WASHINGTON (CNN) – A new survey suggests that New York Gov. David Paterson's poll numbers may have bottomed out.
But the Siena College Research Institute poll released Monday also indicates that seven out of 10 New York state voters would vote for someone other than Paterson in next year's gubernatorial contest.
Thirty-one percent of people questioned in the poll have a favorable view of Paterson, up four points from last month, with 57 percent viewing him unfavorably, down three points from May. Paterson has a 20 percent approval rating in the survey, up two points from last month.
Paterson took a hard line last week against the gridlocked state senate, threatening to order senators into an open-ended special session so they can vote on essential bills. Two-thirds of those questioned in the poll think the fight for leadership of the state senate is bad for New Yorkers and more than half polled say the situation is an embarrassment.
Looking ahead to next year, the poll reinforces recent surveys that indicate Paterson's in deep electoral trouble. The poll suggests Paterson would lose by 53 points to New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo if a hypothetical primary match up were held today. Cuomo, who's the son of former three term governor Mario Cuomo, has not indicated if he will run for governor next year.
The poll also indicates Paterson would lose by 30 points to Republican former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani in a hypothetical general election contest. The survey suggests Cuomo would beat Giuliani by nine points.
"Even if Cuomo or Giuliani don't run, Paterson's prospects don't look good," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Seven in ten New Yorkers say that they would vote for someone else for governor if the election were held today. Only 15 percent say that they would choose Paterson right now."
The Siena College Research Institute poll was conducted June 15-18, with 626 New York State registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.