October 28th, 2009
09:43 AM ET
4 years ago

Poll suggests Corzine inches ahead in New Jersey race

Corzine now holds a 5 point lead, according to a new poll.
Corzine now holds a 5 point lead, according to a new poll.

(CNN) - With six days until Election Day, a new poll suggests that New Jersey Governor Jon Corzine leads his Republican challenger, Chris Christie, by 5 points.

According to a Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday morning, 43 percent of likely New Jersey voters back Corzine, the Democratic incumbent fighting for a second term, 38 percent support Christie, the former federal prosecutor in the Garden State, and 13 percent back Independent candidate Chris Daggett.

Corzine's 5 point lead is just with in the poll's sampling error. The race between Corzine and Christie was tied up in Quinnipiac's last poll, which came out two weeks ago. Most surveys in New Jersey over the past month have suggested that Corzine and Christie were deadlocked, with Daggett in the mid teens.

The Quinnipiac poll indicates that nearly four in 10 Daggett supporters may change their mind by Election Day, with 43 percent saying Christie's their second choice and 27 percent feeling Corzine is their number two. Only a small percentage of Corzine or Christie supporters say they might change their mind.

According to the poll, less than four in 10 approve of the job Corzine's doing as governor, but that's his best overall approval rating in months.

"You could see it coming. Governor Jon Corzine's numbers crept steadily up and Christopher Christie's steadily shrank and now, for the first time, we have Corzine ahead," says Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "But don't be in a hurry to mark this election as over. Christopher Daggett changed it from 'ABC' – Anybody But Corzine – to a real three-way scrap. But a lot of Daggett's voters say they might change their minds by Election Day. Where will they go?"

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted October 20-26, with 1,267 New Jersey likely voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter @psteinhausercnn


Filed under: Chris Christie • Jon Corzine
soundoff (29 Responses)
  1. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA

    The incumbent is remaining in place.

    October 28, 2009 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
  2. mike

    that is great go DEMOCRATS

    October 28, 2009 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  3. Lynda

    Come on Democrats get out there and vote, don't just sit at home and let others vote for you, every one of your votes count.........

    October 28, 2009 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  4. j

    I certainly hope the Democrat wins. The state will be better off.

    October 28, 2009 09:49 am at 9:49 am |
  5. haren

    we need Democrat Gov. and not tax cutting for rich Republican.
    We are in better shape in this economy than any other state.

    October 28, 2009 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  6. Swampdweller

    Considering there is not a sliver of daylight between the two major party candidates - take a look at the questionnaire presented to both by AARP - I will be proud to cast my vote for Chris Daggett.

    October 28, 2009 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  7. good, down with the GOP

    GOP ruined the U.S.

    even the worst Democrat, pinko, commie, leftist, liberal is better than a right winger that will spend us into oblivian, skip diplomacy, fight multiple wars, spy on us, out CIA agents, bring down wall street, take us into recession, allow a reestate bubble

    there is too much, endorse tortue, open up secret prisons, create secret judicial system, make speaking out unpatriotic

    a person listing what the GOP would get tire typing all the things that happened on the GOP watch last time

    firing for political reasons public attny's, and the list goes on and on

    down with the GOP, the U.S. cannot take anymore of that party

    October 28, 2009 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  8. gt

    new jersey deserve high taxes , few jobs , high crime rate , bad roads, corupt government,,, why not keep the same govenor,,,,, lord help me..

    October 28, 2009 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  9. Independent Bob

    Goooooo Daggett!

    New Jersey voters vote for Daggett if you like him and don't listen to the pollsters. Poll questions are designed to elicit certain responses. Asking a question about voters changing their minds allows the pollster to make a very qualitative statement like, "...a lot of Daggett's voters say they might change their minds by Election Day." Four of ten voters may change their minds about voting for Daggett on election day. So what! If you support Daggett vote for him. Don't fall for this attempt to minipulate your vote decision into voting for one of the two major party candidates. We cannot let these shenanigans by the media and the major parties continue.

    Besides, tomorrow the numbers will change...so what?

    October 28, 2009 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  10. Aunt Bea and Opie

    Chris Bagadonuts has a better chance of becoming Camdens dog catcher.Split the State in half,give the northern portion to N.Y and the Southern portion to Philly.The poor state has been taken over by the Corporate Mafia via Atlantic City anyway.

    October 28, 2009 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  11. NoTelePrompTer

    Depends on who is doing the poll doesn't it? Of course you liberals at CNN would go with the one most biased toward the Dem candidate.

    The more accurate unbiased Rasmussen poll gives a 3 point lead to Christie.
    Why don't you publish that?
    I am sick of the liberal, lying media. You are doing nothing more than airing political propaganda to sway the minds of the ignorant masses. Real journalism is dead. Most people with a mind of their own have awakened to what the media is and has been doing to promote this Marxist President.

    October 28, 2009 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  12. Garrett

    Once again a rich Goldman Sachs exec is trying to control the government. Raise taxes on the working folks to that they can become more wealthy. Anyone who votes for Corzine is crazy. He is a terrible governor.

    October 28, 2009 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  13. southerncousin

    Of course he is ahead, the people of New Jersey cannot shake off the corruption of the unions and mafia that control the state. The true face of the democrats.

    October 28, 2009 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  14. Clint

    Corzine, your campaign attack on your opponent's weight is all the people of New Jersey need to know about your character, or more accurately, your lack of it.

    October 28, 2009 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  15. Fitz in Texas

    Jon Corzine's has proven he lacks what it takes to be a good Gov. Why on earth would anyone vote for this guy?

    October 28, 2009 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  16. GaVoter

    Boy! Its amazing what dirty politics will gain you in the polls. No wonder New Jersey has corrupt politicians..

    October 28, 2009 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  17. Matt

    CNN and its blatant left wing bias. Of the five major polling stations that conducted polls on this race in the last two weeks, three have Christie in the lead (Rasmussen, PPP, SurveyUSA) while two have Corzine in the lead (Quinnipiac and Suffolk). CNN has now posted articles showing the polling results for Quinnipiac and Suffolk...where's the coverage on the others?

    The reality is that this race is a toss-up and will come down to who gets their supporters to show up at the polls on Tuesday. A little balance would go a long way for CNN's credibility.

    October 28, 2009 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  18. Patrick

    The citizens of NJ are brain dead.

    October 28, 2009 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  19. Jobless Recovery

    New Jersey deserves him. Big Tax and spend elite liberal...who will continue to ruin the NJ economy. When will this country learn?

    October 28, 2009 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  20. D. D.

    We hope he stays ahead.

    October 28, 2009 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  21. Doug, New Jersey

    The fact is that most people in New Jersey are evil Democrats.

    Most are stealing money from great Americans through sleezy state pensions, a government job where they don't do anything productive, welfare, or a liberal lottery lawsuit, they are blind partisan hate-filled Democrats.

    Most of these Democrats glorify violence, murder, extortion, and corruption, a crony lib like Croniezine, who is similar to the god Obama, is seen as a holly figure to such Democrats.

    You see it on the roads, a majority of people in New Jersey has a total disregard for human life and these are the type of people who vote Democrat in each and every election. They love the feel of slime, and if there were to vote against Democrats in would make them less slimey.

    October 28, 2009 10:57 am at 10:57 am |
  22. Mike

    If New Jersey is "stupid" enough to reelect corzine they deserve the tax increases they will get.

    October 28, 2009 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  23. Joanne Buck

    This is the Democratic "way"...the democrats are engaged in dishonest moves again as we saw in Mn. Or is it the Chicago Way?
    Joanne
    Mn

    October 28, 2009 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  24. Jack CArlsoon

    It is time to get the MAFIA out of Politics somehow. Anyone who spends millions and millions of dollars to make $200,000 per yr it is obvious what he "IS".
    Jack C
    WA

    October 28, 2009 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  25. James Jones

    Which Mafia family does this poll come from?
    J J
    New Jersey

    October 28, 2009 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
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