November 24th, 2009
01:55 PM ET
4 years ago

41 is the crucial number in 2010 battle for the House

Washington (CNN) - In the battle for Congress, 41 is the crucial number. That's the number of seats the Republicans need to win back from the Democrats in next year's midterm elections to take control of the House of Representatives.

Next November, all 435 seats in the House, where Democrats hold an 258-177 advantage, are up for grabs. After winning back Congress in the 2006 contests and increasing their majorities in the 2008 elections, the Democrats will be playing defense next year. Making matters tougher for the Democrats, the country's political landscape has changed this year, mostly to the benefit of Republicans. But will it be enough to get them to 41?

"President Barack Obama's standing has weakened, Democrats are on the defensive on the economy, spending and health care, and key midterm voting groups, including seniors and Independents, are moving away from the Democrats and toward the GOP," says Stuart Rothenberg, editor and publisher of the nonpartisan Rothenberg Political Report.

Of the 39 House Democrats who earlier this month voted against their party's health care reform bill, 31 come from districts that Sen. John McCain won in last year's presidential election. Of the remaining eight, six come from districts in which Obama won less than 55 percent of the vote.

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Filed under: 2010 • Congress
soundoff (42 Responses)
  1. James Michael Roberson

    We need to give Obama a chance to succeed. If we were to give control of congress to the republicans it would be almost impossible for Obama to get anything that he was elected to do accomplished. It would not be good.The republicans have done enough damage we don't need them in their to stop Obama from pulling us out of the ditch they put us in.

    November 24, 2009 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  2. Obama/Biden = One and Done, please God....

    Hopefully the moderate republicans can take advantage of the following facts:

    Obama and economy = no improvement, unemployment rising.
    Obama and Gitmo = won't c,ose by his stated deadline.
    Obama and Middle East = both sides ignore Obama, no progress.
    Obama and China – Obama = Beijing's employee overseeing its western holdings. US increasingly a second-rate power.
    Obama and Afghanistan = Obama tells us it is the war worth fighting and then dithers on general's request for more men.
    Obama and health care = Obama increasingly proving Joe Wilson to be correct.

    What else do you need to know? The dems have already sadly proven the old adage that it is easier to be successful in opposition than to govern.

    November 24, 2009 02:31 pm at 2:31 pm |
  3. Dwayne

    You know...I'm tired of hearing about polls. If poll data were so accurate, we would be in a world of dooky!

    Listen, "Great teachers never strive to explain themselves. They simply invite you to see for yourself." – I can't give credit, because I don't know who I'm quoting; however, it does hold water being that the moral is "Talk is cheap." No worries folks. We'll see on election day. Say what you will. Think what you wish. But we'll see what happens on election day.

    November 24, 2009 02:31 pm at 2:31 pm |
  4. Fed Up

    Have we got 535 (435 House, 100 Senate) Independents that are willing to stand up to these do-nothings? I have a feeling we would be able to get everyone of them elected with the mood of the electorate. Looks like it's not going to get any better, either.

    November 24, 2009 02:34 pm at 2:34 pm |
  5. Todd

    how eactly has the political landscape changed to favor republicons? Ther demographics are shrinking, they appeal t a more narrow constiuency than any time in the last half century, and by next november the economy will be humming along and the jobs market will be looking good. The next election is a year away. Some temporary glimmers of life in the gop are certainly no indicator that people would be stupid enough to return them to power any time in this generation.

    November 24, 2009 02:36 pm at 2:36 pm |
  6. Marry

    Dear CNN,
    It must be a slow day in the office that you get carried away at this point with next years (November!) midterm election. Especially the analysis of something that has not happened yet! How about waiting for the developments in 2010? Give the administration a chance to work! It would be more interesting if you would analyze what the country would look like if the GOP had won and their “plans” would have been enacted. But, perhaps better not since it would be a real nightmare.

    November 24, 2009 02:49 pm at 2:49 pm |
  7. Vietnam vet

    The neo-cons took 8 years to destroy the economy, Obama gets 8 months to fix it. People are sooooo stupid. Is this what I spent 6 years in the Army for, so the greedy people who have can keep what they have and screw everyone else. We had plenty of money in one week for the banks and insurance companies under Bush, but we do not want to give anything for those without health insurance. Give me a break.

    November 24, 2009 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  8. katiec

    I cannot understand or accept any sincere, caring, intelligent person ever considing voting for any republican.
    Their actions and tactics these lastt eleven months have been as anti-American, anti citizens of our country as you can get.
    They incite hate, anger, fear mongering while spewing lies,, being totally hypocritical and obstuct everything regardless of its benefits to us and our country.
    They led our country almost to ruin, yet take no responsibility for the irresponsible, unforgivable policies.
    They do not represent us or our country, only big business and greed.
    The definition of terrorists are those out to detroy a country by any means posssible. Does that ring a bell??

    November 24, 2009 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  9. gt

    if they keep spending like drunk sailors .. and...while americans can just barely making it ,,, get rid off all of them...they all need to get a real job anyway...

    November 24, 2009 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  10. mjm

    Vote for Sarah Palin....

    OMG!!!! I am almost seeing my dream come true.. I want Palin to run a SUCCESSFUL campaign for 2012 'cause I am voting for her Baby and I am sure a LOT of them who voted for this SOCIALIST would toooooo (having realized the grave mistake!!!)

    November 24, 2009 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  11. Proud Member..Party of No

    The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 27% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -15. This is the lowest Approval Index rating yet measured for President Obama.

    Among those not affiliated with either major political party, just 16% Strongly Approve and 51% Strongly Disapprove.

    November 24, 2009 03:16 pm at 3:16 pm |
  12. valwayne

    A vote for a Democrat in 2010 is a vote for Obama and his radical left wing plans for the country. 10.2% UNEMPLOYMENT, trillions upon trillions of debt, and rationed healthcare. We've had our first treat of how the White House will cut healthcare costs under Obamacare with the decision regarding woman's breast exams. And isn't it funny that woman lives are the first to be put into jeapardy for the sake of cost cutting?

    November 24, 2009 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  13. Sharon

    It'll happen, with the Democrats destroying and bankrupting this country at a record pace, we can't wait for 2010 to vote them all out. Time to restore common sense and self responsibility to America. The only Democrats left will be those on all the entitlement programs.

    November 24, 2009 03:19 pm at 3:19 pm |
  14. Buffalo Bill

    Hopefully a "conservative" tidal wave will sweep the 2010 elections, thereby stopping the current slide towards socialism. Then, the push should be for term-limits, so that neither Democrats or Republicans get too comfy in their positions of power. Twelve years is plenty, then they can go back to the farm.....

    November 24, 2009 03:29 pm at 3:29 pm |
  15. Robert

    It blows my mind that seniors and independents are 'moving toward the GOP." What is wrong with you people? Are you that impatient that you will withdraw your support from the party that gave us a huge budget surplus in 2000, and is now trying to clean up the colossal mess the GOP gave us for the next 8 years?

    Stop demanding miracles and realize that it takes time to fix the sort of problems Obama inherited.

    Pull your heads out and think for crying out loud..

    November 24, 2009 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  16. Ed, Santa Fe, NM

    Rather than obsessing about #41, the Prohibitionist Party should get some ideas... all they do is take pot shots without ever having a viable alternative.

    And if right-wing nutters like Palin are the "hope" of the party, they are still in very big trouble....

    November 24, 2009 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  17. Bob the Observer

    We don't need 41 Republicans. What we need is 100 third party candidates to broadside both parties.

    November 24, 2009 03:35 pm at 3:35 pm |
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