October 30th, 2009
08:03 AM ET
5 years ago

Poll suggests dead heat in battle for New Jersey governor

The race for NJ governor appears to be a dead heat.'
The race for NJ governor appears to be a dead heat.'

(CNN) - With four days until Election Day, a new poll suggests that New Jersey Governor Jon Corzine is tied with his Republican challenger, Chris Christie.

According to a Fairleigh Dickinson University survey released Friday morning, 41 percent of likely New Jersey voters back Christie, the former federal prosecutor in the Garden State, with 39 percent supporting Corzine, the Democratic incumbent fighting for a second term, and 14 percent backing Independent candidate Chris Daggett.

Christie's 2 point lead is well with in the poll's sampling error.

A Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday morning indicated that Corzine held a 5 point advantage over Christie, just within that poll's sampling error. Most surveys in New Jersey over the past six weeks have suggested that Corzine and Christie were deadlocked, with Daggett in the low double digits.

"At this point, anyone who says their vote doesn't count is mistaken," says Peter Woolley, director of the Fairleigh Dickinson poll.

"In most races - including the one in Virginia this year - the outcome hinges on turnout," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "But in New Jersey, the outcome is likely to be determined by the size of the vote for minor-party candidates. If turnout is relatively high but all the extra voters choose an independent candidate, that won't affect the margin between the Democrat and the Republican."

The Fairleigh Dickinson University poll was conducted October 22-28, with 694 New Jersey likely voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter @psteinhausercnn


Filed under: Chris Christie • Jon Corzine
soundoff (32 Responses)
  1. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    All that matters is those running is to get their supporters out to the polls. We need greater turn out than 40% or 50%. We should hope for the day where 70% is low turn out. We should be embarressed as Americans that we have such a low turn out.

    October 30, 2009 08:23 am at 8:23 am |
  2. STILL unemployed in Iowa

    More Obama lies and misleading.

    October 30, 2009 08:25 am at 8:25 am |
  3. Pragmatic

    This, and almost any, election could be decided by a singe vote: It might be snowing in Jersey but if you are a registered voter in this state – get out an vote!

    October 30, 2009 08:37 am at 8:37 am |
  4. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA

    Corzine has got this in the bag. Being a prosecutor doesn't make you the best person for the job Christie. Pick up a dozen donuts and reinforce your double chin.

    October 30, 2009 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  5. Eric in Denver

    No need to fear Corzine I am sure ACORN or the state will rigg this for you just like they did in Minnesota. Speaking of Minnesota if you vote for Corzine you are as smart as the people that voted for Franken. In fact you are probably less intelligent cosidering Franken had no record. Corzines record may be one of the worst in the history of any governor. TAX everybody and everything. Unemployment up, Property Tax up, State Tax Up, Tolls up. Jobs down, incomes down, pay down. That's a great formula for success. Also remember any vote for Daggett is a vote for Corzine.

    October 30, 2009 08:56 am at 8:56 am |
  6. jj

    Its not over until the fat man sing....and may him sing loud and proud. I'm voting for the big guy...that's big as in over-weight big!

    October 30, 2009 09:05 am at 9:05 am |
  7. joy who love her President.

    Why are u guys misleading people. The polls shows that corzine is 44% while christie is 43%. If u add
    the first name of the independent candidate daggett then will christie draw 41% and corzine 39% and if u add the other independent candidate steel, corzine will have a 5 point lead over christie. So my point is why don't u just put out all the fact about the poll insteady of picking what u like about the the poll. Shame on u Cnn!!!!

    October 30, 2009 09:17 am at 9:17 am |
  8. sifto77

    Seems like Corzine should be ahead with Obama pulling out all the stops for him. Every democrat with any influence has been there pushing and paying for him. I hope people will reconsider voting for the independent–it might lose the election for Christie who deserves to win. Daggett can run another time. Repubs really need to beat this guy.

    October 30, 2009 09:20 am at 9:20 am |
  9. We Won Get Over It

    Another one of the outrageous republican owned pollesters..How come when the republicans take the polls, Gallup, Rassmussen and now this so called college group, it is either the republican ahead or a dead heat. Then when they other reliable pollesters take it usually the democrat is ahead...gee gee gee do the republicans think they can influence the vote for bush's wannta be.

    October 30, 2009 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
  10. bill

    I think it's cause Christie ate the other guys' poll numbers.

    October 30, 2009 09:29 am at 9:29 am |
  11. Mark

    There is no way NJ voters can be that stupid to reelect Corzine. Can they????

    October 30, 2009 09:33 am at 9:33 am |
  12. phoenix86

    One more day until ACORN gets it funding reinstated. Hang on Governor Corzine, ballots are on the way.....

    October 30, 2009 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  13. clr

    A vote for Daggett is a vote for Corzine... I sure hope the NJ folks want Corzine back for another term.

    October 30, 2009 09:48 am at 9:48 am |
  14. dead heat?

    is there any way we can just sell New Jersey to the Canadians or Mexicans?

    Probably Canadians, the Mexicans are the other side of the U.S.

    October 30, 2009 09:54 am at 9:54 am |
  15. AJL

    If a report yesterday is accurate (FOX, MSNBC, etc spin such stories to the point that no one REALLY knows the truth) and NJ really does have the highest total tax (federal + state + sales tax) in the nation then change has to happen. And if that takes a change to a Republican Governor then... The problem would be if, instead of concentrating on fixing New Jersey's economy, a Republican Governor just toes the RNC line to the detrement of NJ residents things will truly never get better. Economics, using properly applied game theory, should be able to find a win-win in the battle (it HAS become a battle) between business interests and those of the average citizen.

    October 30, 2009 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  16. Bev

    Yes, this is definitely a tied race!!! However, this is VERY interesting, as New Jersey is a Democrat stronghold state!!! I heard the other day that New Jersey has like 750,000 more Democrats in the state.

    I guess that people no longer want to be the state with the highest taxes in the country-–sales, state, real estate, etc.-–and they were not happy that Corzine doubled the unemployment office since he took office.

    Most political experts are saying that those who are now supporting Daggett--might end up pulling the lever for Christie, rather than be stuck with Corzine again!!!

    October 30, 2009 09:57 am at 9:57 am |
  17. ThinkAgain

    I hope the Democratic Party has people out ensuring the voting is all legit – I wouldn't put it past the GOP to try to steal this election a la 2000.

    October 30, 2009 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  18. steve

    The election in Virginia should be an eye-opener for Democrats nationally.
    The Deeds campaign is very uninspiring and lacks focus.
    He refused to embrace the Obama administration and the progressive agenda (health care reform and climate change reform) thereby alienating the democratic and progressive voters.
    His lack of strong outreach to the African- american voters did not help him either.
    Maybe it was a mistake for not selecting either an African- American as lieutenant Gov. candidate or as state attorney general candidates to bring in that important coalition of voters the democratic party need to win elections.

    October 30, 2009 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  19. Bren

    Go New Jersey voters!!!

    You do not want to be known as the state with the highest taxes in the country!!! This is what you will get AGAIN if you vote for Corzine--even higher taxes-as you KNOW that he will INCREASE them again!!

    Christie has pledged to reduce taxes each year that he is in office-–including his first year in office!!!

    October 30, 2009 10:08 am at 10:08 am |
  20. CNN 100% censored reader

    So Christie is polling two points higher than Corzine, who has spent four times the amount of money on this campaign, turned his campaign over to the Obama administration to run, is in a state that has a majority of Democrats, and has every Democrat in the country supporting him. Is there something wrong with this picture? : )

    October 30, 2009 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  21. Fair is Fair

    2 days ago, a poll stated Corzine was up by 9 points. Now he's down by 2. What could have caused an 11-point swing in 2 days???

    Oh yeah... Obama and Biden showed up to campaign for Corzine.

    October 30, 2009 10:19 am at 10:19 am |
  22. Willy Brown

    Jersey you re elect Corzine then you have no reason to complain of the corruption because you wanted it. Don’t waste you vote on Conzine’s buddy running as a independent. Send a message to the democrats and Obummer next Tuesday.

    October 30, 2009 10:22 am at 10:22 am |
  23. MEMBER OF THE PARTY OF NO MARXISM

    You know things are bad if your a democrat when a republican is gonna win in the heart of democrat idiocy and corruption. Id like to thanks the extreme liberal wing of the democrat party for awakening an unstopable conservatve movement that is gonna sweep the ultaliberals(not blue dogs) out of office. America is and has always been a right-wing country. We had gotten away from it because of liberal want-a-be republicans, but now we are commin back and liberalsm will be practiced only in California and New england where it was born. Thank you libs!

    October 30, 2009 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  24. The Party of No More

    Pennsylvania legislators, realtors, and homesellers are backing Corzine. He is good for the economy. In Pennsylvania.

    October 30, 2009 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  25. Mike

    Is it possible to vote for "none of the above"?

    October 30, 2009 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
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