February 15th, 2010
10:55 AM ET
5 years ago

Poll: Perry holds commanding lead in Texas primary

A new poll shows Gov. Rick Perry firmly in the lead.
A new poll shows Gov. Rick Perry firmly in the lead.

Washington (CNN) - With just over two weeks to go until the March 2 Republican primary in Texas, a new poll suggests that Gov. Rick Perry holds a commanding lead over his two challengers.

According to the survey, conducted by Blum and Weprin Associates for five Texas newspapers, 45 percent of likely GOP voters support Perry's bid for a third full term in Austin. Meanwhile, 29 percent are backing Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison and 17 percent favor former Wharton County GOP chairwoman Debra Medina. Also working in Perry's favor: only 8 percent of likely Republican voters are undecided.

But Perry does not have the race locked up. He must surpass the 50 percent threshold to avoid a six-week runoff against the second place finisher and his lead has slipped in recent weeks with the ascendance of the conservative Medina, a latecomer to the race. But Medina's controversial suggestion last week that the U.S. government may have been involved in the September 11 attacks could cause her to bleed support in the final weeks, allowing Perry to cross the 50 percent mark.

The telephone survey was conducted Feb. 2-10, before Medina's controversial remarks on Glenn Beck's radio show.

The poll also surveyed registered voters across the state and found that 53 percent said Texas is headed in the right direction, while 35 percent said the Lone Star state is headed in the wrong direction.

There's also a bit of good news in the data for Texas Democrats. The Democratic frontrunner, former Houston mayor Bill White, only trails Perry by 6 points in a hypothetical general election match-up, and trails Hutchison by only eight points. Still, the electorate appears largely unfamiliar with White: 65 percent of those surveyed had not heard enough about him to form an opinion.

The poll, conducted by telephone, of 1,508 registered Texas voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, while the poll of 464 likely GOP primary voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.


Filed under: 2010 • Kay Bailey Hutchison • Rick Perry • Texas
soundoff (44 Responses)
  1. Gilliard

    Is Texas still part of the U.S.?I thought they were going to secede and make Chuck Norris their el Presidente'?

    February 15, 2010 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  2. andy

    Any Republican will be better than the best the dems have.The dems,a party of NO.NO jobs NO economic improvement NO plan NO truth NO hope NO change NO accountability.Long Live the GOP,a real party of "change you can believe in".November can not get here quick enough.

    February 15, 2010 11:04 am at 11:04 am |
  3. Medina is a RINO

    Medina is a truther, but she is also a liberal RINO getting the bulk of her support from liberal Obama voters. Look it up, it's in all the crosstabs of the polls. Medina is not a "tea party" candidate. Tea Party activists are supporting Rick Perry strongly. Medina is a liberal RINO on a huge array of issues.

    February 15, 2010 11:05 am at 11:05 am |
  4. Aunt Bea and Opie

    Perry is all hat and no brain.He plays the tea baggers while really being the spokesman for ExxonMobil, Haliburton and the Swordmakers Union that fill his bags full of money.Its time for this squarehead to go.Texans are truely between a rock and a hard place.Hutchison is just another Cheney endorsed puppet and Medina is making tea bags.

    February 15, 2010 11:09 am at 11:09 am |
  5. The lonely Libertarian of Liverpool NY

    The people of Texas it is time to ask where all of this campaign funding is coming from? Are these candidates funded from the people of Texas? Or is this funding coming from outside the state? You better ask who is buying your representation.
    I say in 2010 ask who is funding your representative? Look to see where the money is coming from? If the money comes from outside your voter district then who do you think they will represent if they are elected or re-elected? We need to bring these professional politicians back into line.

    February 15, 2010 11:09 am at 11:09 am |
  6. Randolph Carter, I'm no expert but.....

    Here's my prediction for the midterm elections: Areas of the country that vote right will vote even further right. Areas that vote left will vote further left. The republicans will gain a few seats, but the "landslide" they predict will fail to materialize. Thus, congress will become even more bitter and partisan, our government will grind to a halt and nothing will get done, while conditions continue to deteriorate for the majority of people. We seriously need four things: term limits, kick all and I mean ALL lobbyists and special interest goups out of DC, end the fillibuster (It's not in the constitution, all you brilliant constitutional scholars who post here) and give all political candidates a small, publicly funded campaign budget to use as they see fit. Do you think we'll get any of this ever? With the corrupt congress critters we've got on both sides of the aisle? I'm not holding my breath. Have a nice day!

    February 15, 2010 11:11 am at 11:11 am |
  7. D.U.T.C.H.

    I think Perry has this in the bag. That Medina chick stuck her foot in her mouth and Hutchinson doesn;t have any viable republicans backing her.

    February 15, 2010 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  8. Gil Oberdas

    Sad that any republican could be doing so well in the polls. The Party of "NO" has got to go!

    February 15, 2010 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  9. Ben in Texas

    As a native Texan, I want to apologize to the world for the candidates in the Repugnant primary. I exclude from this apology all stand-up comedians, who will obviously potentially benefit from this field of candidates.

    The state needs leadership, and instead the Repugnants present us with Far Right, Further Right, and Door Number 3.

    February 15, 2010 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  10. D.U.T.C.H.

    If Hutchinson wants to get back into this race, she needs to slam Perry on his comments about seceding from the union. Whoever her campaign manager is, they need to get their head out of their butt and try a new approach.

    February 15, 2010 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  11. Reggie

    My money is on Kay Bailey Hutchison. Perry has been serving long enough.

    February 15, 2010 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  12. Mark

    Perry is a fool and a disgrace to Texas.
    God help Texas: Medina believes the US government was behind 9/11 and Perry wants Texas to secede from the Union.

    February 15, 2010 11:18 am at 11:18 am |
  13. Speaking for Liberals

    That is just sad. But it gives a testament to vast size of Texas. There are huge blue spots across the Texas territory but those are major cities. Once you get out into the sticks, The panhandle, West Texas ya get the hicks that vote.

    February 15, 2010 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  14. GI Joe

    Good – he'll be easier for a democrat to beat – he has the worst history of all the republicants in the primary.

    February 15, 2010 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  15. sonny chapman

    If Rick Perry is the face Texans' want to show the rest of the country,then they're not nearly as Christian, i.e., Christ-like, as they think they are; but after David Duke made the Gov. runoff in my La., neither is your neighbor.

    February 15, 2010 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  16. RTB

    I trust the good people of Texas have had enough of Perry, the thoughtless Republican alternatives are not much of a choice either .

    The Democratic Party of Texas is the Party LBJ. He is still thought of as the Texan who could get things done. He did get a remarkable amount of work accomplished, good progressive legislation that benefited all Americans.

    There are those in Texas like mayor White who deserve attention.

    February 15, 2010 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  17. notfooledbydistractions

    Let's move Texas into the current century – enough of the wingnut republicans.

    February 15, 2010 11:26 am at 11:26 am |
  18. GI Joe

    Maybe they'll secede and save the taxpayers a lot of money. Hope they take Alaska with them. Two states that take more than they give.

    If ALL my prayers are answered, Texas and Alaska will take SC with them too.

    February 15, 2010 11:29 am at 11:29 am |
  19. Socialism...keeping police/fire stations, roads, justice system and the military out of the hands of Capitalists

    I love the standard CNN headline that is completely eye catching and then you read the article to see that the statement made in the headline might not matter one bit. He has a commanding lead...however, he still might lose misserably.

    February 15, 2010 11:32 am at 11:32 am |
  20. Who said the Mayans were wrong?

    The first thing I think of when I see this knuckledragger is the center of a pigs backside.

    February 15, 2010 11:32 am at 11:32 am |
  21. Marie MD

    Is he still running on seceding from the Union? No wonder the quitter and he are friends. Tells you a lot about those folks in Texas. Nothing good though.

    February 15, 2010 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  22. Conservatism equals illiterate ignorance

    Is there any doubt Texas is overun with illiterate ignorancy with these as the possible contenders for Govenor?

    February 15, 2010 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  23. johnrj08

    Boy, the choices being offered voters in Texas and Arizona are pretty grim. I guess these people get what they ask for. Perry is a complete dope. Maybe we should consider letting that state secede from the Union. Then we could build that wall along Texas' northern border just to keep all the dumb Texans out of the US.

    February 15, 2010 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  24. Conservatism equals illiterate ignorance

    Is there any doubt Texas is overun with illiterate ignorancy with these as the possible contenders for Governor?

    February 15, 2010 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  25. Jane/Seattle

    That Figures! The state where they revise the textbooks! No wonder folks are so ignorant!

    February 15, 2010 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
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