November 4th, 2008
11:36 AM ET
10 years ago

Rove suggests landscape favors Obama

Karl Rove's Electoral prediction

Karl Rove's Electoral prediction

(CNN) - John McCain and his aides are still banking on a come-from-behind victory Tuesday, but the GOP's most famous political strategist is forecasting Obama is well positioned to win.

Karl Rove, the man widely credited with engineering President Bush's two successful White House bids, is out with a new map showing the Illinois senator will take the White House in an Electoral College landslide, winning 338 votes to John McCain's 200. That would be the largest Electoral College victory since 1996, when Bill Clinton defeated Bob Dole in a 379-159 rout.

Watch: Kenyans pulling for Obama

In an Electoral Map posted on Rove's Web site, the Republican mastermind shows Obama victories in several key battlegrounds, including virtually all of the states where polls suggest he currently enjoys a slim advantage. In fact, Rove believes Missouri is the only crucial battleground state McCain will carry, while Obama scores victories in Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Colorado, New Mexico, Minnesota, and Iowa. Rove also thinks Obama will win traditionally-Republican Virginia.

UPDATE: Rove has not made any definitive declarations, and writes some tight states - including Florida - could flip given some polling suggests movement in McCain's direction.

soundoff (220 Responses)
  1. Blaise

    Nothing is over. Polls are marginal at best. This one won't be decided tonight. Learn from your history people!!! "Dewey defeats Truman."

    November 4, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  2. Tiaunia, Dallas

    GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO VOTE!!!

    ANOTHER TRICK BY THE REPUBS!
    BRING FOOD TO OTHERS WAITING IN LINE, WATER, WHATEVER YOU CAN DO JUST VOTE!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  3. No McCain-Palin

    God bless you Mr. Rove, you just predict what all Americans predict in their heart. We will all be proud of our next President Barack Obama.

    November 4, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  4. Brian

    Rove is right (can't believe I typed that) but you still gotta get out there and VOTE, the landslide won't happen unless we don't all go out and do our duty. I just did mine this morning.

    Obama/Biden ALL THE WAY

    November 4, 2008 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  5. wpw3

    I voted this morning. 40 minute wait. I hope Rove is correct. It feels like it should be a landslide.

    CNN, I would like to know why

    "Watch: Kenyans pulling for Obama"

    is part of this Ticker story. This is an American election. While it is encouraging that the world is enthusiastic about a possible Obama presidency, what does it hve to do with Rove predicting a landslide?

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  6. Tracy from NYC

    OBAMA! OBAMA!!! OBAMA!!

    I'm so excited. I will be at the Inauguration in January!

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  7. Kate

    Don't be complacent! Get out and VOTE! Obama/Biden!

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  8. John

    Karl Rove may be a crook, but he's smart. He managed to buy W two elections, so he knows a winner when he sees one.

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  9. Law Dog

    Don't listen to Rove...we all know his track record....

    BARACK the VOTE!!! Get out and vote!!! PLEASE!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  10. obsessive

    Just voted for Obama in NC. It DOES feel good.

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  11. Chelsea

    I voted for Obama! WSU FOR OBAMA

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  12. 50 states blue, 2008

    Just remember this

    Witch Craft: Pastor Hagee or Rod Parsely
    Medical Records: Letter from family physician
    Todd Pali: AIP (Alaska Independence Party)

    This is Tuesday Nov 4th, election day. John McCain, Barack Obama and Joseph Biden have all provided details about their medical history but NO full medical records of Sarah Palin!

    More lies….

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  13. max Iacono

    ...could it be Rove is trying to get himself a job with the Democratic party
    afterwards? I wouldn't put it past that two-timing professional liar to try.

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  14. Cait

    Karl Rove is a political master mind – a crook, but a genius- he obviously knows what he's doing... HE IS CLEARLY TRYING TO ALTER THE STATE OF MIND OF MANY DEMOCRATS IN ORDER TO GET THEM TO STAY HOME!!!!!!!! Don't be fooled by anything positive coming out this man's/camp's mouth. If people think it's in the bag they'll stay home. Don't be fooled, be American and get out and vote! It's our civic duty as Americans – no matter who you choose to vote for.

    Obama/Biden 2008

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  15. Small Town Ohio

    McCain/Palin campaign would love to supress those who are voting for OBAMA by saying whatever it takes... I wouldn't be surprised if Karl Rove's analysis wasn't just a ploy by the republican campaign to make democrats think their vote isn't needed! I'm not a conspiracy theorist or anything, but my idea wouldn't surprise me. Get out there and VOTE!!!

    By the way, WOMEN have not waited HUNDREDS OF YEARS for a "good ol' BOY' like Sarah Palin!! We cannot take the chance that this "maverick" will be running our country when McCain kills over!! (He is very old, let's not forget that being President does not make one invincible!)

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  16. CNN Hates My Comments

    People don't not listen to a thing Karl Rove is saying. 1. He is trying to mobilize more republicans and people who cannot see past the pigmentation of a person's skin to vote and 2. He is trying to give Obama/Biden supporters the feeling of things are already over when it fact... Things are not over until that last ballot is cast and that last vote is counted. Vote Vote Vote your hearts out. Black/White/Asian/Latino/Native American everyone contributed to this country being a freeland. Vote for the obvious man who can bring us all together so finally America's words of "Land of the Free" and be truly realized and displayed for the world to see! It is up to you! I've done my part!

    Obama/Biden 08

    Don't forget we have a million similarities and very few differences. We are all Americans!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  17. Zack

    This map could be underestimating Obama, though. I expect him to also win North Carolina and Virginia.

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  18. allie

    We can all make sure that 2004 does not happen again by voting. Therefore, everyone should go and vote for Obama!!!!! If you don't vote then you should n't complain about another Bush, ie. McCain and his incompetent running mate Palin who is a heartbeat away!!

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  19. Mike

    Vote for McCain-Palin!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  20. Frank R.

    GO VOTE for OBAMA and no matter the line or the wait, get it done.

    EVERY VOTE COUNTS!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  21. JIMBISCIELLO

    WOULD YOU BUY A USED ANYTHING FROM THIS SCOUNDREL?
    VOTE VOTE VOTE VOTE
    TIME FOR CLEANSING
    NO MORE W, NO MORE CHENEY, NO MORE ROVE, NO MORE GIULIANI, NO MORE PALIN.
    MC CAIN I ALWAYS THOUGHT WAS AN ADMIRABLE PERSON UNTIL THIS ELECTION- IT IS SOMEWHAT SAD TO SEE WHAT HE HAS BECOME...
    BTW WHERE IS THE ESTEEMED " GREAT DECIDER " THESE DAYS?
    IS HE STILL THE PRESIDENT?
    THE REPUBLICANS DESERVE EVERYTHING THEY GET AND IT WILL BE A BITTER ELECTION FOR THEM ACROSS THE BOARD.
    SPEAK AMERICA SPEAK...

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  22. Sarah

    Change will happen but not for the better! People, please, vote your mind and not your neighbors!!

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  23. obsessive

    Why is Rove even relevant? He's jumping on the bandwagon – Duh...the worm has turned.

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  24. Rich Brindley

    I just voted for Obama also in Florida and YES it's time for a change.

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  25. Ginny

    McCain will win. Half of the country will wise up. Unfortunately it is not what they stand for, or in Obama's case, not stand for, it is all racial.

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
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