more welfare — more food stamps — in short ….
    more spending
    Hope ALL Republicans get out there and VOTE"

    Excuse me but do you think wars are fought for free? Current administration has bankrupted the future or hadn't you noticed? Let's review: they went after ONE GUY named Bin Laden. To get that ONE GUY they started TWO WARS (without formal declarations, I think) .. the second of which was under the pretense of WMD's which were NEVER FOUND. Can you just imagine for a minute if all that extra war money went into some of your crumbling infrastructures like health care and education?

    Oh, and about abortion (you didn't bring it up but others have) – how can a country call itself the "land of the free" when you try to deny a woman the "right" to do what she wants with her own body? Such hypocrisy..

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  10. molly

    I can't wait to get out of work so I can go vote for Obama alongside my husband and two first time voting sons! We are making history!!

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  11. Dayle Johnson

    It is really frightening and discouraging to me how many people bought into McCain's negative ads and complete fabrication of the truth. I will be glad when I do not receive any more ridiculous emails on how Obama is a socialist, foreign-born, inexperienced radical. He is an inspiration – finally! After the 8 year Bush regime, I'm ready for some inspiration. People, get the facts before you write something on the internet!! Go OBAMA!! It is time for fresh air.

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  12. voter

    Tonight USA will become CCCP.

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  13. HM

    I agree that popular vote should decide President–not electoral college.

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  14. Peggy Johnson

    I just watched an interview with New York's "naked cowboy"...Now I know why the song, "Mama, Don't Let Your Babies Grow Up To Be Cowboys" was written...

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  15. Liz

    Voted this morning for Obama/Biden!! God Bless America!!

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  16. WebsCo

    You're right 'NOT THE MESSAGE', not voting for Obama does not make you a racist. I agree 100%. But as long as your reasons have more depth then not wanting 'that one' in the White House. (Man, I need to look up the origins of that name)

    Me, I'm going the Obama route because I think FAR TOO MUCH is being made of the tax issue. Have we all gone crazy? They ALL TAX US! This time, its just going to be slightly heavier on those who could afford it. Guys, if what we are doing doesn't work, its time to do something else.

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  17. Johnny5bears

    No more plumbers you say. If Senator Obama wins, we will need them, cause they poop will get deep in D.C.

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  18. Dave W.

    To Noah
    The headline you were looking for about Palin being cleared appeared yesterday. Get with the progam. You repugnentcans constantly whine out of one side of your mouth, while you lie and cheat out of the other side. Your days and ways in Washington are numbered.

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  19. D owens

    As a Canadian I am happy to see a Black Man as president.I hope that real emancipition can begin , not only in America .but around the world.

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  20. Kate

    Hey Noah? Don't act like Republicans always take the moral high-ground. Let's not forget that your party impeached a sitting president for having an extramarital affair and even called for him to be brought up on charges of treason. Your party's party is over. Deal with it.

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  21. Veljo

    And by the way, what would be wrong with socialsm?
    If somebody relly know what that word stands for...
    What would be wrong with Europe? Are they really do something wrong? Have some money, traveling where they want, when they want, having four five weeks of vacation per year (not per entire life ciclus), sound not really bad to me.
    What would be wrong with being able to speak some foreign languages and being able to correctly pronaunce names of some countries and cities?
    Are we going to move toward the future, or we are going to stay where nobody wants to be.....

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  22. T.O. for BO

    MCCAIN WIN ???? IN HIS DREAMS !!!!!!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  23. Xavier, Saint Louis, Missouri

    I voted for Obama today and it felt great!

    Obama all the way!

    YES WE CAN!

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  24. Jan

    Obama is nothing but a liar...who is he?...what has he done?....no way can this man be trusted...he can't come clean on his past....the man is cold and no way does he love America the man loves himself first and he loves the spotlight – god help America if Obama is elected president.

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  25. Emma, San Jose, CA

    So happy the end of the campaign has nearly arrived. I never watched McCain or Palin very much, but I saw enough about them to realize I won't hear their talking distortions about Ayers, Wright, Obama's inability to lead and their overall trashing of their opponents.

    Also, your report that McCain is closing the gap in the polling is making me wonder about CNN's reporting/

    November 4, 2008 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11