February 15th, 2010
06:40 PM ET
4 years ago

Bayh departure hands GOP key takeover opportunity

Washington (CNN) - Sen. Evan Bayh's unexpected decision Monday not to seek re-election gives national Republicans one of their best opportunities to takeover a Democratic seat, according to independent analyses from two leading non-partisan political handicappers.

The Cook Political Report revised its rating for the Indiana contest to "Leans Republican" shortly after news of Bayh's decision broke. The race had previously been rated "Leans Democratic."

According to the Cook analysis, "While Democrats have not had the opportunity to assess their options, it is unlikely that they will be able to come up with a strong enough candidate to compete in a GOP-leaning state in the current political climate."

The Rothenberg Political Report modified its rating from a "narrow advantage" for Democrats to "toss-up," meaning the race could go either way.

"Bayh surely was the strongest candidate Indiana Democrats could have nominated – if only because of his years of proven electoral success and his $13 million campaign account – and an open seat is much more difficult for Democrats to hold in the current political environment," according to the Rothenberg analysis.

Both publications had Bayh as a lock for re-election until the announcement earlier this month that former Republican Sen. Dan Coats was mulling a challenge. According to Cook and Rothenberg, a Bayh-Coats match-up would have been competitive, with a slight advantage for Bayh as the incumbent.


Filed under: 2010 • Evan Bayh
soundoff (17 Responses)
  1. Costello Williams

    How come CNN is not reporting that the GOP has more people leaving office the the DNC but I guess CNN need the ratings and create DRAMA!

    February 15, 2010 06:54 pm at 6:54 pm |
  2. From a Chicago Independent 26 year old white male

    wow who cares which party gets it, someone's just gonna be puppet just like the rest of our leaders...puppets. Revolution..we need it..it the only real change till "power corrups and absolute power corrupts absolutely."

    February 15, 2010 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  3. so rich even obama couldn't hurt me but you middle class folk should worry

    what a year this is gonna be, the big o is gonna set the dems back 20 years LMAO! what a farce! 1 n DONE! can't come soon enough!!!!!!

    February 15, 2010 06:57 pm at 6:57 pm |
  4. Ken in Gainesville

    Good people leave, letting the fanatics assume control. "Independents" better wake up, or they will wind up in a right-wing dictatorship with the Limbaugh's, Beck's, Palin,s and Inhoff's in control. America is on the brink of making a leap to oblivion. China can't wait!

    February 15, 2010 07:05 pm at 7:05 pm |
  5. C. Farrell, Houston, Tx

    Electoral success record are key operative words for anyone seeking a senate seat, presidential/vice president candidacy and this certainly doesn't apply to someone who has no record or lack of education. Besides that it's too many old people in Washington that have got to go before the country continues to lose senators like Bayh. Get the old men out whether they are Democrats or Republicans and take Lieberman with you.

    February 15, 2010 07:10 pm at 7:10 pm |
  6. Robin in Tampa, FL

    At this moment the seat is fair game. Let the people decide who they want representing them.

    February 15, 2010 07:12 pm at 7:12 pm |
  7. Liberal wing nut

    Moderate democrats where stepped on by Obama during the state of the union. Its a shame.

    February 15, 2010 07:14 pm at 7:14 pm |
  8. found work without help of stimulus or obama

    Thank you for telling obama the facts of life

    February 15, 2010 07:17 pm at 7:17 pm |
  9. Hows that nonunion made Toyota workin for ya?

    He was nothing more than a" kill the healthcare bill plant",working for his Wellpoint Health Insurance Corporate Fascist owners.

    February 15, 2010 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
  10. The GOP

    When will the moron Dems realize the GOP rules.They still want people to think the Repubs are holding them back,they are the party of NO.NO jobs NO improvement No plan NO hope NO change NO truth The party of whinning and crying,blame it on Obama you idiots.A real sign that Bush's No child left behind was needed,these morons were not only left behind,they never showed up.Suck it up party of nothing.

    February 15, 2010 07:28 pm at 7:28 pm |
  11. Ray

    In a time of crisis our Congress is demonstrating its lack of intelect to engage in productive discourse to problem-solve. As a Republican, Senator Bayh has helped me find my voice–it is time for change–voters must act to replace those who demonstrate their incapacity to work together to problem-solve; act responsibly on behalf of the People who placed them in office. Statesman Bayh will be an enormous loss...

    February 15, 2010 07:34 pm at 7:34 pm |
  12. The Lady

    Nobody expect Scott Brown to win, so we can not predict who will win here either.

    February 15, 2010 07:44 pm at 7:44 pm |
  13. Candi

    If you want nothing done-Put a Democrat on it.If you want action-Put the GOP on it.Dems-the party of NO NO jobs NO improvement NO plan NO truth NO hope NO change The party of NO-the DEMs

    February 15, 2010 07:48 pm at 7:48 pm |
  14. Dave, the Truthteller

    The Left-Wingnuts will not be happy until the Democratic party is a regional party only to the San Francisco Bay area....good ridence...

    February 15, 2010 07:59 pm at 7:59 pm |
  15. Stop the Nonsense

    Republicasn will make in-roads but should not be too cocky. They too are in danger of losing key contests due to their roadblocks and political stance on every issue.
    We are tired of representitves that think party first -not people.
    Wake up Congress- we have!

    February 15, 2010 08:09 pm at 8:09 pm |
  16. Big Joe

    Good! Another corrupt long time Democrat gone. The sooner we get them all out of office the better. The American people should outlaw the Democrat party because it is full of a bunch of traitors.

    February 15, 2010 08:13 pm at 8:13 pm |
  17. Willy Brown

    Bayh just avoiding being a soreloserman in 2010.

    February 15, 2010 08:18 pm at 8:18 pm |