(CNN) - With four days until Election Day, a new poll suggests that New Jersey Governor Jon Corzine is tied with his Republican challenger, Chris Christie.
According to a Fairleigh Dickinson University survey released Friday morning, 41 percent of likely New Jersey voters back Christie, the former federal prosecutor in the Garden State, with 39 percent supporting Corzine, the Democratic incumbent fighting for a second term, and 14 percent backing Independent candidate Chris Daggett.
Christie's 2 point lead is well with in the poll's sampling error.
A Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday morning indicated that Corzine held a 5 point advantage over Christie, just within that poll's sampling error. Most surveys in New Jersey over the past six weeks have suggested that Corzine and Christie were deadlocked, with Daggett in the low double digits.
"At this point, anyone who says their vote doesn't count is mistaken," says Peter Woolley, director of the Fairleigh Dickinson poll.
"In most races - including the one in Virginia this year - the outcome hinges on turnout," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "But in New Jersey, the outcome is likely to be determined by the size of the vote for minor-party candidates. If turnout is relatively high but all the extra voters choose an independent candidate, that won't affect the margin between the Democrat and the Republican."
The Fairleigh Dickinson University poll was conducted October 22-28, with 694 New Jersey likely voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
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