July 21st, 2010
01:47 PM ET
4 years ago

Poll: Only 4 in 10 say Obama deserves re-election

A new poll released Wednesday indicates that 48 percent of the public thinks Obama doesn't deserve a second term in office.
A new poll released Wednesday indicates that 48 percent of the public thinks Obama doesn't deserve a second term in office.

Washington (CNN) - Nearly half of all Americans think President Barack Obama does not deserve re-election in 2012, according to a new national poll.

A Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday indicates that 48 percent of the public thinks Obama doesn't deserve a second term in office, with four in ten saying he does deserve to be re-elected. By a 52 to 34 percent margin, Independent voters say the president doesn't deserve re-election.

Thirty-six percent of people questioned in the poll say they'd vote for Obama if the next presidential election were held today, with 39 percent saying they'd cast their ballot for the Republican candidate. Thirteen percent say their vote depends on which Republican would be facing off against Obama and 12 percent say they are undecided. By a 37 to 27 percent advantage, Independents say they'd vote for the Republican candidate.

"In politics, a month is a lifetime and we have 28 months until November of 2012. But politicians with re-elect numbers at 40 percent bear watching," says Quinnipiac University Polling Institute assistant director Peter Brown.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted July 13-19, with 2,181 registered voters nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.1 percentage points.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll conducted in late March indicated that Americans were divided whether they'd vote for Obama or an unnamed GOP contender.

Surveys taken more than two years out are not always a great indicator of what will happen down the road.

"Keep in mind that only 38 percent thought that Bill Clinton deserved re-election in 1994, but he went on to win a second term," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "And just a year before the 1992 election, 57 percent thought that the elder George Bush deserved to be re-elected, but he lost his bid for another four years in the White House."


Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Popular Posts • President Obama
soundoff (122 Responses)
  1. annie s

    I'd vote for him in a heartbeat. Of course, I know how much he has accomplished in so little time. And I don't listen to Rush, Beck or Death Panel Sarah, so I know the truth.

    July 21, 2010 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  2. Alex

    These polls are pointless. I don't think he deserves re-election due to being only slightly less a Republican than his predecessor, but I will still vote for him over any clown the GOP can prop up.

    July 21, 2010 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  3. mary dale

    What a load of crap. Who is this republican the majority will vote for? There isnt one of them good enough to wipe Obama's shoes and their whole party has had 3 ideas for most of the last century – tax cuts for the wealthy, cut back on social programs, lie to the gullible religious voters that they will do something about abortion and same-sex marriage, but never quite get around to it.

    July 21, 2010 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  4. Greg

    Last I checked, 48% was 5 in 10, not 4 in 10.

    July 21, 2010 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  5. Dis-gusted

    Here's the deal.....vote the Party of No out, vote Pres. Obama back in and we'll see some good things happen in this country.

    July 21, 2010 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  6. lisa

    hey america, u get what you vote 4. if you really want a republican president that badly, go for it, but you already know what that gets you!

    when you lose your job do the the failing economy, nad have no unemployment benefits, and find yourself homeless as the rich get richer...you asked for it!

    July 21, 2010 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  7. Hugo

    Gee, I was fully aware of this in 2008!

    July 21, 2010 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  8. Chrissy, Tx

    So do I! Too much talking and no action! His ass needs to be voted out of office!!!!!

    July 21, 2010 03:06 pm at 3:06 pm |
  9. Sniffit

    Well, there goes the maker of Viagra's profits off the conservative community. Of course, it's only mid-2010 and, as we all know, most of what the conservatives do tends to backfire...I'd like to see the Nov 2012 election results if they win the House in 2010 and spend 2011-2012 ensuring that absolutely nothing whatsoever gets done for 2 whole years...you know, other than trying to repeal the HCR Bill and add $138B back into the 10-year projected deficit.

    It's a great gig being a GOPer, I'd assume. Your ideology tells you that less government is good and no goverment is even better. Nihilism is easy-peasy...so when you get elected, you have a great argument that you were, in fact, elected to do absolutely nothing. Sweet gig. Sit back, collect bribes, health care benefits, a pretty good salary and a fantastic pension and all you have to do is stand up once in a while and shout some batsh-t crazy nonsense....no fact research, evidence gathering, interviews of experts or drafting complicated bills to solve complicated problems required. All the answers are simply "no" "nothing" "less" and "tax cuts."

    July 21, 2010 03:06 pm at 3:06 pm |
  10. Future expat

    What's the option? A Republican? No thanks.

    July 21, 2010 03:10 pm at 3:10 pm |
  11. once upon a horse

    and after the first two years Ronald Reagan was at 42% so we are indeed an impatient people. To be honest though if I were Obama I wouldn't even WANT the job again. Be interesting to see who they think can beat him.

    Palin/Bachmann 2012

    July 21, 2010 03:10 pm at 3:10 pm |
  12. RAG

    Take heart Americans! These numbers are exactly tracking the Reagan number at the same point in his first term. Thank goodness we can look forward to 6 more hyears of enlightened, intelligent and most importantly legal leadership.

    July 21, 2010 03:11 pm at 3:11 pm |
  13. Emerson

    Very informative poll, but there was no indication of how may would vote for Ronald Reagan, Richard Nixon or George Washington if the election was held today.

    July 21, 2010 03:11 pm at 3:11 pm |
  14. BB

    After what the Republican Party started 30 years ago under Reagan, we are very blessed to have someone as wonderful as President Obama as our President. He is the only saving grace this country has.

    The only people that are being polled are insiders. The General Public is not and does not get polled, and there are a heck of a lot more of the General Public than there are Insiders.

    Barack Obama WILL be our President for a total of 8 years.
    He is the only one doing anything for the common poor to middle class people and if people are too ignorant to see it and not able to see through the Media negativity hype that "Republicans are going to win" and blah, blah then they shouldn't vote. We have had enough morons voting against their own self interest to help the top 2% continue to steal their money and jobs from them and they are too stupid to even see it, they get more excited in a bunch of fools dressing up in 1700' s garb and stapling Tea Bags to their hats!!!
    Give me a break!!!! Polls mean absolutely nothing!!!!!

    GO OBAMA 2012!!!!!!!!!!!
    GO Dems 2010!!!!!!!!!

    July 21, 2010 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
  15. Susan in Arkansas

    Independent voters are schizophrenic. Who knows how they will swing from one day to the next, from one issue to the next. President Obama has been in office for only a half-term. So much has been accomplished with regard to health care reform and Wall Street reform. Folks need to remember that we don't have "microwave legislation." Parts of these laws won't go into affect for months or even years. Independents need to move beyond their need for immediacy.

    July 21, 2010 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
  16. Craig

    Polls like this hold no water this far from the election and with no clear opponent

    July 21, 2010 03:14 pm at 3:14 pm |
  17. Rick from Chicago

    The 6 in 10 that wont vote for him now either:

    1) wont admit that Obama's stuck trying to fix a republican mess that was 8 consistent years in the making caused by their two Bush wars; deregulation via the Graham-Leach-Bliley Act; tax breaks for the rich that they spent buying more summer homes instead of hiring with it like they were supposed to; putting Clinton's NAFTA on steroids for the good of the GLOBAL economy rather than ours; and the belief that REPUBLICAN deficits don't matter because the stock market was up thanks to ARMs, debt was "only x% of the GDP", and the GDP growth could never possibly go negative

    or 2) they're too stupid to realize that Obama is dealing with not only republicans that already clearly stated IN ADVANCE that they were out to block anything and EVERYTHING they could as long as it would make Obama look bad, but a whole block of Lieberman's – the Blue Dog "Dems" – that vote with republicans every chance they get

    or BOTH!

    Ask them what their plans to "fix" this mess are and I bet they'll rattle off a list of reaganomic "solutions" that are the very things that caused these problems in the first place.

    July 21, 2010 03:14 pm at 3:14 pm |
  18. Patricia in the Deeper South

    I'll think twice before pulling the lever for Obama again. HOWEVER, there isn't a Republican out there that I would EVER vote for, given their leadership history. So....Green Party, show me your stuff!

    July 21, 2010 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  19. Peter E

    Sure... But who will take him on? It's not as if republicans have come up with even a single viable alternative yet! Mitt flip-flop Romney? Sarah quitter Palin? Newt has-been Gingrich? Please! Don't make me laugh!

    July 21, 2010 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  20. Monrob

    Hillary Clinton in 2010.

    She shlould have been our president!

    July 21, 2010 03:18 pm at 3:18 pm |
  21. Limbaugh is a Liberal

    Is CNN bored? If even they admit that the poll has a prediction accuracy of exactly nothing, why do they even bother talking about it?

    July 21, 2010 03:18 pm at 3:18 pm |
  22. al in memphis

    As much as rationale thinking voters complain about how we would like to clean up politics, this is a perfect example why politics is not going to change. Republican can look at this and say that using a tactic of using a constant barrage of negative and false information will get you the results you want, because voters care more about impressions than issues.
    What is funny is that they can even sit around and joke how you don't have to provide solutions and results - just keep slamin the other guy.
    Obama sign nuclear reduction treaty - Repub translation "He making us weak"
    Obama push for energy plan - Repub translation "Government is taking over"
    Obama wants to talk to our kids about excelling in school - Repub translation " Fed government should not interfere with local issues"

    Interesting what really goes into chosing the leader of the free world!

    Hey this comment does not meet CNN's controversial statement level, so it might not get posted.

    July 21, 2010 03:19 pm at 3:19 pm |
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