November 4th, 2008
11:36 AM ET
10 years ago

Rove suggests landscape favors Obama

Karl Rove's Electoral prediction

Karl Rove's Electoral prediction

(CNN) - John McCain and his aides are still banking on a come-from-behind victory Tuesday, but the GOP's most famous political strategist is forecasting Obama is well positioned to win.

Karl Rove, the man widely credited with engineering President Bush's two successful White House bids, is out with a new map showing the Illinois senator will take the White House in an Electoral College landslide, winning 338 votes to John McCain's 200. That would be the largest Electoral College victory since 1996, when Bill Clinton defeated Bob Dole in a 379-159 rout.

Watch: Kenyans pulling for Obama

In an Electoral Map posted on Rove's Web site, the Republican mastermind shows Obama victories in several key battlegrounds, including virtually all of the states where polls suggest he currently enjoys a slim advantage. In fact, Rove believes Missouri is the only crucial battleground state McCain will carry, while Obama scores victories in Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Colorado, New Mexico, Minnesota, and Iowa. Rove also thinks Obama will win traditionally-Republican Virginia.

UPDATE: Rove has not made any definitive declarations, and writes some tight states - including Florida - could flip given some polling suggests movement in McCain's direction.

soundoff (220 Responses)
  1. Kevin

    Having watched this campaign over the last two years, it still amazes me how stupid some Americans are. I mean, come on, do you really buy into the trash that comes out of McCain's mouth? Are you so simple minded that you can be swayed by the verbal diarrhea that McCain's (and the right wing media's) handlers subject you to? Watching Senator McCain morph from an American Hero into a mud slinging, desperate, and confused old fool, was almost too funny to watch. Sarah Palin recognized this flaw in the republican campaign and was smart enough to distance herself from the desperate old guard that would stoop lower than a grade school playground fight to remain in power.

    I have met so many intelligent and articulate Americans in my life, but I just can't get over how such a large segment of the population can have such a lack of intellectual thought process. You should really put more money into education, and stop relying on the media to spoon feed you. The first lesson you should learn is that religion has no place in politics.

    Good luck my friends to the south – you need it...

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  2. Marcia, Marcia, Marcia in CA

    Get out and VOTE.

    Rove, crawl back under your rock!

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  3. ross berg- Buffalo, NY

    Seems to me that any chance McCain might have had disappeared when he chose Palin. Any thinking person who saw the Couric interview had to be truly alarmed by the thought of Palin in the Oval Office.

    I voted for Obama, the first time I've voted Democratic since 1960. I just couldn't get beyond the fear of having Sarah Palin as Commander-in-Chief!!!

    Let's hope we all can unite now and work for the good of the nation!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  4. Kelly

    As much as I admire Karl Rove's political mind I will have to hold out out that McCain wins with the hope that this campaign will be similiar to the "Dewey defeats Truman" upset in 1948!

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  5. xddy4u

    Thanks Carl for your prediction. But my heart is not going to beat normal until it's official that Obama IS the next President.

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  6. Francis

    Pls CNN shun reporting news like this. To the Unexpereinced mind it is good news but to the wise one it is just a scam. Rove is playing a politics he knows how to play well- Deciet

    GO OBA FOR CHANGE GO OBA FOR AMERICA

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  7. Army Vet in Charlotte

    Pat–

    If you are swayed by "issues" like that you are a lot dumber than you look.

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  8. Commonwealth of Virginia

    The way the map looks in the picture is probably how it'll turn out tonight. Altough I think Obama will win N.C. as well.

    OBAMA/BIDEN 08

    LANDSLIDE

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  9. jeremy

    I voted for Obama in Indiana this morning. Let me tell you, voting turnout in rural Indiana is IMPRESSIVE!!!! This is my 4th presidential election, and typically, I would stand in line 20 minutes at MOST. But today, i spent TWO HOURS in line waiting to vote.

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  10. Beth

    By the way, if Rove is such a genius (only when he says something you libs like, of course), how did Bush end up with approval ratings in the toilet with him as his "political strategist?" Hmm? I can think of a lot of things Bush could have handled differently (some w/r/t policy, but mostly PR) and come out looking a lot better than he has to the majority of voters. Rove was good at *organizing* a campaign, but he was a failure at serving Bush in office. Why should I care what his predictions are any more than anyone else's?
    And really, anyone can take current RCP polling data and plug it into a map. It's the votes that count. 😛

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  11. kg

    just voted! GOBAMA!!!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  12. Rob

    To those who were fooled...I mean voted/will vote for the false prophet: Congrats on being duped. Our forefathers thank you for destroying what they worked so hard and honorably to build. Our future thanks you ruining whatever hope they may have had.

    Remember, when things all fall apart you'll have no one to blame but yourselves. Because it was on this day that you were foolish enough to believe the false promises of an inexperienced, failed community organizer and a career politician with absolutely no positive accomplishments. You have proven that America can be fooled by flash and fanciness, totally overlooking what would be best.

    So, since we're no gonna be under Obama's socialist dream...I mean 'redistributive change', will the people who supported him like Oprah, and Jay Z be willing to give up their money to aid those less fortunate? Nah, didn't think so either. Since they're friends of Barry's and not white, they don't qualify as the big evil business that Barry want to make sure becomes patriotic and do their part to aid the lazy and slack-minded.

    America is on its way to becoming a footnote. Congratulations, you've now made this country a joke!

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  13. Lori

    Karl Rove and we care what he has to say WHY?

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  14. VB Lincoln Park NJ

    I hope and pray that (lipstick on a pig) is right, but I will still vote for the change we need!

    GO OBAMA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  15. mary

    Thanks Carl for giving McCain advice.It worked negative campaining is for losers.

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  16. Danny G. Boca Raton, FL

    Rise Obama, with the hope of the American spirit Rise!

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  17. Don

    If the liberal news media had it's way, there would not be any need for an election. They already have him in the white house and now we have the second coming of Christ.

    Let's just see how things shape up by the end of the day. Of course ACORN has greatly helped Obama but then didn't he have direct ties with them?

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  18. Jay

    Let's hear it for tax, tax, tax. Bankrupt coal, spectacular electric rates, redistribution of wealth, hand out checks to non-taxpayers, international appeasement. And finally, will the REAL Obama now stand up. (Shiver).

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  19. Paul Maryland

    Forget Rove Vote Vote Vote like your future depends on it. It does.

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  20. white and black for Obama

    We will win even Rive predicted it or not. God has signed it.
    God Bless America God Bless Obama.

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  21. Mad

    McCain will win.

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  22. Adam

    McCain's selection of Palin will go down as the single worst campaign decision in Presidential history. The fact that for two months everyone has debated the selection and ignored his qualifications to be President has doomed him. Obama has only needed to sit back, be quiet, and watch the destructive aftermath of the Palin selection. Not sure if a more mainstream or expected pick(Romney, Ridge, etc..) would have led to victory, but it would not have led to an Obama landslide as appears to be the case.

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  23. Miss Paula

    OBAMA/BIDEN '08!
    History in the making!

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  24. Daisy Water

    Let's hope Karl Rove is right...!!! GO VOTE ....Whoever your candidate is JUST DO IT !! Go VOTE !!!

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  25. monica - california

    It doesn't matter what Rove says...go out and cast your vote. We the people are the ones that make it happen. Get off your kiesters and VOTE! Tomorrow America will experience a change like nothing we have experienced before – go OBAMA!

    November 4, 2008 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
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