(CNN) - A new poll released Monday afternoon indicates that Republican Scott Brown has a 7-point edge over Democrat Martha Coakley in Tuesday's special election in Massachusetts for the late Sen. Ted Kennedy's seat.
According to an American Research Group survey, 52 percent of likely voters back Brown, a state senator, with 45 percent supporting Coakley, the state's attorney general. Meanwhile, 2 percent back Joseph Kennedy, a third party candidate who is not related to the late senator. The 7-point advantage for Brown is just within the poll's sampling error.
Brown had a 48 to 45 percent advantage in an ARG poll released over the weekend.
The survey indicates 97 percent of likely Republican voters are backing Brown, independent voters supporting him 64 to 32 percent over Coakley, and nearly one out of 4 Democrats also supporting Brown.
A Suffolk University poll released Thursday indicated Brown held a 4-point lead. Other recent partisan and non-partisan surveys suggested the race was a dead heat.
The American Research Group poll was conducted Friday through Sunday, with 600 Massachusetts residents likely to vote in Tuesday's election questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Also Monday the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report changed its prediction of the race from "toss up" to "lean Republican." Another well respected non-partisan political report, the Cook Political Report, has the race rated as a "toss up," but notes in its analysis of the race that "we put a finger on the scale for Brown."
-CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report
Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn
Witness the power of God in our everyday lives. Months ago no one wanted to run against Mawthaaaaaaaaaa. She was the anointed one – the chosen one for the illustrious "Kennedy seat. " No one knew who Scott was. How wonderful to see Brown proclaim this seat as the PEOPLES seat. How refreshing after all of this Democratic ARROGANCE and massive spending that hasnt stimulated anything -–other than Chris Matthews leg on MSNBC. How wonderful that this election will start the downfall of this socialist fraud who bamboozled the public to get into the White House.
It only took America 1 year of Obama to snap back to their senses...
america can't let the racist purity republican party infect the cancer of there party into this state down with BROWN
lets elect COAKLEY as to continue TED KENEDY'S legacy ..
vote democrat it is a vote for the aveage american and supporting a united health care for everyone . equal treatment lower cost and NO MORE CEO bonuses .. make me proud to be an american don't let the lies and threats of the purist party of NO talk you into voting a self serving purity whites only party person .. voting DEMOCRAT is
WE THE PEOPLE not they the CEO'S lets stop being servats to the very wealthy republicans . VOTE COAKLEY :)
A vote for Brown is a direct vote against Obummie. Brown will win as the people has figured out Obummie is a socialist idiot. I saw Obummie on TV today with an apron on serving food. Maybe he should get a job at McDonald's or some place so he can LEARN about business and economics 101.
This is just unbelievable!!! A hard-fought campaign against all odds and Ted Kennedy DIES at the table.
We'll definitely be stuck in the stone age with stone-age philosophy from the past 8 years.
How can anyone consider voting for a Conservative? They had 8 yrs in government and failed miserably. They brought about the recession and failed war costing us billions/trillions of dollars. Republicans have become the pied pipers of the stupid and corporate takeovers.
Either way this goes it IS a powerful statement against this administation's stratospheric arrogance and egeregious abuse of our laws. I do hope Brown pulls this off. It would cheer me to the core to see serious damage to health care reform; which has as much to do with health as MTV has to do with music.
Enough of the indignant and self righteous recriminations excoriating self evident conservatism, for example if you have no money not only should you stop spending but you should make cuts. How many people out there who are wise with their money would put in new drapes or, would either continue or even start paying for their teenage children's car insurance and gas if a wage earner had lost their job or had a job loss? Me either.
At some point during a liberals demands for their rights and their entitlements, I would really enjoy hearing them just once mention what THEIR RESPONSIBILITIES are. Aren't they the party of "ask not what your country can do for you"? No, they are the party of "I just wanna get my hands on someone else's money" because to Democrats people only come into money through nefarious means.
Since this appears to be the first comment on this story, I offer a challenge to Democrats, Liberals, other supporters of Obama: if you choose to post a comment, try to do it without blaming Bush. Can you come up with a compelling defense without resorting to that tired old tactic? Let me give you some help, here is a claim you could try:
Obama did pass the stimulus and that has been a fantastic success. Best of luck to Brown.
What a hoot. Even 25% of Democrats have seen the light. 2010 is going to be 1994 all over again. Obama becomes a lame duck tomorrow!
The republicans had full control for 6 years. They took the deficit from 0 to 14 TRILLION. We can't let them have control of ANYTHING else. Republicans are warmongers and executives. We can do without those.
Why do the democrats insist on committing political suicide. I voted democrat last time around, but this health care reform is a big mistake. I live in Mass and will vote for Brown to restore some political sanity. Most Americans are against health care reform, yet the democrats proceed lemming like over the cliff.
People of Mass. the begining of the end is all up to you, and the entire US is fecerishly watching to se what you will do with your vote tomorrow. YOu can make the history books, and break the Obama corruptness in DC. vote for Scott Brown, and be proud that you did..
This shows the voice of the American people. If the people of Mass. were so thrilled with their Ted Kennedy health care, wouldn't they vote for the rest of the country to have the same thing? If you disagree, you would have to say that they are selfish and only care about themselves. This shows how far the democrats have fallen. For such a liberal state to vote in a republican to a seat held by a Kennedy is unthinkable. Here comes the Republican uprising for 2010 and beyond.
I would also point out to the Coakley and Obama supporters that you have had and have the majority in both houses. After tomorrow you will still have the majority. Blame the democrats for not coming together. To blame the republicans is silly. Brown will only make it so they can't ram it thru. They have had their chance for months but got weak when they saw support is lacking for it. They feared they will become part of the 10%+ unemployed. Maybe if he wins they can start over with real reform, not special intrest loaded garbage.
Drinks all around if Brown wins. Non-alcoholic of course! We need some sober leadership in D.C.
It will be a shame to see Teddy's seat go to garbage like him and the party of no!
Scott Browns win will rally the markets off the charts. once its realized Obamas plans has been a nightmare and we have awoken.....!!!! you go boy!!!
And what were the elephants doing for the past 8 years? They were doing the same thing – handing out trillion to teh top 1% while our jobs were offshored.
Right or Left we need to do the right thing.....
Right Leaning Independent January 18th, 2010 3:37 pm ET
Unfortunately, they are not going to seat Brown fast but the upside is that this is going to be one more nail in the coffin for Dems in November!! We are witnessing the rise of conservatism once again! It is time to take back our country from the liberals that are creating a society looking for a handout!!!
Wow there aren't a hundred Republican posts on this yet. Come on boys go to work. This election doesn't mean diddly no matter how much the media want to play it up. Healthcare will still probably pass.
The people of Mass. have pretty much told the Democratic leadership what they think of all their programs so far. This is only the beginning of more congressmen being thrown out of their guilded offices.
Hmmmm, no comments?
Guess you libs must be in shock over this article.
Republicans want nothing more than a return to power so they can continue their agenda of trying to make our president and our country fail.
Only a sucker or a fool would still fall for the GOP's fear-mongering, hateful, divisive, lying tactics.
Good people of Massachusetts, get out and vote for Coakley tomorrow!
YOU PEOPLE WHO THINK THAT SCOTT BROWN HAS A MAGIC WAND THAT HE'S GOING TO WAVE AND MAKE EVERYTHING BETTER HAD BETTER THINK AGAIN!!!!!! THE REPUBLICANS ARE THE REASON THINGS ARE BAD ,BUT I THINK THAT YOUR GOING TO HAVE TO FIND OUT THE HARD WAY AT OUR EXPENSE AS PER USUAL!!!!!!
He will become senator and do absolutely NOTHING....but take Massachusetts backwards. You all are choosing the larger evil....wait a year and see how the middle class and environment suffers and the rich and corporations get wealthier. No republican, independent or democrat
has a magic wand to clean up the mess of the last administration!!!!!
Scott Brown – whatever he truly believes – is a smart man because he is following the will of the PEOPLE. Sure there are people for THIS health care bill, but the majority are against it. Brown says he's in favor of reform, but wants to go back to the drawing board...exactly what the majority of Americans want to do. The Dems are really messing this thing up. They are out of touch with the American people...or they just don't care.
Scott Brown is an immoral man. He isn't Christian. Christians have values and morals and don't pose nude pics for Cosmo. Anyway he was air brushed. Can you image kissing Scott Brown and suddenly see ear hair, nostril hair, and shoulder hair growing on his back? Yuk. Yeah, just like Sarah Palin who has to have her face airbrushed for her facial hair not to be seen? GOPers are fraudulant, fake, immoral, and lie to distort truths. Come on Massachusett voters. Vote Democrat and keep America safe! Vote Democrat! Vote Coakley for the real deal for US Senate. Democrats in Massachusetts, get out and vote! Vote for Coakley! Vote Demorat!