October 30th, 2009
01:25 PM ET
11 months ago

Poll: NYC Mayor Bloomberg up by double digits in home stretch

NYC Mayor Bloomberg up by double digits in home stretch.
NYC Mayor Bloomberg up by double digits in home stretch.

(CNN) – A new survey suggests that New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, vying for a third term in office, holds a 15-point lead over his Democratic rival, with just four days to go before voters there head to the polls.

According to a Marist College survey released Friday, 53 percent of likely New York City voters support Bloomberg, running as an independent, with 38 percent backing the Democratic candidate, New York City Comptroller William Thompson. Nine percent of those questioned are undecided, or backing other candidates.

Bloomberg held a 16-point advantage in a Marist poll conducted last week and was up 18 points over Thompson in a Quinnpiac University survey released earlier this week.

Bloomberg holds an even bigger lead over his rival in another key campaign measure: he's spend more than $33 million on TV ads, according to an analysis of New York City's mayoral race by TNSMI-CMAG, CNN's consultant on campaign ad spending. Bloomberg's launched 50 different ads during his re-election bid, which have aired more than 11,000 times. Bill Thompson, Bloomberg's Democratic rival, has spent just over $2.66 million on TV ads.

The Republican-turned-independent mayor has outspent most of the Republicans who ran in last year's presidential primaries, according to TNSMI-CMAG's Evan Tracey - his $33 million outlay is more than three times what John McCain spent to win the GOP nomination, and makes up the lion's share of the roughly $50 million in mayoral campaign ads that have hit the airwaves in the pricey New York media market.

Bloomberg's poll numbers took a minor hit late last year after he persuaded New York's city council to overturn the term limits to allow him to run for a third term this November - but his $33 million outlay has been followed by a massive 33-point advantage among independent voters, according to the new Marist poll. The survey suggests that Bloomberg is also leading overwhelmingly among Republicans, and splitting the Democratic vote with Thompson. The survey indicates a racial divide, with white voters backing Bloomberg by a margin of greater than 2-to-1 margin, African-Americans supporting Thompson by 23 points, and Hispanics backing Bloomberg by 18 points.

Three-quarters of likely voters questioned in the poll say they are strongly committed to the candidate they are backing.

Bloomberg has captured the endorsement of all three of New York City's major daily newspapers, the Times, Post and Daily News. The Spanish-language daily El Diario La Prensa endorsed Thompson.

The Marist College poll was conducted October 26-28, with 524 likely New York City voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

–CNN Political Producer Rebecca Sinderbrand contributed to this report

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn


Filed under: Michael Bloomberg
soundoff (14 Responses)
  1. John

    Did you hear that Obama created or saved 650,000 jobs since taking office? He's also created or saved 650,000 lives in Afghanistan since taking office.

    October 30, 2009 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  2. Henry Miller, Libertarian

    New Yorkers are certainly at liberty to elect any moron that pleases them as mayor of their city, but the problem with Bloomberg is that, since New Yorkers seem to like to shoot each other, he wants to gut the Second Amendment for all of us. This guy even sends New York cops up and down the east coast trying to prove that New York's crime problems are all someone else's fault.

    October 30, 2009 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  3. L. Adams

    Why isn't this guy running for governor or New York? I'm a hugh Mike Bloomberg fan – because he's a leader – in style, character, and results. He doesn't mince words. Elliot could've been great. The current NY governor stinks. And please, please not Guliani. Bloomberg is more about getting business done and less about getting politics done. I believe he should be next NY governor. Just my two cents.

    October 30, 2009 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  4. Fools and their freedoms are soon parted

    Bloomy will win because he is what the people of NY want...and all the grandstanding over the DNC and RNC cannot crack that...we need more Bloomys and less donkeys and elephants

    October 30, 2009 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  5. Emile

    As a New Yorker, I originally supported Mike for Mayor, given he has built a billion-dollar empire from scratch, and New York needed his business acumen to help rebuild its business foundation after 9/11. What made me turn against Mike was the fact that he was not a politician, but a businessman/technocrat who became involved in politics, and has now become a politician who just can't be trusted.

    First, he was a Democrat, then he became a Republican to run for NYC Mayor so he could get Giuliani's backing. Once he felt comfortable with his apparent successes leading NY by riding on the backs of NYers with taxes, he decided to become an Independent and now claim he is beholden to no interest group. Hogwash! This guy really has dictatorial propensities, and he is prepared to use his personal wealth to buy political power to behave like a dictator. Look at the people he gave money to and see how many have openly supported his third term bid. He may yet become NY's first 'elected dictator', because he wants political to do whatever he wants to do.

    Had Hillary Clinton stuck to her original guns of not running for President, he would have been a presidential candidate in 2008,. running as an Independent, but Hillary screwed up his plans. As a result, he did not want to lose his place in the political spotlight, so he went against his own promise to stick to term limits and decided he would seek a third term. To do this, he had to get the City Council to agree and those to be affected by term limits agreed because they, too, wanted to stay on and ride the gravy train.This third term, therefore, is not about him serving New Yorkers; this is about keeping his political profile in full view, even if it means riding on the backs of New Yorkers with draconian taxations and fines.

    Under Bloomberg, housing taxes went up, water rates went up, sales tax went up, 10 million traffic tickets were written last year alone bringing in $600M, and now traffic agents are out in force to beat last year's haul by going after drivers caught by slow moving traffic in intersections. So when Bloomberg says he won't raise taxes, the truth exposes him. While most New Yorkers got hit by the recession, Bloomberg exploited the title of Mayor to move from $4B eight years ago to now $16B. He is not in this for free; he is getting paid by trading on the title of Mayor. In summation: I don't trust him because he is not one of us ordinary and struggling New Yorkers; he is an opportunist on a mission for himself. Mark my word, people, Bloomberg will take steps to get lots more money from New Yorkers, but he wouldn't want to tell us this now!

    October 30, 2009 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  6. haren

    I am glad that some stupid conservative is not running, like 23 rd district.

    October 30, 2009 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  7. Bill/SoCal

    Good for him. He may not have had all the celebrity that Giuliani had, but he's done a better job and with less scandals that Rudy ever had.

    October 30, 2009 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  8. d1120

    One of the best jobs that money can buy.

    October 30, 2009 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  9. mjm

    I'd like to see Bloomberg run for president. He would be perfect. He is a fiscal conservative, but he is more liberal on social issues. Just what we need in the White House....as opposed to what we got now. Which is crazy, socialist liberal on every issue.

    October 30, 2009 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  10. ICARE

    I love the man, but you know, this is why our politicians are corrupted. We allow them to run the course of corruption. Term limits need to be put back in place.

    October 30, 2009 02:33 pm at 2:33 pm |
  11. Magnanimous

    NYC voters have sold their votes to the highest bidder to an Emperor-for-Life. Eliminating term limits sets a good example for Hugo Chavez to follow in Venezuela.

    October 30, 2009 02:41 pm at 2:41 pm |
  12. There's a sucker born every minute

    Of course New Yorkers would vote for a guy who litterally said "Shove it..." to them when he overturned the voter's will for term limits.

    However, its not just New Yorkers, its the entire country. A majority of Americans love to vote for politicians who do not listen to the public will. And they do it over and over again!

    That's why when Bloomberg threatened New York City council members to vote for overturning the term limit or I will cut the funding for schools and other projects in your districts, they were forced to comply. Then some of them lost their seats to candidates who slammed them for their vote this past election.

    A play on the Phillies' Pedro Martinez words.... New Yorkers, Bloomy is still your Daddy!!!!

    October 30, 2009 02:45 pm at 2:45 pm |
  13. David in Houston

    That's what spending a quarter billion of your own money will buy you!

    October 30, 2009 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  14. Shari, NY

    Mayor Bloomberg has a fairly decent track record. However, I think that the area that is need of overhaul is the DOT. In an effort to bring in REVENUE the ticket agents are at war. I am all for upholding the law especially on the roads but they give the word "terrorism" a new meaning.

    On the subject of roads, the potholes are ravenous. They are waiting to gobble any part of your car which they come into contact with. Come on, Mr. Mayor, why not use some of that money you are spending on proliferous multi-lingual ads to patch up New York City.

    October 30, 2009 03:55 pm at 3:55 pm |