Washington (CNN) – For many Democrats in Washington, a Sarah Palin presidential run would be a dream come true.
As their thinking goes, Palin's popularity among Republican base voters in early primary states would be enough to swamp the rest of the 2012 field and vault the conservative firebrand to the GOP nomination.
But in a general election, her standing among independent and swing voters, which began to crater in the closing weeks of the 2008 presidential race, might be too much to overcome.
New (admittedly early) polling data suggests that very scenario could play out if she decides to seek the White House.
According to a new Gallup survey, 76 percent of Republicans have a favorable opinion of Palin - the highest rating among any of the presumed presidential candidates. The former Alaska governor also maintains the strongest name recognition of any potential candidate, while only 20 percent of Republicans view her unfavorably.
Palin is trailed by Mike Huckabee (a 65 percent favorable rating), Newt Gingrich (64 percent) and Mitt Romney (54 percent). Bobby Jindal, who has yet to signal any serious 2012 intentions, had 45 percent favorable rating among Republicans.
Among all Americans, though, Palin's numbers are upside down. More Americans view her in a negative light (47 percent) than a positive one (44 percent). What's more, only nine percent of Americans haven't formed an opinion of the former Alaska governor, making it difficult for her to correct that deficit.
Romney, meanwhile, appears to have repaired his image among Americans since the height of the contentious Republican primary battle in February 2008, when his unfavorable rating was at 46 percent. Now, 36 percent of Americans have a favorable view of Romney, with 28 percent having an unfavorable view.
The Gallup poll surveyed 1,020 adults between July 8-11 and has a sampling error of +/- 4 percentage points. Several potential candidates, namely Tim Pawlenty, were not included in the survey.
If she runs, she wins the Republican Nomination and will beat Barrack Obama easily. Barrack has 0% chance of being reelected no matter who the Republican is. He is damage goods..
Gee, thanks CNN for the latest installment in your series of daily Palin-bashing polls and stories. Why do you post only negative stories about her? Why does the headline have to read “Bad news for Palin in new poll” when the story clearly states she has massive popularity in the GOP? Isn’t there at least some good news in that? In fact, I cannot recall a single positive story you have ever posted on the “Ticker” regarding Sarah Palin. She has a huge following and she has sold millions of books, surely there is something positive in that, no? Why does Sarah Palin continue to bother you so much, CNN?
Again, she QUIT an elected position. Why would anyone trust her to be President? Really shows a lack of judgment among the GOP base if they support her.
Frankly, I hope she runs and gets the nod. Not in generations has there been one so daft, misinformed if not completely clueless. Remember, this is the one that states she has Foreign Policy experience because she can see Russia from her front porch. Now I'm not an expert in Alaskan geography, but unless her front porch sits on the Bering Straight and there is an optical inversion, she can no more see Russia than I can. Do we really want this ditz to have her thumb on the trigger? And don't even get me started on moral or ethical grounds or her fiscally irresponsible tenure during her stint as a govenor ... which she bailed on. She's a brainless quitter without a clue. No Thanks, Sarah ... Get Thee Gone ...
Wow! Her numbers are slightly better than Barack Obama's approval numbers. I guess that's good news for Sarah Palin when Americans view her in a more favorable light than they do Mr. Obama.
Oh YES! Run Baby, Run! LMAO! :)
I once was asked what I was looking for in a wife and I replied "intelligence" to which I was asked, "how do you judge that"., I just said "If they know Palin is a fake." If you have a favorable opinion of her, you are an idiot. No way around it.
better Yet send all of the Republicans to Alaska, make that 'America' and the rest of the country the United States, yea that's a doer you betya!
Sarah Palin will NEVER be president. Mark my words.
Interesting – so someone who (most people) thought was an idiot in November 2008, is suddenly going to transform into a person competent enough to assume the presidency? How does that work? Because she quit as Alaska's governor half-way though her term?
And yet Pres. Obama is currently getting about 36-37% of Independent/swing voters support! Makes me laugh, it really does. She even has more support from her own party than Obama has from his currently. Seems like Palin isn't doing all that bad after all. Just another boring/anti-Palin news story.
Though I'm not a HUGE fan of Palin myself- still, enough with the Palin polls CNN! The woman is not even running for office right now. As I say to all of my liberal friends... If Palin is so 'irrelevant' and would NEVER 'win'- why do the liberals still keep her in the news?? Answer- they are scared to death that she could possibly have a chance, considering the HUGE disappointment we have in the White House now.
CNN, post Obama's latest poll numbers and we can all compare his to Palin's.
Why is Sarah Palin even running for any office? Is there any depth behind her political views or are her address's and speech's just formal write-ups by her legislative staff members? I'm sure she likes to be on television and likes to be in the news but comparatively, so do many actors and dramatic Hollywood icons. Hands down, if Palin really wants to engage herself in the political arena and come off as a successor to anyone already involved she needs to stay off the radar for a while and do some meaningful things that extend passed her press releases and formal news excerpts. Lastly, a lot of commentators and critics ear mark her but why shouldn't they? Real politicians have more depth than she and for that reason, she is an easy target.
This would make a very entertaining 2012 and certainly help the President's re-election bid! I don't think she will run though, in quitting public office in Alaska, she clearly demonstrated that money is much more important to her than public service.
So why isn't Ron Paul the presumptive nominee considering his true fiscal conservatism, intelligence and ability to speak plain and clearly? It's hard not to think that the Republican Party is pro-war and for subsidies/tax breaks as long as they go to more well off folks.
The conclusion? Seventy-six percent of Republicans are morons.
76 percent of Republicans have a favorable opinion of Palin
So 76 percent of the Republican party are idiots? That certainly explains George Bush holding two terms.
Palin is an ignorant, uneducated, extremist with a huge ego who spouts lies and hate as easily as she breathes. Americans know what an utter fool she is and Palin only has an extremely small following and it's getting smaller. She's quite boring since she has been giving the same nonsensical speech for a year. It took her so long to learn it, she has had to keep using it over and over.
Her sister in insanity, Michelle Bachman is also in big trouble in her reelection campaign in Minnesota. Her campaign team has quit and she in on her 5th campaign manager in 3 years. She is polling poorly in her home state as more and more people hear her crazy and lunatic ranting.
It;s time more Americans woke up to realities of the Republican Party, how dysfunctional they are, how they have no solutions for any issues we are facing and how they want our economy and our job creation to fail, thinking it will help them grab power. They are anti-American and unAmerican and are working with the Chamber of Commerce to encourage large business to sit on their increased profits and not hire any people until after the election.
This sick game is hurting American families and shows Republicans are nothing about the PEOPLE or the working class who DOES want to work and support their families. Republicans are dangerous for America and its future growth. Let;s get all of them out of office before they bring more damage on us.
Yes.., Sarah Palin looks pretty and very attractive. However.., I just don't see her playing 'hardball' with the group in Washington, D.C.. Just not enough experience in just about everything. Maybe.., thats why Sarah is on the road.., to gain experience. Then I look back and I say.., "Sarah, you should have never left your office in Alaska." Really disappointed a lot of people, including me as a voter. Mike in Montana
I am a long-time fiscal conservative that, I believe, reflects the views of the typical inependent. I am well-educated, hard-working, and have raised 4 children. I have complete contempt for the political party establishments. Although Palin showed good instincts here in Alaska when she went after a very corrupt Murkowski and fellow travelers,
her basic ignorance led to a collapse when it came to follow-through on some pretty good ideas. She does not have the firepower needed to be anything beyond a rabble rouser. Nothing productive will ever come out of her "efforts".
SEVENTY SIX PERCENT!?!?! The fact that the poll included only 1,020 adults is a tiny bit reassuring, but it speaks volumes about the power of 'celebrity' in the U.S. when she supasses all other potential candidates.
Run Baby Run! Easy win for the Dems... Keep that Christan right wing crap out of the government. Screw the bible! Read and interpret the constitution! This country was not found on Christianity!
The party that gave us George Bush have a favorable opinion of Sarah Palin. What does that tell us about that party?
I think the republicans should run Palin as President. Matter of fact a real good ticket for them would be Palin President and Gingrich Vice President. Democrates would love that. They might even contribute for their campaigns.
even if she does win the presidency, she will quit within 18 months to write a book or some other lame excuse. if she is even the candidate for her party, i believe i will have lost faith in the voting republic.
drill, baby, drill
As a progressive, I hope and pray that the quitter on twitter runs in 2012. It would ensure Obama's re-election.
Can't wait to see Palin's bumper stickers: PALIN 2012-2013 1/2