January 2nd, 2009
02:40 PM ET
5 years ago

Carville makes painful prediction for 2009

 Simple math says Democrats are more likely get caught up in a scandal, Carville says.
Simple math says Democrats are more likely get caught up in a scandal, Carville says.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - You know, people will insist that 2008 had 366 days. I don't believe it. I think it had 36,066 days.

It certainly felt much longer than any year that I've ever experienced. Only time will tell what's in store for us in 2009, but first I have a few predictions.

Internationally, I believe there will be a peace agreement between Israel and Syria in the next 18 months. It is something that will be a priority for the incoming Obama administration.

In domestic politics, my first prediction is one that pains me to make, but I'll make it anyway.

The Democratic Party has had a recent run of corruption and sex scandals. Mathematicians say that there are no such things as streaks and that the last event has nothing to do with the next. The only people who disagree are crapshooters and political operatives. Since I am both, I firmly believe that there are streaks and that political scandals happen in clusters.

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Filed under: James Carville • Politics
soundoff (227 Responses)
  1. Barbara

    I read somewhere that Carville and his wife were moving back to New Orleans. I really wouldn't wish them on anyone, but I was hoping that they would leave D.C. and being commentators behind.
    Please go away! I do not care what you think about anything.

    January 2, 2009 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  2. once upon a horse

    @ anti-Obamabot

    I work also and I KNOW that I'm not Republican and I make good money on my job too.

    It doesn't suprise me that those who do not support PE Obama pridict gloom and doom for 2009. I just wonder if these are predictions or wishes on their part. For Obama to be successful would be a real wrench in their plans.

    January 2, 2009 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  3. libbssuck1

    It isn't hard to figure that the libs will get caught in a scandle, that is all they do, then they try to get the GOP in some stupid scandle, that is all what happens in politics anymore, we don't govern anymore, we have stupid commitees "investigate" politicians for one thing or another, problem is, why didn't they have an investigation for Barney Frank and the rest of the cronies that brought this country down on the housing messing. It was the libs that brought this country down to where it is now and it will only get worse when Obuma takes office.

    January 2, 2009 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  4. four characters

    He didn't say anything bad about Obama? He was for Clinton and when she didn't get the nod, he was a huge defender of Obama...did you ever hear him go at it with others about Obama? What is your point people? He talked about how the last year felt like a decade and the various sex scandals that men in power inevitably find themselves in, regardless of political affiliation.

    January 2, 2009 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  5. Seriously!?

    For those so concerned about Obama draining the economy, what are you freaking blind or what??!! I mean he hasnt even taken office yet and if case you havent noticed our economy is already drained. Bush made sure the next president would face huge obstacles. In 8 years he has managed to put America in such disarray it would be difficult for any new president to pull us out. So instead of predicting scandals how about coming up with feasible solutions to support whoever is in office and get this country back on track! Obama isnt running this country by himself!

    January 2, 2009 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  6. Anti Obama

    I work and pay taxes for a living; that makes me a Republican.

    I served in Vietnam – that means I was a Republican from an early age.

    I have never collected unemployment taxes or welfare – that definitely makes me a republican.

    I have not taken any money from AIG, Fannie Mae, or the UAW - That most definitely makes me a Republican

    January 2, 2009 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  7. jj12343

    prosanto January 2nd, 2009 1:59 pm ET

    I hope we do not have another arrogant, right wing Government in my lifetime again. The trickle down economics has proved failure for the second time.
    ____________________________________________________
    Now we are in for trickle up poverty!

    January 2, 2009 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  8. Kenneth

    The political system is corrupt ... PERIOD! I sincerely question any elected officials corruptibility. Those who have not been caught should at least attempt to straighten up and fly right. It has been proven that when there is a party shift in Washington some politicians dirty laundry gets aired out simply in an attempt to re-balance the power. A lot of politicians, in my opinion, simply have not been caught because they pander to more powerful politicians. This is a change that I hope President-Elect Obama brings to Washington. Find a way to get rid of the corrupt politicians and replace them with people with a genuine concern for the direction of our country. Any official who runs for office for financial gain should be kicked out on his ear. I say lower the salaries of all elected officials and lets see who is willing to fulfill their civic duty based solely on the betterment of their constituents. Public office should be for the public not pay to play politics.

    January 2, 2009 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  9. happy new year

    there is no more happiness, everything feels so heavy and hard to do.

    January 2, 2009 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  10. Ursula

    So where is the prediction? Did I miss something? Predicting a man is going to have sex outside of his marriage is a given... I just don't see a prediction out of this. Now if he would have said the republican party would dismantle and split, I would have paid more attention.

    January 2, 2009 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  11. Jeff

    Mr. Carville is such a partisan that anything he has to say is already irrelevant. Unfortunately, I will not be able to say this next year as Nancy and Harry push through the freedom of information act. I'll need a counter opinion from Master James. I hope they don't end up sending me to jail at some point if I offend them too much.

    January 2, 2009 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  12. Anti Obama Anti Dem

    To the person that said Obama was not draining our economy yet becasue he had not taken office. The lack of Fannie Mae oversight has cost this country billions -- for the past 2+ years the Democrats have overseenFannie Mae. for the past 2 years the top 3 recipients of contributions from Fannie Mae have been

    1 Barney Frank Dem Chairman of House Banking Committee
    2 Christopher Dodd Dem Chairman of Senate Banking Committee
    3 Barack Obama Dem President Elect

    Sorry Obamabots Barack Obama sold out long before he was elected

    January 2, 2009 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  13. Larry Sinclair

    Barack Obama gets vetted.

    January 2, 2009 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  14. Virginia Republican

    Why do we care what James Carville says anyway! He is an egotistical, loud-mouthed wash up who has been looking for something to do since Clinton was out of office. And by the way, there will be NO lasting peace between Israel and Hamas-he needs to read his Bible.

    January 2, 2009 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  15. james

    The jews and arabs have been at each others throats for thousands of years, Jimbo must have the inside track. If you are predicting black rule the lessons of Africa is devastation. Hope Obama is not left to his own devices like his African Brothers.

    January 2, 2009 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  16. bobpath

    Campbell Brown sounds like a fog horn so I watch Oberman on MSNBC.

    January 2, 2009 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  17. Praetorian, Fort Myers

    I believe he's correct about political corruption and low moral conduct of elected representatives. One thing we can be sure of in business and politics-the trends show those men and women we place the most trust in-take advantage of that trust at an ever increasing rate. As we the people become less tolerant and more focused in rooting out wrong doing–we'll see more revealed as we finally lift the donkey/elephant tails and actually inspect the bill of goods!!

    January 2, 2009 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  18. Calling it for what it is....

    In response to "Seriously"

    Yes, Bush and the Republicans overspent like crazy but they did not cause this by themselves. Congress has been a utter failure and the lack of both parties to do anything has caused this mess. I do agree that we need to give Obama his day and his fair shake. ALL of us need to support him (and I did not vote for him).

    Let's stop the Bush caused this and that garbage and get on with the Government....You cannot use that excuse forever......now there is new leadership coming into power and it is put up or shut up time.....

    January 2, 2009 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  19. Craeg fr Canada

    I agree with the comment that the electorate is responsible for who is elected, though I'm not sure what we want in our elected leaders. The scandalous stuff that goes on now used to be rampant, but largely unnoticed. It seems to be getting harder and harder to practice corruption annonomously, but we need a sense of how far to go in vetting people, especially now that mere suggestion of a bad deed can be a hard thing to shake. It's tough living in a democracy.
    I think that Obama has integrity and people should try and see him as innocent until he proves himself guilty.

    January 2, 2009 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  20. Sye the Pychic

    Obama will help heal the nation.Dittoheads are so angry today because an englishman named Mark Stein is taking his place and they cant understand english,lol. I predict Rush Limbaugh will choke on his own cigar after attempting to remove it from his own orfice.

    January 2, 2009 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  21. j

    I would venture to say that when someone says politician, the word corrupt or dishonest isn't far behind. It's no longer a shocker when there's a political scandal, it's just a question of when, where and who. It's common in all political parties and no politician is immune to it. Our political system is far from perfect but I'll take it over a dictatorship any day.

    January 2, 2009 02:19 pm at 2:19 pm |
  22. Jason

    Mr. Carville.. making predictions about possible future sex scandals and corruption in the Democratic party? Hmm..

    Let's see here, I am just going to toss some names out to you Mr. Carville..

    Tom DeLay, Larry Craig, Jack Abramoff, Dennis Hastert, Mark Foley, Bruce Barclay, Robert McKee, Rep. Bob Allen, John David Roy Atchison, John Bryan, John R. Curtin, Rep. Richard Curtis, Donald Fleischman, Fmr. Rep. Ted Klaudt, Ronald C. Kline, Rep. Bob Ney, David Safavian, George W. Bush, Dick Cheney...

    The list can be made much longer but I'll stop there. So based on your prediction model Mr. Carville we should be seeing more Child Molestation, Torture, War Crimes, Gay Sex, Solicitation of Prostitution, Money Laundering, Bribery, Rape, and Child Pornography coming from the Republican Party.

    So, we should expect it to be business as usual from the Republican party?

    January 2, 2009 02:19 pm at 2:19 pm |
  23. John

    I believe that political scandals happen when a person is too stupid to avoid the scandal like a Larry Craig or when a person is under the watchful eye of "big brother" the politicized Bush Justice department.

    We cannot forget that Roberto Gonzales and his underlings packed the justice department with conservative cronies with a definite agenda to "get the democrats".

    So yes James, we will see more of the scandals until the Democrats have a chance to clean house in their own ranks and clean house in the Justice Department.

    January 2, 2009 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  24. Thomas

    366 days? Sounds like Obama's 57 states...

    January 2, 2009 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  25. Linda

    James Carville is now thinking he is a fortune teller? Why not,he has always thought he was the smartest person alive and that was a misfortunate mistake as well. I think as long as there are politicians, there are going to be scandals! That is life in America. Sad but true and any one of us can make that prediction.

    January 2, 2009 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
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