January 2nd, 2009
02:40 PM ET
9 years ago

Carville makes painful prediction for 2009

 Simple math says Democrats are more likely get caught up in a scandal, Carville says.

Simple math says Democrats are more likely get caught up in a scandal, Carville says.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - You know, people will insist that 2008 had 366 days. I don't believe it. I think it had 36,066 days.

It certainly felt much longer than any year that I've ever experienced. Only time will tell what's in store for us in 2009, but first I have a few predictions.

Internationally, I believe there will be a peace agreement between Israel and Syria in the next 18 months. It is something that will be a priority for the incoming Obama administration.

In domestic politics, my first prediction is one that pains me to make, but I'll make it anyway.

The Democratic Party has had a recent run of corruption and sex scandals. Mathematicians say that there are no such things as streaks and that the last event has nothing to do with the next. The only people who disagree are crapshooters and political operatives. Since I am both, I firmly believe that there are streaks and that political scandals happen in clusters.

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Filed under: James Carville • Politics
soundoff (227 Responses)
  1. Gordon Shumway

    Probably the only time I'll agree with this political weasel. The term "an honest politician" is an oxymoron.

    January 2, 2009 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  2. John in Ohio

    There's so many outright lunatics spouting insanity on all sides here that its just depressing sometimes. The Republicans and the Democrats have been just outright losing their fricking minds, bitter Republicans far more so then the Democrats. The sane people in the Democratic Party have the unenviable job of herding the nutcases, and the Republicans don't have any sane people left. The 2012 RNC convention is going to be an absolute circus, with conspiracy theorists and apocalyptic end timers battling it out for air time. What will be really entertaining will be watching Republican pundits in 2011 and 2012 trying to downplay and undermine everything Obama does over the next four years. He's probably going to be the best president we've had in a while, but the sad part is that the standards to meet that point aren't very high.

    The thing that drives me nuts is that, whatever position Obama takes on an issue, the left attacks because it isn't far left enough (oh my god, he's actually *using* the military!) and the right attacks it because it isn't far right enough (oh my god, he isn't using nukes!), and so even if the results are objectively good, there is no objectivity anymore.

    People need to remember that Obama should be compared to Clinton and Bush. Better then both? Then I'm happy.

    January 2, 2009 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  3. Palin Power

    This is a sign that Sarah Palin will begin her rise to the presidency in 2012 and becomes the next Ronald Reagan.

    January 2, 2009 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  4. Proud American

    Why are you Republicans so hatefull?

    January 2, 2009 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  5. Cecilia

    "Older Timer "- you need to get with "Reality" – the two of you have so much in common. Death, destruction and doom.

    January 2, 2009 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  6. Marc

    Wow Reality, aren't you 'Reality King'? The same 'Hollier and smarter than thou' attitude, the same complete incapacity to accept the fact that McCain lost, the usual 'Obamabots' slander and all...
    FYI, due to a series of scandals and political disunions (when everybody in the government wants to keep his share of power and sacrifice the shares of his/her 'allies'), there's an election happening there next month that may indicate who will be the next government of Israel, and what's the best way to politicians show to the electorate that they can protect them if not killing some Hamas leaders and supporters (and people who just happen to live in the same city)?
    They know that after Obama's inauguration they will have trouble if they try this kind of electoral bluff, because in the end the Hamas will get out of the current crisis with its numbers of supporters doubled or triplicated, so they are doing this while GWB is still in power.
    Irritated in Fl give up, you aren't fooling no one with your statement that you are a democrat. You always throw all rocks available at Obama or the Democratic Party or their supporters... great 'democrat' you are.
    As for Carville, he could at least pretend to hide his bias...

    January 2, 2009 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  7. GiroGeezer, Calif.

    Corruption and sex scandals run in streaks and that political scandals happen in clusters?

    I disagree. These activities occur constantly but only are revealed and reported by media outlets in streaks and clusters at the beginning and end of election cycles.

    January 2, 2009 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  8. Mart

    Geeze ....jaye.....Why don't you just take over the site so you can keep SPEWING ??
    Are you the ONLY one entitled to an Opinion ?

    January 2, 2009 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  9. Texas Teacher

    Jaye, how you got 3 posts of the same garbage is beyond me.... unless you ARE one of the commentators... *LOL* now that makes sense!

    Carville is a supporter of Obama AND the Democratic party! To say otherwise is to show your ignorance... dear man... or woman... 🙂

    January 2, 2009 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  10. President Barack Obama

    My Predictions are
    1. Learn how to spell PREDICTION
    2. You are a Complete Moron
    3. Obama will be the best POTUS we've EVER had.
    4. Obama and his cabinet will resolve the economic crisis & bring wolrd peace.
    5. Old Timer is a Complete Moron!!!!!
    6. Old Timer is a Complete Moron!!!!!

    January 2, 2009 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  11. Luis

    Carville tried to be Hillary's Rove, but couldn't do it, so...

    January 2, 2009 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  12. David

    As a conservative, I like James Carville. He understands how the political game is played. However, his article lacked substance. I wish he would have expanded on his comments. It was too short and he did not go into details on why he believes we will have a peace treaty or what the republicans should do to get back on track. The commentary was more of a blurb.

    January 2, 2009 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  13. Henry Miller, Cary, NC

    First, political corruption doesn't hurt just one party or another, it hurts the relationship between society and government. "Politician" is already near the bottom of the list of respected occupations, in large measure because corruption–whether retail Blagojevich style or wholesale bridge-to-nowhere style–is, in popular perception, just part of the job description. "Lying politician" has come to be a redundant phrase. People are already cynical, and getting more so, about government, viewing largely as a parasitic organism that steals their money and wastes it, and crooked politicians exacerbate that.

    Second, like J.P. above, I'm a conservative. But I'm no longer a Republican–the neo-cons have basically stolen the party and ruined it. If another party comes into being–either via schism from the rotting corpse of the Republican Party or as something wholly new–that doesn't treat people like Ron Paul with abject contempt, it may earn my money and support. Until then, I'll vote for whoever seems least corrupt and most sensible.

    January 2, 2009 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  14. Scott Peters

    James Carville simply represents the old, tired politicians of the past, He is irrelevant in most American's eyes, and his loyalties seem to shift like a Chicago fair weather fan. 2009 needs to be a year of hope and positivism. Mr. Carville, please continue making your Coca-Cola commercials and step aside for some new, energetic, forward thinking strategists.

    January 2, 2009 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  15. U.S. Common Sense

    Ummm ... Carville. Maybe I'm missing something. Your article really didn't say anything of substance. It sounded more like an outline (of an outline). What's your point here?

    January 2, 2009 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  16. John

    Will someone please explain to Mr. Carville that there are only 12 months in 2009...just like every other year. So if he's going to predict what happens in 2009 don't start with what will happen in 18 months.

    January 2, 2009 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  17. Stanley in NJ

    Who cares what he thinks, he's a weirdo.

    January 2, 2009 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  18. Larry in Houston

    Carville knows what he's talking about, period.....He's been in politics for a long time....He's no dummy......He's intelligent....

    Larry C.
    Houston, Texas

    January 2, 2009 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  19. KC

    Well, personally, I can't stand James Carville. But for those of you who think that the "scandals" don't affect our economy, our nation, our world....you're wrong. Monica Lewinsky equalled Al Quaida, Bin Ladin getting away repeatedly and the attack on the USS Cole and the World Trade Center. Yeah, yeah, I know, you are all going to yell and scream about that one...but you all know it is true. When politicians think with their "nether regions" then crap happens. Why, because they aren't paying attention, they aren't putting the country as their priority....they are only interested in their own personal "fun". Maybe we would do better if all politicians were eunuchs.

    January 2, 2009 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  20. Tylenol666

    Not sure what medication James is on, but the Democratic Scandals he speaks of are a drop in the bucket compared to the Republican adventures

    cmon James still hung over from NYE Party! lol 😀

    January 2, 2009 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  21. angry hippie

    Oh, share more than these tidbits, oh wise one.

    If this guy worked for good instead of money, there's be
    no stopping human progress.

    January 2, 2009 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  22. I'm Not Missing The Old Mule & Winky Half-baked Alaska

    I guess after working for Bill Clinton and being married to Mary Matlin, it doesn't leave him with anything good to say about anyone.

    January 2, 2009 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  23. bigdoglv

    Wow! The left wing hate machine has run out of enemies and have turned on their own. It's going to be a great 4 years to watch this soap opera develop.

    January 2, 2009 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  24. Joker

    The only thing I admire about James is his wife. Obama has stepped into a real hornets nest that even the MSM can help with.

    January 2, 2009 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  25. Bron Blessing

    Jimbo Carvel, you didn't mention HAMAS. When Obama was touring the world before the election, he cozied up with HAMAS. So, is he now going to try to help his buddies in HAMAS or support the US's everlasting treaty with Israel? President can't have it both ways. You are correct to think that Obomber is a mistake our country has made which will "change" our leadership in the world forever. And, even though I like some of Hillary's positions, she would be a tyrant in the Presidency. Our State Department's relevance will now be destroyed. Another of Obomber's foolish ideas, to put Hillary close to him to control her - can't be done. The democrats were foolish to run against President Bush, as he wasn't running, and the dems promised so many things just as a reverse of Bush's policies which they cannot deliver.

    January 2, 2009 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
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